Portland +13.5 at Cal-Santa Barbara O/U 136
I understand that Portland lost a handful of key players from last year's team but I still trust the program and they've shown me enough to give them a look tonight at Santa Barbara. Last year, the Pilots beat the Gauchos 75-63 as 3.5-point favorites. The core group of that UP has since graduated but the line adjustment to me is massive. Portland opened the season with two solid wins against Florida Atlantic and Georgia State and playing its third game in as many days, simply didn't have the horses to hang with up-tempo Washington. On Sunday, they struggled shooting the ball (40% FGs) and fell to Washington State at home. UCSB returns four starters and showed well in its only DI game, an 89-56 home win over Santa Clara. It appears that performance has bumped up the Gauchos' price tag a bit. Last year, USCB finished 8-8 in the Big West and outscored those opponents by a miniscule 0.8 ppg. And of their 16 DI wins, only four came by 14 points or more. Different year, but the gap between these two teams is not as much as the pointspread indicates.