Sports Memo Ad 0

Rynning Gearing Up for NBA
1203-945 +180.9 2005-15
292-228 +38.1 2013-15
20* Totals 61% +26.2 Lifetime
$1499 Every Play+Playoffs

Sports Memo Ad 0
Erin Rynning Football Winners
61% NFL Totals since 2007
60% CFB Totals since 2010
CFB/NFL 15*/20* Totals
63% WINNERS since 2010
CFB/NFL Season $699
Sports Memo Ad 1

TEDDY: 38-16 70% +27.35
OTTO: 20-6 77% +18.7
IAN: 21-12 64% +10.6
RYNNING: 15-10 60% +6.75
LANGE: 15-7 68% +6.55
NFL Daily Plays $29-$39


Sports Memo Ad 2
Enter email on front page
Free Play w/ analysis
See who's hot at Sportsmemo
Special unpublished offers
Register an account today!
Sports Memo Ad 3

38-16 70% NFL YTD
33-23 60% CFB YTD
Total: 71-39 64% +35.6
CFB/NFL Full Season $699
Turkey Day Shootout $99

Sports Memo Ad 4
Andrew Lange Mr. NFL
NFL 2012-present
93-59 61% +33.2 units
15-7 68% 2015
NFL Season Now $499
Sports Memo Ad 5
20* Prepaid Pack
Handicapper of your choice
Next Five 20* selections
Discounted Rate of only $99
Purchase Online Today
Sports Memo Ad 6

OTTO Sports' historic year
20-6 77% +18.7 NFL YTD
22-7 76% +24.95 CFB YTD
42-13 77% +43.55 UNITS!
24-8 75% 20* Winners
20* Prepaid Pack $99


NCAA Tournament Gambling: A handicapper's look at the Sweet Sixteen

03.19.2012     07:55 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
The first weekend of the Madness is in the history books and only 16 teams remain standing in the NCAA Tournament. Let’s take a look at those 16 teams and assess their chances for tournament success as the field gets reduced to the Final Four this coming weekend. Teams are listed in rotation order.

Wisconsin is a mirror image of their head coach Bo Ryan: tough as nails. There’s no questioning the Badgers execution or heart, but this is not one of the more talented teams that Ryan has coached during his tenure in Madison. The Badgers are an offensively challenged ballclub that relies heavily on their three-point shooting. Four of their top five scorers average at least one made three pointer per game. Their leading rebounder, Ryan Evans, is 6-6, 210; not a team with a dominant inside presence. We’ve seen the Badgers end up on the wrong side of nearly every “step up in class” game away from home this year, with two exceptions: their win at Ohio State and their win over Vandy to reach the Sweet Sixteen.

Fab Melo’s academic ineligibility wasn’t a major factor for Syracuse in either of its two wins to reach the second weekend. It’s certainly not like Orange head coach Jim Boeheim doesn’t have anyone to replace him. 6-9 frosh Rakeem Christmas had eight points, 11 boards and three blocks in the win over Kansas State. Is Syracuse devastated by the news of Melo’s academic ineligibility? It sure doesn’t seem that way. Forward CJ Fair: “I think this is not going to stop our train from moving. Of course Fab is a beast, but we’ve got guys that can go out there and play and keep winning.”

Cincinnati is on a 12-3 ATS run away from home; a veteran team that consistently plays good basketball in hostile environments. Mick Cronin’s Bearcats notched SU wins at Georgetown, Pitt, UConn, Villanova and St John’s in Big East play, then knocked off heavyweights Texas and Florida State here in the tourney. The single most important factor in both wins last weekend might well have been the Bearcats’ refuse to lose attitude, making plays down the stretch of tight games. They’re in excellent current form, 9-2 SU and ATS in their last 11, the only losses coming by a single point at South Florida and when they were completely out of gas in the Big East Championship game.

Ohio State outrebounded Loyola-Maryland 46-23 in its tourney opener. They followed that up by completely stifling Gonzaga on the defensive end of the floor, holding the offensively potent Zags under 40% shooting from the floor. Thad Matta’s squad doesn’t have great depth, but they’ve got great talent and chemistry, with four of their five key contributors starting every game together this season.

Florida won back-to-back national titles in 2006 and 2007 under Billy Donovan, and they reached the Elite Eight last year before losing to Butler in overtime. After losing four out of five to close out the regular season, the Gators were never tested in blowout wins over Virginia and Norfolk State to get here. The competition gets much tougher for the Gators this weekend!

Marquette ranked in the top 10 in the country in assists on one end of the court and in steals on the other end. And with a 15-5 ATS mark in their last 20 ballgames, it’s clear that the betting markets have been lagging behind their performance. Big East Player of the Year Jae Crowder poured in 42 points with 29 rebounds, six assists, seven steals and two blocks in the opening weekend of action; exactly the type of production he’ll need if the Golden Eagles are going to reach the Final Four for the first time since Dwayne Wade left town.

Coming off a four-wins-in-four-days run in the Big East tournament, Louisville was shipped out West for tough tests against Davidson and New Mexico. They were good enough to grind out a pair of tight victories, despite continued offensive struggles. Rick Pitino’s defense is nothing short of outstanding, ranked in the top ten nationally in defensive field goal percentage allowed and in steals. But an offense that came into the tourney ranked 219th in field goal percentage, 260th in three-point shooting percentage and 258th in turnovers spent the weekend struggling to put the biscuit in the basket.

Michigan State is one of four Big Ten teams to reach the Sweet Sixteen; most of any conference. But the Spartans track record under Tom Izzo – six trips to the Final Four since 1999 – is second to none in the conference. They tied for the Big Ten regular season title and won the Big Ten tournament. Like Ohio State, Michigan State is a legitimate threat to win it all.

Indiana is not a dominant defensive ballclub, but they were good enough to steal one from no. 1 Kentucky with a buzzer beating three pointer at Assembly Hall in Bloomington back in November, despite allowing the Wildcats to shoot 56% from the floor. Kentucky fans will pack the Georgia Dome for the neutral site rematch in Atlanta and the Hoosiers did not fare well stepping up in class in hostile environments for much of the season.

Kentucky might be the best team in the country, but they’ve been a pointspread disaster area all year. The Wildcats 13-22 ATS mark ranks dead last among NCAA tournament teams; consistently overvalued by the betting markets. We saw head coach John Calipari leaving his starters on the floor for 165 of the 200 possible minutes in their win over Western Kentucky on Thursday, with only two contributors from his bench. It was a similar story on Saturday in their near-perfect performance to destroy Iowa State. Depth could be a legitimate issue for John Calipari’s squad moving forward.

In the regular season, Xavier never really got its swagger back after the well-publicized throwdown at the end of their blowout win over Cincinnati back in December. At the time, the Musketeers were 8-0, including wins at Vandy, at Butler and against Purdue. They went 13-12 in their last 25 games prior to the start of the Big Dance, underachieving repeatedly.  But with veteran backcourt mates Tu Holloway and Mark Lyons leading the way, Xavier made all the big plays during crunch time while beating Notre Dame and Lehigh to get here.

Baylor can be a frustrating team to watch at times. They’ve got Final Four caliber talent, but their execution down the stretch of tight games was downright miserable for a good portion of the season – turnovers, poor shot selection and a remarkable propensity for blowing leads and ATS covers. That being said, the one thing Baylor does right during crunch time is making free throws, hitting at a 75% clip over the course of the season, among the top 25 in the country in that department.

Ohio did just about everything right in their tournament opening upset win over Michigan. The Bobcats shot the ball extremely well throughout: 51% from the floor, 38% from three point range and 88% from the free throw line. They avoided mistakes, committing only nine turnovers. And they shut down the Wolverines best shooters, as Trey Burke, Stu Douglass, Tim Hardaway Jr. and Zack Novak combined to shoot just 13-of-42 from the floor. They followed their first upset win with another one. All MAC junior point guard DJ Cooper – the same guy who led the Bobcats to a shocking first round upset over Georgetown as a freshman back in 2010 – made all the big plays down the stretch, leading John Groce’s squad to the Sweet Sixteen.

The biggest injury story of the opening weekend was the fractured wrist suffered by North Carolina star point guard Kendall Marshall. Even though Marshall finished their win over Creighton with his fifth double-double in the Tar Heels last six games, his status for the coming weekend is still very much in doubt as I write this. Marshall is irreplaceable for Roy Williams. He dished 351 assists in his first 36 games. Reggie Bullock ranks second on the team with 45 assists.

NC State is peaking at the right time: 6-1 SU, 7-0 ATS in their last seven ballgames, the lone loss coming by two points to North Carolina in the ACC Tournament. With all five starters averaging in double figures, and three of the five shooting 50% from the floor or better, Mark Gottfried’s squad is loaded with scoring threats from anywhere on the floor.

Kansas ranks in the top 10 nationally in defensive field goal percentage allowed. The Jayhawks rank in the Top 50 nationally in rebounding margin, consistently controlling the glass. They have all kinds of future NBA talent on their roster – Thomas Robinson, Jeff Withey and Tyshawn Taylor are all projected draft picks this June. And, quite frankly, Robinson is as good as any college basketball player I’ve seen all year; the type of dominant low post presence that a true national championship contender needs. Bill Self’s squad survived a tough test against Purdue to get here; the type of ‘getting over the hump’ come-from-behind victory that should give the Jayhawks even more confidence moving forward.

Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers

This blog is closed to new comments.

Visitor Comments:

Add Your Email Address:
How did you find us?

More VIP Email Options
Current Blog Topics
Ted Sevransky Hot Links
Current Blog Topics
SportsMemo Ads
Daily Plays
We're knocking on the door of 2016 and for nearly two years, Andrew Lange has delivered 57% winners in all sports. Off last week's Big Ten Total of the Month winner, get Friday's 20* Best Bet total for only $39. It must win or Saturday's top play is free of charge.

Watch and Win on Friday! Don't wait this number might not be around long, Drew has found value in an under the radar matchup of two MAC teams. His CFB MAC Total Of The Year will kickoff on Friday, kick back and enjoy a MACtion winner. Drew's 20* Top Shelf MAC Total Of The Year is $39 and guaranteed to win or you will receive Drew's next selection free of charge.

Erin Rynning has a winning selection on today's Civil War rivalry between Oregon State and Oregon. Pick up this 10* report for only $29; it must cash or Saturday's top play is free of charge.

Nothing but winners for OTTO Sports and his clients and his football success has carried over to the hardwood. On the year, OTTO has nailed 60% winners and is on a 69% all sports 20* streak. Don't miss out on tonight's Eastern Conference Game of the Month; only $29 and guarantee to cash or his next report is on the house.

Brent Crow is off to a fantastic start this season with nearly +11 units in the bank. For Friday he checks in with a 15* Superplay total on one of tonight's nationally televised games. Get on board for $25; it must win or tomorrow's top play is free.

Erin Rynning has been a MONSTER with his NBA totals having cashed at a 61% clip since 2010. Don't miss out on tonight's 10* selection; only $20 and guaranteed to cash or his next hoops report is free.

Ian Cameron is ready to deliver winning action in College Football on Black Friday isolating a single rock solid 10* CFB Black Friday Top Play winner. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for just $29 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next CFB play is free.

Alex B. Smith heads back to the ice on Black Friday with pair of releases, complete with detailed written analysis, that you can pick up right now for just $29. If this duo of plays doesn't turn a profit, you will receive Alex B.'s next NHL report at no extra cost.

Drew has been great in November and is releasing his Top Shelf Game Of The Year! He has found value in an under the radar matchup of two small conference teams. His CFB Game Of The Year will kickoff on Saturday and features two teams heading in opposite directions. Drew's 20* Top Shelf CFB Game Of The Year is $39 and guaranteed to win or you will receive Drew's next selection free of charge.

Ian Cameron and his clients have been CRUSHING the NFL delivering a fantastic 21-12 64% mark for +10.6 units of profit including a strong 7-4 64% record with his top rated 20* NFL plays. He is ready to unleash his single, strongest NFL play in November with his 20* NFL Game Of The Month. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for just $39 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next NFL play is free.

Alex B. Smith has isolated one play for Friday's College Football card and he's looking to cash in another BlockBuster Best Bet that you can jump in on right now for only $35. Alex B. has hit 7 of his last 8 CFB Best Bets and if this ticket doesn't cash in, you will get his next CFB report free of charge.

Teddy enters Thanksgiving Weekend in the midst of a truly epic football season. He's 70-39 in NFL and college COMBINED from Day 1 this year, hitting 64% counting every play, every day. Ride the hot hand one more time on Saturday as Michigan and Ohio State battle in Ann Arbor. Wolverines? Buckeyes? Find out here, before it happens! This play must cash or you will receive his next report at no additional charge.

Teddy enters the weekend riding a perfect 6-0 run with his strongest plays in football, his 20* Big Ticket Reports; 11-2 dating back to early October. He is ready to deliver the goods in NFL action on Sunday Night as the Broncos and Patriots battle for AFC supremacy. Ride Teddy?s epic 38-16 NFL full season with this 20* Big Ticket cash. This play must win or you will receive his next report at no additional charge.

Ian Cameron and his clients have enjoyed another strong Canadian Football League season notching a fantastic 35-26 57% record in the CFL for a tremendous +7.9 units of profit. He is ready to close out the 2015 CFL season on a final winning note with his 10* CFL Sunday Grey Cup Winner as Ottawa and Edmonton battle for supremacy in the 103rd CFL Grey Cup live on ESPN2. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for just $20 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next CFL play is free.

Extended Services
SportsMemo Ads
Discussion Forum
Post Subject
11.21 21:50
11.21 16:56
11.21 15:29
11.21 14:18
11.21 14:10

Current Blog
Ted Sevransky     11.23.2015 11:41 AM
Ted Sevransky     11.20.2015 11:10 AM
Ted Sevransky     11.16.2015 8:05 AM
Ted Sevransky     11.14.2015 11:02 PM
Ted Sevransky     11.13.2015 7:24 AM

More Blog Entries Submitted by Teddy Covers


Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at   Nov 27, 2015 09:12 AM.