SportsMemo.com
Login:
Click to Use Secure Login
All Available Packages
NOTICE: If you can not view the forum, you may need to log out of SportsMemo.com and log back in to recreate your forum session.
HOMERECAPRADIOFORUMBLOGSLIVE ODDSBESTBETSHANDICAPPERS TWITTERRSS FEEDFACEBOOKEMAIL & CONTACTS

NFL Gambling Preview: Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots

10.01.2016     10:51 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buffalo at New England 
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS 
CRIS Opener:
New England -6.5 O/U 43.5 
CRIS Current: New England -7 O/U 43 
Recommendation: Buffalo

The Patriots have survived the Tom Brady suspension pretty darn well, going 3-0 SU and ATS without their four time Super Bowl winning QB. But with Brady on the way back next week, facing a divisional rival with a real chip on their shoulder, I’m expecting the Patriots to be tested on Sunday in a clear flat spot for the home favorite.

New England doesn’t have a healthy quarterback right now. Jimmy Garappolo has been upgraded to probable, but he’s dealing with consistent pain from his shoulder injury. Jacoby Brissett has a bad thumb, and if the rookie third stringer gets playing time here, it’s probably good news for Buffalo backers.

And the Pats are an overvalued commodity this week. Think about their season. They started with an upset win over Arizona, devalued now because Arizona hasn’t looked anything like the elite squad they were last year in early season play. The Pats nearly blew a big lead against Miami, which looks worse now because the Dolphins have looked pretty awful since. And their blowout against the Texans was certainly aided by the tough travel spot for the road team with a young QB on a short week.

Yet the markets are viewing New England like those three wins were as dominant as could be, against elite competition. They weren’t. And when a very public team like the Patriots go 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS to open the season, the markets force bettors to lay a premium to back New England.

New England’s national TV games were both double digit pointspread covers (Arizona and Houston), but the Bills national TV game was a bad home loss to the Jets, another key piece of the ‘added value on Buffalo’ piece of the equation. And the markets love Belichick and hate Rex Ryan; yet another factor inflating this pointspread by a notch or two.

Five of the last seven meetings between these two teams have been one score games. The Bills gave the Pats fits in both meetings last year. The Bills offense has gotten untracked, hanging 64 points on two solid defensive foes over the past two weeks, including their ’save our season’ win against Arizona last Sunday.

And the Bills powerful defensive line is poised to put pressure on Garappolo, forcing a young QB into mistakes, the same way they forced an elite QB into numerous mistakes last week. I’m taking the points, but I’ve got a percentage of my personal wager on the moneylline — Buffalo is live to pull off the upset. Take the Bills.

Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills New England Patriots Teddy Covers




This blog is closed to new comments.

Visitor Comments:

redmon
10/02/2016 5:15 AM
Thx teddy. As always, love listening to your insight on the show





VIP EMAIL CLUB
Add Your Email Address:
How did you find us?


More VIP Email Options
 
Email
 
MLB
Current Blog Topics
Ted Sevransky Hot Links
Current Blog Topics
SportsMemo Ads
Daily Plays
Was 93, $59
MONSTER night on tap for tonight's NFL Preseason slate. Today's combo includes three plays on three different games. Get Brent Crow, Rob Veno, and Andrew Lange's top selections for the discounted rate of $59 (reg. price $93). Each selection is guaranteed to cash or that handicapper's next play is on the house.

$35
Rob has released his 15* NFL Preseason Best Bet Of the Week focusing in on a matchup with significant situational & fundamental edges. Join him on this Top Rated selection for just $35 and it must win or you will receive Rob's next NFL report absolutely free.

$29
No one does the NFL Preseason better than Brent Crow with 64% winners over the last six seasons and a HOT 3-1 75% start to 2017. Get tonight's top selection for $29. It must win or his next football play is on the house.

$29
Andrew Lange owns the NFL! Just look at the proven track record of 61% winners dating back to 2012. During that span, he and his clients have accumulated nearly +49 units of profit. Watch and win with tonight's 10* for only $29. It's guaranteed to cash or his next football report is on the house.

$20
Fresh off another MLB winner on Friday, Teddy is making $$ RIGHT NOW for himself and his clients, riding a 70% All Sports hot streak over the past seven days. Expect more winning action on Saturday with this Wrong Team Favored winner, backing a 'plus price' live underdog primed to cash our bets with relative ease! Get it now! This play must cash or his next report is FREE!

$20
August MLB action requires bettors to recognize changing situations and pivot to cash tickets. Rob is doing exactly that with a situational matchup tonight where deceptive recent developments are strong enough to make this his 10* Top Rated Play. Join him for just $20 on this selection which must win or you'll receive tomorrow's report absolutely free.

$29
Teddy split out on the opening night of NFL Preseason action. He has hit 80% in NFL-X since, making $$ for himself and his clients while delivering one 'right side' winner after the next. Take advantage of this prime 'Watch & Win' opportunity on Sunday Night Football & cash in riding Teddy's Saints - Chargers winner! Get it now! This play must cash or his next report is FREE!

$229
It's here! Teddy Covers' famed NFL Season Over/Under Wins Report is an absolute must have for every bettor. Since 2001, Teddy has delivered a record of 79-32 71% including 12-1 92% with his 20* Big Ticket selection. The package includes two waves of selections as well as detailed written analysis. Lock in one of Sportsmemo's BEST packages for only $229.


Extended Services
-----------SportsMemo-----------
SportsMemo Ads
Discussion Forum
-------------------------------------
Post Subject
Date
08.17 13:21
07.27 07:45
03.26 08:37
03.18 11:52
03.16 13:01

-------------------------------------
Current Blog
-------------------------------------
Ted Sevransky     08.17.2017 1:18 PM
Ted Sevransky     08.10.2017 9:54 AM
Ted Sevransky     07.27.2017 10:03 AM
Ted Sevransky     07.19.2017 8:48 AM
Ted Sevransky     06.30.2017 10:37 AM

More Blog Entries Submitted by Teddy Covers

-------------------------------------
-----------SportsMemo-----------





Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 19, 2017 03:33 PM.