Submitted by Teddy Covers
Milwaukee (Gallardo) -110 at Cincinnati (Cueto)
The Reds played their guts out over the weekend, taking two out of three from the St Louis Cardinals while moving into first place in the NL Central. Here's a classic Dusty Baker quote, a clear indication of why the Reds are primed for a letdown as they face off against a hungry, desperate Brewers team tonight. Baker: "You've got to enjoy the moment - enjoy May 16th. My dad always said, 'Enjoy today because tomorrow isn't promised to anybody.'"
Cinci's Johnny Cueto is in a prime "bet against" spot today as well. Cueto threw his first career complete game in his last outing, holding the light hitting Pirates to a single hit. I'm always wary off a pitcher coming off his first career complete game, or a relatively rare dominant showing. Look no further than Dallas Braden's loss in LA over the weekend immediately following his perfect game as a classic recent example.
The Brewers are 4-14 at Miller Park, coming off a disappointing 0-6 homestand. But the Brewers have been solid money winners on the highway, three games above .500. Milwaukee starter Yovani Gallardo has been nothing short of dominant, allowing two runs or less in each of his last six starts; striking out 46 batters in 35 innings of work. This is a prime bounce-back spot for the road team, making them worthy of a wager in this very reasonable price range. Take Milwaukee.