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College Football Betting Preview: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Boston College Eagles

08.29.2016     12:22 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Georgia Tech vs. Boston College (Ireland) 
Saturday, 4:30 am PT - ESPN2 
CRIS Opener:
Georgia Tech -3 O/U 47 
CRIS Current: Georgia Tech -3 O/U 44 
Recommendation: Over

ACC opener for each of these teams right off the bat and only thing that could make the stakes higher is if it were a divisional game. The offseason brought change at each of the coordinator posts for Boston College and a renewed sense of urgency and determination for Georgia Tech. It is practically impossible to project and plus or minus for either team due to the international travel situation but the Yellow Jackets have indicated that they view this as the bowl game they did not play in last season. It’s doubtful though after reading player quotes that they’ll get so caught up in the trip that they’ll lose focus.

Boston College does get a huge advantage here by being able to prepare for the Georgia Tech option attack for the last six months. The Eagles did lose defensive coordinator Don Brown (Michigan DC) who last season directed them to national rankings of first in total Defense, second in rush defense, and fourth in scoring defense. The switch to Jim Reid (Iowa LB coach) doesn’t disrupt anything schematically since Reid’s philosophy is very similar to that of Brown’s. There are always some subtle differences between coaching styles and the Eagles are in a familiarity stage but it doesn’t appear there will be a major drop off in defensive production especially with seven starters and 23 lettermen back. On offense, Boston College is going through a significant system change under new OC Scott Loeffler but there’s strong continuity between Loeffler and head coach Steve Addazio. In 2009-10 Loeffler and Addazio were part of the Florida staff and then Addazio took Loeffler with him to Temple to serve as OC for the 2011 season. Toward the end of fall practice, BC was working exclusively out of the shotgun formation as they look to improve their passing game.

There is no such change going on for the Yellow Jackets as the coaching staff and system remains the same. What is different for Tech is its health and attitude. After suffering through an injury plagued and youth filled 2015 campaign, GT returns a batch of key personnel and the team’s fire has been lit by last year’s 3-9 straight up record. Offensively, this team is better at all of the position groups with senior dual threat QB Justin Thomas being the explosive trigger. The young running backs are talented and more experienced after being thrown into the fire last season and the OL is healthy with a Remington Award Watch list candidate Freddie Burden at center. The defense was mediocre last year and losing their best DL Adam Goetsis to the NFL (2nd round, Denver) and three-fourths of their starting secondary breeds some concerns.

While BC figures to be an elite defensive team once again, there’s plenty going on offensively with Addazio’s “multiple spread” attack taking on new terminology, formations and concepts. Also throw in a new QB as Kentucky transfer Patrick Towles takes over and the fact that the TE position figures to now have a prominent role. It’s all new, and there's nothing that Georgia Tech can take off of film from any season during Addazio’s tenure. Georgia Tech is the steadier and more predictable commodity at this point which is why they’re favored -3 and my power ratings agree. The true advantages here lie in the offenses where the Yellow Jackets' option and the Boston College upgrades have potential to be productive. With the total now pushing all the way down to 43.5 in multiple venues, the over is worth a look.

Tags: College Football Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Boston College Eagles ACC Rob Veno



NFL Betting Preview Podcast 8-29-2016: Indianapolis Colts

08.29.2016     10:30 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Covering sports from a Vegas perspective for over 20 years, the Sportsmemo Podcast kicks off its 2016-17 preseason football coverage. Join us throughout the summer as the Sportsmemo Handicappers provide listeners with in-depth analysis on NFL and College Football.

Today's segment featured veteran handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy continued his coverage of the AFC South with a breakdown of the Indianapolis Colts.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO TEDDY'S ANALYSIS

Date: 8/29 
Handicapper: Teddy Covers 
Team: Indianapolis Colts 
2015-16 Record: 8-8 SU, 8-8 ATS, 8-8 O/U 
Season O/U Wins: 9un-140 
Odds to Win AFC: +1110 
Odds to Win AFC South: +135 
Odds to Win Super Bowl 51: +2500 
Week 1 Line: Indianapolis -4.5 vs. Detroit

To listen to past football previews be sure to visit the Sportsmemo Podcast archive.

Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts Teddy Covers



NFL Betting Preview Podcast 8-29-2016: Houston Texans

08.29.2016     10:28 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Covering sports from a Vegas perspective for over 20 years, the Sportsmemo Podcast kicks off its 2016-17 preseason football coverage. Join us throughout the summer as the Sportsmemo Handicappers provide listeners with in-depth analysis on NFL and College Football.

Today's segment featured veteran handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy kicked off his coverage of the AFC South with a breakdown of the Houston Texans.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO TEDDY'S ANALYSIS

Date: 8/29 
Handicapper: Teddy Covers 
Team: Houston Texans 
2015-16 Record: 9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS, 8-7-1 O/U 
Season O/U Wins: 8.5un-115 
Odds to Win AFC: +1825 
Odds to Win AFC South: +220 
Odds to Win Super Bowl 51: +4000 
Week 1 Line: Houston -4.5 vs. Chicago

To listen to past football previews be sure to visit the Sportsmemo Podcast archive.

Tags: NFL Houston Texans Teddy Covers



Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Reevaluating NFL teams during the preseason

08.29.2016     09:13 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
If you read my NFL previews over the summer months (eight different Wiseguy Reports, one for each division), you know that I had some pretty strong opinions about a good handful of teams prior to the start of training camp and preseason.  In fact, 15 of the 32 NFL teams were on my initial short list for potential season win total bets, just shy of half the league.  These were all teams that, on paper, looked better or worse than initial oddsmaker projections.

After watching three weeks of NFL Preseason action, most of my initial opinions have been reinforced, and the betting markets have agreed with the vast majority of the win total wagers that I’ve made and those I’ve advised my clients to make.  That being said, I’ve changed my opinion on a handful of those 15 teams, in several cases rather strongly.  In this week’s wiseguy report, I’m going to flesh out what I’ve seen in the Washington Redskins, Miami Dolphins, Chicago Bears and Baltimore Ravens that have me thinking very differently about those squads today compared to my opinion of them a month ago.

For the Redskins, the change in thought process is easy to understand – their competition in the NFC East sure doesn’t look at tough as it did!  Dallas just lost Tony Romo (and don’t think for a minute that Dak Prescott is going to put up preseason-like numbers once he’s facing first string defenses when those D’s are actually blitzing and stunting).  No team in the NFL has looked worse on offense in August than the Giants, with clear deficiencies on the offensive line and the receiving corps.  And despite going 3-0 SU and ATS here in August, the Eagles are going through a major transition in styles with injuries riddling their lineup already. 

Just by default, the Redskins look better, and when we factor in the changes in the season win total marketplace, their strength of schedule has declined rather dramatically. And from a ‘watch and learn’ perspective here in August, I’ve been extremely impressed with the Redskins skill position talent level – Kirk Cousins has weapons all around him.  I was leaning under 7.5 wins last month; now I could only bet them over.

The Miami Dolphins were a dead nuts under team in my initial NFL analysis.  An underachieving QB with ‘dump him at midseason and start looking at other guys’ potential, a very young, very inexperienced coaching staff and a top heavy roster that seemed to lack quality depth were my top three primary concerns. 

But I’ve been impressed with just about everything I’ve read about first year, first time head coach Adam Gase and his coordinators Clyde Christensen and Vance Joseph.  The Dolphins offensive line has ‘elite’ potential, which will make Ryan Tannehill’s life much easier while opening up holes for Jay Ajayi and Arian Foster.  And with Cameron Wake finally healthy, joining Ndamukong Suh and Mario Williams on the defensive line, Miami’s potential strength in the trenches cannot be ignored.  I was thinking under 7 wins in July.  Now I could only bet them over.

For the Bears, my change of opinion has been all about the injury woes.  This was a team primed to make a big jump in John Fox’s second year on the job.  Remember, Fox took Carolina to the Super Bowl in his second year as the head coach of the Panthers.  He did the same thing in his second year with the Broncos.  For Chicago, an 8-8 record in his second year would (and will) cash Over bets.  And with the NFC North facing a particularly weak slate of foes (NFC East and AFC South foes, plus Chicago’s two "extra" games come against San Fran and Tampa), the Bears looked pretty good on paper heading into August, especially after a modest spending spree on defense in free agency.

But make no mistake about it – no team in the NFC has more injury concerns coming into September than John Fox’s squad does.  On a 90-man roster, 24 of them missed at least one practice last week – not counting the guys who were limited participants due to a nasty stomach virus that was floating around their facilities.  They’ve suffered a series of injuries on the offensive line, and Jay Cutler is one QB I’m not in any rush to be betting on when his protection is subpar.  This team has had a bad month, and I could only bet them under 7 wins at this stage of the preseason.

Baltimore set a team record last year, putting 20 players on injured reserve.  The result was a 5-11 disaster, ending a streak of six playoff seasons in the past seven years, including a Super Bowl title for Joe Flacco and company.  When the Ravens came into 2016 lined at 8.5 wins, my initial reaction was to take a good, hard look at that Under – they’d need a four win improvement to beat me.  With a significant roster overhaul in the offseason, at first glance, the Ravens looked more like a rebuilding squad than a reloading one.

But from an organizational standpoint, there aren’t many superior organizations to what Baltimore has put in place throughout the GM Ozzie Newsome era.  And what’s been readily apparent here in August is that the Ravens are loaded with quality depth.  Look no further than how badly Baltimore’s second stringers outplayed Detroit’s first stringers in Week 3 of the preseason.  Indy and Chicago both had similar injury woes, and both of those teams got annihilated on their own home fields in Week 3.

But the Ravens – short-handed on both sides of the line of scrimmage – showed off their improved depth and rolled the Lions.  Good organizations make good personnel decisions and the Ravens woes from last year appear to be behind them.  I’m not going to flip and suddenly look to bet Baltimore over 8.5 wins, but I have no interest in asking this team to finish at or below .500 this year in order to cash an under wager.

Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins Washington Redskins Baltimore Ravens Teddy Covers



College Football Betting: UNLV names transfer Stanton starting quarterback

08.29.2016     09:06 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UNLV named former Nebraska/JC transfer Johnny Stanton its Week 1 starting quarterback against FCS Jackson State. Head coach said that backup Kurt Palandech will also see time. Stanton is billed as a drop back passer whereas Palandech, who played in 11 games last season (49%, 9 TDs, 5 INTs), has more ability with his feet (293 yards rushing).


“It’s one of those deals that if you need to let it play itself out and wait, then you wait,” he said after the Aug. 19 scrimmage. “You don’t rush the decision, because the decision’s going to have a major impact on the season.

“I’ll be honest with you … both guys are going to play in Game 1. I think one guy’s going to be named the starter, and he’ll start to get the majority of the reps. But you’re going to see whoever the No. 2 is at some point in the first half.”



Tags: College Football UNLV Rebels Mountain West



NFL Handicapping: Dallas confident in Prescott, reopen a pick 'em vs. Giants Week 1

08.29.2016     08:55 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With Tony Romo on the shelf, rookie Dak Prescott finds himself Dallas' Week 1 starter. Prescott put together an impressive preseason (39-of-50, 78%, 5 TDs, 0 INT) and reportedly has earned the confidence of his teammates. Dallas is expected to pick up another signal caller with Jameill Showers the only other healthy quarterback on the current roster. No word on whether or not Prescott will play in Thursday's preseason finale vs. Houston. Romo's injury prompted most sportsbooks to take down all of Dallas' future odds. The Cowboys were -3 home favorites for Week 1's game vs. the New York Giants. A few sportsbooks reopened with a pick 'em.

Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys New York Giants



NFL Gambling Alert: Broncos name Siemian Week 1 starter

08.29.2016     08:44 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Two first rounders --  one of which with 72 career starts under his belt -- were passed over by a seventh rounder who has never attempted a regular season pass. Denver announced that Trevor Siemian will start Week 1's home opener against Carolina. Siemian reportedly showed "growing confidence and presence in the huddle" during last week's preseason victory over Los Angeles. Mark Sanchez didn't see the field and is expected to be cut. Denver plans on picking up a cheaper QB on the waiver wire. Note that whoever takes the snaps for this squad will be behind a completely rebuilt and thus far suspect offensive line.


“We have a lot of work to do,” Broncos left tackle Russell Okung said. “We definitely have the talent up front. Guys have amazing skill sets. There’s time to bring it together.”



Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Carolina Panthers



Sports Betting Podcast 8-26-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Rob Veno

08.26.2016     10:57 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Rob Veno. Teddy previewed the Washington Redskins and Rob broke down Saturday and Sunday's NFL Preseason games.

Today's segments 
Teddy Covers - NFL Preview Washington Redskins

Rob Veno - NFL Preseason (Saturday & Sunday)

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Washington Redskins Teddy Covers Rob Veno



NFL Betting Preview Podcast 8-26-2016: Washington Redskins

08.26.2016     10:54 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Covering sports from a Vegas perspective for over 20 years, the Sportsmemo Podcast kicks off its 2016-17 preseason football coverage. Join us throughout the summer as the Sportsmemo Handicappers provide listeners with in-depth analysis on NFL and College Football.

Today's segment featured veteran handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy wrapped up his coverage of the NFC East with a breakdown of the Washington Redskins.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO TEDDY'S ANALYSIS

Date: 8/26 
Handicapper: Teddy Covers 
Team: Washington Redskins 
2015-16 Record: 9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS, 9-7 O/U 
Season O/U Wins: 7ov-132 
Odds to Win NFC: +2500 
Odds to Win NFC East: +355 
Odds to Win Super Bowl 51: +4300 
Week 1 Line: Washington +3 vs. Pittsburgh

To listen to past football previews be sure to visit the Sportsmemo Podcast archive.

Tags: NFL Washington Redskins Teddy Covers



NFL Preseason Handicapping: Broncos starters get extended look vs. Rams, Siemian to start

08.25.2016     10:15 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Denver head coach Gary Kubiak wants his starters to play into the second half of Saturday's preseason game against Los Angeles. Quarterback Trevor Siemian was named the starter with Mark Sanchez and Paxton Lynch expected to split the remainder of the game. The Broncos have taken early money with the line up from -4 to -5.

Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Los Angeles Rams



NFL Preseason Betting: Pittsburgh's Big Ben, Brown, and Bell to play vs. Saints

08.25.2016     10:20 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh's Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell are all expected to play in Friday's preseason game at New Orleans. Head coach Mike Tomlin did not specify how much action they would get. The Saints were bet heavily early today as the line jumped from -1.5 to as high as -3.


“I feel like I could go into the regular season and do it, but I’d like to be to there because it’s a different speed,” Roethlisberger said. “You want to get out. I wouldn’t even mind getting hit once maybe after the ball’s gone, just a little tap from someone.”



Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers New Orleans Saints



NFL Preseason Gambling: Minnesota continues to cash tickets under Zimmer

08.25.2016     10:09 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota head coach Mike Zimmer downplayed the importance of Sunday's preseason game vs. San Diego saying Week 1 of the regular season remains the team's top priority. That said, no one can deny Minny's ability to cash tickets in these "meaningless" games. Since becoming head coach, the Vikings are 10-1 SU, 9-2 ATS, and 3-7-1 O/U under Zimmer in the preseason. The Vikings are currently -4.5 home favorites over the Chargers.


"I still want to know what our guys know without having to try to scheme somebody else," Zimmer said. "We're just going to go play and do what we do. I know everybody says, 'Dress rehearsal,' but I don't know if it's like that any more. At least, it hasn't been like that for me for a long time."

"Obviously, we want to look good," Zimmer said. "If we're not ready, then I'm not going to (automatically rest players). It just depends. I know everybody judges off just the games, but we have to judge off practice every day, watching tape, seeing what guys do and things like that."



Tags: NFL Minnesota Vikings San Diego Chargers



NFL Preseason Betting: Carolina starters to play into third quarter vs. New England

08.25.2016     10:00 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Carolina Panthers' starters are expected to play into the third quarter of Friday's game against New England. This will mark the third straight season the two squads have met in Week 3 of the preseason. Last year, New England won 17-16 at a +1.5 underdog. In 2014, the Patriots cruised to a 30-7 victory as -6 chalk. The Panthers are currently -3.5 home favorite for Friday's tilt.


“This is, to a degree, the dress rehearsal, but we’re going out and do what we do,” Rivera said. “We’ve looked at what they’ve done in the preseason and that’s what we’re game-planning against.”



Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers New England Patriots



MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox

08.25.2016     09:55 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seattle (Paxton) -140 at Chicago (Ranaudo) O/U 9.5 
Recommendation: Seattle


The Chicago White Sox host the Seattle Mariners tonight for the opener of a four-game series. A couple key metrics point to the M’s snapping their two-game skid vs. a struggling pitcher for the White Sox. Anthony Ranaudo will be making his third start since being acquired from Texas and first since escaping with a no decision at Cleveland on Aug. 17 -- five runs and eight hits allowed in four innings. The 26-year-old native of New Jersey has yielded eight runs and 10 hits, including four homers, over 10.2 innings in his two outings with Chicago. He will be opposing James Paxton, the hard throwing Canadian lefty who is making his first start coming off the disabled list. He had a promising start with three strikeouts in three innings for Triple-A Tacoma on Saturday. Reports stated that Paxton's command and velocity were good. Paxton is someone with a ton of upside but over the course of a full season, will lose his mechanics and thus struggle. But when he's on, the stuff is as good as any lefty starter in the game. Prior to a quick stint on the DL, Paxton put together four starts in which he allowed only five earned runs and flashed an impressive 27-3 K-to-BB ratio. Note that the Mariners will also have an edge in the late innings as the White Sox bullpen grades out as one of the worst in the American League. Plenty of edges here to warrant the road chalk.

Tags: MLB Seattle Mariners Chicago White Sox Drew Martin



Sports Betting Podcast 8-25-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Brent Crow and Ian Cameron

08.25.2016     09:29 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Brent Crow and Ian Cameron. Brent and host Andrew Lange talked about Thursday and Friday's NFL Preseason games while Ian discussed CFL Week 10.

Today's segments 
Full Show - NFLX (Fri-Sat) and CFL Week 10

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL CFL Brent Crow Ian Cameron



College Football Betting Preview Podcast 8-24-2016: Penn State Nittany Lions

08.24.2016     09:52 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Covering sports from a Vegas perspective for over 20 years, the Sportsmemo Podcast kicks off its 2016-17 preseason football coverage. Join us throughout the summer as the Sportsmemo Handicappers provide listeners with in-depth analysis on NFL and College Football.

Today's segment featured veteran handicapper Rob Veno. Rob kicked continued his coverage of the Big Ten with a breakdown of the Penn State Nittany Lions.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO ROB'S ANALYSIS

Date: 8/24 
Handicapper: Rob Veno 
Team: Penn State Nittany Lions 
2015 Record: 7-6 SU, 7-6 ATS, 8-5 O/U 
Season O/U Wins: 7un-115 
Odds to Win Title: +37000 
Odds to Win Big Ten: +4000 
Odds to Win Big Ten East: +1200 
Week 1 Line: Penn State -20 vs. Kent State

To listen to past football previews be sure to visit the Sportsmemo Podcast archive.

Tags: College Football Penn State Nittany Lions Big Ten Rob Veno



NFL Betting Preview Podcast 8-24-2016: Philadelphia Eagles

08.24.2016     09:51 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Covering sports from a Vegas perspective for over 20 years, the Sportsmemo Podcast kicks off its 2016-17 preseason football coverage. Join us throughout the summer as the Sportsmemo Handicappers provide listeners with in-depth analysis on NFL and College Football.

Today's segment featured veteran handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy continued his coverage of the NFC East with a breakdown of the Philadelphia Eagles.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO TEDDY'S ANALYSIS

Date: 8/24 
Handicapper: Teddy Covers 
Team: Philadelphia Eagles 
2015-16 Record: 7-9 SU, 7-9 ATS, 8-8 O/U 
Season O/U Wins: 6.5ov-125 
Odds to Win NFC: +3000 
Odds to Win NFC East: +475 
Odds to Win Super Bowl 51: +6300 
Week 1 Line: Philadelphia -6 vs. Cleveland

To listen to past football previews be sure to visit the Sportsmemo Podcast archive.

Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Teddy Covers



MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Kansas City Royals at Miami Marlins

08.24.2016     09:10 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas City (Gee) +200 at Miami (Fernandez) O/U 7 
Recommendation: Kansas City


I understand how well Jose Fernandez has pitched at home in his career, compiling a ridiculous 26-2 mark with a 1.62 ERA at Marlins Park.  His numbers have been steady and consistent throughout the 2016 campaign as well: 9-2 with a 2.07 ERA in Miami.  The betting attention that Fernandez has attracted during this long term run of excellence has resulted in prices like the one we’re seeing here, with Miami priced higher than 2:1 to win tonight’s game.

There’s one big problem with those long term, aggregate numbers – they don’t factor in current form.  Let’s not forget that Fernandez made only 11 starts last year and eight starts in 2014, dealing with the aftermath of Tommy John surgery.  He’s already thrown 141.2 innings this year, far more than in either of the last two seasons.  And Fernandez sure looks like he’s wearing down right now.  Miami is 0-4 in his last four starts (all as favorites, including a home loss at -240), and Fernandez has an ERA of 6.00 during that span.  That’s not what I’m looking for out of my -230 favorites!

Royals starter Dillon Gee attracts ZERO betting market attention, a league average pitcher personified.  But Gee is coming off his best start of the season, needing only 84 pitches to throw seven innings of one run, five hit ball against the Twins.  And there’s a lot more to this game than just a starting pitching matchup that may not be in the Marlins favor as much as the markets seem to think it is.

The Royals are the hottest team in baseball, winners of nine straight and 13 of their last 14.  KC is only four games out of the Wild Card spot, surging right now.   Marlins injured sluggers  Giancarlo Stanton and Justin Bour (a duo with 40 home runs this season; the rest of the team has 66) were just joined by infielder Derek Dietrich on the DL. There’s a chance that their last remaining slugger Marcel Ozuna could miss tonight as well, after getting pulled from the game last night due to an undisclosed family emergency.

KC still has a truly elite bullpen, ranked #1 in all of MLB in ERA again this year after slamming the door shut again last night in the 1-0 thriller.  And, of course, KC has been playing tough games in hostile environments on their way to the World Series over the past two Octobers.  Miami hasn’t finished above .500 since 2009 and their last playoff game came back in 2003; not exactly a ‘battle tested’ team in these type of playoff atmosphere games.  That’s an awful lot of fodder for a play on KC tonight as big underdogs

Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Miami Marlins Teddy Covers



MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals

08.24.2016     07:27 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York (deGrom) at St. Louis (Martinez) O/U -120 O/U 7.5 
Recommendation: Under


Looking to play tonight's New York-St. Louis game under the total with two above average starters and a key number of 7.5. St. Louis's Carlos Martinez has a ton of talent but has a tendency to lose it mentally on the mound. When he's not battling himself upstairs, the results are there. After losing five straight starts in late May, Martinez has been one of the best starters in the National League with a 2.66 ERA over his last 14 starts. In his last outing he took yet another step forward by focusing less on velocity and more of command and movement. It paid off in spades as he allowed only one run over seven innings at Houston. New York's Jacob deGrom's velocity recently returned to 2015's levels. Prior to his last start, deGrom had allowed only two earned runs over 27.2 innings. Last Thursday, the Giants pounded him for 13 hits and eight earned runs. deGrom chalked up the outing and nothing more than missing a few spots in key situations. In 15 of his 22 starts, he's allowed two earned runs or less. He should be able to navigate a banged up Cardinals lineup that is still without Matt Holliday and Michael Adams. Overall, the matchup appears ripe for a lower scoring game.

Tags: MLB New York Mets St. Louis Cardinals Andrew Lange



College Football Betting: Virginia Tech adjusts to life at warp speed

08.24.2016     07:07 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Virginia Tech is one of a handful of teams that feature a first-year head coach implementing a completely different offensive system. Justin Fuente's plan is for the Hokies to play up-tempo. At no point during former head coach Frank Beamer's tenure did the offense stray from being “conventional.” Some of VT's players hinted that the change is significant and something that will likely take time to adjust to.


“Last year I was playing maybe 70-80 plays a game,” Phillips said, “and in this system, with the things we like to do now, that’s very, very difficult. You could call it unhealthy if you want.”

“I like the faster pace a lot,” Hodges said. “It creates a lot of mismatches. … The tempo is very different from previous years. The play-calling, the play design, are things I haven’t seen.”



Tags: College Football Virginia Tech Hokies ACC



NFL Preseason Gambling: Belichick reiterates Week 3 just another preseason game

08.24.2016     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England Patriots head coach Bill Belichick shot down the idea that Week 3's "dress rehearsal" resembles anything close to the regular season. Historically, the Patriots are 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS over the last eight seasons in Week 3. Two of those wins and covers came the last two years against the Carolina Panthers -- the same opponent New England plays Friday. The Panthers are currently -3.5 home favorites.

2015: SU and ATS win vs. Carolina 
2014: SU and ATS win vs. Carolina 
2013: SU and ATS loss vs. Detroit 
2012: SU and ATS loss vs. Tampa Bay 
2011: SU and ATS loss vs. Detroit 
2010: SU and ATS loss vs. St. Louis 
2009: SU win, ATS loss vs. Washington 
2008: SU and ATS loss vs. Philadelphia


"I don't. I don't know what that means," Belichick said. "In terms of playing time it might be a little different, but in terms of game-planning and strategy, what we see in the regular season compared to what we see the in third preseason game I don't even think you're in the same universe. We're still running our basic plays and we'd expect our opponents would run their basic plays. You get to the opener and start to get to game-planning and scheme, I mean you're in a totally different ballpark, in my opinion. I don't see any comparison at all. It's too far away, I don't see how you could compare them, from that standpoint.

"One-on-one matchups, letting the players play, yeah, I would say you have a better matchup of guys like that, but it's nothing compared to what we're going to see in the regular season from a total scheme situation standpoint."



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Carolina Panthers



NFL Preseason Handicapping: Colts to play starters into the third quarter

08.24.2016     06:47 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Update on Indianapolis' game plan for Saturday's preseason home game against Philadelphia. The team's starters are expected to play into the third quarter. The Colts are currently -3 favorites.


“We’d like to get a good half of football in and try to come out and go through a halftime procedure and make the appropriate adjustments on both sides of the ball and on special teams and open up the third quarter,” Pagano said. “That’s what you put down on paper for this preseason game and then you see how that first half goes and if we reach a number play count wise that we feel good about, that may or may not happen based on what happens in the first half. You’d like to really get them to blow out their lungs, so to speak, and play a significant amount of time.”



Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts Philadelphia Eagles



College Football Betting Preview Podcast 8-23-2016: Oregon Ducks

08.23.2016     11:15 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Covering sports from a Vegas perspective for over 20 years, the Sportsmemo Podcast kicks off its 2016-17 preseason football coverage. Join us throughout the summer as the Sportsmemo Handicappers provide listeners with in-depth analysis on NFL and College Football.

Today's segment featured handicapper Drew Martin. Drew and host Andrew Lange continued PAC-12 coverage with a breakdown of the Oregon Ducks.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO DREW'S ANALYSIS

Date: 8/23 
Handicapper: Drew Martin 
Team: Oregon Ducks 
2015 Record: 9-4 SU, 7-6 ATS, 9-4 O/U 
Season O/U Wins: 8ov-140 
Odds to Win Title: +5000 
Odds to Win PAC-12: +570 
Odds to Win PAC-12 North: +290 
Week 1 Line: Oregon NL vs. UC Davis

To listen to past football previews be sure to visit the Sportsmemo Podcast archive.

Tags: College Football Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Drew Martin



NFL Betting Preview Podcast 8-23-2016: New York Giants

08.23.2016     11:18 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Covering sports from a Vegas perspective for over 20 years, the Sportsmemo Podcast kicks off its 2016-17 preseason football coverage. Join us throughout the summer as the Sportsmemo Handicappers provide listeners with in-depth analysis on NFL and College Football.

Today's segment featured veteran handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy continued his coverage of the NFC East with a breakdown of the New York Giants.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO TEDDY'S ANALYSIS

Date: 8/24 
Handicapper: Teddy Covers 
Team: New York Giants 
2015-16 Record: 6-10 SU, 8-7-1 ATS, 11-5 O/U 
Season O/U Wins: 8ov-130 
Odds to Win NFC: +1500 
Odds to Win NFC East: +210 
Odds to Win Super Bowl 51: +3350 
Week 1 Line: NY Giants +3.5 at Dallas

To listen to past football previews be sure to visit the Sportsmemo Podcast archive.

Tags: NFL New York Giants Teddy Covers



NFL Betting News: New Orleans hopes new DC will spark improvement

08.23.2016     08:37 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It's been a revolving door of defensive coordinators in New Orleans and this year is no different as Dennis Allen steps in for Rob Ryan. It was widely accepted that head coach Sean Payton didn't get along with Ryan whose unit allowed a league-worst 29.8 ppg last season. The media claims that Payton and Allen have been buddy-buddy and are on the same page heading into the season. The Saints' defense will be tested early on with five of their first seven games against offenses than ranked in the top 11 in the NFL in yard per game last season.

Tags: NFL New Orleans Saints






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Drew Martin checks in with his week 1 college football card off of a solid 2015 campaign. He kicks off with a home dog that is undervalued in the betting markets. Plus, their away foe has a tough travel assignment and some serious hype to live up too in 2016. This is a great opportunity to jump on board in early September college football- guaranteed to cash or Drew's next selection is on the house.

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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 30, 2016 02:14 AM.