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NFL Handicapper Free Play: Oakland Raiders at Atlanta Falcons

10.14.2012     06:46 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oakland +9.5 at Atlanta O/U 48.5 
Recommendation: Oakland


It is a pretty simply formula with the Oakland Raiders; find a way to run the football and be completive or fail to run the football and be one of the laughing stocks of the league. In their Week 3 win over Pittsburgh, Oakland produced a solid 119 yards on the ground at 5.7 yards per carry. In their other three games combined, they amassed a truly awful 124 yards – and lost by a combined 61 points. Today, Oakland has a good opportunity to have success running the football. Atlanta has done little wrong this season (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) but stopping the run has been a chore. In recent games against Carolina and Washington, the Falcons allowed a combined 328 yards at 5.9 ypc. In both instances, the Falcons needed some late game heroics in order to keep their perfect season intact. We can all agree the running and stopping the run in the NFL isn't as important as it was 10 years ago but here I see a team that ranks near the bottom of the league in both categories and has already reached its peak in the betting markets. Bottom line is from today through the rest of the regular season, you’ll be hard pressed to turn a profit consistently supporting the Atlanta Falcons. Underdogs remain a solid bet in the NFL (60% YTD) and that is the way we'll look this afternoon. 


Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Atlanta Falcons Andrew Lange





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