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College Football Betting Preview: Washington State Cougars at Oregon State Beavers

10.27.2016     12:11 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Washington State at Oregon State 
Saturday, 7:45 pm PT - ESPN2 
CRIS Opener:
Washington State -15.5 O/U 65.5 
CRIS Current: Washington State -13 O/U 57 
Recommendation: Oregon State

My clients and I cashed in betting against Washington State as road chalk last week in a closer-than-expected non-covering win at Arizona State.  And there’s absolutely no reason to think that the Cougs are being priced appropriately as double-digit road favorites as they travel to Corvallis on Saturday night.

This is the wrong price range for Washington State in a very hostile road environment.  It’s also the wrong pointspread range for an Oregon State team that has been getting killed on the highway, but consistently playing competitive football at Reser Stadium.

There’s been one very consistent facet of Mike Leach coached teams, dating back to his tenure at Texas Tech – they have letdowns, not a coach who’s prone to guiding his team to extended winning streaks.  In his fifth season at Washington State, the Cougars current five game winning streak is the longest of the Leach era.  Only once during his extended tenure at Texas Tech did the Red Raiders win more than four in a row.

And when it comes to winning on the road by big margins, the Cougs again have a very limited track record.  They won five games away from home last year, none by more than a touchdown.  They didn’t win a road game by more than a touchdown the previous year either.  They lost at Boise in one road game this year, and barely hung on to beat Arizona State last week, notching only one win by margin on the highway (against collapsing, offensively challenged Stanford in the game where Christian McCaffrey got hurt and the Cardinal fell apart without him.

Oregon State has won three of the last five meetings against Wassou in straight up fashion, and a fourth loss – Washington State’s last visit to Reser – was a competitive, seven point defeat.  This is not unusual for the Beavers.  In previous ‘step-up’ games at home this year, Gary Anderson’s squad covered the spread against Boise, pulled the outright upset over Cal and hung within five points of Utah in another spread covering defeat.

And Oregon State has the appropriate game plan to keep the ball out of Luke Falk’s hands.  The Beavers do one thing well – they run the football, gaining 177 yards on 5.8 per carry against Washington’s elite defense last week.  They ran for 197 against Utah the previous week and 474 against Cal in their last win, at home, right here in Corvallis earlier this month.  Expect a competitive contest, not  a blowout. 

Tags: College Football Washington State Cougars Oregon State Beavers PAC-12 Teddy Covers

College Football Betting Preview: Cincinnati Bearcats at Temple Owls

10.27.2016     12:07 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Cincinnati at Temple 
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBSC 
CRIS Opener:
Temple -8 O/U 53.5 
CRIS Current: Temple -7 O/U 53.5 
Recommendation: Over

Temple’s offense has come on strong in recent games which has played a pivotal role in its current 5-2 SU, 7-0 ATS streak. Quarterback Phillip Walker can still be prone to turnovers at times but he’s thrown 11 touchdowns to seven interceptions in Temple’s last nine games. Meanwhile, the ground attack, led by running backs Ryquell Armstead and Jahad Thomas, has been productive at 170 ypg and 4.5 ypc. Cincinnati’s defense has been a subpar unit for much of the campaign giving up 5.5 yards per play and they’ve yielded 40+ points to better offensive foes like South Florida and Houston as well as 504 total yards to Purdue. I expect Temple’s offense which has scored 27+ points in seven straight games to have another solid day on the ground and with play action pass against this suspect Cinci defense.

Cincinnati’s offense seemed to get a boost of energy and momentum last week when former starter Gunner Kiel got his first start of the season after losing his job. Kiel threw for for 348 yards and four touchdowns with an interception in last week’s 31-19 win against East Carolina. Cincinnati racked up 513 total yards against a rested and fresh Pirates defense that was coming off an extra bye week because their game against Navy was postponed due to a hurricane threat the week prior.

Temple still has one of the upper echelon defenses in the conference but it’s worth noting they have surrendered 34, 25 and 30 points in their last three games against Memphis, UCF and South Florida who have comparable offenses to Cincinnati. Temple knocked off Cincinnati 34-26 last season when these teams met in a game that sailed over the total of 55.5. This year’s total is a bit lower and I think we have two offenses currently in better form than their overall season numbers would indicate which leads to some value.

Tags: College Football Cincinnati Bearcats Temple Owls AAC Ian Cameron

Sportsmemo's College Football Every Game on the Board Betting Podcast 10-27-2016

10.27.2016     11:23 AM     Printer Friendly


Here is Sportsmemo's College Football Every Game on the Board Podcast for Week 9. Handicappers Ian Cameron, Brent Crow, Drew Martin, Rob Veno and Teddy Covers joined host Andrew Lange to break down this weekend's slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments 
Full Show - College Football Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory

Tags: College Football Ian Cameron Brent Crow Drew Martin Rob Veno Teddy Covers

NBA Betting Podcast 10-26-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning

10.26.2016     12:33 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. ER and host Andrew Lange broke down a few games on the NBA card.

Today's segments 
Erin Rynning - NBA

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NBA Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

College Football Gambling: Stanford makes switch at quarterback

10.26.2016     11:19 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
With a passing game that is averaging only 166 ypg and a 4 TD-to-7 INT ratio, the Stanford Cardinal have announced a switch at quarterback. Keller Chryst (18 attempts YTD) will take over for Ryan Burns. This week's opponent, Arizona, offers an opportunity for Stanford to produce something in the passing game. The Wildcats rank in the bottom third of the PAC-12 in most pass defense categories.

”I hate to get to this point,” Shaw said. ”But it’s the best thing for this offense. We need more production at that position. It’s our challenge to support Keller.”

Tags: College Football Stanford Cardinal Arizona Wildcats PAC-12

College Football Betting Preview: Penn State Nittany Lions at Purdue Boilermakers

10.26.2016     10:21 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Penn State at Purdue 
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN2 
CRIS Opener:
Penn State -13.5 O/U 56.5 
CRIS Current: Penn State -12.5 O/U 56.5 
Recommendation: Purdue

Since getting blown out against Maryland 50-7, Purdue has rallied back with three straight solid performances. The Boilermakers managed to fire back with a win over Illinois, hung 500 yards on Iowa, and battled toe-to-toe with Nebraska for three quarters before eventually wearing down. All three performances weren't without plenty of hiccups, particularly Purdue's inability to run the football against the Hawkeyes and Cornhuskers (71 yards combined), but the attitude remains positive with this club following the departure of head coach Darrell Hazell.

And they certainly catch Penn State at a good time following its big win over Ohio State. You give the Nittany Lions credit for the victory but they were still outgained by 137 yards. Overall, the Nittany Lions' body of work isn't all that impressive. They were totally outclassed by Michigan and barely slipped past Minnesota 29-26 despite statistically dominating the game. And in the in over Maryland, Terps’ quarterback Perry Hills was forced to leave the game in the second quarter. We saw how important Hill was in last week's win and cover over Michigan State. The one thing Penn State does have in its favor is health as the defense was extremely banged up earlier this season. They've gotten a lot healthier and it showed as they held Ohio State to less than 5 yards per play.

It's hard however to ignore Penn State's track record on the road. Last season, they were 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS away from State College with the lone victory coming by a single point in a neutral setting over Maryland. And this season, PSU pushed in a 42-39 road loss at Pitt and was waxed at Michigan. Now they are being asked to lay double-digits off one of the program's biggest wins. Purdue is a very flawed team but capable of competing against a middle-of-the-pack Penn State squad.

Tags: College Football Penn State Nittany Lions Purdue Boilermakers Big Ten OTTO Sports

College Football Betting News: Oklahoma's defense sinks to all-time low

10.26.2016     09:26 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
A year removed from allowing 4.8 yards per play, Oklahoma's defense has taken a big step back. Through seven games, the Sooners have surrendered 6.5 yards per play on three occasions including last week's obscene 7.83 ypp (854 total yards) against Texas Tech. Mike Stoops had this to say following the "win."

“We had no control,” Stoops said. “At no time did we feel good in any aspect of what we were doing. Pressures weren’t good enough. Coverage wasn’t good enough. Making them pull it down and run wasn’t good enough. There was nothing good.

“We won. Our offense did an incredible job to help us but it hurts when you don’t hold up your end of the deal in any game. We’ve got to look at a lot of things. It’s like I said. It’s unacceptable at so many levels, I can’t even begin to try to define it to you all.”

“I don’t know,” Stoops said. “We’ll see. Yeah, we’ve got no choice. We can only go up from here. It’s just total breakdowns. Technique, guys running post routes wide open, I’ve never seen that my whole life. I’ve never seen that many guys open in one game.”

Tags: College Football Oklahoma Sooners Big XII

College Football Betting Preview: Boston College Eagles at NC State Wolfpack

10.26.2016     09:08 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Boston College at NC State 
Saturday, 9:30 am PT 
CRIS Opener:
NC State -14.5 O/U 49.5 
CRIS Current: NC State -16 O/U 49.5 
Recommendation: NC State

Boston College is likely thankful that this Saturday’s opponent neither has a dual threat quarterback nor do they run an up-tempo system. Last week the Eagles saw their third opponent this season with those traits and their defense was again hammered as Syracuse gained 532 total yards. Combined, Eric Dungey and Syracuse, Deshaun Watson and Clemson and Jerod Evans and Virginia Tech have gained a total of 1,511 yards and scored 133 points. Ryan Finley and the NC State Wolfpack don’t have the threat of the zone read option and they don’t go as fast as the previously mentioned teams which philosophically suits the Boston College defensive assets better. Relying upon their ground game led by Matt Dayes and the passing of Finley, NC State is averaging 5.6 yards per play which is equal to Clemson and a shade better than Syracuse’s 5.5.       

The Wolpack defense takes a monumental step down in class here after facing the explosive Clemson and Louisville offenses the past two weeks. Boston College continued their miserable offensive ways last week gaining only 287 yards against a porous Syracuse defense and in the process, starting quarterback Patrick Towles injured his hamstring late in the game. It’s unclear whether Towles will be able to go this week or not (listed as questionable) but his combined 175 yards per game (134.6 ypg passing, 40.4 ypg rushing), 48.6% completions and 7-4 TD-INT ratio haven’t been difference makers anyway. The hope that new OC/QB coach Scott Loeffler could resurrect Towles college career and this offense’s production has become a major disappointment as they’ve averaged just 253.5 ypg in their four ACC contests.    

Aside from the fundamentals which totally favor NC State on each side of the ball, there’s the fact that they need two more wins to become bowl eligible and they’re only going to be favored once more this season. 6-6 and a minor bowl is not what they set out for in 2016 but if they don’t get there, Dave Doeren could be an offseason casualty. Steve Addazio is more likely to end up in that spot unless his team comes up with an exceptionally strong finish. The Eagles have covered only two games all season and those were against Buffalo and UMass. They’ve only been in this double-digit home underdog role once and Clemson destroyed them 56-10. State is a physical team which figures to win in the trenches and coast to a much needed victory somewhere in the 33-13 range.

Tags: College Football Boston College Eagles NC State Wolfpack ACC Rob Veno

College Football Betting Preview: Baylor Bears at Texas Longhorns

10.25.2016     11:26 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Baylor at Texas 
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC 
CRIS Opener:
Baylor -2.5 O/U 70 
CRIS Current: Baylor -3 O/U 69 
Recommendation: Over

After going under the total in two straight games, I look for Texas' beleaguered defense to be exposed yet again when they face Baylor on Saturday. It's been a constant theme this season that capable offenses can move the ball at will against the Longhorns. Over a three-game swatch against California, Oklahoma State, and Oklahoma, UT allowed 1,734 yards at a startling 7.3 yards per play.

Perhaps more important to this handicapper is how flawed Baylor's defensive numbers are. The Bears' schedule comes up ultra-light with games against Northwestern State, SMU, Rice, Oklahoma State, Iowa State, and Kansas. There is one game in particular that stands out as alarming and that's what Iowa State was able to do with the football against the Bears a few weeks back. The Cyclones posted arguably their best offensive showing of the year with 204 yards on the ground and 261 through the air. All told, ISU averaged over 6 yards per play.

Texas has had no trouble moving the football this season, and they've done it consistently. In seven games, the Longhorns have averaged no fewer than 5.2 yards per play. And outside of last week's game against slow paced Kansas State (62 plays), the Longhorns have remained married to an up-tempo attack with 82+ plays in every game except a blowout win over UTEP.

What stands out the most is the current number on this total. Texas-Iowa State was lined 69. Texas-Oklahoma closed 72.5. And Texas-Cal was 79.5. Baylor's fraudulent defensive numbers as well as Texas playing two straight unders have afforded us some value on playing the over.

Tags: College Football Baylor Bears Texas Longhorns Big XII Andrew Lange

NBA Handicapping: New York Knicks are apparently the hot futures ticket

10.25.2016     11:02 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
In typical reactionary fashion, Las Vegas sportsbooks have significantly lowered the odds on the New York Knicks to win the NBA Championship. MGM has them currently at 20-1 (LOL!). Last year, the Knicks were lined at 29.5 wins and crept over with a 32-50 mark. This year, they're pegged to improve by 8.5 wins (O/U 40.5).

Tags: NBA New York Knicks

NFL Gambling Alert: With Hoyer out, Bears forced to go back to the well with Cutler

10.25.2016     10:54 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
With Brian Hoyer out, the Chicago Bears will turn back to Jay Cutler who hasn't played since Week 2. The Bears actually rank 10th in the NFL in yards per play (5.8) but have topped 17 points only once -- 23 against defensively inept Indianapolis. Cutler will be tasked with going up against the league's top pass defense on Monday night. The Vikings allow only 5.8 yards per attempt and a league-best 63.7 opposing QB rating.

"At the end of the day, obviously Jay's our starter," Fox asserted. "He was injured and not permitted to play medically. And now that he's healed, he's back to being our starter. That's really the facts and kind of what happened and where we're at now."

Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Minnesota Vikings

College Football Handicapping: South Carolina moves forward with two frosh quarterbacks

10.25.2016     10:46 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Looks like South Carolina is going the youth movement route as senior quarterback Perry Orth has been phased out of what has been a revolving door of starters. Orth didn't play in last week's 34-28 win over UMass as the Gamecocks topped 20 points for the first time this season. Freshmen Jake Bentley and Brandon McIlwain will now battle for playing time moving forward. Bentley started against the Minutemen and is expected to do the same vs. Tennessee.

“I just feel like right now, from an ability standpoint, (Bentley and McIlwain) give us the best opportunity, and they’re just going to keep getting better,” Muschamp said. “Both of them do things equally well, and we’ll continue to rep that way.”

“Competition is my best friend, and those guys are two competitive guys,” Muschamp said. “They are going to go out every single day and battle and support each other. It’s going to be good for the Gamecocks. That’s what I’m looking forward to. We have two good players who can do really good things, and all they are going to do is continue to get better."

Tags: College Football South Carolina Gamecocks Tennessee Volunteers SEC

NHL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs

10.25.2016     10:37 AM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Alex Smith blog entry.
Tampa Bay -130 at Toronto O/U 5.5 
Recommendation: Over

The Toronto Maple Leafs return home tonight to host fellow Atlantic Division foe, the Tampa Bay Lightning. Toronto has been very competitive to open the year despite its 1-1-3 record. The Leafs earned five points in six games which is an improvement from their 1-7-2 start to open last season. First overall pick Auston Matthews has been on fire, scoring five goals and dishing out three assists in his first five games. He's accounted for nearly a third of the Leafs' overall scoring. Tampa Bay started the season with four straight home games (3-1). They now continue a six-game road trek after winning their opening contest 4-1 over Ottawa. The Lightning have been getting offensive contributions throughout the lineup, which is typically the norm with this club. Nine different skaters have lit the lamp in five games with center Alex Killorn leading the club with four goals. The Maple Leafs are 3-0-2 O/U thus far, while Tampa is only 2-2-1 O/U but have scored three or more goals in each game. The Bolts have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, but with a new look Maple Leafs club this season, I expect a competitive battle from both of these offensively talented clubs. I'm siding with the over in this contest.

Tags: NHL Tampa Bay Lightning Toronto Maple Leafs Alex B. Smith

NHL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Philadelphia Flyers at Montreal Canadiens

10.24.2016     12:00 PM     Alex Smith     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Alex Smith blog entry.
Philadelphia at Montreal -165 O/U 5 
Recommendation: Under

It's an Eastern Conference clash this evening with the Montreal Canadiens hosting the Philadelphia Flyers. The Habs are enjoying having the services of superstar goaltender Carey Price back after notably missing the bulk of last year with injuries. He was also held out for the first three contests of this season with the flu. The Former MVP has won his first two starts and Montreal is 4-0-1 to open the campaign. Philadelphia started off the season with a tough three-game road trip and had lost three of their first four games overall before getting back in the win column on Saturday with a 5-3 decision over Carolina. The Flyers have been thin on defense due to injuries suffered to Michael Del Zotto and forward Scott Laughton, who won't return for another couple of weeks, but Philly will gain the services of Radko Gudas in time for this game. The 26-year old blueliner was suspended since the preseason for a blind hit on Boston rookie Austin Czarnik. Gudas' return coincides with the suspension handed to Flyers winger Dale Weise, who is out for three games due to a charging call in their last contest and he will miss a shot to skate against his former club. The Canadiens have been dominant on the penalty kill so far, stuffing out 23 of 25 chances. Newly acquired defenseman Shea Weber has been taking care of business at both ends of the ice, picking up a goal and four assists along with blocking nine shots and throwing 15 hits with an average of 26 minutes of ice time per game. With Montreal playing their usual tight style of hockey once again, and the Flyers still missing some pieces in their lineup, I could see this being a slower, physical game. I'll look for this contest to go under the total of 5 at the plus price.

Tags: NHL Philadelphia Flyers Montreal Canadiens Alex B. Smith

NFL Handicapping: NFC East on the rise

10.24.2016     11:33 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
The NFC East has been jokingly called the “NFC Least” by pundits for years because of how weak of a division it had become but it is starting to gain some of its tenacity and strength back. This is the only division in the NFL where each team is above .500 and each of the four teams have a realistic shot to capture the division crown. I will examine where they stand following Week 7.

Dallas Cowboys (5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS) 
The Dallas Cowboys have shown no ill effects of being without Tony Romo or Dez Bryant the last few games. They've been propelled by the play of two rookies: quarterback Dak Prescott and running back Ezekiel Elliott. The Cowboys are currently third in the NFL in yards per play (6.1) and total yards per game (401.5) thanks to not only Prescott and Elliot but arguably the league's best offensive line. The defense which was thought to be a major area of concern for this team has benefited from the offense sustaining drives and keeping them fresh later in games. The stop unit ranks in the middle of the pack in most defensive categories but have managed to outperform expectations. Dallas comes out of their bye week with a divisional home game against the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday night. They are currently a -4.5 home favorites and will look to avoid the bye week thwarting their momentum; something that has already happened to a couple teams this season including Minnesota this past weekend. Let's see how this team handles being priced as an upper-tier unit. Since 2010, the Cowboys are 9-26 ATS as home favorites and project to be -4 or higher in their remaining five contests.

Philadelphia Eagles (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) 
The Philadelphia Eagles have been a streaky bunch. They opened the season with three straight victories against Cleveland, Chicago and Pittsburgh. They came out of their bye week with back-to-back losses against Detroit and Washington but rebounded in a big way with a trenches-controlling win over Minnesota. Quarterback Sam Bradford was under pressure all day long (six sacks) as the Eagles' aggressive defensive schemes under Jim Schwartz paid in spades. Philadelphia’s defense has been strong; a top five unit in total yards, passing yards and total points allowed per game. It's given rookie quarterback Carson Wentz a chance to feel more comfortable by being in a position of not having to play from behind. The Eagles' schedule picks up moving forward with Dallas and the New York Giants both on the road followed by games against Atlanta, Seattle and Green Bay. The markets have really gone back and forth with this squad but the win over Minnesota helped bump them back to "above average."

Washington Redskins (4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS) 
The Washington Redskins lost their opening two games of the season both straight up and against the spread to Pittsburgh and Dallas but bounced back to win and cover four straight against the Giants, Cleveland, Baltimore and Philadelphia. That streak came to an end in Detroit on Sunday in a tough 20-17 loss as Matt Stafford engineered a last minute touchdown drive to lead them to victory. At 4-2 heading into that game, bettors were all of a sudden asking the question, "is this team for real?" Even with a competitive showing against the Lions, I still feel this is the most flawed team in the division, particularly on defense. And cluster injuries in the secondary will test their porous pass defense as early as next week against Cincinnati in London. Pro Bowl corner Josh Norman left Sunday’s game with a concussion and fellow corner Bashaud Breeland suffering an ankle injury. Both players are listed as day-to-day. If neither suits up next weekend, Cincinnati has some weapons to potentially exploit that vulnerability including wide receiver A.J. Green and tight end Tyler Eifert who just returned this past weekend from injury.

New York Giants (4-3 SU, 3-3-1 ATS) 
The New York Giants pulled out a couple of hard fought close wins against Baltimore and Los Angeles. The oddity with the Giants is that their offense (expected to be a good unit this season) has had trouble sustaining drives and consistently finding the end zone. They’ve been held to 17 points or less in three of their last four games. Despite a wealth of receiver talent, Eli Manning currently ranks 23rd with an 87.3 QB rating. The money spent upgrading the defense however has paid off. This was an atrocious unit last year but through seven games, they've allowed only 20.1 ppg (10th) despite playing one of the league's tougher slates. And that slate softens somewhat moving forward with five of their next seven at home and a very winnable road trip to Cleveland. Unlike Washington, I do think this team is for real and there's real upside if the offense can find its stride.

Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Washington Redskins Philadelphia Eagles New York Giants Ian Cameron

NFL Betting Podcast 10-24-2016 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

10.24.2016     10:39 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy gave his famed Opening Line Report for Week 8 of the NFL.

Today's segments 
Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report - Week 8

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

NFL Handicapping: Oakland's hellacious road schedule continues

10.24.2016     09:13 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Not sure why Oakland wants to move to Las Vegas when it would be bettered served joining the Sun Belt Conference. Of Oakland's seven games this season, four have been road including two on the East Coast. After beating Jacksonville in Week 7, the Raiders are being asked to head right back to the Sunshine State for an early start game against Tampa Bay (early reports indicate the team will stay in Florida). The league schedule makers were obviously drunk -- and/or trolling -- the Raiders. After their trip to Tampa, they return home for four straight (note: one game is in Mexico City) and then close out the year with three out of four on the road -- the three, of course, division games. What's impressive is dating back to last season, Oakland is 8-4 SU and 10-2 ATS on the highway including a 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS record in the ET.

Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Tampa Bay Buccaneers

College Football Handicapping: Golden Nugget Game of the Year vs. CRIS - Week 9

10.24.2016     08:55 AM     Printer Friendly

Week 9's breakdown of Golden Nugget's Game of the Year lines vs. CRIS's current numbers. This week marks some of the biggest differences we've seen all year: West Virginia +10 to -4, Miami +7.5 to -1.5, Florida +3 to -6.5, Auburn +8 to -3, and Michigan -4 to -21.5.

2016 College Football Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 9
Golden Nugget GOY
CRIS Current
USC -14.5
USC -14.5
Stanford -5.5
Stanford -6
Arizona State
Oregon -12
Oregon -7.5
West Virginia
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State -10
West Virginia -4
Note Dame
Notre Dame -7.5
Miami -1.5
Georgia (Jacksonville)
Georgia -3
Florida -6.5
Ole Miss
Ole Miss -8
Auburn -3
Michigan State
Michigan -4
Michigan -21.5
Florida State
Florida State -3.5
Clemson -4

Tags: College Football

NFL Gambling Update: SuperContest consensus goes 3-2 ATS in Week 7

10.24.2016     08:41 AM     Printer Friendly


For only the third time this season, SuperContest consensus plays turned a profit by going 3-2 against the spread in Week 7. That ups the year-to-date record to 11-23-1 ATS. The top weekly play is 2-5 ATS.

1. MINNESOTA -2.5 at Philadelphia - LOSS 
2. SAN DIEGO +6.5 at Atlanta - WIN 
3. TENNESSEE -2.5 vs. Indianapolis - LOSS 
4. NEW ENGLAND -7 at Pittsburgh - WIN 
5. MIAMI +3 vs. Buffalo - WIN

Year-to-date results 
Week 1: 3-2 
Week 2: 0-5 
Week 3: 0-5  
Week 4: 1-4 
Week 5: 3-2 
Week 6: 1-3-1 
Week 7: 3-2


NFL Gambling: ATS darlings Minnesota top SuperContest consensus plays

10.22.2016     09:29 PM     View Original Blog
Below at the top five consensus plays for the Westgate's famed SuperContest.

1. MINNESOTA -2.5 at Philadelphia 
2. SAN DIEGO +6.5 at Atlanta 
3. TENNESSEE -2.5 vs. Indianapolis 
4. NEW ENGLAND -7 at Pittsburgh 
5. MIAMI +3 vs. Buffalo

Least Picked Sunday Side: INDIANAPOLIS +2.5 at Tennessee

Tags: NFL SuperContest

NFL Gambling: ATS darlings Minnesota top SuperContest consensus plays

10.22.2016     09:29 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Below at the top five consensus plays for the Westgate's famed SuperContest.

1. MINNESOTA -2.5 at Philadelphia 
2. SAN DIEGO +6.5 at Atlanta 
3. TENNESSEE -2.5 vs. Indianapolis 
4. NEW ENGLAND -7 at Pittsburgh 
5. MIAMI +3 vs. Buffalo

Least Picked Sunday Side: INDIANAPOLIS +2.5 at Tennessee

Tags: NFL SuperContest

College Football Betting Preview: Miami RedHawks at Bowling Green Falcons

10.21.2016     10:19 PM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
Miami at Bowling Green 
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN3 
CRIS Opener:
Bowling Green -3.5 O/U 55.5 
CRIS Current: Bowling Green -2 O/U 52.5 
Recommendation: Under

It does not get much more under the radar than the Miami-Bowling Green. Both teams stand at 1-6 on the year with the RedHawks off of their first win of the year just last week over Kent State. Bowling Green has lost five straight and is still searching for their first win against FBS competition. It's no secret both of these two MAC schools have major flaws, although it offers value when looking at the total, especially when factoring in one of the few positive units; Miami’s defense

The RedHawks ranks first in the MAC at 252.7 ypg allowed in conference play. They have a talented front seven and have held aggressive pass-happy offenses like Western Kentucky and Cincinnati to under 270 yards passing and 31 and 27 points, respectfully. Bowling Green had its best offensive game of the season in its Battle of the I-75 rivalry matchup against Toledo. The Falcons racked up 502 yards but gave up a touchdown with 18 seconds remaining to lose the game. It was a positive step forward but even with impressive numbers, this is still a team that averaged less than five yards per play. Miami is also very anemic offensively at just 5.10 ypp.

The Bowling Green defense is no doubt susceptible to giving up points, but without starting quarterback Billy Bahl (who has been ruled out again), Miami posted back-to-back games of only 260 total yards. Even with Bowling Green’s desire to play up-tempo, this one still projects to play under the total.

Tags: College Football Miami (OH) RedHawks Bowling Green Falcons MAC Drew Martin

Sportsmemo's NFL Every Game on the Board Betting Podcast 10-21-2016

10.21.2016     02:23 PM     Printer Friendly


Here is Sportsmemo's NFL Every Game on the Board Podcast for Week 7. Handicappers Erin Rynning and Teddy Covers joined host Andrew Lange to break down Sunday's slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments 
Full Show - NFL Every Game on the Board

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Tags: NFL Erin Rynning Teddy Covers

Legalized sports betting remains hot topic but no sign of real progress

10.21.2016     09:57 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
More talk about the need to update laws on sports betting. And we can't emphasize "talk" enough as the article goes on to say, "...did not provide a timeline for the new legislation." Again, there appears to be a growing list of folks jumping on board the legalized sports betting crusade and yet the light at the end of tunnel remains barely light. 

"The laws need a wholesale review to see how they can actually work together and create a fairer playing field for all types of gambling, both online and offline, including sports betting and daily fantasy sports," said Pallone, the ranking Democrat in the House Energy and Commerce Committee. "At the same time, we must ensure the laws are actually creating an environment of integrity and accountability, and include strong consumer protections. I plan to continue discussions with the key stakeholders and then will introduce comprehensive legislation to finally update these outdated laws."

Tags: NFL Erin Rynning Teddy Covers

College Football Betting Preview: Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders at Missouri Tigers

10.21.2016     09:40 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Middle Tennessee State at Missouri 
Saturday, 1 pm PT - SEC 
CRIS Opener:
Missouri -6.5 O/U 69.5 
CRIS Current: Missouri -7.5 O/U 75 
Recommendation: Missouri

Missouri enters this matchup with a 2-4 record under new head coach Barry Odom including back-to-back blowout losses at LSU and Florida. In their six games, the Tigers have faced three elite defenses in West Virginia, LSU and Florida and their offense has struggled in those three losses. However, against average or worse defenses, the Tigers’ new passing offense has been good and they will face an opposing defense that they should be able to take advantage of this week in Middle Tennessee State.

MTSU allowed perhaps the worst SEC offense, Vanderbilt, to pile up 47 points with 344 total yards and 5.1 yards per rush.  MTSU also allowed 34 points to La Tech and 44 last week to Western Kentucky. This defense will struggle again against SEC athletes, and I expect Missouri to get back on track against the Blue Raiders.

Missouri should also pose some problems on defense for the MTSU offense. Despite the lopsided score last week against Florida, the Tiger defense only allowed 19 points. Florida scored one touchdown on a kick return and two scores on interception returns. MTSU’s short passing game was able to move the ball against Vandy, but they bogged down in the red zone and scored just 24 points. The same should happen this week if they move the ball as well.

This is a big game for Missouri in terms of bowl eligibility. They need a win here and then wins in each of their next three games against Kentucky, South Carolina and Vandy to get to six wins before closing the season at Tennessee and hosting Arkansas. The two previous blowouts losses over the last two weeks should have given the coaches their players’ attention. I think they will be ready to play and if that is the case, they are better than a touchdown at home against MTSU, which still has its sights set on a conference championship and won't place as much emphasis on a midseason non-conference game.

Tags: College Football Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders C-USA Missouri Tigers SEC Brent Crow

College Football Betting Preview: Central Florida Knights at UConn Huskies

10.20.2016     11:20 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Central Florida at UConn 
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPNN 
CRIS Opener:
Central Florida -2 O/U 51 
CRIS Current: Central Florida -4.5 O/U 47.5 
Recommendation: Central Florida

I’ve bet against UConn a number of times this season and the price looks reasonable to do so again here as they host the improving UCF Knights. UConn is not a team I trust to beat comparable foes. They have been outgained in five of their last six games including last week’s 42-27 loss to South Florida (529-378). The score could have been a much worse had it not been for a +4 turnover margin in UConn’s favor.

Central Florida has shown the ability to stop the run and that is the key to this game. The Knights are surrendering just 126.7 yards per game on the ground at a paltry 3.2 yards per rush. UConn’s offense simply doesn’t work if they struggle to run the football because QB Bryant Shirreffs is just not a good enough pocket passer to carry his team to victory through the air. He has completed no more than 56.4% of his passes in UConn’s last three games against Houston, Cincinnati and South Florida and has only hit the 60% completion rate mark once in his last five games. Making things worse for the UConn offense is the impact injury absence of starting left guard Tommy Hopkins who sustained a leg injury in last week’s game and will miss the rest of the season.

On the other side of this matchup, the UCF offense has certainly taken a major step forward since freshman QB McKenzie Milton took over at the position. Milton has 5 TD passes and 2 INTs in his first three starts. UCF has shown the ability to win on the road with a 2-1 SU and ATS mark away from home with their only defeat coming in the Big House in Ann Arbor against Michigan. UCF suffered a tough OT loss at home against Maryland earlier this season and bounced back from that with a win and I expect another positive response from the Knights after a tough loss to Temple last week at home on the final play of the game.

Tags: College Football Central Florida Knights UConn Huskies AAC Ian Cameron

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