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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals

05.02.2015     07:15 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Detroit (Price) -125 at Kansas City (Volquez) O/U 7.5 
Recommendation: Under

After reinventing himself in Pittsburgh, Edinson Volquez continues to perform at an above average rate. He's looked extremely sharp through four starts with a 1.91 ERA and 2.66 FIP. His strikeout rate is also up from last year -- a good sign coming from the NL to AL. Coming from the right side, he's a favorable matchup against the Tigers. The Royals were able to get to Detroit lefty Kyle Lobstein last night but face a more uphill battle against David Price. Price has lost a tick on his fastball over the years but continues to miss bats (29 Ks in 31 IP). He was roughed up by the Yankees two starts ago but bounced back with a 6.1 IP, 3 ER, 7 K performance vs. Minnesota. Note that after giving up 14 fly balls to the Yanks he had a 11-7 GB/FB ratio to go with 14 swinging strikes vs. the Twins. KC's stats vs. lefties look really good (.297/.805) but they've had a really favorable slate of foes. Of their 11 games vs. a southpaw starter all but two (Chris Sale and Scott Kazmir) were against below average arms. Sale and Kazmir combined for 14.1 IP and 4 ERs. Two pitchers is solid form has us on the under 7.5.

Tags: MLB Detroit Tigers Kansas City Royals OTTO Sports

Sports Betting Podcast 5-1-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning

05.01.2015     09:52 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. Erin and host Andrew Lange broke down MLB and NBA.

Today's segments 
Erin Rynning - NBA Playoffs and MLB Free Play

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Toronto Blue Jays at Cleveland Indians

05.01.2015     08:49 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly

Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Toronto (Buehrle) +102 at Cleveland (Carrasco) O/U 8 
Recommendation: Toronto

My clients and I cashed in with the Toronto Blue Jays last night in their 5-1 win against Cleveland I have no qualms fading the struggling Indians (1-5 in their L6 games) once again here as they face another lefty in veteran Mark Buehrle. Cleveland is struggling in all phases from not scoring runs consistently, subpar bullpen work, and some very shaky defense. Cleveland is batting just .220 as a team against lefties while averaging barely over three runs per game and that is nothing new or different for an Indians team that has consistently had problems against left-handed pitching. Buehrle tossed seven scoreless innings in his lone start against Cleveland last season and has a solid track record here at Progressive Field: 5-0 with a 2.25 ERA. On the flip side, Carlos Carrasco gets the nod for the Indians and he hasn’t been right ever since getting hit with that comebacker in his start last month against the Chicago White Sox. Carrasco had a solid first start against the White Sox after that incident but only worked 5 innings and followed that up by yielding 5 runs on 9 hits in just 4.1 innings of work vs. Detroit. Carrasco has allowed 11 runs on 16 hits in just 9.2 innings of work over two starts against the Blue Jays with one of those being last season. As mentioned, Cleveland’s bullpen is suspect so the disadvantage the Jays sometimes have isn’t as pronounced this series. Take the short road dog.  

Tags: MLB Toronto Blue Jays Cleveland Indians Ian Cameron

MLB Handicapping: Poor defense killing Indians' strong pitching

05.01.2015     07:41 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Good article courtesy of FanGraphs on the Cleveland Indians who are off to a sluggish 7-14 start. They've been a bit unfortunate as the starting staff sports a 4.88 ERA but 3.15 xFIP. The Tribe's starters are averaging over 10 strikeouts per nine innings but have been hampered by one of the worst defenses in baseball (-13 runs saved).

The crux of the issue: the Cleveland defense can’t simply hope to improve. It must improve, or else Cleveland is going to have a hard time being a good pitching team, which is what they’re built around. That’s a unique position to be in: usually defense is a smaller piece of the puzzle, or a positive trait that certain clubs build around.

Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians

Las Vegas sportsbooks gladly take big bets on Mayweather-Pacquiao

05.01.2015     07:25 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
We know of Las Vegas sportsbooks that won't take over a dime on a college football total and yet they are reportedly accepting six figure wagers on Saturday's Mayweather-Pacquiao fight without manager approval.

"You get a big bet on Mayweather, you get six tickets right behind it -- 20, 100, 150, 200 (dollars) -- on Pacquiao," he said. "The ticket ratio in this fight will never, ever, ever go below five to one. The Filipinos love their guy, but they're not going to rush in and bet millions of dollars on these fights. They're betting on their guy. They just want a ticket in their pocket for $20 and they want to see their guy knock off the king."


Tags: Boxing Floyd Mayweather Manny Pacquiao Las Vegas

NBA Handicapping: Clippers-Spurs hook up for a Game 7

05.01.2015     07:11 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Only one Game 7 on the slate for this year's first round matchups -- there were five last season! The Los Angeles Clippers play host to the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday. The Clippers are currently -2/-2.5 with a total of 204. Dating back to 1948 (the Truman Administration) home teams are 95-24 straight up in postseason Game 7's. From a spread perspective, since 2010, home teams are 10-5 ATS.

Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Los Angeles Clippers

NBA Betting Recap: Chicago Bulls cover crazy in-game pointspread of -50

05.01.2015     07:03 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
There isn't a bettor alive that wasn't thinking "middle" during last night's Chicago-Milwaukee game. You could have live bet the Bulls -20 AND the Bucks +50. Too bad Chicago covered every single number, even the crazy -49.5+374 Pinnacle hung during the last time out. A little different that the Clipper-Spurs contest which never saw an in-game line of double-digits.


Tags: NBA Chicago Bulls Milwaukee Bucks

MLB Gambling Free Play: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins

04.30.2015     10:08 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Chicago WS (Sale) -160 at Minnesota (May) O/U 7 
Recommendation: Chicago

The Twins bullpen got rocked again yesterday, as Minnesota blew a four run lead at home against the Tigers.  This isn’t new or different for a bullpen that came into the season loaded with question marks; currently ranked in the bottom quartile of MLB in bullpen ERA.  And that’s bad news with Trevor May on the hill this evening.

May was knocked out of the game after getting hit by a line drive on his elbow in his last start.  While he’s been given the OK to get back on the mound today, May is not a pitcher who can afford to be at less than 100%.  We’re talking about a young hurler with a career ERA approaching 8.00 in six previous starts at Target Field.  And May is no innings eater; yet to record a single out past the sixth inning in his big league career, leaving plenty of room for another Twins bullpen implosion should we need it.

Chris Sale, on the other hand, is a legitimate ace.  He’s allowed a grand total of five runs in his three previous starts this season, including a dominating one run, five hit effort against Minnesota in his season debut.  He’s 4-1 with a 2.45 ERA in five starts at Target Field since the start of the 2012 campaign.  The White Sox have played winning baseball since their 0-4 start, while going 5-1 following their last six losses, like the one they suffered yesterday in the empty stadium at Baltimore.  Meanwhile, the Twins aren’t likely to play winning baseball at any point this season.  Very reasonable chalk to lay with the superior squad.

Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox Minnesota Twins Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves

04.30.2015     09:49 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Cincinnati (Leake) at Atlanta (Miller) -108 O/U 7 
Recommendation: Atlanta

After three seasons of up-and-down results with St. Louis, Shelby Miller looks to have figured things out. The Braves righty is using a different approach this season with more two-seam fastballs and sinkers and has seen his groundball rate sore from 40% to 57%. As a result, his strikeout rate is down, but he's far better suited for long term success using his current formula. Miller has allowed two earned runs or less and only one home run in his four starts. Cincinnati's Mike Leake has once again been serviceable but he's struggled to keep the ball on the ground with five home runs allowed and a groundball rate of only 42% vs. 53% a season ago. Offensively, the Braves show slightly better numbers against righties. And bullpen wise, if you eliminate Aroldis Chapman's 10 scoreless innings, the Reds pen has been nothing short of horrific with an ERA north of 6.00. Overall, I give the starting pitching edge to Miller and feel that we're getting a fair amount of value with this line currently below -110 on the home side.


Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Atlanta Braves Andrew Lange

NBA Gambling: Golden State is -800 series favorites over Memphis

04.30.2015     08:37 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
As for Thursday afternoon there is only one conference semifinal matchup set: Memphis vs. Golden State. For Sunday's Game 1, the Warriors are currently -9.5 with a total of 198.5. Golden State won two of the three regular season meetings though Memphis covered twice. Two of the three contests went under the total. From a series standpoint, the Warriors are -800. Memphis point guard Mike Conley (face) is out indefinitely with no timetable for his return.
Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies Golden State Warriors

Las Vegas sportsbook takes three massive bets on Mayweather

04.30.2015     08:22 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
According to Westgate Sportsbook oddsmaker Jay Kornegay, there have been three six-figure bets placed on Floyd Mayweather.

"America has to bet this fight," veteran sports book director Jay Kornegay of the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook said. "Everyone coming to this town, they're going to wager on this fight. And we think 70% of the action will come in from Thursday on."

"Most people would rather bet $20 and win $40, than bet $20 and win $10," Kornegay said. "We see it at the window: 'Yeah, I'll bet Mayweather,' then they see it's $21.50 to win $10, and they're like, 'Oh, what about Pacquiao?' "

Tags: Boxing Floyd Mayweather Manny Pacquiao Las Vegas

Will online gambling impact Las Vegas?

04.30.2015     08:16 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
MGM CEO Jim Murren doesn't think that legalized online gambling will have a negative impact on his company's bottom line.

“I think people are going to go to Las Vegas for March Madness, they are going to go to Las Vegas for the Super Bowl. They are going to go, even if there is sports betting in New Jersey and other states,” Murren said, drawn by hotel, entertainment and dining attractions.


Tags: Las Vegas

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves

04.29.2015     10:36 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Washington (Zimmermann) -115 at Atlanta (Wood) O/U 7 
Recommendation: Under

After last night’s combined 25-run outburst which featured a first time in three years sighting of Dan Uggla, look for today’s starting pitchers to calm things down. Jordan Zimmermann has some unattractive overall numbers right now but they’re definitely skewed by his horrible outing vs. Boston. Subtract that start from his game logs this season and you now see a different story which shows three appearances against NL East opposition and a statistical line of 2.45 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, a solid 14.78 pitches per inning, and only two extra base in hits the 71 batters he faced. Zimmermann is likely to tame the Atlanta lineup which has feasted on sub-par starting pitchers in three of their last four games but prior to that had been held to three runs or less in seven of 10 games. Zimmermann has also had success against the Braves posting a 2.10 ERA Atlanta in his last five starts against them which includes striking out 35 in those 30 innings. Feel that his mound opponent tonight, Alex Wood, will fare well too since before last night’s contest, they had played 20 games and recorded a .215 BA, .313 OBP, .346 SLG%, and averaged less than 3.5 runs per game. Wood has absolutely owned Washington recently with a 1.50 ERA and 35 Ks in those 30 innings. In all, this looks to be a low scoring affair so I’ll side with under. 

Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves Rob Veno

MLB Betting Podcast 4-29-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Rob Veno

04.29.2015     10:31 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Rob Veno. Rob, Teddy, and host Andrew Lange broke down today's MLB card.

Today's segments 
Full Show

Teddy Covers - National League

Rob Veno - American League and Interleague

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB Teddy Covers Rob Veno Andrew Lange

Las Vegas sportsbooks likely to root for Mayweather

04.29.2015     07:38 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
MGM oddsmakers Jay Rood talks about what going on in the betting markets for Saturday's Mayweather-Pacquiao fight.

FS: Is it fair to say at this point that the book's greatest exposure is a Pacquiao victory?

JR: Absolutely. I would have to say that most books are experiencing the same with the number dropping all around. At this point in time, most of the books are Mayweather fans. 

Tags: Boxing Floyd Mayweather Manny Pacquiao Las Vegas

NBA Gambling: Cleveland Cavaliers no longer favored to win title

04.29.2015     07:33 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
With Kevin Love expected to miss the remainder of the playoffs we've seen a small shift in various futures odds. Below are 5Dimes’ prices from April 16 and as of this morning.

Odds to Win the Eastern Conference 
Cleveland -150

Odds to Win NBA Championship 
Cleveland +240 
Golden State +255

NBA Finals Matchups 
Cleveland vs. Golden State +314 
Cleveland vs. San Antonio +452

Odds to Win the Eastern Conference 
Cleveland -153

Odds to Win NBA Championship 
Cleveland +343 
Golden State +182

NBA Finals Matchups 
Cleveland vs. Golden State +200 
Cleveland vs. San Antonio +537 

Tags: NBA Cleveland Cavaliers Golden State Warriors San Antonio Spurs

Sports Betting Podcast 4-28-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning

04.28.2015     11:28 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning. Erin and host Andrew Lange broke down MLB and NBA.

Today's segments 
Erin Rynning - MLB and NBA Playoffs

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Erin Rynning Andrew Lange

Dortmund projected to be Kentucky Derby betting favorite

04.28.2015     08:39 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Heading into Saturday's Kentucky Derby it looks like Dortmund will be your postime favorite. The son of 2008 Kentucky Derby and Preakness winner Big Brown, Dortmund is a perfect 6-for-6 including a 4 1/4-length victory in the Santa Anita Derby.

"He's just a big, tall horse, and he has speed," trainer Bob Baffert said. "He's really, really fast."

Tags: Kentucky Derby

NFL Betting: Draft offers opportunities for bettors

04.28.2015     08:09 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The NFL Draft starts Thursday night which means plenty of betting opportunities. Here are some of BetOnline's draft prop bets...

1st Round 
Offensive Players +110 
Defensive Players -140

First to be drafted 
Jameis Winston -1000 
Marcus Mariota +600

QBs taken in first round 
Over 2.5 +260 
Under 2.5 -350

RBs taken in first round 
Over 1.5 -600 
Under 1.5 +400

Mr. Irrelevant  
Offensive Player -115 
Defensive Player -115

Tags: NFL

Big weekend for Las Vegas with Mayweather-Pacquiao and Kentucky Derby

04.28.2015     08:00 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Las Vegas oddsmakers feel that Saturday's Mayweather-Pacquiao fight will provide a boost to their handle on the Kentucky Derby.

''We've got a hook nobody talks about," he told the Newark Star Ledger this weekend in reference to how his book at the South Point seeks to offset the potential of ‘smart money’ failing to roll in on the fight. "The Kentucky Derby. They will be sitting in the sports book at 6:30, half of them freakin' drunk and they are going to be running around in a festive mood, and they are going to bet the Derby just to have something to do until the fight. I would bet we might just set a Derby record."

Tags: Boxing Floyd Mayweather Manny Pacquiao Las Vegas

MLB Handicapping: Texas' Detwiler hoping for turnaround following adjustments

04.28.2015     07:56 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Things have been pretty disastrous for Texas lefty Ross Detwiler. In three starts he's managed to allow 15 runs. But working with famed pitching guru Mike Maddux, Detwiler reportedly made some positive mechanical adjustments during a recent bullpen session. Tonight's start against Seattle could be  make-or-break as the Rangers continue to search for viable arms.

"By the end of the session [Friday], I felt like I was back to my old self," Detwiler said. "I was able to put the ball where I wanted to. I was finishing towards home plate. I felt confident. And confidence is a Catch-22. You've got to have confidence to succeed; but sometimes you need to succeed to have confidence."

Tags: MLB Texas Rangers

MLB Gambling: Washington Nationals continue to struggle

04.28.2015     07:47 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Pegged with the highest season over/under win total (93.5) in MLB heading into the season, the Washington Nationals aren't off to the best of starts (7-13). The vaunted starting staff has had issues with the exception of Max Scherzer who is currently dealing with a thumb injury. Offense has been hard to come by as the team owns the worst batting average (.215) and fourth worst on-base percentage (.289) in the National League. And then there's the defense which has committed an MLB-high 22 errors. Despite being eight games behind the first place New York Mets it's probably too early to panic. That said, if you bet the Nats over 93.5 you'll need them to go 87-55 (61.2%) the rest of the way to cash your ticket.

Tags: MLB Washington Nationals

MLB Handicapper Free Play: Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins

04.28.2015     07:36 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
Detroit (Sanchez) at Minnesota (Pelfrey) +140 O/U 8.5 
Recommendation: Minnesota

Minnesota's Mike Pelfrey has enjoyed some early season success with a 2.65 ERA, 61% groundball rate, and uptick in velocity through three starts. The only thing missing is the strikeouts (8 in 17 IP) but I can live with that so long as Pelfrey continues to pound the lower half of the strike zone. Tigers starter Anibal Sanchez will be making his fifth start as he owns a 5.96 ERA. His fastball velocity is a tad lower than last year and his HR per 9 is at a career high of just short of two thanks to an extremely high fly ball rate. The Twins should benefit from seeing him for the second time this year. If the Tigers can get to Sanchez, the Detroit bullpen has a combined ERA of 4.47, which ranks 26th in MLB. Also note that their top relief arm, Joakim Soria, has tossed in three straight days and is unlikely to be available this evening. Price is right for a play on the home underdog.

Tags: MLB Detroit Tigers Minnesota Twins Drew Martin

Sports Betting Podcast 4-27-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Rob Veno

04.27.2015     10:15 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Rob Veno. Teddy broke down tonight's three NBA Playoff games while Rob and host Andrew Lange talked MLB.

Today's segments 
Full Show

Teddy Covers - NBA Playoffs

Rob Veno - MLB

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NBA MLB Teddy Covers Rob Veno Andrew Lange

NHL Handicapper Free Play: New York Islanders at Washington Capitals

04.27.2015     08:39 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
NY Islanders at Washington -135 O/U 5 
Recommendation: Washington

We have our first Game 7 of the 2015 NHL playoffs tonight in Washington between the Islanders and the Capitals.  It’s been a hotly contested matchup as the Islanders took Game 1 and held a 2-1 series lead but the Caps took the next two before losing in New York last Saturday, 3-1.  It’s fitting that this series has reached a Game 7 with both teams netting 14 goals apiece through six games. Washington goaltender Braden Holtby has been the star of the series posting a 1.75 GAA and keeping his squad in every game.  On home ice tonight expect Holtby to do his part once again.  In a game where one special teams goal may be the difference, the Capitals have had the edge in that category as their penalty kill hasn't allowed a power play goal over six games.  Historically, home teams have won just over 58% over Game 7’s. However, last season we witnessed six of seven road teams emerge triumphant in that profile.  I made a bet on the Capitals to win the series (-145) and will also recommend a play on the home side for Game 7.

Tags: NHL New York Islanders Washington Capitals Sammy P

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