SportsMemo.com
Username:
Password:
All Available Packages
HOMERECAPRADIOFORUMBLOGSLIVE ODDSBESTBETSHANDICAPPERS TWITTERRSS FEEDFACEBOOKEMAIL & CONTACTS

Sports Betting Podcast 4-29-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning

04.29.2016     01:34 PM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning. Ian broke down Friday and Saturday's NHL playoff matchups while ER and host Andrew Lange discussed tonight's NBA and MLB games.

Today's segments 
Ian Cameron - NHL Playoffs

Erin Rynning - MLB and NBA

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NHL NBA MLB Ian Cameron Erin Rynning Andrew Lange



MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals

04.29.2016     10:37 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington (Strasburg) -135 at St. Louis (Leake) O/U 7.5 
Recommendation: Washington


It’s not hard to make a case for betting against Mike Leake in a matchup against Stephen Strasburg, a true starting pitching mismatch. Leake’s walk rate is at a career high through his first four starts, and his ground ball rate is at a career low, a bad combination for a pitcher that doesn’t record strikeouts in bunches. He’s given up at least four runs in each of his first four starts of the season, and the only game St Louis was able to win with him on the hill came in a game where they scored eight runs.

I’m not anticipating that type of offensive outburst from the Cardinals tonight against one of Washington’s aces, Stephen Strasburg.  The Nats are 4-0 with Strasburg on the hill this year.  He’s lasted into the eighth inning in each of his last three starts, with a 27-4 strikeout to walk ratio during that span.  Dusty Baker’s bullpen behind Strasburg is an elite unit even after taking a rare loss last night, ranked #3 in MLB in bullpen ERA.

Washington is hungry off an ugly home sweep by the Phillies during the week; shut out in each of their last two games.  First baseman Ryan Zimmerman following last night’s tough loss, talking about this road trip: “We enjoy the challenge. We get to see what we are really made of. We go out and play three really good teams. I think the guys in (the) locker room are excited for it."  Chalk worth laying! 

Tags: MLB Washington Nationals St. Louis Cardinals Teddy Covers



Fuzzy Zoeller bet John Daly he wouldn't live to see 50

04.29.2016     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Fuzzy Zoeller apparently bet John Daly $150K that he wouldn't make it to 50 years old. Daly hit the big 5-0 today.


“Fuzzy’s going to owe me 150 grand,’’ Daly told USA TODAY Sports. “I don’t know if he remembers that bet or not, but I’ll get that cash from him hopefully.’’

“So I won’t hold him up to it,’’ Daly said. “I’ll just have him give me a free bottle of his vodka. That’s about it."



Tags: PGA



NFL Gambling News: Oakland Raiders to Las Vegas has financial backing

04.29.2016     07:31 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
So, this Oakland to Las Vegas thing has legs. Raiders owner Mark Davis is willing to pony up a half billion dollars to make it happen. And Roger Goodell is apparently leaving the decision in the hands of the owners.


"All of us have evolved a little bit on gambling. To me, where I cross the line is anything that can impact on the integrity of the game. If people think it is something that can influence the outcome of a game, we are absolutely opposed to that."

The NFL has long shunned Las Vegas, refusing its TV ads and telling players not to make appearances at casinos. But Davis said he believes owners will approve the move if the stadium is built.

“If we give them an offer they can’t refuse and that’s what we’re talking about now, I don’t see a problem,” Davis said.



Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Las Vegas



MLB Handicapping: Washington Nationals about to step up in class

04.29.2016     07:02 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We don't often talk about strength of schedule when it comes to MLB but here's an interesting take on the Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves. The Nationals are off to a 14-7 start -- 14-4 prior to losing three straight to the Phillies. Check out who they've played: Atlanta (6 games), Philadephia (6 games), Miami (6 games), and Minnesota (3 games). The Nats' schedule is about to get significantly tougher with a 10-game road swing against St. Louis, Kansas City, and the Chicago Cubs. The Braves are on the complete opposite end of the spectrum. They've faced Washington (6 games), St. Louis (3 games), Miami (3 games), the Los Angeles Dodgers (3 games) and Boston (4 games). This doesn’t change the fact that the Nationals are legitimate contenders in the NL East and the Braves are the worst team in baseball. But both teams’ schedules have played a role in the somewhat extreme results.

Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves



Gambling News: Australia bans live betting

04.29.2016     06:38 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Australian Government just placed a ban on live in-game sports betting via the internet which reportedly accounts for around 15% of its market.


“I think it’s a win for the lazy, traditional monopoly wagering operators in Australia who are more interested in protecting their monopoly than giving consumers what they want. It is a sad day for Australian consumers and I think the big winners today are the illegal offshore operators who will be able to continue to operate uninhibited.”

"I think it's been a very competitive market and in competitive markets boundaries can be stretched," Mr Attenborough told Fairfax Media. "I think its good to see the government actually providing clarity on where those boundaries will be set going forward. And what's important in competitive markets is you need to have clear boundaries so all players can operate within those boundaries."



Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves



MLB Betting Podcast 4-28-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

04.28.2016     09:57 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange talked today's MLB slate.

Today's segments 
Rob Veno - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Rob Veno Andrew Lange



MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers

04.28.2016     09:55 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Miami (Fernandez) at Los Angeles (Maeda) -125 O/U 6.5 
Recommendation: Under


We have two impressive starters on the mound here with Jose Fernandez for Miami and Kenta Maeda for Los Angeles. Fernandez hasn’t been at his absolute best in April but we know he has the stuff to be a dominant starter. This should be a good matchup for him considering the Dodgers haven't faced him in two years and in three career starts, he held LA to six earned runs as the Marlins won all three games. Kenta Maeda has been dominant, allowing just one run in 25.1 innings of work through his first four starts. Not only are the stats impressive, but when you watch Maeda throw, he induces a lot of weak contact and swings and misses which speaks to the high level of his stuff. Miami has a very erratic lineup which can be productive in certain games and feeble in others and it’s worth noting they have been weaker against right-handed starters this season which should lead to another potential strong outing from Maeda. I saw plenty of feeble at-bats last night from these two teams despite facing a couple of hittable pitchers in Justin Nicolino and the aging, declining Scott Kazmir. It is hard to envision runs in bunches tonight with two better starters on the mound tonight. The total is obviously adjusted for the quality of both starters but I still feel there is enough of a cushion to play it under the total.

Tags: MLB Miami Marlins Los Angeles Dodgers Ian Cameron



MLB Betting: Chicago and Arrieta laying as high as -400 vs. Milwaukee

04.28.2016     08:39 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We thought we were in rarified territory earlier this week when Clayton Kershaw was laying -310 against Miami. Note that the Dodgers lost that game snapping a streak of 12 straight wins by favorite of -300 or more. Today, a few sportsbooks are dealing -400 on Jake Arrieta and the Cubs as they take on the Brewers. You have to go back to 2008 to find the last -400 fav -- ironically it was the Cubs and Rich Harden (?!) against Washington’s Jason Bergmann. Over the last two years, the Cubs are 29-8 +17.7 units with Arrieta on the hill. Of course we've come a long ways value-wise from Arrieta's -110 home price tag against Lance Lynn and the Cardinals to open last season.

Tags: MLB Chicago Cubs



NFL Gambling: Prop bets galore for tonight's draft

04.28.2016     07:07 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL Draft begins tonight at 5 pm PT on ESPN. That means a number of sportsbooks will be offering prop bets on the outcomes. Below are a few options currently being offered at 5Dimes.

QBs in Round 1 
2.5 Over -3000 
2.5 Under +1300

RBs & WRs in Round 1 
5.5 Over +4.5 
5.5 Under -750

Offensive Players in Round 1 
13.5 over +115 
13.5 under -155

Defensive Players in Round 1 
17.5 Over -170 
17.5 under +130

Ohio State Players Drafted 
13.5 Over -115 
13.5 Under -125

SEC Players in Round 1 
8.5 Over -190 
8.5 Under +150

Mr. Irrelevant (last player drafted) 
Offensive Player -110 
Defensive Player -110

Tags: NFL



Sports Betting Podcast 4-27-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Drew Martin and Erin Rynning

04.27.2016     01:25 PM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Drew Martin and Erin Rynning. Drew and host Andrew Lange discussed tonight's MLB games while ER talked NBA Playoffs.

Today's segments 
Drew Martin - MLB

Erin Rynning - NBA Playoffs

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Drew Martin Erin Rynning Andrew Lange



MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Angels

04.27.2016     01:25 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas City (Young) +120 at Los Angeles (Tropeano) O/U 7.5 
Recommendation: Kansas City


Here’s an excerpt that I’ve been cutting and pasting when betting on Chris Young games for the last two seasons.  It’s (obviously) still pertinent and valid:

“Young is a veteran hurler – he’s been in the majors since 2004 – and a bright guy, a Princeton graduate.  He’s also extraordinarily tall at 6-10 with a tendency to throw high strikes, resulting in awkward angles for many opposing batters as they try to take him deep.  This bright, experienced veteran now has a CAREER xFIP of more than a full run higher than his career ERA.  Two years ago, it was more than a run and a half higher. Last year it was close to a run and a half differential between xFIP and ERA.  Over one season, this would be an anomaly.  Over a decade, it’s a clear pattern.  Young’s fairly unique skill set allows him to leave high fastballs over the plate and still get fly ball outs.  The advanced metric numbers don’t see the method behind the stats, which leaves Young as a perennially undervalued commodity.”

This Ned Yost quote after Young’s start in Oakland speaks volumes: “He’s not at his best right now, but he’s getting really, really close.”  And after a rough start to that game against the A’s, Young made a mechanical adjustment with his slider: “My slider got sharper and had more depth to it.” Lo and behold, Young pitched his best game of the season against Baltimore in his last outing.

 Behind Young is one of the best bullpens in baseball, in sharp contrast to the Angels pen that is ranked among the bottom half of MLB bullpens in ERA so far this season.  That matters a lot with Nick Tropeano on the hill for LA tonight.  Tropeano is no innings eater -- he has lasted into the seventh inning only twice in his 14 previous big league starts.

I want KC as an underdog off an ugly loss like the one they suffered last night; a squad that hasn’t lost three in a row yet this season.  And I want no part of the Angels off back-to-back wins, something the team had managed to do only once prior to last night’s victory.  Take the Royals.

Teddy has delivered three perfect sweeps in the last six days, making BIG $$ for himself and his clients RIGHT NOW! He's in excellent current form, hitting 71% in MLB and 75% in the NBA over the past week.  Go 2-0 tonight with Teddy's single Best Bets in NBA & MLB action!

Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Los Angeles Angels Teddy Covers



MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies

04.27.2016     09:33 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh (Niese) at Colorado (Gray) -105 O/U 10.5 
Recommendation: Colorado


The Colorado Rockies host the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight for the third game of a four-game set. The Rockies have been slumping, losers of four in a row and six of their last seven. Their struggles showed badly last night where Pittsburgh All-Star center fielder Andrew McCutchen launched three home runs in the Pirates' 9-4 victory. Pittsburgh hit five home runs in all, three of them off Colorado starter Jorge De La Rosa who departed from the game after just three innings because of an injured left groin. To no surprise, Colorado owns the worst team ERA (5.87) in baseball. Tonight, they’ll send young righty Jon Gray to the mound to try to snap a seven-game losing streak to the Pirates.  The Rockies are hoping the hard-throwing, highly touted Gray can become a top-of-the-rotation arm. He’s yet to figure out Coors Field (8.42 ERA in 6 career starts) but the sample is too small to completely write him off. What we do know is Gray can miss bats with a strikeout per inning throughout his Minor League and brief MLB career. After allowing three runs in the first inning of his last start, Gray settled down and eventually records 10 strikeouts in only five innings of work against the Dodgers. I think he profiles much better in Coors Field than Jon Niese. Niese is obviously a pitch-to-contact arm at this point and has already surrendered five home runs in only 23.1 innings of work this season. And he’s been drilled hard in Coors Field with a career ERA of 7.94 including and 7 earned run disaster last year. We’ll go with Gray’s upside as the Rockies at home at a pick ‘em price.

Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates Colorado Rockies Drew Martin



MLB Handicapping: Minnesota Twins call up top-rated pitching prospect

04.27.2016     08:16 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Rumor has it the Twins have a starting pitcher who can actually miss some bats. Following injuries to Ervin Santana and Kyle Gibson, Minnesota called up one of its highest rated prospects, Jose Berrios. Berrios, who is about to turn 22 years old, had a K-rate above 9 during stints at Double- and Triple-A last season. Here's a list of pitchers that received similar scouting grades to Berrios. He's slated to start tonight against Cleveland. The Twins went from +105 underdogs to -110 favorites.

Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Cleveland Indians



NBA Gambling: Markets make big adjustment following injuries to Paul and Griffin

04.27.2016     07:56 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
When you lose Chris Paul and Blake Griffin, it's pretty clear the pointspread needs to be adjusted. The question is how much. According to the betting markets, both players are worth about 11.5 points. The Clippers were -8.5 home favorites with Paul and Griffin in Games 1 and 2. As of this morning, they are +3 home dogs for tonight's Game 5. According to Sports Options, 81% of public money is on the Trail Blazers.

Tags: NBA Los Angeles Clippers Portland Trail Blazers



Journalist resigns for not being able to write about Sheldon Adelson

04.27.2016     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Old fogey Sheldon Adelson owns the Las Vegas-Review Journal so it stands to reason that its journalists aren't allowed to write anything critical about the man -- even though 99.2 percent of what he does deserves criticism. LVRJ columnist John L. Smith recently resigned over this rule which was handed down by newly appointed editor Keith Moyer. Adelson and Smith have crossed paths in the past with the former suing the latter for libel back in 2005. Moyer claims the decision was his own and Adelson has no influence on what goes on in the newsroom. Umm, yeah.


"His disdain for the working press and its prickly processes is palpable — and easily illustrated by his well-known litigiousness," Smith wrote in the R-J. "I experienced this firsthand when Adelson sued me for a few lines I'd written in my 2005 book "Sharks in the Desert: The Founding Fathers and Current Kings of Las Vegas." At the time, my daughter Amelia was being treated for brain cancer. After an excruciating civil process, during which I was forced to declare bankruptcy, the case was dismissed with prejudice by U.S. Bankruptcy Court Judge Bruce Markell, who declared me the prevailing party."



Tags: Las Vegas



MLB Betting Podcast 4-26-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers

04.26.2016     11:17 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers. Rob, Teddy, and host Andrew Lange talked today's MLB slate.

Today's segments 
Full Show - MLB EGOTB

Rob Veno - National League

Teddy Covers - American League

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Rob Veno Teddy Covers Andrew Lange



MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: New York Yankees at Texas Rangers

04.26.2016     09:45 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York (Severino) -115 at Texas (Griffin) O/U 9 
Recommendation: New York


New York's Luis Severino came into this season with a lot of fanfare following 2015's 11 starts and 2.89 ERA. It's however been a struggle as Severino has been smacked around for 25 hits in 16.2 IP. Prior to his last start, he made some mechanical adjustments that seemed to work as he produced his first quality start of the season (6 IP, 2 ER) vs. Oakland. It was far from a stellar effort as the Yankees' defense saved a few runs but with his velocity up I see bettor efforts on the horizon. Texas' AJ Griffin has consistently outpitched his peripherals with a 3.58 career ERA and 4.36 FIP. A lot of that has to do with Griffin being an extreme fly ball pitcher but tossing in the friendly confines of Oakland. During his lone full season as a starter in 2013, Griffin allowed 21 home runs in 95.2 IP on the road. The Yankees have struggled with the bats this season but should be primed for some offense after facing five straight left-handed starters. Also note that Dellin Betances and Andrew Miller threw an inning apiece during last night's 3-1 win but combined for only 19 pitches and should be available should the need arise. Not exactly a "buy low" situation on Severino who is now the short road favorite but the price is cheap enough to warrant a play.

Tags: MLB New York Yankees Texas Rangers OTTO Sports



MLB Gambling Trends: Kershaw a -300 favorite over Miami

04.26.2016     09:09 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We have a -300 favorite sighting on tonight's MLB slate with Clayton Kershaw taking on Miami and Tom Koehler. Quick look shows 3-1 favorites or more have been on a roll of late -- as they should -- with 12 straight wins dating back to 2014. Kershaw was involved in eight of those 12 contests. And of those 12 victories, only one was by a single run. The average margin of victory was 3.9 runs. But going back to 2000, -300 or more favorites both on the moneyline and run-line has been a small loser. Totals during that span went under as a 57% clip.

Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers



NBA Betting: Playoff series receive influx of intrigue following injuries to Curry and Paul

04.26.2016     09:02 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
What was originally on pace to be a snoozer first round has all of a sudden gotten really interesting. Golden State's Steph Curry (knee) is out for two weeks which would have made their second round matchup vs. the Los Angeles Clippers far more intriguing. Instead, the Warriors caught a break after Chris Paul broke his hand and will likely miss the rest of the postseason. And with the series tied 2-2, it's conceivable the Warriors could draw Portland. The Clippers are 3-5 SU, 3-4-1 ATS, and 7-1 O/U without Paul this season. Meanwhile, after sweeping Memphis is one of the easiest series in history, San Antonio has quietly moved to the slight favorite over Golden State to win the NBA Championship.

Tags: NBA Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Clippers San Antonio Spurs Portland Trail Blazers



NFL Handicapping: Sportsbook adjusts odds following Brady suspension

04.26.2016     08:33 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sportsbooks have reacted to the news of Tom Brady's four-game suspension. New England is still priced among the favorites to win Super Bowl LI but Week 1's game at Arizona went from a pick 'em to +4.5 at CG Technology. Following Week 1, the Patriots play three consecutive home games (vs. Miami, vs. Houston, and vs. Buffalo) and are projected to be -3 favorites or higher in all three sans Brady.

Tags: NFL New England Patriots



MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins

04.25.2016     12:38 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland (Salazar) -145 at Minnesota (Milone) O/U 7.5 
Recommendation: Cleveland


Tough spot here for the Twins who enter off of yesterday’s six hour, 16-inning loss at Washington. Minnesota’s offense was abysmal the last two games of the series posting a .151 BA, .233 OBP, .209 SLG% and worst of all 38 strikeouts in 83 plate appearances (45.8% K rate). That latter number won’t help much here versus Indians hard throwing RH Danny Salazar who has struck out 23 batters in his 18.1 innings of work thus far. While the opposing offenses in his three starts may not be elite MLB groups, Salazar has allowed only 14 total bases on eight hits (1HR) teams are hitting a collective .129 against him. The only sore spot for Salazar thus far is his base on balls nemesis which is almost 4.5 per 9 innings. While the Twins have been one of MLB’s worst hitting teams this month, they do have the eighth most walks with 66 so maybe they can capitalize on Salazar’s weakness. Salazar was 2-1 vs. Minnesota last year with a 0.89 WHIP and a 5:1 K-BB ratio (25 Ks, 5 BBs). Cleveland isn’t the only team with a pitching edge here since Minnesota’s LH Tommy Milone has gone 3-1 with a 1.27 ERA in his last five starts against Cleveland. To add to that, the Indians have not hit well against lefties this season posting a .223 BA, .277 OBP, .326 SLG% in 233 AB against them. Statistical indications show starting pitcher should fare well tonight but the bullpen situation figures to create a large advantage for Cleveland. The Twins relief corps is totally spent after the Washington series with all seven bullpen arms working yesterday with five of them recording pitch counts of 26 or more. Must also note that at any time during this series, Indians star OF Michael Brantley could return to the lineup after opening the season on the DL. Fully expect the current form of these teams to continue through tonight so lean here is with Cleveland.

Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Minnesota Twins Rob Veno



MLB Handicapping: Chicago Cubs are doing things no one has ever seen

04.25.2016     08:47 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Nineteen games into the season and the Chicago Cubs are producing at a ridiculously high (and unsustainable) level. Take the simple concept of run differential. Toronto's +1.4 runs per game from last season is the best the league has seen over the last decade. The Cubs are one pace to destroy that with a current mark of +3.6. To put it in perspective: Seattle won 116 games in 2001 and finished +1.9. The 1927 Yankees -- who are commonly referred to as the greatest team in history -- were +2.4. And if you've been betting the Cubs on the run-line, you're already up nearly +10 units! 

2016: Chicago Cubs +3.6 
2015: Toronto +1.4 
2014: Oakland +1.0 
2013: Boston/St. Louis +1.2 
2012: Washington/NY Yankees +0.8 
2011: NY Yankees +1.3 
2010: NY Yankees +1.0 
2009: NY Yankees/LA Dodgers +1.0 
2008: Chicago Cubs +1.1 
2007: Boston +1.3 
2006: NY Yankees +1.0

Tags: MLB Chicago Cubs



Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: The Secret Truth About the NFL

04.25.2016     08:25 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Everybody is talking about quarterbacks, with the NFL draft upcoming, starting on Thursday.  In recent weeks, both the St Louis Rams and the Philadelphia Eagles paid a steep price to move up to #1 and #2. The expectations are that California's Jared Goff and North Dakota State's Carson Wentz will go with the top two picks, although their draft order is still up in the air. 

If things go well with those two picks, the Rams and Eagles will be set up for the long term with above average quarterbacks.  If things go poorly with those two picks, the Rams and Eagles will be steady, consistent losers until the next time they draft a QB in the first round.  In fact, that’s exactly where the Rams have just been since they picked Sam Bradford #1 overall back in 2010.

The advanced metric pundits are all screaming bad deal for the two teams that traded up, and great deal for the two teams that traded down (Tennessee and Cleveland).  And the history of QB’s going #1 and #2 in the draft hasn’t seen two above average quarterbacks in those spots since 1971. 

Here’s the list: 
2015- Jameis Winston, Marcus Mariota (jury’s still out on these two) 
2012- Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin 
1999- Tim Couch, Donovan McNabb 
1998- Peyton Manning, Ryan Leaf 
1993- Drew Bledsoe, Rick Mirer 
1971- Jim Plunkett, Archie Manning

Tim Couch was taken ahead of Donovan McNabb in 1999, but that’s about the only instance of a #2 drafted QB outshining the guy at #1.  That list does not make the Eagles trade look particularly prescient. 

Eagles' GM Howie Roseman had this to say after already locking up Sam Braford and Chase Daniel in free agency before making the move up to #2: “You look at teams and it’s clear — you have quarterbacks or you don’t, and teams that don’t have quarterbacks are looking for them, and we don’t want to be in that position going forward. So even though we understand that we made a commitment to Sam and Chase, we went into this offseason saying we wanted to improve the quarterback situation. We don’t want to be in a situation where we’re desperate.”

The reality is that half the league – at least -- would upgrade their QB if they could.  Brock Osweiler just got $72 million from the Texans.  RG3 got $15 million from the Browns.  Remember when the sports universe went abuzz because Andy Dalton signed a $96 million dollar deal to stay in Cincinnati?  Any warm body that can throw the football even a little bit is a valued commodity.  Because the secret truth about the NFL in 2016 is that there are no quarterbacks.

Look at the serviceable quarterbacks drafted over the last ten years.  These are not the top draftees (that list looks much worse), just the ones who have gotten some playing time.  The five QBs on the list from the last two seasons all get incomplete grades – too soon to tell. 

But the aggregate result of the rest of this list isn’t very pretty! 
2015: Marcus Mariota, Jameis Winston.   
2014: Blake Bortles, Derek Carr, Teddy Bridgewater.   
2013: EJ Manuel, Geno Smith. 
2012: Andrew Luck, Ryan Tannehill, Russell Wilson, Brock Osweiler, Nick Foles, Kirk Cousins. 
2011: Cam Newton, Blaine Gabbert, Andy Dalton, Colin Kaepernick. 
2010: Sam Bradford. 
2009: Matthew Stafford, Marc Sanchez. 
2008: Matt Ryan, Joe Flacco, Chad Henne. 
2007: JaMarcus Russell, Brady Quinn, Kevin Kolb 
2006: Vince Young, Matt Leinart, Jay Cutler, Charlie Whitehurst.

Look at that list closely.  Over the last ten years, there have been a grand total of three legit superstar quarterbacks to come out of college: Andrew Luck (a #1 overall pick), Cam Newton (a #1 overall pick) and Russell Wilson (the only QB under the age of 30 with a Super Bowl ring).  So basically, if you didn’t draft #1, you’ve had one chance in ten years to get an elite QB.  Hard to find that kind of needle in a haystack, isn’t it!

But it gets worse than that.  Over the last ten years, other than the three superstar quarterbacks, there have only been three other well above average players drafted: Andy Dalton, Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco.  The scary thing is that the next tier guys on the list – Jay Cutler, Matthew Stafford and Ryan Tannehill – look good by comparison, even though none of those three appear primed to ever lead their team to a Super Bowl.

So, we’ve got three elites, three well above average QBs, and a handful of serviceable guys coming out of the NFL draft over the last ten years.  But when it comes to first round QB’s drafted, there’s been more busts than anything: JaMarcus Russell, Brady Quinn, Vince Young, Matt Leinart, Jake Locker, Christian Ponder, Blaine Gabbert, EJ Manuel, Mark Sanchez, Josh Freeman, Tim Tebow, Brandon Weeden and Johnny Manziel .  Each and every one of those guys were a ‘set your franchise back at least two or three years’ type of bust, and there were more of those guys than anybody else. 

That being said, the first rounders sure were better than the second rounders, unless you think Jimmy Clausen, Pat White, Brian Brohm, John Beck or Tavaris Jackson enjoyed productive careers.

I know, I’m exaggerating, with the whole ‘There are no QB’s thing.  That being said most of the top remaining QBs have played at least a dozen previous seasons in the NFL.  We just lost Peyton Manning.  The likes of Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Philip Rivers, Eli Manning, Ben Roethlisberger, Aaron Rodgers and Carson Palmer are all in or fast approaching  past their prime territory.  And there just aren’t a new crop of QBs ready to replace them.

Say you’re an NFL GM.  The history of recent quarterbacks drafted is nothing short of hideous.  The top free agent this offseason was Brock bleeping Osweiler, and he got a $72 million deal.  Chase Daniel got $21 million.  Who knows how much Ryan Fitzpatrick is going to command on the open market, or Brian Hoyer, the "top 2" remaining free agent QBs?  Neither guy has much Super Bowl upside.  And don’t expect next year’s free agent class to look much better.

If you can’t get a QB in free agency, it means that you’ve got to find a QB somewhere else.  An elite QB turns a mediocre team good (Andrew Luck in Indy) or a good team great (Russell Wilson in Seattle).  I don’t blame Roseman for paying a king’s ransom in draft picks to give the Eagles that shot, even though it’s more likely to fail than to succeed.  Quite simply, there are no other options in a league with a real dearth of talent moving forward at the quarterback position.

Follow me on Twitter @teddy_covers.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers



NFL Gambling: Most think Raiders to Las Vegas a pipe dream

04.25.2016     08:03 AM     Printer Friendly

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Various Las Vegas oddsmakers price the Raiders' chances of moving to Las Vegas. One said the Phillies have a better chance at winning the World Series while another went as low as a 2-1 underdog.


“I think we have more of a chance than we’ve ever had,” CG Technology sports books vice president Matthew Holt said. “We’re all cheering for it, but I’m not overly optimistic. We’re still an underdog, though a small underdog. I’ll say the odds are 2-1 against. I think (Davis) is serious to an extent.

“Talking about building a stadium and building it are different. And the NFL is so anti-gaming that until sports betting laws change, the league is going to be against it, so that’s another hurdle to clear. I have a lot more optimism that we’ll support a football team than a hockey team for 41 nights a year. I think the hockey team is going to be a struggle after the first year. It’s hard to get a regular fan base. Most of the warm-weather franchises have failed.”



Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Las Vegas






VIP EMAIL CLUB
Add Your Email Address:
How did you find us?


More VIP Email Options
 
Email
 
MLB
Current Blog Topics
Current Blog Topics
SportsMemo Ads
Daily Plays
$29
Ian Cameron and his clients cashed in with his one and only MLB play last night and he is ready to cash in on the diamond tonight with a very strong, top rated 20* MLB Saturday Main Event. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for just $29 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next MLB play is free.

$20
Teddy is riding a 67% MLB hot streak into Saturday, primed to cash this West Coast winner to close out your evening. The Royals and Mariners are priced near pick em -- no juice to lay -- and Teddy is ready to cash another winning bet backing a right side winner here. Get it now & cash in tonight! This play must win or his next report is FREE!

$20
Brent Crow KNOWS MLB totals with 61% winners over the last three seasons. Get Saturday's top 10* total for only $20. It must cash or BC's top selection for Sunday is on the house.

$20
Drew Martin is in with an isolated 10* selection on today's card. One of the most famous rivalries in all of sports the Yankees and the Red Sox face each other and a few metrics that favor one of the sides is at play. This package is only $20 and a Watch and Win opportunity on MLB Network; guaranteed to win- or his next selection is on the house.

$20
Ian Cameron and his clients have enjoyed rock solid profits in 3 years in the National Hockey League at Sportsmemo banking +21.23 units of profit on the ice since 2012 along with a profitable +6.6 units NHL season including the playoffs. He is ready to deliver more profits on the ice tonight with his 10* NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs Top Play which is backed by a perfect 13-0 betting angle which has been cashing tickets for months. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for just $20 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next NHL play is free.

$29
Rob has carved a spot among the industries best when it comes to his Best Bets in all sports. Since the 2014 season Rob's 20* plays have cashed at a 61% rate raking in +71.0 units! Rob has his Sunday Card ready to roll highlighted by his NBA 20* Playoff Total and you can join him for just $29, guaranteed to cash or tomorrow's play is free.


Extended Services
-----------SportsMemo-----------
SportsMemo Ads
Discussion Forum
-------------------------------------
Post SubjectTime    Last Poster
MLB 201615:30    Stallone
Why are MLB games played in...10:38    Kevodamus
MLB Runlines05:14    ajwat297
MMA21:10    Kevodamus
MLB/ NBA & NHL Podcast14:03    Drew Martin
Raiders Owner meeting with ...07:18    Drew Martin

-------------------------------------
Current Blog
-------------------------------------

-------------------------------------
-----------SportsMemo-----------





Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 30, 2016 03:31 PM.