Bradley at Missouri State -14 O/U 132
Recommendation: Under
Shooting 40% from the field has become a real chore for Bradley the past half dozen games as they’ve achieved the feat barely only twice. The Braves have been a crooked shooting team all season averaging just 41.5% from the floor but now, the second time around in Missouri Valley Conference play, shots are falling at an even smaller rate. The stingy defense of Missouri State which is only allowing 40.0% from the floor this season isn’t the ideal unit for a Bradley outburst. Earlier this season in their 51-48 victory, Missouri State held Bradley to 37% shooting and their methodical style slowed the Braves to a 59 possession crawl. The Bears were even worse from the field hitting just 35% and scoring has been troublesome for them as well as they’ve failed to reach 70 points in seven consecutive games. Abundance of late game free throws are not likely in a game lined in this double-digit vicinity and combined these teams are 10-4 under the total since January 18th. If you subtract extreme offensive opponents Wichita State and Evansville from the equation, that number goes to 10-1 91% under. Expect a low possession contest with a game field goal percentage probably below the 40% mark and a final score that lands around 125.
