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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers

08.30.2015     07:00 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore (Gonzalez) at Texas (Holland) -130 O/U 9.5 
Recommendation: Texas


Losers of nine of its last 10, Baltimore's season continues to crumble. They've now dropped 4.5 games out of the Wild Card and are showing signs of quit. Since scoring 18 runs against Oakland back on August 16, the O's have topped three runs only three times. Not a good matchup and venue for Miguel Gonzalez with fly ball tendencies and 24 home runs allowed. He's been especially hittable the back half of the season with a 7.58 ERA over his last six starts. Tossing in the afternoon heat of Texas suggests Gonzo's struggles will continue. All reports indicate that Derek Holland is nearing full strength following a shoulder issue that sidelined him for over four months. He tossed really well against Seattle (6.1 IP, 2 ER, 6 Ks) and has been one of only a few lefties who survived a start vs. Toronto (6 IP, 4 ER). Baltimore shows below AL-average splits vs. lefties (.303/.403/.706/.145) so if Holland can keep the ball in the yard, he'll be primed for a quality start. Two teams headed in opposite directions and a very playable price as we fire with the Texas Rangers this afternoon.

Tags: MLB Baltimore Orioles Texas Rangers OTTO Sports



NFL Preseason Free Betting Pick: Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys

08.29.2015     08:10 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Alex Smith

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota +1 at Dallas O/U 41.5 
Recommendation: Minnesota


The Minnesota Vikings have been very dominant in the preseason under second-year head coach Mike Zimmer with near flawless marks of 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS. In watching this team it is very clear that Zimmer's attention to detail has rubbed off on his players all the way down to the third and fourth strings. It's a big reason why they've been so successful in these "meaningless" games. Tonight will mark their first true road game this preseason against the injury bitten Dallas Cowboys who return home after back-to-back road games. Defensive back Orlando Scandrick (ACL) is the latest casualty in a long list of key injuries. At this point, the squad can ill-afford another loss. You could see there was little to no interest in competing hard for 60 minutes the first two weeks as Dallas was outscored a combined 40-13. Reports indicate that more focus and effort will be placed on tonight's "dress rehearsal" but I just don't trust this squad will perform for an entire game. We've seen nothing but Minnesota money but still some value at the small underdog price.

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Tags: NFL Minnesota Vikings Dallas Cowboys



NFL Preseason Betting Podcast 8-28-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Brent Crow

08.28.2015     09:44 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Brent Crow. Brent and host Andrew Lange broke down Friday and Saturday's NFL Preseason games.

Today's segments 
Brent Crow - NFL Preseason (Friday-Saturday)

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Brent Crow



NFL Preseason Free Betting Pick: New England Patriots at Carolina Panthers

08.28.2015     09:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England pk at Carolina O/U 44 
Recommendation: New England


There’s a very different mentality between the Patriots and the Panthers as they head into their preseason Week 3 matchup tonight.  New England’s starters got crushed by the Saints last week, allowing three TDs and a FG before the offense produced a single point.  Bill Belichick was not amused.  His quote speaks volumes about why the Patriots are worthy of a wager this evening:

 “We weren’t very good on either side of the ball, or in the kicking game. Bad coaching, bad playing, put it all down. We weren’t very good……I think an important week for us in terms of starting to develop a little bit of a routine, especially for players that haven’t been in this program before for them to understand what the expectations are, what the routine is, where they should be at various points during the week leading up to the game.”

Patriots running back Jonas Gray, talking about the sense of urgency for a much better showing tonight: “It’s huge.  We want to go out there and we want to win — just like any game we play. But we know to be a great team and to be a good team, you gotta be able to run the ball, stop the run and cover kicks and we didn’t do any of that well.  This week, the one thing we’re focusing on is just having a better complete game and we’re looking forward to it.”

The Patriots are getting healthier, expected to see a handful of key veterans returning to the lineup tonight after sitting out the first two preseason games.  That stands in stark contrast with the Panthers; a banged up team following a tough run of injuries, particularly thin at wide receiver.  And while Carolina is expected to keep starters on the field into the third quarter, I’m not sensing that same sense of urgency compared to New England.  Linebacker Luke Kuechly: "It’s our best opportunity to get game reps. We’ll understand where we are and see what steps we need to take."

Panthers third string QB Joe Webb has led them to come-from-behind, fourth quarter wins in each of Carolina’s first two preseason games.  I’m willing to bet Webb won’t make it three in a row tonight.   Take the Patriots.

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Tags: NFL New England Patriots Carolina Panthers Teddy Covers



NFL Preseason Betting: Seattle's Carroll says starters need the work

08.28.2015     07:16 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seattle Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll said there will be no fear when it comes to playing time for his starters in Saturday's preseason tilt at San Diego.


"We will play some more plays this week and look forward to these guys coming out after halftime and playing and getting ready to play this season that's just around the corner," Carroll said.

"No," he said. "We manage our guys the way we do and we're fortunately in pretty good shape right now. These guys need to play. They need the play time. They've got to get ready. You can't hide from it, it's coming, it's right around the corner. They need to be fit and mentally right to play four quarters of football two weeks from now, so we've got to take this next step."



Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks San Diego Chargers



NFL Preseason Gambling: Ravens dealing with offensive line injuries

08.28.2015     07:09 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Despite a slew of injuries across its offensive line, the playing time for Baltimore's starters won't be impacted according to head coach John Harbaugh. The Ravens (-4) play host to Washington on Saturday night.


“I think if something happens in the game, it possibly could [have an affect], but the way we’re going into the game, to start the game, we’re comfortable with the guys we have playing on the starting offensive line,” Harbaugh said Wednesday. “They’ll do a great job.”

“Lord willing, we’ll have enough to play,” offensive coordinator Marc Trestman said Tuesday, only half-joking. “And I say that with great sincerity and hope that we’ll get enough guys that we can play. But we have enough, and we’re excited for them.”



Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Washington Redskins



College Football Handicapping: Grading Big XII defenses

08.28.2015     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Article that defends Big XII defenses as "not that bad" because of pace of play and opponents' offensive capabilities. Similar to college basketball, a number of coaches are now using points per possession as a way to better judge their stop units. Below is last season's Football Outsiders' national FEI rankings.

2014 Defensive FEI rankings - Big XII 
No. 6 - TCU 
No. 10 - Baylor 
No. 25 - Kansas State 
No. 32 - Oklahoma 
No. 44 - West Virginia 
No. 73 - Texas 
No. 75 - Oklahoma State 
No. 87 - Texas Tech 
No. 88 - Iowa State 
No. 103 - Kansas


"It's completely opposite of what it should be defensively in statistics," Oklahoma State coach Mike Gundy said. "It should be points allowed per possession. Like our defense, when we were rolling offensively here in those years, our defensive coaches and our team were facing about 16 or 17 possessions a game. There's teams in the league and other leagues that only face 10, or 11 or 12 possessions, so obviously they have a better chance to score points against us than they do against them."



Tags: College Football Big XII



AFC South Betting Preview Podcast 8-27-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning

08.27.2015     11:12 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. ER and host Andrew Lange previewed the AFC South.

Today's segments 
Erin Rynning - AFC South Preview

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Erin Rynning Andrew Lange



Las Vegas' Red Rock sportsbook gears up for football

08.27.2015     09:31 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas' Red Rock Casino upgraded its sportsbook including the installation of new video displays.


“This is the largest display of its kind ever installed in North America,” he continued, “and with football season beginning it’s very exciting for us and for our customers. The Ultra High Definition really brings the action on the screen to life.”



Tags: Las Vegas



College Football Betting: Washington State see turnovers as a way to defensive improvement

08.27.2015     09:18 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Article on Washington State's first-year defensive coordinator Alex Grinch. Grinch has never been a DC though spent the last three years coaching Missouri's secondary. There's obviously work to be done as Wazzu sported one of the worst power conference defenses in the country (38.6 ppg allowed). Some of their struggles were no doubt because of a lack of talent/ability/PAC-12 offenses. However, the unit was up against it on a regular basis thanks to an offense that coughed up the football 25 times. Turnovers are a part of who the Cougs are so to remedy that, Grinch is focused on takeaways this season which is nice in theory but something that isn't always controllable. That said, the extra emphasis can't hurt as Wazzu forced only eight turnovers last season; tied for the worst mark in the country. In 2013, they had 30 takeaways but committed 35 turnovers. Basically Washington State is the nation's best team at not being able to get out of its own way.


“He preaches two or more turnovers a game,” linebacker Peyton Pelluer says. “He’s done his own little study, and he says the teams that get two or more a game, 24 total in the season or more, end up with around nine wins. … We had minimal turnovers last year. Pretty pitiful numbers.”



Tags: College Football Washington State Cougars PAC-12



Meet the world's best card counter

08.27.2015     08:49 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cool article on a gentleman billed as the world's best card counter.


“If I’m gonna play, the first thing I do is grow my beard,” he says. “Then I dye it. Then I add earrings. Then a hat.” Once he put his arm in a sling and pretended to be one-armed. “Halloween is the greatest,” he says, estimating that he’s made $300,000 on the holiday where identities are fully obscured.

“The casinos are very hip to that. You have to camouflage a big play in various ways,” says Blaine. “Most card counters play consistent, predictable, they’re like robots. I try to use instincts when I sense I’m being watched. I hit them big, get out of there, and they just think I got lucky.”



Tags: College Football Washington State Cougars PAC-12



College Football Gambling: UCLA named true frosh Rosen starting quarterback

08.27.2015     07:41 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UCLA named true freshman Josh Rosen the team's Week 1 starter. Rosen, who enrolled in school earlier this year, was regarded as the top QB recruit in the nation. He beat out last year's backup, Jerry Neuheisel, who went 23-of-30 for 178 yards and two TDs in a last minute win over Texas. UCLA is currently -17 home favorites vs. Virginia for Week 1.


“At some point it just becomes apparent to you,” Mora said. “You get a gut feeling. You’ve seen enough. You say it’s time to make a decision and let’s go.”

“We haven’t played one single snap of real football yet, but at this point, he’s living up to that billing,” Mora said.



Tags: College Football UCLA Bruins PAC-12 Virginia Cavaliers ACC



NFL Handicapping: Denver Broncos adjust to new coaching staff

08.27.2015     07:17 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Good article on the Denver Broncos' offensive and defensive scheme changes heading into this season. The Broncos of course have a new head coach in Gary Kubiak as well as two first-year coordinators.


“Hopefully we’re kicking and screaming in all three phases. I am really excited about our defense. We have some great depth on that side of the ball when you look at the linebacker position and you look at the secondary. Obviously, the defensive line has a few concerns . . . I’m very excited about the position. I know that Wade will put these guys in. It’s very simple — they do what they do best. When you have the chance to have the edge players that we have with Von (Miller) and DeMarcus (Ware), and then you go add Shane (Ray) to that mix, we’ll have the ability to make people get rid of the ball very quickly.”

“I love it,” he said. “It’s running back-friendly for sure, but we’re still going to put the ball in the air with D.T. (wide receiver Demaryius Thomas). Manning is obviously going to put it in the air with (wide receiver) Emmanuel (Sanders). So we’re going to throw the football, as well.”



Tags: NFL Denver Broncos



College Football Betting Update: Kansas married to up-tempo attack

08.27.2015     06:52 AM     Printer Friendly

UPDATE

Update on Kansas' rebuilding project. Yesterday the Jayhawks named Montell Cozart the team's starting quarterback. Cozart completed only 50% of his passes with a 5-to-7 TD-to-INT ratio last season. And it sounds as if head coach David Beaty is fully committed to running his up-tempo offense from the get-go. Beaty says they won't try to shorten the game despite being at a significant disadvantage both talent and depth wise.


“We won’t shorten the game,” Beaty says. “That’s not how we play the game. We’re going to continue to stay who we are because that’s how we practice every day.”






College Football Betting: Kansas Jayhawks should be historically bad

07.23.2015     12:09 PM     View Original Blog
Whoa. If you thought Kansas football was in a bad place just wait to you see the cards they were dealt heading into 2015. For starters, the Jayhawks got rid of Charlie Weis and hired David Beaty during the offseason. Beaty had been an assistant at Kansas under Mark Mangino and more recently at Texas A&M (WR). Because of Weis' last ditch efforts to bolster the program with a slew of JC recruits that never panned out, Beaty heads into this season with only 64 scholarship players. Only five players remain from the 2013 recruiting class. To make matter worse, of those 64, a vast majority are fringe Big XII talent. In looking ahead, it's conceivable that Kansas won't be favored in a single game this year, including Week 1's home tilt vs. South Dakota State who is a top 25 FCS program. KU's two other non-conference affairs are at home vs. Memphis who is projected as one of the top teams in the AAC and at Rutgers. The Iowa State game is in Ames though Texas Tech does come to Lawrence. It's no surprise that sportsbooks have priced Kansas' season over/under wins at 1.5 with juice to the over.


If Cummings’ knee injury sidelines him for the season — which remains a possibility — the Jayhawks will be burdened with replacing 70 percent of their passing yards, 64 percent of their rushing yards and 93 percent of their receiving yards.

They will not feature a pass-catcher who caught a touchdown or hauled in more than eight catches last year. They will not possess a running back who scored a touchdown or rushed for more than 450 yards. They will have zero skill-position players who started more than one game (senior running back De’Andre Mann earned one start last year).



 





Tags: College Football Kansas Jayhawks Big XII



College Football Handicapping: Wisconsin o-line is in shambles

08.27.2015     06:37 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Early season injuries for power conference teams aren't always a factor when you're laying three touchdowns against a Sun Belt school. But what happens when you face one of the top teams in the country? Wisconsin's offensive line is currently in disarray with as many as four players on the team's injury list. They are talking about having to start three freshmen. The Badgers are +10 underdogs to Alabama for Week 1's game in Arlington.


“I can’t remember (having so many guys hurt in camp), but it’s the camp at hand,” said Badgers offensive coordinator and line coach Joe Rudolph, according to Madison.com. “That’s all right, just keep going. It’s neat seeing guys jump into different spots and make it work. No one’s alarmed when their name gets called, that’s for sure.”



Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten Alabama Crimson Tide SEC



College Football Gambling Alert: East Carolina loses starting quarterback to injury

08.26.2015     01:26 PM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A week removed from being named East Carolina's starting quarterback, the team announced sophomore Kurt Benkert will miss the season due to a torn ACL. Benkert was slated to replace Shane Carden who threw for 4,736 yards and 30 TDs last season. Head coach Ruffin McNeill said that juniors Cody Keith and Blake Kemp will now compete for the job. Neither attempted a pass in 2014. The Pirates open the season at home vs. Towson and then travel to Florida in Week 2.

Tags: College Football East Carolina Pirates C-USA



Teddy Covers talks Philadelphia Eagles and UNLV season over/under wins

08.26.2015     01:31 PM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers answers seven questions for vegasseven.com.


I’ve got $100 in my pocket. Which way do I go on the season win total (2½) for the Rebels?

Keep the $100 in your pocket. When you look at their schedule, you don’t see three wins. That being said, the Mountain West stinks this year. UNLV has a quarterback in a league where no one has a quarterback. So that makes them live to pull an upset here, an upset there, maybe steal one. I’ll say this much: UNLV isn’t going to win more than two or three games.



Tags: NFL College Football Philadelphia Eagles UNLV Rebels Las Vegas



Football Betting Podcast 8-26-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Teddy Covers

08.26.2015     09:51 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Teddy Covers. Ian tackled Week 10 CFL and Teddy previewed the AFC West.

Today's segments 
Full Show

Ian Cameron - CFL Week 10

Teddy Covers - AFC West Preview

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: CFL NFL Ian Cameron Teddy Covers Andrew Lange



College Football Gambling: Georgia Southern suspends starting quarterback

08.26.2015     08:08 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Georgia Southern announced that starting quarterback Kevin Ellison will be suspended the first two games of the season including Week 1's game at West Virginia. Ellison was instrumental in two spread covering/near upset losses to NC State and Georgia Tech last season. He combined to go 16-of-26, 348 yards passing, 223 yards rushing, 7.7 ypc, 2 TDs passing, and no INTs. The Eagles however have a capable backup in Favian Upshaw who saw plenty of playing time in 2014. Upshaw played in all but one game and finished with 385 yards on the ground (9.6 ypc) and 285 yards passing (176.1 QB rating). The betting markets don't appear particularly fazed by the loss of Ellison as West Virginia opened -19 and was bet up only slightly to -19.5/-20.


“I’ve been preparing to be a starting quarterback ever since I got here,” Upshaw said. “You never know what’s going to happen. You’re always one play away from being in the game. I had some pretty big situations last year that I was in, just a little more playing time now.”

“He’s just a good quarterback,” Ruse said. “He can do a lot of things. He’s a versatile guy. He’s one of the fastest players we have on the team, but he’s just as comfortable sitting back there in the pocket.

“He’s knows when to sit in there and go through his progression. He also has that sense of when to tuck it and make it happen with his feet. We need that out of all our quarterbacks. That’s part of our scheme.”



 


Tags: College Football Georgia Southern Sun Belt West Virginia Mountaineers Big XII



Paddy Power and BetFair may join forces

08.26.2015     07:47 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UK sportsbooks Paddy Power and BetFair are in talks about a potential merger.


"We fundamentally believe this industry is all about scale. By putting together two distinct but phenomenally strong brands, we'll have a market leading position in the UK, Ireland, Australia and in the United States."



Tags: College Football Georgia Southern Sun Belt West Virginia Mountaineers Big XII



New Jersey sports betting takes yet another hit

08.26.2015     07:41 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seriously, New Jersey. Just quit. You have no chance. It wasn't meant to be, man. Quit wasting everyone's time and money with this whole legalized sports betting pipe dream.


“Our hopes are certainly lessened by this decision, although not extinguished,” said Lesniak, a Democrat who has hoped sports betting would attract business to New Jersey’s flagging casinos. “I’m looking forward to working aggressively with other state leaders to get Congress to do it right.”



Tags: College Football Georgia Southern Sun Belt West Virginia Mountaineers Big XII



MLB Handicapper Free Play: Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves

08.26.2015     07:25 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado (Flande) at Atlanta (Miller) -140 O/U 7.5 
Recommendation: Under


Atlanta's Shelby Miller is quietly putting together his best season as a pro with a sparkling 2.50 ERA. From a season-long perspective Miller's 136 strikeouts in 158.1 innings isn't eye-popping but of late, missing bats hasn't been a problem with Miller fanning 66 over his last 61 innings. He's probably been a bit fortunate with the home run ball with only 9 allowed but it can be tied to that fact that Miller's GB% has jumped from 39% in 2014 to 50% this year. Since Troy Tulowitzki was traded, the Rockies are 8-19 with an average of only 3.3 runs per game away from Coors Field (4.1 rpg overall). Note how weak the production is despite the resurgence of Carlos Gonzalez who has been on fire with 20 home runs, a .305 BA, and .701 SLG. Gonzalez missed last night's game with a knee injury and is currently questionable for tonight. Without him, an already weak Rockies' lineup become extremely easy to navigate. Yohan Flande is by all accounts a fringe MLB arm though in limited duty both as a reliever and starter, he owns a respectable 3.94 ERA despite splitting time in Coors Field. Tonight he's got a good shot at churning out a quality start as the Braves have scored the fewest runs of any team in the National League. Eight of Miller's last nine starts have gone under the total and with two sub-par offenses, a fairly decent "under" ump in Vic Carapazza (55% unders since 2011), the potential for the most potent bat in either lineup to be out, and the key number of 7.5, the under looks like a solid play.

Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Atlanta Braves Andrew Lange



Sports Betting Podcast 8-25-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Alex B. Smith and Rob Veno

08.25.2015     09:43 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Alex B. Smith and Rob Veno. Our newest handicapper, Alex, previewed the Big Ten East division while Rob talked MLB.

Today's segments 
Alex B. Smith - Big Ten East Preview

Rob Veno - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football MLB Big Ten Alex B. Smith Rob Veno Andrew Lange



MLB Handicapper Free Play: Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds

08.25.2015     07:48 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Los Angeles (Wood) at Cincinnati (Lamb) +135 O/U 8 
Recommendation: Cincinnati


It's not to the time of season to be throwing your support towards bad teams on a regular basis but as the prices of good vs. bad continue to climb, there remain the occasional opportunity. I see one tonight with Cincinnati who snapped an ugly losing streak last night with a 12-5 win over the Tigers. The reason for the play is I have my concerns about LA's Alex Wood who has seen his velocity drop since coming over from the Braves. Adding to it is that in Woods' last start in Oakland, he struck out only one batter and had only three swinging strikes -- his second-lowest mark of the season. Cincinnati quietly has some of the best splits in the National League against lefties. They rank No. 1 in OPS (.750) and ISO (.175) and should be able to plate some runs against the very hittable Wood. On the flip side I've read a number of positive reports about Cinci starter John Lamb who despite showing a 6.35 ERA in two starts owns a stellar 15-to-2 K-to-BB ratio. Note that Lamb's BABIP in those two outings -- including one against this same LA team -- was .469. Yes, the spot says bet the Dodgers after six straight losses and an off day, but the actual matchup on the field has this line way out of whack as we'll look to the home underdog.

Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers Cincinnati Reds Drew Martin



MLB Handicapping: Are the Washington Nationals a dead team?

08.25.2015     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Washington Nationals (62-61) are going to be an interesting study the rest of the campaign. As of now, reaching the postseason is a long shot as they sit 5.5 games behind the Mets in the National League East and 10 games out in the Wild Card. They have about an 18% chance of winning the division according to FanGraphs’ playoff probabilities. We posted a blog a few weeks back about rumbling of dissension in the locker room. Now, reports claim everything is fine and the team is primed to make one last push. The schedule, while not as easy as New York's, is manageable with 13 of their next 16 at home, including three vs. New York. With the exception of a three-game series at St. Louis and six games vs. the Mets, the Nationals will play nothing but non-playoff contenders. The problem with that is Washington has and will likely continue to be priced as if it is a playoff-caliber team which (14-22 since the All-Star break) they are clearly not. Despite being a game over .500, Washington is down nearly -13 units YTD. Even if the Nats do turn it around, you'll be hard pressed to turn a significant profit. It's unlikely the markets are going to turn sour on this squad anytime soon which means if they continue on the path they're on, fading will yield quite the return.

Tags: MLB Washington Nationals New York Mets






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