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Thursday Night Football Betting Consensus: Public and market divided on San Diego-Denver

10.23.2014     02:21 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets (sides and totals) for tonight's college and pro football games courtesy of Bookmaker. The market pushed Denver up to as high as -10 after and opener of -7. Buy-back has the Broncos now -9/-9.5 at most offshore sportsbooks. Miami (FL) was steamed from +3 to -3 before settling in at -2. The move predicated largely on Virginia Tech's injuries. And market bettors willing to swoop up +28 with UConn as most shops have ECU at -27.5. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

79.6% - East Carolina -27.5 vs. UConn 
60.9% - San Diego +9 at Denver 
53.2% - Miami (FL) -2 at Virginia Tech

80.4% - OVER 51 San Diego-Denver 
79.7% - OVER 54.5 UConn-East Carolina 
63.7% - UNDER 48 Miami (FL)-Virginia Tech

Tags: College Football NFL San Diego Chargers Denver Broncos Virginia Tech Hokies Miami (FL) Hurricanes East Carolina Pirates UConn Huskies

College Football Betting Preview: Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans

10.23.2014     02:13 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Michigan at Michigan State 
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC 
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -17 O/U 51.5 
CRIS Current: Michigan State -17 O/U 48.5 
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Michigan State -15.5 
Ian Cameron's Recommendation: Over

After years of having to rely on defense to win games, Michigan State is now being carried by its offense. The Spartans are averaging 47 ppg including 27+ points in each of their three Big Ten games behind a balanced attack of 260 ypg on the ground and 265 ypg passing. Michigan’s defense is a solid unit but have had very noticeable struggles against the better offensive teams. The Wolverines allowed 26 points to Rutgers, 26 points to Utah, 30 points to Minnesota and 31 points to Notre Dame. Michigan State’s offense is arguably better than all four of those offenses. MSU put up 29 points is last year’s meeting despite still being in the infant stages of what has become a dynamic offense.

Michigan’s offense has been woeful this season ranking 12th in the Big Ten in scoring (21.7 ppg) and last in total offense (340 ypg). They’ve not scored more than 24 points in any game against Power Five conference foes this season but don’t necessarily need huge production with the current total at 48.5. And let’s not forgot that this is not the MSU defense of last year than held the Wolverines to six points. The Spartans have yielded 70 points combined in their last three Big Ten games; victimized by late scoring runs by the opposition in many of their games this season. Michigan’s Devin Gardner has had his share of struggles but with the extra week to prepare, I expect a “kitchen sink” approach meaning trick plays and shots down field knowing they’re unlikely to keep pace with a conservative game plan. And that exactly what Brady Hoke talked about when he spoke to the media this week: creating more big plays and being more explosive on offense. The Wolverines also worked on targeting blocks, finishing at the line of scrimmage, and communicating better within the offense. Easier said than done but I expect some of that extra offensive practice to pay dividends.

This rivalry series has been lower scoring for years going under the total in each of the last five meetings dating back to 2009 but with the total bet down from the opener to 48.5, I think we have some value knowing the new found capabilities of MSU’s offense. I project Sparty to top the 30-point barrier which puts us in decent position to cash a ticket on the over.

Tags: College Football Michigan Wolverines Michigan State Spartans Big Ten

NFL Handicapping: Oddsmakers peg Dallas' Murray for another 100-yard game

10.23.2014     01:07 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Dallas' DeMarco Murray has been putting up some serious numbers (6 straight 100-yard games) and has drawn the attention of oddsmakers. The Westgate SuperBook has set Murray's O/U rushing yards at 110.5 for Monday Night's game vs. Washington. The Redskins have actually been decent against the run at 103.3 ypg (12th) and 3.8 ypc (10th) allowed.

Washington's top opposing rusher game-by-game 
Russell Wilson - 122 yards 
Arian Foster - 103 yards 
Andre Ellington - 67 yards 
Andre Williams - 66 yards 
Bishop Sankey - 54 yards 
LeSean McCoy - 22 yards 
Chad Henne - 17 yards

"We're expecting the sharp players to bet under this number we put up," Sherman said, referring to the professional sports bettors in Las Vegas. "They usually like to bet under on everything, whether it's a receiver's receiving yards or a running back's rushing yards. They usually just blindly bet 'under' on most stuff. And just with what Murray has done, we'd expect to get the general public to bet on the over because they see him get 100 every week."



Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Washington Redskins

NFL Gambling Alert: Baltimore now favored at Cincinnati

10.23.2014     12:52 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
You don't see this very often in the NFL: In Week 1, the Cincinnati Bengals closed +1 at Baltimore and won 23-16. Fast forward to Week 8 and the same matchup, but opposite venue, is currently offering the same price. That's right, the Ravens are now favored at a number of offshore sportsbooks. The Bengals, who have lost and failed to cover three straight, are three weeks removed from laying -2.5 at New England.

Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore Ravens

Sportsmemo's College Football Every Game on the Board Betting Podcast 10-23-2014

10.23.2014     10:24 AM     Printer Friendly


Here's our Week 9 College Football Every Game on the Board Podcast. Handicappers Paul Stone, Rob Veno, and Teddy Covers joined host Andrew Lange to break down this weekend's slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments 
Full Show - College Football Every Game on the Board

Paul Stone - College Football Every Game on the Board Part I

Teddy Covers - College Football Every Game on the Board Part II

Rob Veno - College Football Every Game on the Board Part III

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory

Tags: College Football Paul Stone Rob Veno Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

NFL Gambling Alert: Tennessee Titans name Mettenberger starter

10.23.2014     06:56 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Houston at Tennessee

The Tennessee Titans announced Zach Mettenberger will start Sunday's divisional game vs. Houston. Jake Locker is of course hurt and expected to return as the starter when healthy. His backup, Charlie Whitehurst, wasn't awful and posted a respectable 93.2 QB rating. In fact, Locker has attempted only 14 more passes than Whitehurst but sports a dismal 75.9 rating. No line on the game.

Tags: NFL Tennessee Titans Houston Texans

College Footbal Betting Preview: USC Trojans at Utah Utes

10.23.2014     10:11 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
USC at Utah 
Saturday, 7 pm PT - FS-1 
CRIS Opener:
USC -1 O/U 55.5 
CRIS Current: USC -1 O/U 52.5 
Rob Veno's Power Rating: USC -4 
OTTO Sports' Recommendation: USC

Utah has proven that you don't have to run 90 plays and post 600 yards of offense to win in the PAC-12. But while it's one thing to grind out wins and come up with timely plays, it's another to be fortunate and that based on the Utes' statistical profile, you wonder when it backfires. Offensively, they've had a real difficult time throwing the football and are starting to rely solely on the run (101 rushing attempts last two games). The team's passing yardage has gotten progressively worse in all six games culminating in last week's 62-yard effort vs. Oregon State. As pointed out in the Sportsmemo Blog yesterday, the Utes have been outgained in their last four games by margins of  22, 138, 64, and 75 yards. It's extremely hard to sustain success when you're being outgained on a routine basis.

USC's statistical profile isn't eye-popping but their results are more in line with the yards gained and allowed. The Trojans have actually faced a fairly tough PAC-12 slate with games at Stanford and Arizona and the infamous home loss to Arizona State. When we stack up USC vs. Utah in league play we come up with the following:

Yards per play 
USC: 6.03 
Utah: 4.67

Yards per play allowed 
USC: 5.18  
Utah: 5.36

Based on those stats, USC's price tag of -1/pk on the road has value. The Trojans aren't really great in any facet of the game but can move the football both through the air and on the ground and can typically shut down one aspect of the opposition's offense. I go back to the Oregon State game: the Beavers had no chance of running the football, USC knew it, and ultimately held the Beavers to 181 yards. Utah has little to no passing game which makes life a lot easier for a flawed but capable USC defense.

I expect Utah to continue to grind out games and try to control clock. USC too has toned down its up-tempo due to lack of depth. That puts the under in play (just got smoked) as well as the short price on the road side.

Tags: College Football USC Trojans Utat Utes PAC-12 OTTO Sports

College Football Betting: Vanderbilt starts fourth different quarterback

10.23.2014     07:05 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Vanderbilt at Missouri -21 O/U 45

Eight games into the season and Vanderbilt is on its fourth different starting quarterback. Redshirt frosh Johnny McCrary will get the nod vs. Missouri. The total was bet down from 52.5 to as low as 45.

"Johnny will probably be the guy to get the start this week," Mason said. "We'll put that out of the way before we speculate on who's doing what, when, where. I thought Johnny had a good Sunday [practice], and Wade is right there. They are going to work hard for us until our leader gets back."

Tags: College Football Vanderbilt Commodores Missouri Tigers SEC

College Football Handicapping: Utah is winning games but not box scores

10.22.2014     02:16 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
USC -1 at Utah O/U 56

Utah was another team that talked about playing up-tempo during the preseason but due to various reasons have slowed things down considerably of late. And despite failing to average more than five yards per play in each of their last four games, the conservative approach has resulted in three wins. You have to wonder though how long their good fortune will last. In those four games they posted negative total yardage differentials of -22, -138, -64, and -75.

“We are winning with strong defense, strong kicking game, and strong running,” understated head coach Kyle Whittingham. “One of the factors we control is tempo. And we’ll make that determination as we go through the week, which tempo gives us the best chance to win. You have to do whatever you have to do to give yourself the chance to win. It’s a state of constant adjustment.”

Tags: College Football Utah Utes UCS Trojans PAC-12

Sports Betting Update: Ruling on New Jersey case delayed

10.22.2014     02:01 PM     Printer Friendly


In keeping with tradition, the much anticipated ruling on New Jersey's sports betting case will be delayed until at least Friday. Gotta leave the NCAA and NFL enough time to come up with some eleventh hour excuse dug out of the cobwebs of the Constitution.

New Jersey says it's taking bets on NFL Week 8

10.20.2014     07:16 AM     View Original Blog
No fear, New Jersey. No fear.

“We’re going to start taking bets on the 26th and if someone tries to stop us they’re going to need an order from the judge,” said Drazin.

Tags: College Football Utah Utes UCS Trojans PAC-12

NFL Gambling Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

10.22.2014     01:16 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Baltimore at Cincinnati 
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS 
CRIS Opener:
Cincinnati -2.5 O/U 46 
CRIS Current: Cincinnati pk O/U 45.5 
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Cincinnati -1.5 
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Baltimore

My clients and I cashed a winning Big Ticket bet supporting the Bengals in Week 1 on the road at Baltimore.  Cinci dominated that game early, but settled for five first half field goals.  After halftime, the Ravens scored 17 unanswered to take the lead.  But a 77 yard bomb from Andy Dalton to AJ Green in the final minutes allowed the Bengals to escape with a victory on Baltimore’s home field; their first road win over the Ravens since 2009.

But the Bengals team that we saw on opening day is not the same Bengals team that Marvin Lewis is fielding right now.  AJ Green has a bad toe, unable to suit up in their last two ballgames.  TE Tyler Eifert is out as well.  That duo combined for more than half of Cinci’s receiving yards in that Week 1 win.  Defensively, the Bengals have a cluster injury problem at linebacker.  All three LB starters were off the field by the second half of last week’s loss at Indy; none of them are sure things to suit up this week.  Throw in an impact injury to stud CB Leon Hall (questionable for Sunday), and you can understand why Cinci’s defense has struggled in recent weeks.

The Bengals have a value problem as well as their injury concerns and Baltimore’s same season divisional revenge concerns.  Cincinnati’s season long stats look just fine, outgaining their foes by 0.3 yards per play.  They’ve got a positive turnover differential, Dalton’s QB rating is at the highest of his career, and their pass defense numbers (opposing QB passer rating numbers) rank among the top five teams in the NFL.

But those full-season numbers are heavily influenced by the Bengals first three games of the season, all relatively well-played wins and covers.  Over their last three games, it’s been a very different story.  Cinci’s defense allowed more than 500 yards against Indy last week on the heels of allowing 80 points in their previous two games, a struggling unit.  And Cinci got shut out last week, the second time in the last three games that the offense couldn’t throw the football effectively.  Looking solely at Cinci’s 2014 numbers creates a somewhat misleading profile.

Baltimore has found their mojo since that Week 1 loss to the Bengals, winning five of their last six contests thanks to the emerge of a big play passing game that was largely absent last year but was on full display when they won the Super Bowl two years ago.  Joe Flacco is currently sporting the best QB rating of his career; averaging more than ten yards per attempt three times in the last four games.  RB Justin Forsett has seven 20+ yard rushing attempts for the year, making big plays out of the backfield.  And the Ravens defense has been rock solid, particularly in the red zone, allowing 21 points or less in every game since their opening day defeat against Cincinnati.  Right now, Baltimore is the better team.

T.Covers 20* NFL Big Ticket Thursday Night TV Winner [75% NFL Run] $39 
Teddy is locked and loaded with his 20* Big Ticket Thursday Night TV winner as San Diego travels to Denver, putting his long term 31-19 62% Big Ticket Run on the line. This pointspread is going to move. Take advantage of this opportunity right now! Fresh off a 75% NFL weekend, Teddy is primed to deliver more profits right here. This play must cash or you will receive his next selection at no additional charge.

Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore Ravens Teddy Covers

College Football Handicapping: CRIS vs. Power Ratings Week 9

10.22.2014     09:33 AM     Printer Friendly

Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno has been creating his own Power Ratings for nearly two decades. His numbers are very well respected and an excellent tool for discovering value. Rob’s PRs are a baseline and do not include key injuries or situations but they also don't overreact as much as the betting markets do week to week. Below is a chart of CRIS's current lines and Rob's College Football Power Ratings for Week 9.

2014 College Football CRIS Lines vs. Rob Veno Power Ratings - Week 9
Away Team
Home Team
Veno Power
CRIS Current
East Carolina
East Carolina -22
East Carolina -28
Miami (FL)
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech -1
Miami (FL) -2.5
South Alabama
South Alabama -10.5
South Alabama -14.5
South Florida
Cincinnati -14
Cincinnati -10
Boise State
Boise State -2
Boise State -7
Oregon -18.5
Oregon -17.5
South Carolina
Auburn -12.5
Auburn -17.5
Northern Illinois
Eastern Michigan
Northern Illinois -21
Northern Illinois -19
Mississippi State
Mississippi State -11.5
Mississippi State -13.5
Clemson -16
Clemson -14
Minnesota -7
Minnesota -6.5
Ball State
Ball State -2.5
Akron -2.5
Central Michigan
Central Michigan -2
Central Michigan -5.5
Western Michigan
Western Michigan -7
Western Michigan -10.5
Boston College
Wake Forest
Boston College -9.5
Boston College -12
Central Florida
Central Florida -13.5
Central Florida -7
North Carolina
Virginia -2
Virginia -7
Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh -0.5
Pittsburgh -3
Wisconsin -10
Wisconsin -10.5
Missouri -24.5
Missouri -21
San Jose State
Navy -8.5
Navy -8.5
Utah State
Utah State -19.5
Utah State -16.5
Toledo -16
Toledo -16.5
UCLA -12.5
UCLA -13.5
Nebraksa -15.5
Nebraksa -17.5
Kent State
Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) -2.5
Miami (OH) -6.5
Arkansas -26
Arkansas -23.5
Texas Tech
TCU -20
TCU -23
Memphis -12.5
Memphis -23
Oregon State
Stanford -11.5
Stanford -13
Alabama -15
Alabama -17
Michigan State
Michigan State -15.5
Michigan State -17
Colorado State
Colorado -17
Colorado -18.5
Mississippi -2
Mississippi -3.5
Washington State
Arizona -4.5
Arizona -2.5
USC -4
USC -1
Georgia Southern
Georgia State
Georgia Southern -15
Georgia Southern -16.5
North Texas
Rice -10.5
Rice -14.5
Louisiana Tech
Southern Miss
Louisiana Tech -12
Louisiana Tech -9
UTSA -11
UTSA -10
Florida Atlantic
Marshall -21
Marshall -28
Texas State
Louisiana-Monroe -0.5
Louisiana-Monroe -3
Old Dominion
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky -12.5
Western Kentucky -10.5
West Virginia
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State -5
Oklahoma State -1
Kansas State
Kansas State -10
Kansas State -10
Ohio State
Penn State
Ohio State -11.5
Ohio State -14
Arizona State
Arizona State -2
Arizona State -3.5
Nevada -7
Nevada -3

Tags: College Football Rob Veno

College Football Gambling: Wisconsin stays with two-quarterback gameplan

10.22.2014     09:00 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Maryland at Wisconsin -11 O/U 57.5

Expect more quarterback shuffling from Wisconsin (1-5 ATS) this weekend as Tanner McEvoy and Joel Stave will split snaps. McEvoy played only one series in UW's most recent win over Illinois. The Badgers finished with 97 yards through the air. They need to thank whoever drew up this year's schedule. Penn State, Michigan, Michigan State all rank in the top ten nationally in rush defense and not one of them is on UW's regular season slate.

"You'll see both quarterbacks play in this football game and Tanner will play more," offensive coordinator Andy Ludwig said. "He'll play more often than he did in the last game."

Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Maryland Terrapins Big Ten

College Footbal Betting Preview: Ohio State Buckeyes at Penn State Nittany Lions

10.22.2014     08:24 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Ohio State at Penn State 
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC 
CRIS Opener:
Ohio State -13 O/U 51.5 
CRIS Current: Ohio State -14 O/U 51.5 
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Ohio State -11.5 
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: Over

Penn State comes in off of back-to-back losses and a bye week as it plays host to red-hot Ohio State. Behind a young offensive line, the Nittany Lions have struggled mightily to move the football with just 32 points scored in three games vs. mediocre power conference competition.

Penn State wants to run the football and says it won't quit trying to do so but through six games, the Nittany Lions are averaging only 2.84 ypc. You could argue that stubbornness cost them the game against Michigan. The Wolverines allowed 402 passing yards to Rutgers and Gary Nova the previous week. PSU meanwhile decided to run right into the teeth of Michigan's fourth-ranked rush defense and it obviously backfired with 54 yards on a whooping 35 carries. Another opportunity to move to football via the pass presents itself this weekend. Ohio State's overall numbers look good but in large part because of games vs. Navy and Kent State. Virginia Tech, Cincinnati, Maryland, and Rutgers all connected on over 60% of their passes vs. the Buckeyes. Being balanced is a good thing but straying from what little strength you have, isn't.

Another key angle to look at here is how easy Penn State has had it defensively. Based on yards per game, the "best" offense the Nittany Lions have faced was UMass at 55th nationally. The average ranking for their sixth opponents is 92nd! Now here's comes a Ohio State team that has scored 66, 50, 52, and 56 its last four games. Penn State boasts a better defense that those four opponents but they've without question yet to be tested and will be on Saturday.

The price on this game is rich as Penn State is in a pretty good spot. But since losing at home to Virginia Tech, Urban Meyer has not only opened up the offense but entered "F-U" mode as well with nothing but blowouts. It'll be interested to see how OSU's responds on the road if someone actually fights back. The offense however has looked really good and I don't envision Penn State being able to match its gaudy seasonal numbers. I also think the bye week will provide Franklin with extra time to get the offense going some. Weather expected to be good as we play over the total.

Tags: College Football Ohio State Buckeyes Penn State Nittany Big Ten Andrew Lange

College Football Handicapping: Clemson has morphed into an UNDER team

10.22.2014     07:47 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Syracuse at Clemson -14.5 O/U 47.5

Because of a slew of offensive injuries (and a sneaky-good defense) Clemson has gone under the total in three straight games.

"We're just trying to get into a rhythm," Morris said. "When you're in a rhythm, things are rocking and rolling, and when they're not, you're scrambling."

"Time is a coach's enemy, because, the more time you have, the more stuff you want to put in," Morris said. "You just try to do what they can do and grow it. We're still going to continue to add to our offense, but it just won't be at the pace that we've added to it in the past."

Tags: College Football Clemson Tigers Syracuse Orange ACC

College Football Betting: Penn State refuses to abandon poor run game

10.22.2014     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Ohio State -14 at Penn State O/U 51.5

Despite averaging only 2.84 ypc as a team, Penn State says it won't give up on the run game.

"We worked on it [balancing the offense] really hard all last week, and we're going to do that again this week, and that's not going to change," Franklin said. "We're going to stay positive.

"We're going to stick to that, stick to the running game and keep committing to that, finding creative ways to help our guys and put them in position to be successful."

Tags: College Football Penn State Nittany Lions Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten

College Football Handicapping: Tennessee's youth keeping offense grounded

10.21.2014     01:40 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Alabama -17 at Tennessee

The youthfulness of Tennessee's offensive line has really started impact the team's production now that conference play has started. Through three SEC games, the Vols have allowed 16 sacks and are averaging less than four yards per play (275 ypg). To make matters worse, quarterback Justin Worley is dealing with a shoulder injury.

"I really didn't know what to expect (this season) because none of us really had that much playing time besides Marcus Jackson, but it's a learning experience," junior center Mack Crowder said after the loss to Ole Miss. "We're getting better every week. It's definitely a challenge that I'm excited to continue to take on."



Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers Alabama Crimson Tide SEC

NBA Handicapping: Oddsmakers drop Oklahoma City Thunder 3.5 wins with Durant out

10.21.2014     01:17 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Prior to Kevin Durant's foot injury, the Oklahoma City Thunder were lined at 57.5 wins according to the Westgate Sportsbook. That line was obviously taken down but with the general consensus that Druant will miss as much as six weeks, oddsmakers have reopened with a new number. Pinnacle dropped the Thunder's win total 3.5 wins to 54 with -120 juice towards the under.

Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder

Sports Betting Podcast 10-21-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Ian Cameron

10.21.2014     10:21 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Rob Veno. Rob discussed early college football Week 9 line moves and Ian broke down every game on the NHL card.

Today's segments 
Full Show

Rob Veno - College Football Week 9 Line Moves

Ian Cameron - NHL Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football NHL Ian Cameron Rob Veno

College Football Handicapping: Early line moves for Week 9

10.21.2014     07:52 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Quick look at some of the early moves in the Week 9 college football betting markets.

Miami (FL) at Virginia Tech 
CRIS Opener: Virginia Tech -3 
CRIS Current: Miami (FL) -3 
Comment: Miami comes in off of a bye week. Last time Hokies were a home dog: vs. Florida State 11/8/2012. FSU won 28-22 but failed to cover as 12.5-point favorites.

Central Michigan at Buffalo 
CRIS Opener: Central Michigan -3 
CRIS Current: Central Michigan -4.5 
Comment: Bulls off a bye week and the firing of head coach Jeff Quinn. OC Alex Wood takes over. Off win at Northern Illinois, CMU coughs it up five times in loss to Ball State.

Kent State at Miami (OH) 
CRIS Opener: Miami (OH) -5.5 
CRIS Current: Miami (OH) -7.5 
Comment: RedHawks' lone win of the season came by one point over UMass. Kent off its first win (39-17 vs. Army). Two of the Golden Flashes' MAC losses came by a field goal.

Temple at UCF 
CRIS Opener: UCF -11 
CRIS Current: UCF -8 
Comment: Temple was +8 in turnover margin before -4 mark in 31-10 loss at Houston. UCF's last three wins came by margins of 5, 7, and 7. Knights scored 10 points in last minute of last year's meeting to win 39-36.

Ole Miss at LSU 
CRIS Opener: Ole Miss -3 
CRIS Current: Ole Miss -4 
Comment: Ole Miss closed +2.5/+3 at Texas A&M and now favored by over a field goal at LSU. Tigers were -9.5 in Oxford last season but lost 27-24.

Arizona at Washington State 
CRIS Opener: Arizona -3.5 
CRIS Current: Arizona -2.5 
Comment: Cougars comes in off of a bye week. Arizona's last five games were all decided by a touchdown or less (4.6 avg.).

West Virginia at Oklahoma State 
CRIS Opener: Oklahoma State -3 
CRIS Current: Oklahoma State -1 
Comment: Cowboys were -19.5 in Morgantown last season but lost 30-21. OSU has yet to rush for more than 4 ypc in six games vs. FBS.

Tags: College Football

NHL Handicapper Free Play: Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets

10.21.2014     07:25 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Carolina at Winnipeg -150 O/U 5.5 
Recommendation: Winnipeg

If there ever was a spot to step in and back the Winnipeg Jets, tonight is the night to do it.  I don't typically like backing teams that has been struggling offensively (8 goals in 5 games), but the Jets have been getting opportunities to score and I view some of their early season struggles as correctable. Tonight's opponent, Carolina, provides a good opportunity to turn things around. The winless Hurricanes could get a few players back off injured reserve tonight, but this is a team that has so many problems, problems that perhaps even a talented Jeff Skinner can't fix. Winnipeg head coach Paul Maurice called out his players for a poor effort against the Flames at home Sunday night, and this is a perfect situation for a team to respond positively on its home ice. "We don’t need an individual to rise above the rest. We need the whole damn group to do their jobs. And regardless of who they are, it’s a very specific job they need to do. And we can’t do the second job until the first guy does his. So looking for a saviour will do us no good." All signs point to a Winnipeg explosion tonight against an inferior Hurricanes team.

Sammy 20* NHL Power Play Report [9-4 69% +4.0 NHL streak] $20 
After a slow start to the season, Sammy P has picked it up with +4 units in the bank over the last week. For Tuesday, he checks in with a top rated 20* best bet. Get it as a part of $20 Tuesday; guaranteed to cash or Wednesday's top play is on the house.

Tags: NHL Carolina Hurricanes Winnipeg Jets Sammy P

NFL Monday Night Football Betting Consensus: Public shows slight lean toward Steelers and OVER

10.20.2014     01:44 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets (side, total, and moneyline) for tonight's Monday Night Football game between the Houston Texans and Pittsburgh Steelers courtesy of Bookmaker. The Steelers opened -4 and remained -3 with juice for much of the week. Today, the line continued to drop with a number of offshore sportsbook offering -2.5 with juice. Las Vegas still hanging on to -3 even money.

56.5% - Pittsburgh -3

57.6% - OVER 44

61.0% - Houston +120

Tags: NFL Houston Texans Pittsburgh Steelers

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC News and Notes

10.20.2014     11:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Atlanta Falcons 
Since blowing out Tampa Bay on national TV in Week 3, the Atlanta Falcons have looked nothing short of awful.  A team that made it to the NFC Championship Game two years ago is now entrenched in a four game skid; picking up right where they left off last year when they went 4-12 and ranked among the most disappointing teams in football.

All four losses during this SU and ATS skid have come by double digit margins.  The Falcons certainly aren’t going to win many defensive struggles – their stop unit has allowed 24+ six times in seven ballgames this year, a mediocre defense on a good day.  But many pundits thought the Falcons would be good enough to trade points with most of their foes.  That simply hasn’t been the case, in large part, due to cluster injuries on the offensive line, with backup center Peter Konz the latest to go down.

Matt Ryan was sacked five times and hit nine times in Atlanta’s loss to Baltimore on Sunday, while throwing for a season low in yards. "When you go out there and get beat soundly, I think everybody knows we've got to play better across the board. We've all played football for long enough to know when you're getting your butt kicked, you've got to do something different and something better. I think across the board -- offense, offensive line, running backs, tight ends, wide receivers -- we've got to do this together. We've got to become better today. Hopefully, we're able to find a way to get that done this week."

WR Roddy White: “It's frustrating because we're going out there and we're digging holes and we're basically putting ourselves in them. We aren't getting out of them. It's hurting our defense. It's hurting our team. Right now, we're just not that good on offense."

The Falcons play in London against the Lions next week, in the midst of a brutal scheduling stretch of four consecutive games away from home.  For a team that is 1-11 SU, 3-9 ATS in their last dozen road tilts (the lone win coming against Buffalo in Toronto last year), the fact that they won’t have another home game until November 23rd cannot be considered a positive sign moving forward.

Chicago Bears 
The Chicago Bears have been remarkably consistent in one aspect of their play this year.  When Jay Cutler avoids turnovers, they win.  When Jay Cutler turns the ball over, they lose.  Through the first seven games of the 2014 campaign, it’s really been just that simple.

In all three of Chicago’s wins this year, Cutler didn’t commit a single turnover.  In all four of their losses, Cutler has committed at least two turnovers, with opposing teams combining to score 37 points off those miscues.  He was credited for three turnovers in their home loss to the Dolphins on Sunday, although one of the three came as the result of RB Ka’Deem Carey dropping a lateral.

WR Brandon Marshall went ballistic after the loss. “We're 3-4. We need to play better. That's unacceptable. That's unacceptable. Unacceptable; shouldn't have lost today, shouldn't be 3-4. [The] offense got to play better. It's as simple as that...Same mistakes, same mistakes, same mistakes. We've got to protect the football. We've got to protect the football. We've got to execute the game plan. We've got to adjust when things don't go as we saw on the film. We've got Alshon Jeffery, Martellus Bennett, Matt Forte. We've got a stud offensive line. We've got a great, great group of guys, and this is unacceptable. What did we put up, 14 points? Was it 14 points? That's unacceptable."

Marshall still has faith in his quarterback as the Bears prepare for a trip to New England next Sunday.  "My confidence is still there. Alshon Jeffery's confidence is still there. Martellus Bennett's confidence is there…Jay's a gunslinger. Jay's our guy. Jay's our leader."

Seattle Seahawks 
The Seahawks just lost two consecutive games for the first time since 2012, falling at St. Louis on Sunday.  There’s plenty of blame to go around.  Special teams miscues set up two of the Rams four touchdowns.  The defense forced only three incomplete passes all afternoon and couldn’t get a stop when they needed it most in the fourth quarter.  But the postgame quotes coming out of the locker room were about the play of the offensive line and the emotional impact of the shocking Percy Harvin trade earlier in the week.

WR Doug Baldwin: "Obviously the shock of the transaction and what took place there made for a bit of an emotional roller coaster. When something that drastic happens, right before we get on the bus [to go to the airport for the trip], there is going to be an emotional impact. I felt we handled it to the best of our ability, but I think it might have been a factor in some way."

"There's obviously a lot of things that went on this week that affected the team in numerous ways. As a competitor, you don't want to admit those things. But as a human, it is human nature. It took us a little while to get on track. I'm just proud we responded the way we did and fought until the very end."

Seattle outgained St. Louis by nearly 200 yards in the defeat, but the offensive line was beaten at the point of attack all afternoon.  Russell Wilson was under duress throughout, the fifth time in six games that he has been pressured on at least 30 percent of his dropbacks.  The line has been flagged for 14 penalties in the past three games, penalties that resulted in four potential touchdowns being called back.

The Seahawks 171 yards rushing against St. Louis is a very misleading stat.  Wilson was forced to scramble out of the pocket repeatedly, resulting in more than 100 yards rushing from the quarterback.  Seattle’s three RB’s combined for less than three yards per carry on 22 attempts.  But Wilson remained confident following the defeat: “I think adversity is opportunity. We have a team full of fighters. You can't look back. I believe in what we'll do moving forward."

Washington Redskins 
Jay Gruden’s squad snapped a four-game losing streak on Sunday, eking out a two point home win against the Titans.  The big news from that contest was the emergence of third string QB Colt McCoy, who led their comeback.

When Kirk Cousins took over for the injured Robert Griffin III there were plenty of pundits and fans alike who were calling him the better of the two quarterbacks and the likely starter moving forward.  Suffice to say that Cousins didn’t live up to the hype.  After committing another two turnovers (11 for the season since replacing RG3), Cousins was booed off the field at halftime; failing to reach the end zone against a mediocre (at best) Titans defense.

Enter McCoy, getting his first meaningful playing time in a win since 2011, when he was starting in Cleveland.  His quote about spending multiple years on the sidelines holding a clipboard: “This league is very unforgiving."

McCoy threw only one incomplete pass in twelve attempts and led Washington to three scores on five drives.  "I like Jay (Gruden) a lot. And when Jay came and told me to be ready to play, I just didn't want to let him down."

The Redskins are 0-2 ATS as favorites since Griffin got hurt, blown out at home against the Giants and barely surviving against the Titans on Sunday.  This might not be a good team to lay points with moving forward either, if we believe this quote from DL Jason Hatcher: “We went through some adversity, changed quarterbacks, and Colt played a hell of a game. I think it's good for us, because I think we forgot how it feels to win. They say it's Tennessee Titans and we're supposed to win, but it's so hard to win."

Follow me on Twitter @teddy_covers

Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons Seattle Seahawks Chicago Bears Washington Redskins Teddy Covers

College Football Betting Alert: Early steam has Miami favored at Virginia Tech

10.20.2014     11:19 AM     Printer Friendly

Weird goings on with Virginia Tech in the betting markets. Last Thursday, the Hokies opened -3 at Pitt. The Panthers were bet up to -2 but VT closed -1. This week, Tech opened -3 for Thursday's game against Miami (the Hurricanes come in off of a bye). We've seen nothing but Miami money with the 'Canes now -3.



Tags: College Football Miami Hurricanes Virginia Tech Hokies ACC

College Football Handicapping: Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 9

10.20.2014     11:05 AM     Printer Friendly

Week 9's breakdown of Golden Nugget's Game of the Year lines vs. CRIS's current numbers. It's a great tool to spot changes in perception from oddsmakers and the betting markets. Off this week's game, eight are nine points or more off of what they were during the summer.

2014 College Football Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 9
Golden Nugget GOY
CRIS Current
Miami (FL)
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech -1
Miami (FL) -3
Oregon -34
Oregon -18
South Florida
Cincinnati -19
Cincinnati -11
Boise State
BYU -3
Boise State -6
South Carolina
Auburn -7
Auburn -17
Oregon State
Stanford -13
Stanford -13
Ole Miss
LSU -7.5
Ole Miss -3.5
Michigan State
Michigan State -7.5
Michigan State -16.5
West Virginia
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State -19
Oklahoma State -2.5
USC -10
Utah pk
North Carolina
North Carolina -14
Virginia -7
Arizona State
Washington -6
Washington N/L
Kansas State
Kansas State -3.5
Kansas State -10
Alabama -20
Alabama -17
Ohio State
Penn State
Ohio State -9
Ohio State -13.5

Tags: College Football

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