College Football Betting Podcast 9-1-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Paul Stone
Tags: College Football Paul Stone Andrew Lange
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Paul Stone. Paul and host Andrew Lange recapped College Football Week 1.
Paul Stone - College Football Week 1
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Washington Nationals at Seattle Mariners
|Submitted by Andrew Lange|Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Seattle Mariners Andrew Lange Washington (Roark) at Seattle (Iwakuma) -145 O/U 6.5
Going to be proactive and play against Washington’s Tanner Roark in an American League setting as he’s shown small signs of regression of late. Back in June, Roark’s fastball and sinker hovered around the 92-94 mph mark. Of late we’ve see Roark sitting 90-91 mph. As a result, he’s fanned only four batters in his last two starts and 17 in his last 32 IP. Note that this is his first full season in The Show and he’s already surpassed his career high in professional innings (166.2). And as we know, MLB innings are a lot more stressful and demanding. Lastly, while not ultra-potent, the Mariners have the ability to stack their lineup with 7-9 lefties which matches up well vs. Roark’s soft-tossing ways from the right-hand side. Nothing flukey about Seattle’s Hisashi Iwakuma who owns near identical ERA (2.83) and xFIP (2.89). He’s off his worst start of the season (2.1 IP, 5 ERs), one that manager Lloyd McClendon said was nothing more than just not “having it.” The Mariners gave him a full week off and back at home, I expect Iwakuma to return to form as we play the medium-sized home favorite.
College Football Handicapping: 2nd half Kick Off List - Week 1
Tags: College Football
To help you with your wagers today, below is a list of teams that receive the kick to start the second half.
|2014 College Football 2nd Half Kick Off List - Week 1|
Receive 2nd Half Kick
Sportsmemo's College Football In-Game Discussion - Week 1
Tags: College Football
Don't miss Sportsmemo's Posting Forum College Football Week 1 in-game discussion
. The Sportsmemo Handicappers and posting forum members share their thoughts, opinions, and second half wagers throughout the day. If you're not a forum member, it's free to sign up
! All you need is a username and password. Come be a part of the WINNING action!
College Football Gambling Consensus: Bettors load up on the big chalk for Saturday
Tags: College Football
Here are the top five consensus bets (sides and totals) for Saturday's college football games courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.
89.6% - MARSHALL -24 at Miami-Ohio
83.6% - WASHINGTON -17.5 at Hawaii
76.7% - FLORIDA -36.5 vs. Idaho
74.2% - FLORIDA STATE -18 vs. Oklahoma State
70.8% - NEBRASKA -21.5 vs. Florida State
95.9% - OVER 53.5 Louisiana Tech at Oklahoma
94.3% - UNDER 47.5 Ohio at Kent State
85.0% - OVER 56.5 Georgia Southern at NC State
84.4% - UNDER 47.5 Boston College at UMass
83.7% - OVER 64.5 Florida State vs. Oklahoma State
College Football Betting Preview: Clemson Tigers at Georgia Bulldogs
|Submitted by Alatex Sports|Tags: College Football Clemson Tigers ACC Georgia Bulldogs SEC Brent Crow Clemson at Georgia
Saturday, 2:30 pm PT -ESPN
Georgia -8.5 O/U 58
Georgia -7.5 O/U 54
Last year’s season opening matchup produced one of the most exciting games of the year, a wild 38-35 Clemson win. Many of the key participants from that game are gone, however, as both teams look for replacements. For Clemson, three-year starting quarterback Tajh Boyd graduated and Cole Stoudt gets the nod as his replacement. Stoudt has freshman Deshaun Watson behind him and it looks like both quarterbacks will see action in the opener. Also missing for the Tigers are their top two wide receivers, including the 4th pick in the NFL draft, Sammy Watkins. Making it even worse is the loss of 1,000 rusher Roderick McDowell at running back. The offensive line also has two new starters and just 25 career starts among the returnees.
Luckily for Clemson, the Georgia defense is also facing some heavy losses. New defensive coordinator Jeremy Pruitt has a group that could be strong up front, but will face questions in the secondary. Only three players started all 13 games last year and five of the projected starters have never started a game. Bulldog fans are hoping the new faces will improve a defense that allowed 29 ppg and 376 ypg a year ago; atrocious numbers for a program like Georgia’s. On offense, Georgia will replace four-year starter Aaron Murray with Hutson Mason, who looked decent in his two starts at the end of last year when Murray was hurt. He will have a great group of running backs behind him, led by Todd Gurley, who could be the nation’s best runner. Georgia also has a healthy group of receivers this year after that unit was decimated by injuries in 2013. The offensive line returns two starters and will need to jell quickly against a solid Clemson front. The Tiger defense has several future pros on the line and will be the key for the Tigers in this game. Vic Beasley and Grady Jarrett must pressure Matson and keep the running game in check. They are part of a deep and talented group up front for Clemson and could take advantage of the youth on the Georgia offensive line.
I don’t expect another wild shootout like last year’s game. Both offenses are replacing three offensive line starters and the program’s all time leading passer. Georgia appears to be a little better stocked to handle the departures, but the strength of the Tigers is their defensive front seven. The total has been bet down from 58 to 54, and that certainly seems like the best way to play this game.
Brent Crow 20* CFB LSU vs Wisconsin [66-39 63% +31.84 All Sports Streak] $39
Brent Crow has been rolling in all sports with an amazing 66-39 63% +31.84 streak. He opened the CFB season with an easy SEC winner on Texas A&M and is back with a top rated 20-star in SEC country for Saturday night. Don't miss another easy winner from Brent Crow. Guaranteed to win or his next play is free.
College Football Betting Preview: Florida State Seminoles vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys
|Submitted by Paul Stone|Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles ACC Oklahoma State Cowboys Paul Stone Florida State vs. Oklahoma State
Saturday, 5 pm PT, Arlington - FOX
Florida State -17 O/U 63
Florida State -18 O/U 63.5
Defending national champion Florida State and Big XII perennial contender Oklahoma State square off in Saturday's 2014 season opener at AT&T Stadium in Arlington
also the site of the finals of the inaugural College Football Playoff. While the Seminoles return many of their key components and rank as the consensus choice to repeat as national champions, the Mike Gundy-coached Cowboys will be trotting out lineups of mostly first-time starters on both offense and defense. With just eight returning starters, four on both sides of the ball, Oklahoma State is one of the least experienced teams in any of the so-called Power Five conferences.
Although boasting eight career starts, quarterback J.W. Walsh is the Cowboys' full-time starter for the first time in his career. The 6-2, 205-pound junior, who is a solid runner, will be operating behind a mostly-rebuilt offensive line and a bevy of non-battle tested receivers after losing experienced ball catchers Josh Stewart, Tracy Moore and Charlie Moore to graduation. Desmond Roland (811 yards rushing in 2013/4.6 yards carry) gives the Pokes a proven commodity at tailback, but it may be speed merchant Tyreek Hill, a junior college transfer and sprint champion, who ultimately turns out to be OSU's chief offensive weapon.
While his off-the-field performance may be described by some as a train wreck, Florida State's Jameis Winston, the reigning Heisman Trophy winner, is a rambling wreck on it. The redshirt sophomore, who could opt for the NFL following this season, is one of the game's top dual threats at the quarterback position, coupling his natural talents with a winner's charisma unmatched by few at this level. As a first-time starter and redshirt freshman last season, Winston took the college football nation by storm in his debut, throwing for 4,057 yards (67 percent completion rate) with a remarkable 40:10 touchdown-to-interception ratio.
The Seminoles have lost a scattering of talent throughout their offensive and defensive lineups, including tallish wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin, but Winston does have a familiar face to throw to in All-America candidate Rashad Greene (76 catches for 1,128 yards last year, nine TDs). It is difficult to erase last season's visions of a dominate Seminoles' squad that raked opponents over the coals to the tune of 51.6 points per game on offense, while allowing just 12.1 points defensively. Still, FSU
like all college football teams
must start anew in 2014, with this year's team having to create its own identity, playmakers and leadership. With that said, my lean in this ACC/Big XII showdown still clearly goes to the Seminoles. The Cowboys simply have too many new faces and my recommendation is to take Florida State and lay the points.
Paul Stone 20* CFB Friday Night Over/Under [60% CFB Totals L5 Years] $39
Paul Stone makes his Sportsmemo debut with a big 20* for Friday's college football action. Stone has a very strong pedigree with CFB totals, cashing in at a 60% clip over the last five seasons. Put two early season units in that bank with this top rated best bet; $39 and guaranteed to win or Paul's top play for Saturday is on the house.
Sportsmemo's College Football Every Game on the Board Betting Podcast 8-29-2014
|Tags: College Football Brent Crow Teddy Covers Paul Stone Andrew Lange|
Bookmaker arrested for running post-up sportsbook operation
Tags: College Football Brent Crow Teddy Covers Paul Stone Andrew Lange
This one is interesting. Most run-of-the-mill offscreen sportsbooks deal in credit but an Alabama man was actually running an online post-up operation
where clients would "deposit" money into their accounts. The man was recently busted and forced to fork over $67K.
"It's not charged as bookmaking cases have been charged traditionally, said Edmondson's attorney Tommy Spina. "The gist of the offense is the transmission of wagering of information on the internet."
"I've been involved in almost every bookmaking case in recent history,'' Spina said. "This is the first one I've seen charged like this, and it's probably the first one at all in at least 10 years."
College Football Gambling Consensus: Bettors line up heavy on Arizona for Friday night
Tags: College Football Arizona Wildcats PAC-12
Here are the consensus bets for tonight's five college football games courtesy of Bookmaker. As of this morning, all five favorites have received a majority of the betting public's support. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.
UNLV at Arizona -23.5 (80.4%)
Bowling Green -7 (69.8%) at Western Kentucky
Colorado State vs. Colorado -3 (54.2%)
UTSA at Houston -11 (53.2%)
BYU -15.5 (52.8%) at UConn
Colorado State-Colorado UNDER 59 (86.7%)
UNLV-Arizona OVER 60 (80.4%)
UTSA-Houston OVER 56.5 (75.3%)
Bowling Green-Western Kentucky OVER 64 (68.5%)
BYU-UConn UNDER 52 (55.3%)
College Football Betting Preview: Fresno State Bulldogs at USC Trojans
|Submitted by ICC|Tags: College Football Fresno State Bulldogs Mountain West USC Trojans PAC-12 Ian Cameron Fresno State at USC
Saturday, 4:30 pm PT - FOX
USC -22 O/U 58
USC -21.5 O/U 57.5
Rematch of last year’s Las Vegas Bowl in which USC demolished a better Fresno State squad, 45-20. Fresno State’s success was contingent upon its offense behind quarterback Derek Carr. He has since moved on to the NFL and head coach Tim DeRuyter has narrowed his replacement down to either junior Brian Burrell or Duke transfer Brandon Connette. Regardless of who starts both are expected to play on Saturday. This uncertainty doesn’t bode well for Fresno State against a stellar USC defense that welcomes back one of the best defensive lines in the country with Leonard Williams, J.R. Tavai, and Antwaun Woods. And behind them, even with the loss of Jabari Ruffin to a season ending torn ACL injury, they are still very strong at linebacker. Senior corner Josh Shaw has been suspended indefinitely following a bizarre incident in which he fabricated a story about jumping from a balcony to help save his nephew who was said to be struggled in a nearby pool. He later admitted that was false and is being punished appropriately so their secondary will take a bit of a hit but the unit as a whole is sitting on solid footing.
On the flip side, USC should have a very potent offense which got better the second half of 2013. Quarterback Cody Kessler threw for nearly 3,000 yards with a 20-7 TD-INT ratio and he had his way against this Fresno defense in the Las Vegas Bowl with a season high 345 passing yards and 4 TDs. He’s got the opportunity for that and more this season under first-year head coach Steve Sarkisian with what projects to be a high octane, up-tempo attack. Fresno State allowed 30.3 ppg and 430.8 ypg last season and although they return eight starters on defense, it’s one of those cases where returning starters isn’t necessarily a positive. The spot may be slightly dubious for USC with a big PAC-12 showdown vs. Stanford on deck. However, there is a class difference with both strength and speed and in order for Fresno to hang, they’ll need a fine effort, on the road, from both of their rookie quarterbacks
something I’m not willing to support. Trojans come away with Sark’s first win in commanding fashion.
Football Betting Podcast 8-28-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Brent Crow and Rob Veno
|Tags: NFL College Football Brent Crow Rob Veno|
College Football Betting Preview: California Golden Bears at Northwestern Wildcats
|Submitted by Andrew Lange|Tags: College Football California Golden Bears PAC-12 Northwestern Wildcats Big Ten Andrew Lange California at Northwestern
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
Northwestern -12 O/U 61
Northwestern -11 O/U 60
The thing to remember about Cal is if we go back to the early portion of head coach Sonny Dykes' first season there were signs of potential. In Week 1 Cal had Northwestern on the ropes in Berkley before two costly second half interceptions gave the far more experience Wildcats the 44-30 win. And in Week 3, Cal was eventually blown out but hung over 500 yards on a 12-win Ohio State squad. Then the wheels came off as injuries set in, their lack of depth was exposed, and Dykes' pedal-to-the-metal offense put a ridiculous amount of pressure of what would end up being one the worst defenses in the country. My point? If Cal was good enough to play with Northwestern and move the ball vs. Ohio State then a year later (wiser, stronger, and healthier) there's reason to believe we'll see a lot more competitive showings in 2014.
Northwestern enters the season on good footing after a few bad breaks and injuries turned last year into a disaster. I've never been a big fan of quarterback Trevor Siemian but I think he'll benefit by no longer having to split time with Kain Colter. Running back Venric Mark decided to transfer and wide receiver Christian Jones is out for the year which for a team void of a lot of playmakers were two fairly significant blows. But overall, the Wildcats are a seasoned and more importantly have talent and depth at the non-skill positions. And that is one of the keys to handicapping this matchup. Offensive line? Northwestern with a massive edge. Defensive front seven? Edge Wildcats. Secondary? Another check for the home side. Cal's one edge
and we saw this somewhat in last year's meeting
is pace and style of play. Northwestern has athletes but they have been vulnerable at times to both strength and speed
Cal obviously trying to do it with the latter. So the end, I do believe Cal will once again be able to move the football and put points on the board but every intangible that I'm looking for with these early season matchups
experience, continuity, play in the trenches
points heavily to the home side. Even accounting for your typical Year 1 to Year 2 improvement with Cal, there just isn't enough there to trust this team on the road vs. a legitimate foe. I'm a believer in Dykes but Cal is coming from so far off the pace that I'd be more comfortable catching less points in Year 3 than +11 in what is still full-on rebuilding mode.
College Football Betting: Friedgen makes his OC debut for Rutgers
Tags: College Football Rutgers Scarlet Knights Big Ten Washington State Cougars PAC-12 Rutgers vs. Washington State -8 O/U 63
Good article on Rutgers offensive coordinator Ralph Friedgen
. The Fridge has been tight-lipped about how the Scarlet Knights will line up for Thursday's opener vs. Washington State (at Seattle). His Maryland teams were pretty balanced but head coach Kyle Flood said he wouldn't mind utilizing some form of the spread at times.
"I thought he would be a perfect fit for us because he was a pro-style coordinator that had a lot of flexibility in his run and pass, which is something I'm always looking for,'' Flood said, describing why he lured Friedgen out of retirement. "For Ralph to decide to come back to football, and to come back to Rutgers to do it, I couldn't me more excited. We've got one of the premier offensive minds of the past 20-25 years working in our program.''
College Football Gambling: Fresno likely to play two quarterbacks vs. USC
Fresno State at USC -22 O/U 58
Fresno State remains mum on who will start at quarterback
for Saturday's opener at USC. Head coach Tim DeRuyter seems to have faith in both Brian Burrell and Brandon Connette so expect both to see time vs. the Trojans.
"One guy's got to be the first guy to step on that field, but we both have put in the time and the work. Every single practice and scrimmage, we've played to the best of our ability
and we've both gotten better."
Added DeRuyter: "I like where we're at quarterback. But we'll see when we get live bullets how both of them handle it.
"It probably won't be settled until we get into the league as to who's going to be our quarterback
if there is one that definitely separates."
Tags: College Football Fresno State Bulldogs Mountain West USC Trojans PAC-12
NFL Preseason Handicapping: San Diego and Arizona play first of a back-to-back
Tags: NFL Arizona Cardinals San Diego Chargers Arizona at San Diego -3 O/U 39
Bettors should be aware that Arizona and San Diego not only close out the preseason
but turn right around and play each other in the regular season opener (at Arizona) on Monday, September 9.
“Well, it will be a first for me and I think for a lot of people,” said Head Coach Mike McCoy. “I think you’re not going to show as many things. You’re going to do certain things against them you may not be doing in the opener, but I also want to put the players in a position to succeed and give them a chance to make this football team. We’re going to do what we do.”
Nevada sportsbooks seek to get rid of federal tax
Tags: Las Vegas
Ever wonder where exactly your tax dollars are going? Nevada's sportsbooks raised their hands on that one got a pretty interesting response. The IRS had no freakin' clue. Rep. Dina Titus is wanting to get rid of the tax
and keep the money within the state.
“The IRS didn’t even know it existed,” Titus said. “The money just went into some black hole in the general fund. […] It can be reinvested into Nevada’s economy. Gaming is our lifeblood, and this is a drop in the bucket to Washington.”
Football Betting Podcast 8-27-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning
|Tags: CFL NFL Ian Cameron Erin Rynning|
Sportsmemo Handicappers Erin Rynning and Paul Stone face off in Friday Football Showdown
Tags: College Football NFL Paul Stone Erin Rynning
Sportsmemo Handicappers Erin Rynning
and Paul Stone
have been pitted up against one another in the first round of the Golden Nugget's Friday Football Showdown
on October 10. You can listen to their segment on Las Vegas ESPN Radio (1100 AM) from 2-3 PM PT. Stone took home last year's title
with a 5-2 ATS mark in the finals.
Fantasy football skirts anti-online gambling laws
Tags: College Football NFL
The argument of whether or not fantasy football is gambling
"You have to figure out who to draft, play, trade and all those things to have a successful season," Cabot said. "And because you're doing all that, you're betting on an outcome you can control."
"It depends on how you run your game," Cabot said. "If you said, 'We're going to do fantasy, quick pick, random drafts,' I say, 'How can that be skill based?' But if it's a daily game where you're doing a draft, have the ability to change players halfway through the game and make all these decisions, then it's much closer to a traditional model."
College Football Betting Preview: UNLV Rebels at Arizona Wildcats
|Submitted by Teddy Covers|Tags: College Football UNLV Rebels Mountain West Arizona Wildcats PAC-12 Teddy Covers UNLV at Arizona
Friday, 7:30 pm PT - ESPN
Arizona -24 O/U 60.5
Arizona -23.5 O/U 60
Arizona came to Las Vegas and thoroughly whipped the Rebels last year; a 58-13 blowout that was every bit as lopsided on the field as the final score would suggest. The Wildcats held an enormous team speed advantage to go along with their size edge, creating one big play TD after the next.
UNLV head coach Bobby Hauck following the game in which UNLV trailed by 39 at halftime: “Congratulations to Arizona for coming in and beating the hell out of us. We’ve got to flush this game and move on to the next one because there are no positives.” The loss actually sparked the UNLV season, a season that they turned around immediately following that defeat with four wins in their next four games, culminating in the Rebels first bowl bid since 2000.
The Rebels have not fared well as big road underdogs against power conference foes in early season action throughout the Hauck era. They lost by 28 at Minnesota in their season opener last year; by 34 at Wisconsin and by 52 at Washington State back in 2011, by 28 at Utah and by 39 at West Virginia in 2010. Their lone spread cover in that grouping came in truly ‘bad beat’ fashion for anyone who had Wisconsin -35.
So the two questions to ask here are relatively simple. First, has UNLV turned the corner as a program following last year’s transformative season, or are the Rebels poised to sink right back into bottom feeder territory? And second, will Arizona’s size and speed edges be equally problematic for the Rebels in 2014, the same way they were in 2013?
Bobby Hauck isn’t hanging his hat on a strong performance here: “We think we’re going to have a good season. But going to Tucson and winning’s going to be a tall order.” Always familiar with the pointspread, Hauck said that when you’re a big underdog the main focus is just getting to the fourth quarter. If it’s a close game at that point, anything can happen. “There are ways of attempting to do that.” In other words, don’t expect UNLV to push the pace at any point on Friday.
UNLV just named junior college transfer and Arizona native Blake Decker as their new starting quarterback, while Arizona just named freshman Anu Soloman who won four state titles in high school in Las Vegas as their starter.
Wildcats head coach Rich Rodriguez, talking about the prolonged battle between four candidates: “I thought (Soloman) deserves the right to start the first game. I don’t know who the next guy is, but I told all four of the guys to be ready to play because all four could play. But at the same time, I’m confident that Anu will play well and he’ll be the starter. As long as he plays well, we’ll win.”
Decker, talking about his role in the UNLV offense: “The quarterback doesn’t need to be that much of a playmaker in this offense. He just needs to distribute the ball and get it out to the superstars that we have.”
UNLV suffered major offseason losses on their front seven defensively, leaving an inexperienced defensive line and linebacking corps. While Arizona graduated a ton of skill position talent, I don’t expect the Wildcats to struggle putting points on the board, even with a freshman starter. And I’m not willing to back Decker as a JUCO transfer making his first major college start on the road, given UNLV’s track record in this role.
Teddy Covers 10* CFB Thursday Top TV Total [80% Week 1 LY] $30
Teddy and his clients enjoyed a strong college football season in 2013. He started the campaign hitting at an 80% clip in Week 1, and finished the season up more than +18 units of profits! Get your 2014 off to a winning start with Top TV Total from Teddy on Thursday Night. This play must cash or you will receive his next report at no additional charge.
College Football Betting Preview: Abilene Christian Wildcats at Georgia State Panthers
Tags: College Football Abilene Christian Wildcats Georgia State Panthers Sun Belt Drew Martin
Submitted by Drew Martin
Abilene Christian at Georgia State
Wednesday, 5 pm PT - ESPNU
CRIS Opener: Georgia State -5 O/U 63
CRIS Current: Georgia State -4 O/U 60.5
Drew’s Recommendation: Under
If you were to glance at Abilene Christian’s offensive production last year, you would undoubtedly come away impressed. But when you start to dig a little deeper however, you find a couple key stats that stand out. Not accounting for the likes of Concordia-Selma, Houston Baptist, and the Incarnate Word, final scores (84-6, 69-12, 40-6) respectfully, in five of six competitive games last year the Wildcats averaged 2.436 plays per minute of possession. This doesn’t exactly scream that “tempo” is a top priority. With head coach Ken Collums and offensive coordinator Nathan Young returning, I see no reason for this tendency to change. Moreover, they will be breaking in a new quarterback behind virtually an entirely new offensive line. This is not a good combo when trying to replace 4,500 yards and 48 touchdowns of offensive production.
Georgia State is coming off a winless season but an 8-4 ATS mark speaks volumes about their defense. The Panthers return twenty defensive lettermen and have added a couple JC transfers. They will also have a former UCLA commit and a UK transfer starting in what could prove to be a talented secondary. Offensively, the Panthers lost their all-time leading receiver, and first team All-Sun Belt selection, Albert Wilson. Wilson's 23 receiving touchdowns in his college career AVERAGED 44.6 yards. He had 21 plays of 50 or more yards for GSU, and is pushing to make the 53-man roster in KC. That loss, combined with the fact that Abilene Christian is returning eight of 12 defensive starters, could leave GSU lacking offensively. With head coach Trent Miles and offensive coordinator Jeff Jagodzinski staying in place breaking in a new quarterback Nick Arbuckle, I highly doubt they will surpass their average of 2.34 plays per minute of possession last year.
NHL is reportedly headed to Las Vegas
Tags: NHL Las Vegas
The NHL in Las Vegas? The NHL in Las Vegas! Reports
are saying a team in Sin City is a "done deal" as the league looks to expands in the not-so-distant future. The Las Vegas Coolers, Blackjacks, and Dice were some of the team names Twitter came up with last night. We’ll go ahead and tell you right now that the nickname won’t have anything to do with gambling -- even though all three of those are pretty cool. Bank on something that relates to the desert, Area 51, the heat, or cowboys.
Sources close to the situation have indicated Las Vegas is a done deal, the only thing to be determined being which owner will be entitled to proclaim that he brought the first major league sports franchise to Sin City.
Handicapper Paul Stone joins Sportsmemo
Tags: Paul Stone
Sportsmemo is pleased to announce the addition of handicapper Paul Stone
. Stone, a native of Texas, has over 20 years of experience as a bettor and handicapper. He specializes in college football and college basketball as well as PGA and WNBA. Some of Stone’s accomplishments include winning the 2011 Leroy’s College Football Challenge as well as last year’s Golden Nugget Friday Football Showdown. He’s also been a contributing writer for the Las Vegas-Review Journal and ESPN Insider.
You can read Paul’s full bio here
You can follow Paul on Twitter @paulstonesports
You can listen to Paul’s Monday podcast segment here
. Paul talked about his pedigree and provided a free college football season over/under win recommendation.
On Tuesday, Paul will release a CFB Season O/U Wins report. The package will cost only $99 and include 6-7 recommendations including written analysis. Clients who purchase Paul’s August/September College Football service will receive his O/U Wins report at no charge.
College Football Betting Preview: Boise State Broncos vs. Ole Miss Rebels
|Submitted by Rob Veno|Tags: College Football Boise State Broncos Mountain West Ole Miss Rebels SEC Boise State vs. Mississippi
Thursday, 5 pm PT, Atlanta - ESPN
Mississippi -10 O/U 56.5
Mississippi -10.5 O/U 53.5
Intriguing non-conference, neutral field matchup between teams with something to prove. Ole Miss has drawn a lot of preseason enthusiasm but not enough to make the masses believe they’ll finish in the top three of the SEC West. Head coach Hugh Freeze and staff have recruited tremendously and the Rebels are out to show everyone they can take a major step up in the standings. They have 15 returning starters and 60 returning lettermen from last year’s 8-5 team including senior quarterback Bo Wallace. The return of second team All-SEC tieght end Evan Pilgrim is huge for the team as he was quickly becoming a security blanket for Wallace prior to his season-ending injury late last season. Defensively, this team has playmakers at every level and they have a strong combination of pass rush and pass coverage which is critical against today’s wide open offenses. On paper, the overall personnel is as good as it’s been since Eli Manning’s final year in Oxford.
Boise has 15 returning starters as well and they are looking to immediately resurrect their national status after last season’s mediocre 8-5 mark. They’ve got the goods on offense with a dependable and explosive receiving corps
first team MWC running back Jay Ajayi and returning dual threat quarterback Grant Hedrick. On defense however, this team allowed 413 ypg which is nearly 100 more than they gave up in 2013. It was the first time the stop unit yielded over 340 ypg since 2005. The back seven returns intact and should improve greatly but the defensive line needs to be much better at the point of attack.
The keys to this game seem to lie at the line of scrimmage where Mississippi hold distinct advantages. On the offensive line, Ole Miss is much bigger than the smallish Broncos and while the Rebels don’t have much of an inside running game, they may be able to flat out steamroll Boise. The Mississippi defensive front is loaded with the type of speedy, disruptive forces Boise doesn’t often see so their o-line, with a pair of first year interior starters, will be tested. Also note that BSU first-year head coach Bryan Harsin came in and made minor adjustments to the offense switching from the “pistol” to a “shotgun” based “pro style” scheme that will feature some no-huddle. On the other side they’ve implemented a 4-2-5 system which is becoming more popular in this age of spread offenses. How Boise adapts to the new schemes in their away opener is crucial.
All things considered, Ole Miss is the better team but at the current -10.5, they seem overpriced. Taking with the underdog provides value but as described above there’s some risk involved. It’s always interesting in these marquis opening week matchups because coaching staffs have five months to prepare for their opponent if they wish too. Recommended play here is to buck the totals move and lean toward the over. Early line movements seem to totally disregard Boise State’s offensive capabilities against this Ole Miss defense. The Rebels high-pace will move the football and score but while Hedrick is not on the NFL draft radar, he’s diverse enough and his skill position players are more than good enough to make plays and produce points. There’s a real chance for defensive and special teams scores here as well. I think the oddsmakers had it right when they opened this one more in the 56.5-57 range.
For more college football coverage, follow me on Twitter @robveno1