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NFL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs

12.10.2017     07:07 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Oakland at Kansas City
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener: Kansas City -4.5 O/U 47.5
CRIS Current: Kansas City -4 O/U 48
Recommendation: Over

The first meeting between these two teams was a legitimate shootout, a 31-30 Raiders victory that flew Over the total by two touchdowns. Even before the late penalty shenanigans that allowed Oakland to steal the game with an untimed down on their final play, the Over was never in doubt. The two teams combined to gain a full 7.0 yards per play, and the two defenses generated a grand total of one sack and zero turnovers in 133 total snaps.

We can expect both defenses to struggle getting stops in the rematch as well. Based on Football Outsiders advanced metrics, the Raiders defense ranks #32 in the NFL; the Chiefs #30, with both teams well below league average against the run and the pass.

KC’s defense is a sieve right now, coming off a truly dismal showing against the Jets last week – zero sacks, zero turnovers forced in 85 snaps. They allowed 38 points, 30 first downs and total 488 yards, all season highs. In fact, Bob Sutton’s stop unit has only forced one turnover in their last four games combined, not exactly a defense loaded with playmakers right now. This week, KC won’t have pro bowl cornerback Marcus Peters (suspended), offsetting the probable absence of Raiders WR Amari Cooper (ankle). Even with Darrelle Revis in the mix, this is NOT a good pass defense right now, bad news against Derek Carr and company.

And even without Amari Cooper, the Raiders offense will get a boost with the return of Michael Crabtree from his one game suspension. Offensive coordinator Todd Downing: “It's great having him back out at practice. He brings an energy and brings a personality that kind of gets guys going a little bit and makes it fun to be out there. It's certainly awesome to have his talent back.”

The Raiders defense is every bit as bad, a squad with a grand total of ONE interception all season, and even that was lucky – Navarro Bowman made the pick while laying on the ground in the end zone; the ball tipped right to him. And that pick came against Paxton Lynch, so they have zero INTs against anything resembling a decent quarterback this season, remarkable for a Week 14 matchup. Both teams rank in the bottom quartile of the NFL in sack percentage, which means that both Derek Carr and Alex Smith should have some clean pockets to throw from. On a beautiful sunny December afternoon at Arrowhead, we should expect a shootout.

Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Kansas City Chiefs Teddy Covers

NFL Week 14 Betting Podcast 12-8-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Erin Rynning and Teddy Covers

12.08.2017     01:48 PM     Printer Friendly


Here is Sportsmemo's NFL Every Game on the Board Podcast for Week 14. Handicappers Erin Rynning and Teddy Covers joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show - NFL Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

NFL Betting News: McAdoo out, Manning back, Giants taking money

12.08.2017     09:11 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
This has gotta be worth a few points, no? The New York Giants fired head coach Ben McAdoo -- that's a good thing. They also reinstated Eli Manning as the starting quarterback -- probably a good thing considering Geno Smith is the back up. And one could argue it's the G-Men's "Super Bowl" on Sunday with a home game against rival Dallas. The market says it's worth 2.5 points with the Cowboys bet down from -6 to -3.5 road chalk.

  “It’s important to play,” Manning said during his weekly meeting with reporters. “That’s what I love to do. I love to play quarterback. I love playing quarterback for the New York Giants. That’s what I work on. Last week something different was asked of me. I tried to do to the best of my abilities helping Geno and being the backup. But if I knew, I’d want the opportunity to be the starting quarterback again.”


Tags: NFL New York Giants Dallas Cowboys

NFL Gambling: Detroit's Stafford and Buffalo's Taylor remain questionable for Sunday

12.08.2017     09:00 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
As of Friday morning, there are two NFL games with no lines or totals. Detroit's game at Tampa Bay is off the board because Matthew Stafford (right hand) is questionable. Stafford hasn't missed a game since 2011. And Buffalo's Tyrod Taylor (knee) is questionable for the Bills' matchup vs. Indianapolis. Assuming both play, power ratings show Detroit-Tampa Bay to be around a pick 'em while Buffalo should come around -7.

Tags: NFL Detroit Lions Buffalo Bills

College Basketball Handicapping: Rob Veno Power Ratings for 12-9-2017

12.08.2017     08:51 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Below are vetern Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno's power ratings for Saturday's entire college basketball card.

Rot# Date Team RVS

721 12/9 Duke -16.5
722 12/9 Boston College

723 12/9 Notre Dame -15.5
724 12/9 Delaware

725 12/9 Youngstown State
726 12/9 Butler -27.0

727 12/9 Monmouth
728 12/9 Kentucky -17.0

729 12/9 Nebraska
730 12/9 Creighton -12.0

731 12/9 Providence -4.5
732 12/9 Massachusetts

733 12/9 U.C.L.A.
734 12/9 Michigan -3.0

735 12/9 William & Mary
736 12/9 Ohio State -14.5

737 12/9 James Madison
738 12/9 Richmond -7.5

739 12/9 Marquette
740 12/9 Wisconsin -7.5

741 12/9 Valparaiso
742 12/9 Ball State -3.5

743 12/9 Wisconsin-Green Bay
744 12/9 Missouri -20.5

745 12/9 Yale
746 12/9 St. Bonaventure -10.5

747 12/9 Appalachian State
748 12/9 Akron -2.5

749 12/9 Western Michigan -3.0
750 12/9 Detroit

751 12/9 Indiana
752 12/9 Louisville -10.0

753 12/9 St. Joseph's
754 12/9 Temple -14.5

755 12/9 Alabama-Birmingham
756 12/9 Auburn -11.0

757 12/9 Pennsylvania
758 12/9 Dayton -6.5

759 12/9 DePaul -5.5
760 12/9 Illinois-Chicago

761 12/9 Mississippi
762 12/9 Middle Tennessee State -7.0

763 12/9 Wichita State -8.5
764 12/9 Oklahoma State

765 12/9 George Washington
766 12/9 Penn State -12.5

767 12/9 Kent State
768 12/9 Wright State -3.5

769 12/9 California
770 12/9 San Diego State -15.5

771 12/9 Pacific
772 12/9 Wyoming -6.5

773 12/9 Bowling Green
774 12/9 Old Dominion -16.0

775 12/9 Coastal Carolina
776 12/9 South Carolina -14.0

777 12/9 Colorado
778 12/9 Xavier -17.5

779 12/9 Marshall
780 12/9 Toledo -6.5

781 12/9 Houston -7.5
782 12/9 St. Louis

783 12/9 Tulsa
784 12/9 Kansas State -12.5

785 12/9 West Virginia -17.0
786 12/9 Pittsburgh

787 12/9 Minnesota -0.5
788 12/9 Arkansas

789 12/9 Utah State
790 12/9 Utah -11.0

791 12/9 Washington State
792 12/9 Texas-El Paso -1.0

793 12/9 Loyola-Marymount -5.5
794 12/9 Cal State-Northridge

795 12/9 San Jose State
796 12/9 Portland -2.0

797 12/9 Alabama
798 12/9 Arizona -9.5

799 12/9 Fresno State -9.0
800 12/9 Cal Poly-SLO

801 12/9 Long Beach State
802 12/9 Pepperdine -2.0

803 12/9 Illinois
804 12/9 U.N.L.V. -9.0

805 12/9 V.C.U.
806 12/9 Seton Hall -14.5

807 12/9 Cincinnati -1.5
808 12/9 Florida

809 12/9 Tennessee Tech
810 12/9 Central Michigan -6.5

811 12/9 IPFW -0.5
812 12/9 Miami (Ohio)

813 12/9 Murray State
814 12/9 Illinois State -3.5

815 12/9 Canisius
816 12/9 Evansville -5.5

817 12/9 Montana
818 12/9 Georgia State -7.0

819 12/9 Sacramento State
820 12/9 Boise State -23.5

821 12/9 Cal-Santa Barbara
822 12/9 Montana State -2.5

823 12/9 Weber State
824 12/9 B.Y.U. -16.5

825 12/9 Nebraska-Omaha
826 12/9 Drake -6.0

827 12/9 Southern Utah
828 12/9 Michigan State -34.0

829 12/9 Hofstra
830 12/9 Rider -1.5

831 12/9 Samford
832 12/9 Clemson -20.0

833 12/9 North Dakota State -0.5
834 12/9 North Dakota

835 12/9 Wisconsin-Milwaukee -1.0
836 12/9 Western Illinois

837 12/9 Southeast Missouri State
838 12/9 Southern Illinois -9.0

839 12/9 Northern Arizona
840 12/9 San Diego -16.0

841 12/9 Portland State -2.5
842 12/9 Santa Clara

843 12/9 Coppin State
844 12/9 Connecticut -23.5

845 12/9 Lipscomb
846 12/9 Tennessee -15.0

847 12/9 North Carolina A&T
848 12/9 Georgetown -20.0

849 12/9 New Mexico State -1.0
850 12/9 New Mexico

851 12/9 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
852 12/9 Oregon State -19.0

Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno

College Football Gambling: Bettors should be aware of coaching changes for bowl teams

12.07.2017     11:54 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
There's obviously been a lot of coaching movement since the end of the regular season. Below we've got the details on who is expected to coach those teams playing in the postseason.

UCF - Scott Frost is headed to Nebraska but reports say he and his staff will stick around for the Peach Bowl (Jan. 1).

Missouri - Offensive coordinator Josh Heupel was hired to replace Frost. He won't have anything to do with UCF's bowl preparation and there is still no word on whether or not he'll call plays for Missouri's Texas Bowl (Dec. 27) matchup vs. Texas.

Oregon - Offensive coordinator Mario Cristobal will serve as interim head coach following the departure of Willie Taggart. The Ducks play Boise State in the Las Vegas Bowl (Dec. 16).

UCLA - With Jim Mora fire, offensive coordinator Jedd Fisch will serve as interim head coach. The Bruins face Kansas State in the Cactus Bowl (Dec. 26).

Mississippi State - After Dan Mullen bolted for Florida, the Bulldogs snagged Penn State offensive coordinator Joe Moorhead. Moorehead won't be involved however in MSU's prep for the Tayslayer Bowl (Dec. 30 vs. Louisville). Running backs coach Greg Knox was named interim head coach.

Texas A&M - Special teams coordinator Jeff Banks will take over for Kevin Sumlin. The Aggies play Wake Forest in the Belk Bowl (Dec. 29).

Arizona State - Newly hired head coach Herm Edwards (LOL!) announced that he is keeping the entire offensive staff. The Sun Devils play NC State in the Sun Bowl (Dec. 29).

Florida State - D-line coach Odell Haggins coached the Seminoles in the regular season finale and will do so for their Independence Bowl (Dec. 27) matchup vs. Southern Miss.

Penn State - Newly promoted offensive coordinator Ricky Rahne will call plays for the Nittany Lions in the Fiesta Bowl (Dec. 30 vs. Washington).

SMU - Chad Morris is headed to Arkansas leaving running backs coach Jeff Taylor in charge of the team's Frisco Bowl (Dec. 20) matchup vs. Louisiana Tech

Tags: College Football UCF Knights Mississippi State Bulldogs Oregon Ducks UCLA Bruins Texas A&M Aggies

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Loyola-Chicago Ramblers at Florida Gators

12.06.2017     12:22 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Loyola-Chicago at Florida -16.5 O/U 151
Recommendation: Under

After running up and down the floor and hanging 100+ three out of its four games, Florida finds itself losers of two straight. The main culprit was defense as Duke and Florida State netted 1.13 and 1.12 points per possession, respectively. And despite winning, Florida's two opponents prior to that, Stanford and Gonzaga, also posted 1.1 ppp or more. Not having John Egbunu patrolling the paint hurts, but he missed time last year and the Gators still finished fifth in the country in defensive efficiency. The bottom line is Florida fell in love with trying to outscore foes and head coach Mike White was quick to call them on it.

“You guys have heard me use the word soft with this team,” White said late Monday night. “And we use the word with our team every day and it reared its ugly head tonight. Tonight was the epitome of soft.”

Ironically, nearly the exact same thing occurred last season when the Gators dropped two straight to both Duke and Florida State. The key however was they were able to fire back in a big way the next time out with an 87-46 win over Charlotte.

Tonight's opponent, Loyola-Chicago, offers a good chance for a strong defensive showing. The Ramblers have posted some solid offensive numbers but a closer look shows they have been feasting on the weak with an opponents' offensive and defensive strength of schedule below 300. In their lone step-up-in-class, they were manhandled at Boise State, 87-53. Note too that under Porter Moser, Loyola has ranked in the bottom quarter nationally in pace. It's doubtful they'll want to trade baskets in this environment. Number creeping down but still a little value to look under the total.

Tags: College Basketball Loyola-Chicago Ramblers Florida Gators Andrew Lange

NBA Betting Podcast 12-6-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning

12.06.2017     12:05 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. ER and host Andrew Lange broke down some of tonight's NBA action.

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - NBA

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NBA Erin Rynning

NHL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins

12.05.2017     11:14 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
NY Rangers at Pittsburgh -160 O/U 6
Recommendation: Over

The New York Rangers and Pittsburgh Penguins are both playing good hockey right now and an offensive surge on both sides is the main reason for it. The Rangers have scored 3+ goals in 8 of their last 10 games. Pittsburgh during their current four- game win streak have potted 19 goals during that span. The series history between these two teams points to one high scoring game after another. The Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 head-to-head meetings overall between the Rangers and Penguins including 5-0-1 to the Over in the last six games between the clubs here in Pittsburgh. Henrik Lundqvist gave up five goals to Pittsburgh when he faced them earlier this season in a game that flew Over the total ending up 5-4 in favor of the Penguins. Pittsburgh has been forced to start their backup goalie Tristan Jarry each night out and he has been strong so far in relief of injured #1 netminder Matt Murray but he was also the benefactor of facing the offensively challenged Buffalo Sabres in each of his last two starts and they are one of the worst offensive teams in the NHL. This will be a tougher task for Jarry tonight facing a NY Rangers team that has been finding the back of the net with regularity in recent weeks. Expect goals in bunches and the recent over trending series history to continue tonight.

Tags: NHL New York Rangers Pittsburgh Penguins Ian Cameron

College Basketball Betting Podcast 12-5-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

12.05.2017     10:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's power conference college basketball games.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - College Basketball

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Virginia Cavaliers at West Virginia Mountaineers

12.05.2017     09:10 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Virginia at West Virginia -4 O/U 134.5
Recommendation: Under

The personnel may be slightly different but stylistically, this year's West Virginia and Virginia squads are the same as they've always been under their respective head coaches. Under Bob Huggins, the Mountaineers are once again turning games into chaos by pressing and attempting to force turnovers. Virginia meanwhile continues to grind and not get baited into any sort of up-and-down affair. Two years ago, with a closing total of 135, both teams met at Madison Square Garden with the Cavaliers winning 70-54. The Mountaineers managed 36 points in the first half but were held to only 18 after the break. The game was actually more to WVU's liking with 65 possessions, 41 combined free throws, and 37 combined turnovers. Despite that, it still went well under the total. Last year, West Virginia returned the favor with a 66-57 win in Charlottesville. That game features only 61 possessions and went under the closing total of 128.5. Tonight's matchup opened 131.5 and was bet up to 134.5. At some point, it will get bet under. Bob Huggins had this to say about facing UVA, "A lot gets said about their defense but the reality is, they control the game with their offense,” Huggins said. “What happens is, you don’t want to go down and play defense for 30 seconds, come back on offense and take a shot in five seconds and then go back and play defense for another 30 seconds... It’s kind of like running the ball in football, you control the clock. They do a great job of controlling the clock.” Yes, West Virginia has a much easier time creating "chaos" at home but it's far easier against lesser competition and/or teams seeing it for the first time. Virginia obviously doesn't qualify under those parameters. Play this one under.

Tags: College Basketball Virginia Cavaliers West Virginia Mountaineers Andrew Lange

NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Washington Wizard at Utah Jazz

12.04.2017     11:32 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Washington at Utah -4 O/U 198.5
Recommendation: Over

The Utah Jazz have been in good form having won and covered five straight while averaging 115.4 ppg. Donovan Mitchell (21.8 ppg) along with Derrick Favors and sixth man Alec Burks have led the offensive revival which should continue tonight versus Washington. After a solid run of player imposed dedication on the defensive end of the floor, Washington is now slipping back to it old ways. The focus on defending led the Wizards to a streak of seven straight games in which they held opponents to 100 points or less. They’ve since allowed 108 or more in three of their last five and 107 ppg over that span. That likely becomes troublesome tonight against the hot Utah offense especially since Washington’s game-to-game player quotes of focusing on defense have now quieted. Without the intensity on that end, expect Utah to approach and maybe exceed 110 points tonight. The good news for Washington is that their own offense has continued to be high caliber scoring 108.6 ppg over their last five games despite being without the service of John Wall. Utah’s defense is obviously better with the expected return of Rudy Gobert but unlike the betting markets, I expect his minutes and impact to be limited. At below 200, I see strong value with the bet on the “over.”

Tags: NBA Washington Wizards Utah Jazz Rob Veno

College Football Handicapping: Bowl Game Strength of Schedule

12.04.2017     12:11 PM     Printer Friendly

For those of you into betting college football bowl games based on strength of schedule, below are Sagarin's numbers for each matchup and the difference. The smallest discrepancy is the Famous Idaho Bowl with Wyoming (95th) vs. Central Michigan (96th). The biggest is the Independence Bowl with Florida State (4th) vs. Southern Miss (131st).

2017-18 College Football Bowl Strength of Schedule
Sagarin SOS
Sagarin SOS
North Texas
North Texas +66
Georgia State
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky +10
Boise State
Oregon +28
Colorado State
Marshall +12
Middle Tennessee
Arkansas State
Middle Tennessee +22
Florida Atlantic
Akron +26
Louisiana Tech
SMU +45
Florida International
Temple +52
Ohio +41
Central Michigan
Wyoming +1
Texas Tech
South Florida
Texas Tech +90
San Diego State
San Diego State +12
Appalachian State
Toledo +42
Fresno State
Houston +17
West Virginia
West Virginia +9
Northern Illinois
Duke +51
Kansas State
UCLA +43
Southern Miss
Florida State
Florida State +127
Boston College
Iowa +8
Texas +41
Purdue +28
Virginia +30
Virginia Tech
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State +10
Stanford +21
Michigan State
Washington State
Michigan State +26
Texas A&M
Wake Forest
Wake Forest +33
NC State
Arizona State
NC State +18
Northwestern +15
Utah State
New Mexico State
Utah State +66
Ohio State
USC +12
Mississippi State
Louisville +7
Iowa State
Iowa State +60
Penn State
Penn State +12
Miami +25
South Carolina
Michigan +28
Auburn +80
Notre Dame
Notre Dame +61
Oklahoma +8
Clemson +48

Tags: College Football

NFL Betting Podcast 12-4-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

12.04.2017     11:36 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy gave his famed Opening Line Report (OLR) in which he and host Andrew Lange discussed NFL Week 14 line moves and where bettors can expect the lines to move throughout the week. 

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report Week 14

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

NFL Gambling Update: SuperContest consensus posts first perfect week

12.04.2017     11:06 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Westgate SuperContest consensus plays finished a perfect 5-0 against the spread last week. That puts the YTD record at 30-35 ATS. The top weekly play is now 8-5 ATS. The least picked Sunday side is 5-8 ATS.

1. GREEN BAY +1.5 vs. Tampa Bay - WIN
2. SEATTLE +6 vs. Philadelphia - WIN
3. NEW ORLEANS -4 vs. Carolina - WIN
4. MINNESOTA +3 at Atlanta - WIN
5. NEW ENGLAND -8.5 at Buffalo - WIN

Least picked Sunday side: TAMPA BAY -1.5 at Green Bay - LOSS

YTD Results
Week 1: 0-5
Week 2: 3-2
Week 3: 2-3
Week 4: 4-1
Week 5: 1-4
Week 6: 2-3
Week 7: 0-5
Week 8: 2-3
Week 9: 3-2
Week 10: 1-4
Week 11: 4-1
Week 12: 3-2
Week 13: 5-0

Tags: NFL SuperContest

College Football Handicapping: Power Ratings for all 39 Bowl Games

12.04.2017     11:03 AM     Printer Friendly

Below are veteran Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno's power ratings for this year's college football bowl matchups.

2017-18 College Football Bowl Power Ratings
Veno Power
New Orleans
North Texas
Troy -8
Georgia State
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky -8
Las Vegas
Boise State
Oregon -6.5
New Mexico
Colorado State
Colorado State -6.5
Middle Tennessee
Arkansas State
Arkansas State -2.5
Boca Raton
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic -18
Louisiana Tech
SMU -3.5
Florida International
Temple -6
Ohio -7.5
Famous Idaho
Central Michigan
Central Michigan -1
Texas Tech
South Florida
South Florida -2
Armed Forces
San Diego State
San Diego State -9.5
Dollar General
Appalachian State
Toledo -9.5
Fresno State
Houston -1.5
Heart of Dallas
West Virginia
Utah -3
Quick Loans
Northern Illinois
Duke -4
Kansas State
UCLA -0.5
Southern Miss
Florida State
Florida State -14.5
Boston College
Iowa -2
Texas -1
Foster Farms
Arizona -2
Navy -3
Camping World
Virginia Tech
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State -3
TCU -7
Michigan State
Washington State
Washington State -1.5
Texas A&M
Wake Forest
Texas A&M -2.5
NC State
Arizona State
NC State -3
Music City
Northwestern -10
Utah State
New Mexico State
Utah State -7
Ohio State
Ohio State -10.5
Mississippi State
Louisville -3
Iowa State
Memphis -2
Penn State
Penn State -1.5
Wisconsin -9
South Carolina
Michigan -8
Auburn -11
Notre Dame
LSU -4.5
Oklahoma -2
Alabama -2

Tags: College Football Rob Veno

NFL Week 13 Betting Podcast 12-1-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Erin Rynning and Teddy Covers

12.01.2017     09:28 PM     Printer Friendly


Here is Sportsmemo's NFL Every Game on the Board Podcast for Week 13. Handicappers Erin Rynning and Teddy Covers joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show - NFL Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

NFL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

12.01.2017     01:00 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
New England at Buffalo
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener: New England -9 O/U 49
CRIS Current: New England -9 O/U 48
Recommendation: New England

For the second consecutive season, the New England Patriots are, incredibly, an UNDER-valued commodity in the betting markets. Last year, despite their ‘public’ nature and their Super Bowl winning caliber roster, the wiseguys faded New England (and lost fading New England) week after week. The Pats finished the season with a truly remarkable 15-3-1 ATS record, including an 8-1 ATS mark on the highway.

It’s been more of the same here in 2017. The Patriots statistical profile hasn’t been pretty from Day 1, when New England got slapped around on their home field against Kansas City. Their full, season long numbers show a mediocre ballclub that allows 6.1 yards per play on defense (tied with Tampa for dead last in the NFL), unable to stop the run (4.9 yards per carry allowed, also tied for last in the NFL) and mediocre against the pass.

Those numbers are flat out lying, and that’s what the public sees that the wiseguys are missing. Since Week 5, the Patriots have allowed the fewest points in the NFL – the #1 points allowed defense. Remember, wiseguys are looking at this defense like it’s among the worst in the league. That’s a pretty sharp disparity! It shows why money comes in against the Patriots almost every week. And it shows why that money continues to lose, with New England 100% perfect ATS since mid-October.

The Bills are an easy team to handicap this year when we consider one factor. Buffalo is 6-1 SU, 5-1-1 ATS when they win the turnover battle. They are 0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS when turnovers were even or the Bills had a negative turnover margin. That’s another VERY sharp dichotomy, which doesn’t bode well for Buffalo in this matchup. Because the Patriots do one thing better than any other team in the NFL – they don’t turn the ball over.

In 2014, the Patriots ranked #1 in the NFL in fewest turnovers committed on offense. In 2015, the Patriots ranked #1 in the NFL in fewest turnovers committed on offense. In 2016, the Patriots ranked #1 in the NFL in fewest turnovers committed on offense. And here we are entering Week 13 of the campaign, and New England is, once again, ranked #1 for the fewest turnovers committed in the NFL. Given the Bills SU and ATS stats above, the Pats ability to avoid turnovers is clearly a problem for the home underdog.

New England won here 41-25 last year, 40-32 the year before and 37-22 the year before; a very one sided series in recent seasons. At 6-5, the Bills have been outyarded, out-first downed and outgained by 0.6 yards per play for the season – they have, quite simply, lived off their turnover margin. But this is one game where the Bills cannot be expected to win the turnover battle; bad news for Bills fans and backers.

Tags: NFL New England Patriots Buffalo Bills Teddy Covers

Big XII Championship Betting Preview: TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma Sooners

11.30.2017     12:22 PM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
Big XII Championship
TCU vs. Oklahoma - Arlington, Texas
Saturday, 9:30 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener: Oklahoma -7 O/U 61.5
CRIS Current: Oklahoma -7 O/U 63.5
Recommendation: TCU

The inaugural Big XII Championship pits together two teams that are playing their best football of the year in recent weeks. Since losing at home to Iowa State as -31 chalk, Oklahoma has ripped off seven straight and covered four of its five. TCU’s only two blemishes came against Iowa State and Saturday’s opponent, Oklahoma. Three weeks ago, as -6 home chalk, the Sooners beat the Horned Frogs, 38-20.

In terms of the ability to adjust not only game-to-game, but half-to-half, few are as good as TCU’s Gary Patterson. After falling behind to Oklahoma 38-14 at half, the Horned Frogs pitched a shutout in the second half. Amazingly, TCU has allowed a grand total of six points in the second half of its last seven games. And prior to that loss, the series had been ultra competitive with margins of 7, 6, 4, 3, and 1. Statistically, it's impressive what Oklahoma has been able to do. Against Big XII foes, the Sooners were a staggering 2.4 yards per play better. Few power conference teams own such a discrepancy. But despite that, OU wasn’t as consistently dominant on the scoreboard. There was the lackluster 49-41 win over Baylor. The loss as huge chalk to Iowa State. A narrow 29-24 win over rival Texas. A touchdown win against an average Kansas State squad. And a wild back-and-forth 62-52 win over Oklahoma State that was decided by a big play with less than a minute to go.

Oklahoma will not have the benefit of a night game in Norman on Saturday. And the markets have made a significant adjustment from just three weeks ago. Oklahoma closed -6 at home and now you can get TCU +7 on true neutral environment. I strongly believe in Patterson’s ability to gameplan and feel his squad, particularly the defense, will do what it takes to stick around in this game and have a shot at the “upset.” Take the points.


Tags: College Football TCU Horned Frogs Oklahoma Sooners Big XII Drew Martin

College Football Conference Championships Betting Podcast 11-30-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

11.30.2017     10:48 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke down this weekend's college football conference championships.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - College Football

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Rob Veno Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Long Beach State 49ers at Arizona Wildcats

11.29.2017     10:43 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Long Beach State at Arizona -23.5 O/U 156.5
Recommendation: Under

Things didn't go as expected for Arizona at the recent Battle of Atlantis tournament. The Wildcats opened with losses to NC State and SMU and were then run out of the gym by Purdue, 89-64. It's a very common theme: Upper-tier team blows out weak competition at home with a couple of 100+ point performances and forgets how to defend when asked to step up in class. Sean Miller had this to say about his team's performance...

“We had never experienced anything but a blowout and with a group that’s as young as we are, our confidence left us, it’s almost as if something was wrong. But we had a hard time defending them, missed free throws. Didn’t execute defensively. Against Purdue it was the entirety. The thing that was disappointing against Purdue was … they outscored us by 13 in the last eight (minutes). We caved at the end. It’s more about how we finished than being a 25-point difference. With that we have to become an overall better basketball team.”

Given Miller's pedigree as a coach, you can safely bet that they spent a lot of time being reminded to guard during practice this week. And specifically transition defense which will be tested tonight against Long Beach State. The 49ers aren't playing as ridiculous a schedule as last year though they've played five games against power conference foes. The defense was lacking in a number of those contests (90 ppg allowed in four losses) but travel and fatigue played a part. Here they've had a couple days to catch their breath and make the short trip to Tucson. Also note that against two solid defenses in West Virginia and Missouri, Long Beach really struggled to score with 62- and 58-point efforts. I think we see max effort on the defensive end from Arizona which should assist in this game going under the total.

Tags: College Basketball Long Beach State 49ers Arizona Wildcats OTTO Sports

College Basketball and NBA Betting Podcast 11-29-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

11.29.2017     10:15 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's ACC vs. Big Ten Challege games as well as some NBA.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - College Basketball and NBA

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball NBA Rob Veno Andrew Lange

College Football Handicapping: Strength of Schedule for Conference Championships

11.28.2017     10:31 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It's college football conference championship weekend so let's take a quick look at each matchup's strength of schedule according to Sagarin.

PAC-12 Championship
Stanford: 16th
USC (-4): 26th

C-USA Championship
North Texas: 117th
Florida Atlantic (-11): 108th

AAC Championship
Memphis: 84th
UCF (-7.5): 83rd

MAC Championship
Akron: 88th
Toledo (-21.5): 98th

SEC Championship
Georgia: 48th
Auburn (-2.5): 15th

Mountain West Championship
Fresno State: 95th
Boise State (-9): 74th

ACC Championship
Miami: 40th
Clemson (-9.5): 11th

Big Ten Championship
Ohio State (-6.5): 42nd
Wisconsin: 61st

Big XII Championship
TCU: 46th
Oklahoma (-7): 36th

Tags: College Football

NFL Betting News: Seattle Seahawks home underdogs for first time since 2012

11.28.2017     10:21 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Rarified air for the Seattle Seahawks as they find themselves home underdogs to the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday. And we're not talking catching a point or two with the Eagles bet up from -3 to -5.5. Since Pete Carroll took over in 2010, the Seahawks are 10-6 SU and 11-4-1 ATS as home underdogs. There however isn't much recent history to go on. The last time it occured was 2012 when New England closed -3.5. Seattle won that game outright, 24-23. 

Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Philadelphia Eagles

NHL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Dallas Stars at Vegas Golden Knights

11.28.2017     10:11 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Dallas at Vegas -110 O/U 6
Recommendation: Vegas

The betting markets have been hesitant and reluctant all season to formulate the opinion that maybe, just maybe the expansion franchise Vegas Golden Knights are a legitimately good hockey team. Despite being in Year #1 of their existence, this squad has been an undervalued commodity right from the beginning of the season with the Knights leading the Pacific Division with a 15-7 overall record and that includes a near perfect record of 9-1 on home ice for Vegas here at T-Mobile Arena. Vegas has more offensive firepower than many people thought as the team is averaging a whopping 4.4 goals per game in their home games. James Neal has been an offensive catalyst for the team but lately he has gotten plenty of support from William Karlsson and Jonathan Marchessault. Karlsson has scored at least once and recorded multiple points in each victory during the Golden Knights current five game winning streak while Marchessault has recorded a goal and two assists in each of the last three games for Vegas. The Vegas Golden Knights have used a very aggressive, fast skating style to frustrate opponents and they’ve done a remarkable job to attain the record they have in spite of the fact they have been forced to use five different goaltenders this season due to cluster injuries at the most important position there is in hockey. They’ve beaten the majority of the better teams in the Western Conference as well notching quality victories against Chicago, St. Louis, San Jose, Winnipeg, Los Angeles and Anaheim and overall the Golden Knights are a terrific 12-1 in games against conference foes this season. The Dallas Stars are playing better winning three of their last four games but all of those wins came on home ice. Dallas has struggled mightily to pick up wins away from home as they enter this matchup at 3-9 this season on the road including a five game winless streak in their last five road games. The difference in the quality of play from the Stars from being at home to being on the road goes right to their #1 goalie Ben Bishop as well who has posted below average numbers on the road. Bishop is 2-6 with a 4.04 goals against average and .872 save percentage on the road which are very subpar figures. Dallas still has to prove they can beat quality foes on the road. It’s time to start treating Vegas like a quality team. Once again, the Golden Knights are undervalued at home and once again I will back them at this bargain price tag.

Tags: NHL Dallas Stars Vegas Golden Knights Ian Cameron

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