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NBA late-season situational handicapping

04.16.2012     10:20 AM         Printer Friendly
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I started a thread in the Sportsmemo posting forum about the late season playoff push and Western Conference teams playing for the final playoff spots. Here is a list of the teams battling for a playoff position and a top-8 spot along with their remaining schedules.

5. Memphis (35-25)... at Minn, NO, at Char, Port, Cleve, Orl 
6. Dallas (34-27)...at Utah, Hou, GS, at Chic, at Atl 
7. Denver (33-27)...at Hou, LAC, at Phoenix, Orl, at OKC, at Minn 
8. Houston (32-28)...Denver, at Dallas, at NO, GS, at Miami, NO 
9. Phoenix (31-29)...Port, OKC, LAC, Denver, at Utah, SA 
10. Utah (31-30)...Dallas, at Port, Orl, Phoenix, Port


Phoenix holds the tiebreaker advantage over Utah while the Jazz have the tiebreaker edge over Houston and Denver.

The Nuggets beat the Rockets last night in Denver and play at Houston tonight in a home and away back-to-back. The Suns are a huge, adjusted favorite (-11) over the Trailblazers tonight after Portland saw their final outside chance at the playoffs slip away with a last second loss at Sacramento Sunday.

Utah has a huge game tonight at home against the defending champion Dallas Mavericks. And the situation and scheduling could not get much better for the Jazz. Utah is 21-8 at home and historically has dominated teams coming off back-to-back games. The Mavericks lost at LA against the Lakers in overtime last night. Now playing their fourth-straight road game and fourth game in five nights, the Mavericks will struggle to bring anywhere near their best at altitude tonight. 

Meanwhile, the Jazz enter off back-to-back losses with an extra day of rest. Utah must have this game, and while many teams ‘bleed’ in time of need, the motivation, energy and effort should be supreme for Utah tonight. The Jazz are missing four key players – Josh Howard, Raja Bell, C.J. Miles and Earl Watson – all out with injuries.  Utah’s late game execution on offense has been suspect recently, as has the coaching of Ty Corbin. But even Corbin and the Jazz can’t mess up this positive situation and profile tonight. The Jazz play with same season triple revenge against Dallas, and have actually lost seven-straight times to the Mavericks. Combined with the scheduling and additional late-season situations, a wager is warranted on the Jazz tonight.

Fairway Jay is a recognized leader and one of the sports industries insightful point spread prognosticators. He’s a proven performer on the hardwood and posted 4-consecutive winning NBA season’s from 2007-2011 including a pair of 60% winning regular seasons. With documented success and experience to battle with the best and beat the bookmaker, join Fairway Jay on the basketball court and profit from his experience and well-rounded game. Follow on Twitter: @FairwayJay

Tags: NBA __





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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Marty Otto, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Alf Musketa, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   May 19, 2013 10:31 AM.