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Basketball Betting Podcast 1-18-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning

01.18.2017     01:41 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's college basketball slate while ER talked NBA.

Today's segments 
Rob Veno - College Basketball

Erin Rynning - NBA

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball NBA Rob Veno Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Memphis Grizzlies at Washington Wizards

01.18.2017     10:32 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Memphis at Washington -2 O/U 207 
Recommendation: Washington

The markets haven’t come close to catching up with the Wizards in recent weeks, particularly on their home floor.  The Wizards are 15-7 SU since their 2-8 start.  At home, the numbers are even more impressive: 12-0 SU, 11-1 ATS ; a streak that dates back to early December.  Shooting guard Bradley Beal: “We have that extra urge here, that will to want to win. We want to be a great team here and home, we want to have home court when playoff time comes around."

Washington’s run of success is no fluke.  Point guard John Wall is playing at a superstar level, ranked #5 in the NBA (behind Westbrook, Curry, Lowry and Paul) in REAL plus/minus for point guards.  Small forward Otto Porter has come into his own as well, ranked #6 at his position in REAL plus/minus, behind the likes of LeBron, Kawhi, Greek Freak, Durant and Jimmy Butler.  Marcin Gortat is cleaning up in the low post, Beal is draining three’s, and despite a relatively weak bench, Scott Brooks has a surging, confident team right now.

The Wizards are rested and ready, playing only their third game in the last seven days, all at home.  The Grizzlies are on the other end of the ‘rested and ready’ spectrum.  This will be their 14th consecutive court change, a brutal scheduling stretch that has left them without back-2-back home games since the week before Christmas.  They’ve played in all four US time zones in their last six games; looking gassed and out of sync in a home loss to Chicago in their last contest.

Grizzlies head coach David Fizdale, talking about how he’s trying to patch things through the Grizzlies rough scheduling stretch and their near constant battle with key injuries:  “We’re trying to feel our way through this thing and see what works and what doesn’t work as we get these guys back healthy and getting their legs under them. We’ve just got to figure it out...and be more consistent.”  That’s no bet-on quote!

Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies Washington Wizards Teddy Covers

NBA Handicapping: Clippers lose Paul to injury, face daunting upcoming schedule

01.18.2017     09:26 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It doesn't take a genius to know that Chris Paul has a massive impact. According to ESPN's stats, the Clippers are 20 points better per 100 possessions when Paul is on the floor. Well, he won't be on the floor for a while as Paul suffered a thumb injury and will miss 6-8 weeks. Making matters worse is LA's upcoming schedule. Eleven of their next 15 are on the road. Four of those games are back-to-back situations. And three are against Golden State.

vs. Minnesota 
at Denver 
at Atlanta 
at Philadelphia* 
at Golden State 
at Phoenix 
vs. Golden State* 
at Boston 
at Toronto* 
at New York 
at Charlotte 
at Utah 
vs. Atlanta 
at Golden State 
vs. San Antonio* 
*indicates second of back-to-backs

Tags: NBA Los Angeles Clippers

College Basketball Betting Free Play: TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Tech Red Raiders

01.18.2017     09:17 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
TCU at Texas Tech -4.5 O/U 137 
Recommendation: Under

Off Saturday 84-75 loss at OKlahoma, I looked for maximum effort and focus from Texas Tech tonight as it plays host to TCU. The Red Raiders have fired back very strong following their three previous losses. After losing to Auburn they produced a 75-51 win over Utah State. They blew a 14-point second half lead in Ames but bounced back with an overtime win over West Virginia. And after being outclassed at Kansas, the Red Raiders grinded out a win over Kansas State, 66-65. The common themes in those three contests was great TTU defense, a slower pace, and all three going under the total in regulation. First-year head coach Chris Beard was extremely disappointed with his team's shot selection and transition defense against the Sooners. Expect those to be corrected tonight. I look for TCU to bounce the other way after having its best offensive showing of the year at home against Iowa State. The Horned Frogs shot out of their minds (1.24 ppp) en route to an 84-77 win. While they've played a handful of high scoring games, in watching TCU, they generally like to play at a moderate pace and work to get versatile big man Vladimir Brodziansky touches in the paint. Overall, this is a pretty even matchup and one that could very well come down to the last few possessions. We'll look to play it under the total.  

Tags: College Basketball TCU Horned Frogs Texas Tech Red Raiders Big XII Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting Free Play: St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Saint Louis Billikens

01.17.2017     12:02 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
St. Bonaventure -10 at Saint Louis O/U 141.5 
Recommendation: Under

Without starting point guard and leading scorer Jaylen Adams (22.2 ppg) in the lineup the past two games, St. Bonaventure’s high octane offense has been slowed considerably. This past Saturday at a neutral site in Rochester, NY, the Bonnies defeated Fordham 73-53 and prior to that they lost 78-61 at Richmond. Tonight in their third straight game away from home and their longest A-10 road trip, they may have to go without Adams again. And, for the second straight game St. Bonaventure is going to be faced with a methodical, patient, half court style team. St. Louis ranks #299 in the KenPom adjusted tempo ratings which mirrors the #302 position Fordham has. The Rams were able to contain the number of shot attempts in Saturday’s game vs. the Bonnies which led to only 262 potential points in that game. 48.2% of those points were scored which is solid offensive efficiency but the final score only totaled 126.

Saint Louis meanwhile has been without their starting PG and leading scorer Jermaine Bishop for the last eight games. The Billikens array of youth and injuries have been key cogs in a miserable offensive season (worst in A-10 61 ppg and 39.4 FG%) and before the season started, Travis Ford referred to his squad as limited offensively. Unable to truly implement his 94-foot style, Ford has tried to mask the team’s offensive deficiencies by retaining their style from recent years and it’s allowed them keep their first five A-10 game results to an average of 135.2 ppg. 

SLU has played a combination of quicker paced and highly efficient A-10 offenses in their last four games so seeing St. Bonaventure tonight will not be anything new. Even if Adams plays for the Bonnies tonight, must note that he played 40 minutes fully healthy in the pair of meetings last season and those games totaled 127 and 143. With the fundamentals and situationals presented to us here, the current game total of 141.5 seems a bit high which signals a look toward the under.

Tags: College Basketball St. Bonaventure Bonnies Saint Louis Billikens A-10 Rob Veno

NFL Betting Podcast 1-17-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

01.17.2017     10:26 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy gave his famed opening line report on this weekend's NFL Conference Championships.

Today's segments 
Teddy Covers - NFL Conference Championships

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Buffalo Bulls at Kent State Golden Flashes

01.17.2017     09:39 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Buffalo at Kent State -3 O/U 154 
Recommendation: Kent State

Quietly, the Buffalo Bulls have represented the MAC in the last two NCAA Tournaments. Last year's team was at one point 14-12 and 7-6 in league play but won six out of its last eight games, including three in the MAC Tournament, only to lose to Miami in competitive fashion, 79-72, in the first round. This season hasn't gone nearly as smoothly as the Bulls enter tonight's game at Kent State with a 7-10 record and 1-3 mark in MAC play. Reports have surfaced that there is a negative vibe within the program and it showed last time out as Buffalo was hammered at home by Ball State, 92-77. Here's a snippet from a recap of the game.

After Saturday's second straight home loss, a 92-77 defeat to Ball State, Oats was questioning the mindset and toughness of virtually his entire squad. His team is in a crisis, and it was evident before the opening tip.

Perkins was benched for the first 10 minutes as punishment for his meltdown against Ohio. Oats benched senior guard Willie Conner for the first 6:40 for his technical in that game. Senior Blake Hamilton, UB's best player and last year's MAC title game hero, sat out the first two minutes for dogging it in practice.

Another report indicated that the team's starting lineup was changed due to off-the-court issues between two players as well as a player benched due to lack of effort in practice. All told, it doesn't sound like a good situation.

Meanwhile, Kent State showed capable with a road win over Texas and a 10-point win over Ball State to open up MAC play. But since then, the Golden Flashes have dropped three straight including back-to-back barnburners. They also haven't beaten Buffalo since 2013 which suggests a focused effort against what sounds like a team in disarray. We'll lay the short price with the home favorite tonight.

Tags: College Basketball Buffalo Bulls Kent State Golden Flashes MAC OTTO Sports

Sportsbooks love to talk about getting thrashed by the betting public

01.17.2017     09:22 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Sportsbooks are a business and a lot of their profit is generated from casual bettors; the "betting public." So when the postseason hits you tend to read a lot of articles about the "betting public" getting the best of the sportsbooks. Last week, outright wins by the Steelers and Packers reportedly proved costly. The week prior it was Clemson's win over Alabama that "crushed the books." What you generally don't read is articles about games in which 80% of the tickets are on one side but 80% of the money is on the other; the old square/sharp divide. That wouldn't be good marketing.

Tags: NFL Las Vegas

NFL Betting Trends: Packers-Falcons first game to be totaled 60 since 2000

01.17.2017     09:08 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Well, what do we have here? An NFL total of 60? When was the last time that occurred? Good question and according to one database, it hasn't since October 29, 2000 when the St. Louis Rams and San Francisco 49ers closed 62 (and landed 59). Since then, there have been a handful of 59/59.5's but no 60's. What's interesting is that Packers and Falcons met during the regular season; Week 8 to be exact. That total closed 51. The game, however, went flying over as Rodgers and Ryan combined for 56-of-73, 534 yards, seven touchdowns and no interceptions.

Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Atlanta Falcons

NFL Gambling: Bettors gear up for Conference Championship weekend

01.16.2017     11:37 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
The scoreboard operator at the Georgia Dome in expected to be busy at Sunday’s NFC title clash between the Packers and Falcons. Both offenses should be primed to light up the scoreboard as evidenced by the fact this game is currently lined at 60/60.5 at every major offshore and Las Vegas sportsbook. Aaron Rodgers continued his elite level play in Sunday’s thrilling 34-31 win over Dallas. He completed 28-of-43 passes for 356 yards and now has a spectacular 21-to-1 TD-to-INT ratio during the Packers’ current 8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS surge. The absence of Jordy Nelson was negated by “step up” efforts from Davante Adams, Randall Cobb and Geronimo Allison (each with three or more catches). Tight end Jared Cook also hauled in six passes including the all-important one that set up the game winning field goal. But Green Bay’s defense was exposed, especially in the secondary, where injuries remain plentiful. Dallas rolled up 429 total yards including 302 through the air. That doesn’t bode well for their matchup against Matt Ryan and an Atlanta offense that posted some of the league’s best offensive numbers. Note that the Falcons ranked tops in the league in yards per pass attempt at 8.8. And to make matter worse, the Packers lost another member of that depleted secondary when safety Morgan Burnett left the game in the first quarter with a quad injury. His status for Sunday’s game is currently questionable. With all the focus on Rogers, Ryan and two prolific offenses, it’s clear that whoever comes up with a timely turnover or red zone stop is going to have a significant edge. How about that 9-0 O/U record at the Georgia Dome this season? The average total during that span was 51. The highest total during that span was 58.5 (vs. New Orleans). And when these two teams met in the Georgia Dome back in Week 8, the closing total was 51! Of course that game went flying over as Atlanta won 33-32.

Amazingly, this is only the second time since 2005 the Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots will square off in the postseason. New England’s strength of schedule this season was a well-documented league low. And not only did the Patriots routinely face weak teams but also weak quarterbacks -- the two generally go hand in hand. New England went up against Carson Palmer, Ryan Tannehill, Brock Osweiler, Tyrod Taylor, Cody Kessler, Charlie Whitehurst, Andy Dalton, Colin Kaepernick, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Jared Goff, Joe Flacco, Trevor Siemian, Bryce Petty and Matt Moore. The "best" quarterback New England has faced was Seattle’s Russell Wilson who finished the season with the league's 14th-best QB Rating. And it should be noted that Wilson carved up the Pats for 348 yards, 3 TDs, and no interceptions. Ben Roethlisberger finished 11th with a 95.4 QB Rating but didn't play (hence Landry Jones) in New England's 27-16 Week 7 win over Pittsburgh. It’s not even debatable that New England’s defense faces its tough challenge of the season. But even for a resurgent Pittsburgh defense, which has improved by leaps and bounds since a healthy James Harrison, Bud Dupree and Ryan Shazier returned, can the Patriots be stopped? This past weekend they hung 34 points and approached 400 yards against a Texans defense that was metrically one of the best units in the league. Interesting trend to be aware of: New England is 1-6 ATS in their last seven AFC Championship games. They are currently -6 home favorites at most sportsbooks.

Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Atlanta Falcons Pittsburgh Steelers New England Patriots Ian Cameron

NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Charlotte Bobcats at Philadelphia 76ers

01.13.2017     12:31 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Charlotte at Philadelphia +5 O/U 209.5 
Recommendation: Philadelphia

This is a tale of two teams headed in opposite directions right now. Charlotte is slumping, losers of three straight on their current road trip and five of their last six overall.  The lone win during this entire stretch came in a game against OKC in which the Hornets got to the free throw line a whopping 49 times, compared to only 23 attempts for the Thunder.

Charlotte’s Nicholas Batum doesn’t attract much attention in the betting world, but he’s got a HUGE impact on the floor for the Hornets.  Here’s what forward Marvin Williams had to say about his teammate:

"I can't say enough about how much this team needs Nic Batum. Not only offensively what he brings to the table for himself and the rest of us, but defensively as well. He's such a smart player, such a great player, on both ends of the floor. When you (lose) a guy like that, who does so many things, the team does struggle a little bit in his absence. If he's back out there, it will make a huge difference."  Batum is VERY questionable tonight, still suffering from a knee injury that has kept him sidelined over the past two games.

And the Hornets have stopped playing defense, allowing more than 114 points per game during this 1-5 skid.  I don’t yet trust Philly against elite defensive teams, but when they face foes that aren’t bringing it on the defensive end of the court, they’re capable of putting up buckets in bunches, just as they’ve done against the Knicks, Nets, T-wolves and Nuggets while winning four times in their last five games (5-0 ATS).

When the very worst franchise in the NBA in recent seasons starts playing competitive basketball, there’s ample line value to support them on the way up! Philly has already exceeded their win total from last year.  Center Joel Embiid prior to their win over New York on Wednesday:"We are seven or eight games out of the playoffs, so we have a chance…. We are coming together. We are learning how to play with each other.”  Embiid after the win: "The last couple games we've been finishing, so it gives us a lot of confidence."

Tags: NBA Charlotte Bobcats Philadelphia 76ers Teddy Covers

NFL Divisional Round Betting Podcast 1-13-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

01.13.2017     09:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy gave his thoughts and opinions on this weekend's NFL Divisional Round matchups.

Today's segments 
Teddy Covers - NFL Dvisional Round

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

Floyd Mayweather drops sports betting knowledge

01.12.2017     10:50 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.

There's been momentum toward having sports betting legalized. Do you think it should be legal in the U.S.?

The two best places to bet are Las Vegas and Atlantic City. [Mayweather asks if A.C. has sports betting and I tell him it doesn't.] Then Las Vegas is the best. We the best. If everyone had it, it would be a problem. Las Vegas is the best place because we have it mastered.

Tags: Floyd Mayweather

NHL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Detroit Red Wings at Dallas Stars

01.12.2017     10:31 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Detroit at Dallas -145 O/U 5.5 
Recommendation: Over

Detroit has found its offense in recent games. The return of Justin Abdelkader and defenseman Mike Green (a better offensive defenseman than a defensive one) from injury has resulted in 3+ goals in eight of their L10 games (6-3-1 O/U). However, Detroit is struggling at the other end of the ice due to subpar goaltending and defensive play; injuries to stalwart defensemen Brendan Smith and Niklas Kronwall a main reason why. The Red Wings have surrendered 34, 35 and 43 shots on goal in their last three games and that spells trouble in terms of keeping your goals against numbers down. Dallas remains a below average defensive team. They’ve given up three goals per game on the season which ranks 28th in the NHL and making matters worse for the Stars is the fact they just lost one of their better young defensemen in Jamie Oleksiak to injury. From a season-long perspective, neither team has trended strong towards the over (Detroit 18-17 O/U, Dallas 19-23 O/U) but injuries and current form suggest tonight’s game will feature plenty of shots and more than a few that hit the back of the net. Play this one OVER.

Tags: NHL Detroit Red Wings Dallas Stars Ian Cameron

College Basketball Betting Podcast 1-12-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Ian Cameron

01.12.2017     10:05 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Ian Cameron. Ian and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's college basketball slate.

Today's segments 
Ian Cameron - College Basketball

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball Ian Cameron Andrew Lange

Basketball Betting Podcast 1-11-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Brent Crow and Erin Rynning

01.11.2017     01:08 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Brent Crow and Erin Rynning. Brent and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's college basketball slate while ER talked NBA.

Today's segments 
Brent Crow - College Basketball

Erin Rynning - NBA

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball NBA Brent Crow Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

College Football Betting News: Clemson's win over Alabama crushed the books

01.11.2017     10:22 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Clemson's win over Alabama was not an ideal outcome for Las Vegas sportsbooks.


“It was definitely our worst college football game ever, and I’m pretty sure it was our biggest loss in a single game,” William Hill sports book director Nick Bogdanovich said.

“It’s the highest single-game handle I’ve ever seen, which proves that college is catching up,” veteran South Point oddsmaker Jimmy Vaccaro said. “It keeps telling me I’ve been wrong for 20 years saying that we can’t get much better and we can’t write more tickets. The public keeps telling me, ‘Jimmy, go sit down. You’re wrong.’

“The intriguing thing to me was we wrote more on that game than we did on the first NFL game of the weekend.”

Tags: College Football Clemson Tigers ACC Alabama Crimson Tide SEC Las Vegas

NBA Handicapping: Houston Rockets undefeated in second of back-to-back games

01.11.2017     10:14 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Small sample but worth pointing out as the Houston Rockets are a perfect 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS on the second of back-to-back games this season. The Rockets are -4 road favorites against the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight.

11/1 - at New York - SU/ATS Win 
11/17 - vs. Portland - SU/ATS Win 
12/2 - at Denver - SU/ATS Win 
12/10 - vs. Dallas - SU/ATS Win 
12/17 - at Minnesota - SU Win/ATS Loss (by a hook) 
12/21 - at Phoenix - SU/ATS Win 
12/27 - at Dallas - SU/ATS Win 
12/31 - at New York - SU Win/ATS Loss 
1/6 - at Orland - SU/ATS Win

Tags: NBA Houston Rockets Minnesota Timberwolves

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Tulane Green Wave at South Florida Bulls

01.11.2017     10:01 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Tulane at South Florida -5 O/U 139.5 
Recommendation: Over

It's been a rough season for Tulane under first-year head coach Mike Dunleavy Sr. The Green Wave are 3-12 overall and 0-3 in AAC play; outclassed by UCF, Cincinnati and Memphis. The main issue has been defense. Despite playing a fairly soft schedule in terms of opposing offenses (304th nationally), Tulane is allowing 1.11 points per possession and an alarming 41% from three. And because of wanting to play up-tempo, only two of Tulane's games have featured less than 70 possessions. South Florida is far from competent on the offensive end but you'll notice that much of their schedule features slow paced, defensive-minded teams. The Bulls' first three AAC opponents, ECU, Houston, and SMU certainly fit that profile hence USF's outputs of 49, 56, and 65 points. But perhaps last game's 65-point effort at SMU was a sign of better things to come. It was the team's first game following the firing of Orlando Antigua. He was replaced by veteran Murry Bartow who spent much of his head coaching career at UAB and ETSU. Bartow's teams were generally fast paced and offensive-minded and I expect the Bulls to play a bit looser and more aggressive moving forward. At home against the weakest defense in the league suggests USF could be sitting on a decent offensive performance. And you can make the same argument for Tulane who against comparable competition has shown the ability to score. At 139.5, we'll look to play this game over the total.

Tags: College Basketball Tulane Green Wave South Florida Bulls AAC Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Duke Blue Devils at Florida State Seminoles

01.10.2017     12:36 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Duke at Florida State -1.5 O/U 159 
Recommendation: Florida State

The disparity in depth here is likely to be an issue now that talented but short-handed Duke is without starting center Amile Jefferson. Contrast the six-man double digit minutes rotation of the Blue Devils with that of the 11 Florida State players who average nearly 10+ minutes and the difference becomes extremely visible. After losing to FSU 93-78 this past Saturday, Virginia Tech’ Buzz Williams called the Seminoles’ dozen deep the best team Leonard Hamilton has ever had at Tallahassee.

Duke presents a huge challenge even without Jefferson (team-leading 10.1 rpg and 62.9% FGs) and Mike Krzyzewski. While Jefferson’s absence creates a huge mismatch in the paint against Florida State’s pair of 7-0 centers, Duke’s perimeter players and overall shooting ability make them tough to defend. Aside from their game at Virginia Tech (89-75 loss), Duke’s schedule has been very soft that last month. It will be interesting to see how this team fares in its second ACC road game. Note that Florida State is 7-2 ATS at home this season.

Florida State, which ranks 46th in adjusted tempo, to push the pace tonight in hopes of tiring Duke out. Of course Duke will attempt to combat that somewhat and they’ll have the help of all the four minute stoppages. The Seminoles perimeter defense showed up against a dangerous Virginia Tech team on Saturday but in their first two ACC games they had allowed 47.6% to Wake Forest and 56.3% to Virginia from deep. Duke’s quartet of Luke Kennard (45.5%), Grayson Allen, Frank Jackson and Matt Jones are very capable (38.2% combined) so FSU has to make protecting the three-point line a focal point. In the end, I’m not convinced that Duke can defend Florida State’s far more diverse offense for 40 minutes and foul trouble is a major concern. Play here will be on the ‘Noles -1.5.

Tags: College Basketball Duke Blue Devils Florida State Seminoles ACC Rob Veno

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Syracuse Orange at Virginia Tech Hokies

01.10.2017     09:45 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Syracuse at Virginia Tech -3 O/U 149 
Recommendation: Under

Good spots for a solid defensive effort from Virginia Tech tonight as the Hokies coughed up 104 and 93 in recent road games to NC State and Florida State. It was a classic case of falling in love with offense after Tech averaged over 90 ppg its previous five including an 89-75 win over Duke. Syracuse meanwhile went through a similar swatch of poor defense having allowed 93 to St. John's and 96 to Boston College. The Orange slowed down the pace of the last two games (61 and 62 possessions) and held Miami and Pitt to 55 and 66 respectively in two comfortable wins. Inexperience at the point guard position and high possession games forced the Orange to tap into their lackluster bench. Jim Boeheim had obviously seen enough and has essentially gone with a five-man rotation. It's more evidence that we will continue to see Syracuse play a more controlled brand of basketball. The game got played down some earlier this morning but at 149 I think we can still look to play it under.

Tags: College Basketball Syracuse Orange Virginia Tech Hokies ACC Andrew Lange

NBA Handicapping: New York Knicks have entered full-on circus mode

01.10.2017     09:35 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Seemingly poised to dethrone Sacramento as the most dysfunctional team in the NBA, the New York Knicks are a hot mess. The Knicks have lost eight of their last nine. Derrick Rose was mysteriously absent last night while Carmelo Anthony and Kyle O'Quinn were both ejected. Laying -3.5 at home, New York was blasted by New Orleans 110-96. New York plays eight of its next 13 on the road starting Wednesday at Philadelphia. Perhaps most amazing is that despite the disfunction, the Knicks are a respectable 22-16 against the spread.

Tags: NBA New York Knicks

College Basketball Betting Podcast 1-10-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Brent Crow

01.10.2017     09:21 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Brent Crow. Brent and host Andrew Lange broke down tonight's college basketball slate.

Today's segments 
Brent Crow - College Basketball

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball Brent Crow Andrew Lange

NFL Handicapping: A look at this weekend's four Divisional Round matchups

01.09.2017     12:19 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Atlanta’s offense was both visually and statistically (33.8 ppg and 415.8 ypg) dominant for much of the season. They play host to a Seattle defense that obviously has a strong pedigree, particularly in the secondary. But that dominant secondary has been exposed at times this year and was recently dealt a key injury with Pro Bowl safety Earl Thomas out. Detroit couldn’t take advantage of Thomas’ absence as it was clear Matthew Stafford was not 100 percent due to a dislocated finger. And the Lions’ offensive line was banged up and missing two starters. In the end, the Seahawks surrendered only 231 total yards. It will be a much more difficult task this weekend as Atlanta’s offense is in a far better position to successfully move the football. Matt Ryan (38 TDs, 7 INTs, 69.9% completion rate) has a host of skill position weapons and like we saw against Arizona and Green Bay, Seattle can be exposed through the air. There are questions about Atlanta’s defense which ranked in the bottom third of the league in a number of categories. After struggling to run the football for virtually the entire regular season, Thomas Rawls went for 161 yards against the Lions. Couple that with a fully healthy Russell Wilson and Seattle appears poised to move the ball with the type of balance we’ve seen during some of their past postseason runs. Note that all eight regular season games in the Georgia Dome went over the total.

New England dominated its regular season matchup against Houston, 27-0. Of course that thrashing came without the services of Tom Brady. Houston’s top-tier defense was strong against Oakland (203 total yards) but trying to compare a Connor Cook-led offense to the Patriots is pointless. To his credit, Brock Osweiler look fairly competent in the win. His numbers weren’t gaudy completing (14-of-25, 168 yards) but he avoided critical mistakes. Perhaps another clean effort keeps Houston within striking distance in the fourth quarter. I still think it’s deserving to question New England’s defense. The Patriots lived a charmed life in terms of quality offenses and quarterbacks faced during the regular season (32nd strength of schedule). But can we really expect that soft slate to bite the defense here as Houston has by far the worst offense of the remaining eight playoff teams? The Texans also have an ugly history in the recent series; 0-3 SU/ATS, 22.6 ppg margin of defeat.

Pittsburgh rolled to an easy win and cover against banged up and beleaguered Miami on Sunday. But the real story line was Ben Roethlisberger’s ankle injury that had him in a walking boot after the game. He has already declared himself good enough to play on Sunday but it is something that bears watching. Kansas City has baffled many bettors this season; outgained by a combined 396 yards but offset (and some) with an NFL-leading 33 takeaways. The Chiefs’ “way” led to not only a 12-4 regular season record but the same impressive mark against the spread. There are some injury concerns with running Spencer Ware playing through a rib injury, linebacker Derrick Johnson out with an Achilles injury, and cornerback Eric Berry is listed as questionable with bum heel. We’ll of course mention Andy Reid’s dominant track record off a bye week which is in effect here. Reid is 16-2 SU in his career after a bye week and that includes a perfect 3-0 SU mark in three Divisional Playoff games following a bye during his time with the Philadelphia Eagles. We saw a flood of money on the Chiefs earlier today as the line went from -1 to -2.5; no doubt some feeling that Roethlisberger’s injury could have a significant impact on his performance.

No team was hotter down the stretch than Green Bay with seven straight wins and a 6-1 ATS mark. Aaron Rodgers tossed 19 touchdowns without a single interception during that span. That includes Sunday’s impressive performance against the Giants. It took a while to get going but Green Bay’s offense finished with over six yards per play and moved the ball virtually at will in the second half. The Giants finished the season with some of the best defensive numbers in the league (2nd-ranked DVOA) whereas Dallas was league average (17th-ranked DVOA). You also can’t help but consider the experience factor. I’m perfectly comfortable betting on teams that haven’t had a lot of recent postseason exposure (this will only be Dallas’ second trip in seven years) but rookies Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott are obviously pretty big parts of the offense. Let’s also point out that Green Bay’s secondary was without Sam Shields and Quinten Rollins last week. They weren’t threatened by the Giants’ anemic passing attack but could be here as Prescott threw for 247 yards in Dallas’ 30-16 win over Green Bay in Lambeau back in Week 6.

Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons Seattle Seahawks Houston Texans New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers Kansas City Chiefs Green Bay Packers Dallas Cowboys Ian Cameron

NHL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets

01.09.2017     10:49 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Alex Smith blog entry.
Calgary +120 at Winnipeg O/U 5.5 
Recommendation: Under

Winnipeg returns home after a three-game road trip where the club picked up two wins against Tampa Bay and Florida but suffered a giant loss when star rookie Patrik Laine was blindsided in Saturday's 4-3 defeat to Buffalo and is now out indefinitely with a concussion. The 18-year old phenom led the club with 21 goals (3rd NHL) and without both their best forward and top defenseman, Tyler Myers, who is sidelined with an upper-body injury, the rest of the Jets line-up will need to step up in a big way. Calgary just split a home-and-home affair against division rival Vancouver and have now won four of their last six games on the road as well as holding a 5-2 mark in their last seven overall. The Flames have also won five of their last seven meetings with Winnipeg and the Jets are just 2-5 in their last seven home games. It's never easy to come home after a long distance trip, but now that Winnipeg is seriously short handed without their young star, this is a really tough task against a fast and similarly physical Flames unit. At a solid plus price tag, this is a ripe spot to pick Calgary this evening.

Tags: NHL Calgary Flames Winnipeg Jets Alex B. Smith

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