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MLB Free Bet Padres vs Giants
Submitted by Kyle Hunter
Tags: MLB Free Bet Padres vs Giants
Padres vs. Giants under 7.5 (-120 at 5Dimes)
The San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres have the two worst offenses in baseball right now. The Giants have a ridiculously low .266 on-base percentage in the last month. San Francisco is without their best offensive players, and it has shown in a big way. San Diego is 26th in the majors in OBP in the past month.
For the season, San Diego has a .297 OBP, which is dead last in the majors. San Diego is severely lacking offensive weapons. The Padres have had a bunch of times this year where they have been shut out or scored one run.
While both of these teams are lacking offensive firepower, both bullpens have been very good this year. The GIants are 9th best in the majors in bullpen ERA this year. The Padres are 7th best in bullpen ERA this season. Having strong bullpens to shut things down late in the game can be crucial when taking a low under.
Derek Holland has been underrated all of this year, and Bryan Mitchell has been good enough in the minors that I believe his numbers in the big leagues will improve going forward.
Two very weak offenses here, and I'll take the under.
CFL Free Bet Montreal Alouettes vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Submitted by McInnis
Tags: CFL Free Bet Montreal Alouettes vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Free Play record: 2-0
Montreal Alouettes vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Friday September 21st 2018
Pick: Over 52 (Bet Online)
We are heading into week 15 of the CFL and this season has absolutely flown by us. Like I’ve mentioned on various shows and podcasts or write-ups, the CFL has been very inconsistent this year so it’s been very key to follow week to week and see how teams are developing and progressing as the season moves forward. We are coming off of an easy Free Play ticket casher with the #1 seeded Calgary Stampeders defeating the Hamilton Tiger-Cats 43-28 to cash out PK ticket.
Heading into this week we are taking a trip to Winnipeg, Manitoba as the Blue Bombers play host to the struggling Montreal Alouettes. Montreal comes into this game after dropping a game at home to the Lions 32-14 and finally saw some weakness from QB Antonio Pipkin as he threw 4 interceptions and just 95 passing yards. Due to that we’ll get a chance to see Johnny Football lace up the cleats as the starter this week and from what he’s been making it sound like he’s ready to go and is more motivated than ever to show what he can do to help this team be successful. These are two teams that are both struggling in their own specific ways but one thing is for sure, Winnipeg is having QB troubles themselves and know that this is a HUGE game for them. The Blue Bombers have lost four straight games and not just by small amounts. Matt Nichols has not looked like himself whatsoever and hasn’t been able to gain any confidence as the weeks have moved on. In week 13 Matt Nichols got yanked from the game and Chris Streveler took over and was able to find the endzone but also had 2 INT’s, combing for 5 total between the two quarterbacks.
With all of this negative stuff combined surrounding both of these teams, I think we’ll see both of these QB’s step into this game and absolute dominate. Johnny Manziel has a lot to prove to this team if he wants to keep his spot for next year. We’re here in week 15 and Manziel now has just a few weeks to show his team what he can do. Matt Nichols will step into this game against a 3 win team in the Alouettes with a healthy receiving core and a hungry Running back in Andrew Harris anxious to get back out and show the rest of the CFL that the Blue Bombers are a team to be taken serious.
Overall the number that we are getting on this game is far too low for my liking. These teams will come to play and put up some high numbers this week. We’ll see limited defence in this one as we cash this easy over to go 3-0 in our last 3 Free Plays.
NFL Free Pick Green Bay Packers vs Washington Redskins
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Tags: NFL Free Bet
Take Washington +3 (#475)
This pointspread looks cheap for a reason! Make no mistake about it -- this is most assuredly a miserable spot for the road favorite Packers as they travel to face the Redskins on Sunday.
There’s one key trend to note here. Teams off a tie that hit the highway the following week have not fared well at all; to the tune of 0-10 SU/1-9 ATS in the ten times this has occurred since 2002. This makes sense – there’s a lot of intensity in OT affairs and the subsequent exhaustion afterwards clearly lingers.
The Packers were lucky to rally from behind in Week 1; winning by a single point after being outplayed at home by the Bears for most of the game. Last week, they were outgained by more than two yards per PLAY and their defense couldn’t hold a fourth quarter lead against a team that couldn’t run the football. It’s surely worth noting that Green Bay scored on a blocked punt and a handful of big plays, but they managed only one TD in five red zone trips; not a Green Bay offense that’s in midseason form just yet.
The Packers have been a miserable early season road team in the Mike McCarthy era. The numbers don’t lie. Green Bay is just 2-7 SU on the road over the first three weeks of the season dating back to 2012. Plain and simple – McCarthy doesn’t have ‘em ready.
Washington’s defense shut down Arizona completely in Week 1, and held the Colts too less than 300 yards of total offense last week. Indy converted on only one of seven third down tries with four or more yards to go. Look for this underrated Redskins defense to be a difference maker against Aaron Rodgers and company on Sunday. Take the Redskins.
MLB Free Pick Cardinals vs Braves
Submitted by Kyle Hunter
Tags: MLB Free Play
Cardinals vs. Braves under 8.5 (-115) at 5Dimes
The St. Louis Cardinals and Atlanta Braves play an important series for both teams starting on Monday night. Both teams have their most consistent starting pitcher going in game one, and I expect this to be a low scoring contest.
Miles Mikolas has a 2.99 ERA this year. Mikolas has allowed 2 runs or less in 19 of his last 25 starts. He rarely walks anyone, and is great at inducing soft contact. Mikolas has a slightly lower WHIP on the road than he does at home this year, so pitching on the road here isn't a concern.
The Braves start Mike Foltynewicz. He has allowed one run or less in five of his last six starts. He is striking out an impressive 10.08 batters per nine innings this season. Foltynewicz has elite stuff, and it has been on full display of late.
With this game holding so much importance for these teams, don't expect them to hesitate to put in their best guys from the bullpen. There are just two weeks of the regular season left.
The Braves have been much better against left-handed pitching than right-handers all season. The under is 16-7 in Atlanta's last 23 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Take the under.
SDSU vs Arizona St. Free Bet
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Tags: Free Bet SDSU vs Arizona St
Take San Diego State +5.5 (#209)
This is the very definition of a ‘spot play’, as we look to fade Arizona State off their high profile win against Michigan State. Yes, Herm Edwards Sun Devils are 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS, a solid early season surprise. But make no mistake about it – the Sun Devils are running into a juggernaut in San Diego this weekend.
Arizona State was expected to compete for last place in the PAC-12 South, not first place, in Edwards first season on the job. They may still finish in last, as their PAC-12 slate is brutal. That slate starts next week, at Washington. Coming off a signature win, with a road trip to revenge minded Washington on deck, this has all the makings of a flat spot for this overachieving squad.
Make no mistake about it – Neither Arizona State early season victory means very much moving forward. They blasted bottom feeder UTSA in their opener. Utah State hung 31 on Sparty in East Lansing; ASU managed just 16 last week, 13 of which came against a tired and hot Michigan State defense in the fourth quarter. Without a strong running game, the Sun Devils offense is mostly what QB Manny Wilkins can create. And while Wilkins is a solid senior QB, he’ll be tested by a feisty Aztecs secondary on Saturday Night.
San Diego State beat Arizona State 30-20 last year, and there was nothing fraudulent about that victory. The Sun Devils gained just 1.4 yards per carry while giving up 279 rushing yards. Arizona State trailed by two scores for most of the second half. While the betting markets ‘zig’ towards the revenge angle, I’m looking to ‘zag’ in favor of Rocky Long’s squad; a team with a recent history of beating up on their PAC-12 foes.
The results do not like. The Aztecs have been more than capable of beating the big boys, with wins over Stanford, Cal and Arizona State since the start of the 2016 campaign. They bounced back nicely off their Week 1 ‘revenge’ loss to Stanford, and RB Juwan Washington is already picking up where first rounder Rashaad Penny left off, with more than 300 rushing yards in his first two games. We don’t need the outright upset to cash this ticket….but I wouldn’t be shocked in the slightest if we get it. Take San Diego State.
CFL Free Play Calgary Stampeders vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Tags: CFL Free Bet
Stampeders PK (-111)
We are now entering week 14 in the CFL and boy oh boy it feels like the season started just yesterday. Many teams still fighting to create identities for themselves and many teams that had hot starts are now on the decline.
We are coming off of our week 13 CFL ‘FREE PLAY’ winner with the Hamilton Tiger-Cats and Toronto Argonauts soaring over the total of 52.5 to cash in easily for us. This week I’ve got a spot picked out that involves a matchup between two teams performing at a high level in their division...but one team is VERY tough off of a loss. Yes you guessed it, that team is the Calgary Stampeders. These Stampeders had an exceptional start to the season but have since gone just 2-2 in their last 4 games including a note-worthy loss to the Roughriders 40-27. This team led by Bo-Levi Mitchell has still been stellar on offence as of late although their defence has slipped up and as much as the Tiger-Cats seem to be picking up speed, I’m not buying it this week. The Hamilton Tiger-Cats have been play exceptional football recently and have been a great team to back, but their past 2 games have been against the team that sits last in the East standings, the Toronto Argonauts. This Calgary team presents a lot tougher of a battle for Hamilton’s defence and Hamilton’s offence will face a much tougher challenge vs this Stampeders team in comparison to the Argos. Like I said, Hamilton has been playing good football but they’ve still been making mistakes in games that you can’t make against elite teams like Calgary.
Calgary is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in Hamilton and with some anger from last weeks heated loss vs Edmonton, I think they’ll come in firing.
Due to the recent success from Hamilton this line dropped down to a PK where in my eyes Calgary should be favored by at least a few points. Hamilton has proven that they can put up points but Friday nights matchup will show us if they are real contenders or not.
Make the right choice and roll with the Stampeders PK
MLB Free Bet Arizona DBacks vs Colorado Rockies
Submitted by Kyle Hunter
Tags: MLB free play
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies under 10 (-105 at 5Dimes)
The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Colorado Rockies meet tonight in Colorado. This is a game that has major implications on the race in the NL West. The Rockies are in first place in the NL West, and the Diamondbacks are in third place, but they are only 2.5 games behind Colorado.
Zack Godley starts for the Diamondbacks. Godley has pitched very well against the Rockies in the past. Colorado's lineup has only a .222 batting average and a .292 weighted on-base average against Godley.
German Marquez is on the hill for the Rockies. Marquez has allowed 3 runs or less in 10 of his last 11 starts. His consistency has been really impressive.
Both of these offenses are far better against left-handed pitching than right-handers. The Rockies are second in the majors in weighted on-base average against lefties, while Diamondbacks are 8th. Against righties though, Colorado is 21st and the Diamondbacks are 26th.
The under is a perfect 8-0 in Marquez's last 8 starts.
Take the under.
NFL Free Bet Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills
Tags: NFL Free Pick NFL Free Bet Betting Ravens Bills Free Picks
Take Baltimore -7 (South Point) (#460)
Sharp money has been pouring in on the Baltimore Ravens over the past few weeks, driving this line up to a TD or higher in some locations. And while bettors won’t be getting the best of the number to back Baltimore at the current price, this game has ‘ugly blowout for the Bills’ written all over it!
The Bills won nine games last year, despite a Pythagorean expectation (based on points scored and allowed) that showed Buffalo as a 6.5 win team. Those nine wins were every bit as ‘lucky’ as any other factor, without a single victory by more than ten points. Seven of the wins came against sub .500 foes; legit bottom feeders: the Jets, Broncos, Dolphins (twice), Bucs, Raiders and Colts.
Obviously, no position is as important as the quarterback. Coming into 2018, the Bills arguably have the worst QB situation in the league. Nathan Peterman played the single worst half of football I’ve ever seen an NFL QB play (against the Chargers) before getting benched in his lone start as a rookie last year. His preseason didn’t inspire much confidence either, and the Ravens aggressive defense is primed to give Peterman fits.
Buffalo has a whopping $46 million in dead cap space this year. To put that number in perspective, the #31 team in the NFL in dead money this year – Dallas – has $25 million in dead cap space. The Bills spent the offseason jettisoning veterans, dumping salary and rebuilding for the future. Their offensive line has replaced three starters; the back seven on defense is loaded with question marks and the Bills look very much like the single worst team in the NFL coming out of camp.
The Ravens, on the other hand, have something to prove in Week 1 after missing the playoffs in each of the last three seasons. They came out of the gate last year with back-2-back double digit wins, and I expect Coach Harbaugh to have them ready right from the get-go again this year. Chalk worth laying! Take the Ravens.
Via Teddy Covers
CFL Free Bet Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Toronto Argonauts
Submitted by McInnis
Tags: CFL Free Bet
Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Toronto Argonauts
September 8th, 1:00PM ET:
Wager: OVER 52.5 (-110 at 5Dimes)
It’s a weird week in the CFL this week entering week 13 as we are coming off 3 rivalry games in week 12 that will all be playing again this weekend in their 2nd game of a home-and-home series. In this weeks CFL free play we are heading to Toronto, Ontario where the Argonauts will play host to the Hamilton Tiger-Cats after falling 42-28 in their Labour Day classic game on September 3rd.
Heading into their meeting on Labor Day the stats trended towards the total going under and all recent matchups between these two Eastern Canadian squads had gone under the total, but with the way these two teams looked in their past several games and with the Eastern conference still up for grabs both teams put up big numbers to combine for a whopping 70 points on the night. The action will continue on Saturday when these two teams matchup. The total was barely adjusted, only moving up one full point from 51.5 to 52.5 and these two teams offenses both looked very sharp.
The Hamilton Tiger-Cats are averaging 30 points per game in their last 3 contests and the Argonauts are averaging 24.67 points. Also, in the past 3 games the Hamilton Tiger-Cats are gaining 436.6 yards per game while the Argonauts are gaining 304.2 yards per game.
Both teams in week 12 had absolutely no trouble marching up and down the field and I expect this to continue in their rematch. Both quarterbacks Jeremiah Masoli and Mcleod Bethel-Thompson love to the push the tempo and aren’t afraid to push the ball down field on deep passes.
Based off of how weak both defences looked last week and how easy it was for both teams to march the field in a contest where there were a combined 70 points, I say this rematch game between the Toronto Argonauts and the visiting Hamilton Tiger-Cats will go OVER the total of 52.5.
MLB Free Play New York Yankees vs Oakland A's
Tags: MLB Free Bet
Oakland A's Moneyline (-120 at 5Dimes)
The New York Yankees take on the Oakland Athletics on Monday afternoon. Oakland has always had a good home field advantage, even when they weren't a good team. This year the A's have put together a tremendous run led by solid starting pitching and a great bullpen.
Trevor Cahill starts for the A's in this one, and he has been lights out at home. Cahill has a ridiculous 0.85 ERA in 8 starts at home this season. His WHIP is just 0.759 at home on the year.
C.C. Sabathia counters for the New York Yankees. Sabathia has had a pretty good season, but his advanced metrics suggest he is due for regression. Sabathia has a 3.36 ERA this year, but his FIP sits at 4.14. The Oakland lineup is one of the deepest in baseball, and I expect them to make Sabathia work hard in this one.
The Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. They are 0-4 in their last 4 games in Oakland. The long-term angles suggest teams from the AL East haven't played well in Oakland for the past decade. It's a long trip and the Yankees have more injury concerns than the Athletics right now.
The A's are 22-8 in their last 30 home games. I'll lay the reasonable price with Oakland with Cahill on the mound.
CFB Every Game On The Board Podcast
Tags: Free Picks College Football Betting CFB College Football Betting
Will Carson Wentz Start the Season
Tags: NFL Eagles
All offseason, the question hovering over the Eagles is whether quarterback Carson Wentz
will be healthy enough to start the opener.
Eagles coach Doug Pederson is going to know soon.
Via Les Bowen of the Philadelphia Daily News
, Pederson told reporters that he expected to decide
which of his quarterbacks he planned to start by Friday.
Of course, he’s not going to tell us, but knowing gives him a chance to spend a week preparing for the Sept. 6 opener against the Falcons.
Backup Nick Foles
is presumably ready to go, though he hasn’t been his sharpest during the preseason.
MLB Roster Changes Adding Value
Tags: Padres Free Bets
NFL Preseason Betting Podcast 8-16-2018 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers
Tags: NFL Teddy Covers
Big XII Betting Preview Podcast Part 2 8-14-2018 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno
Tags: College Football Big XII Rob Veno
Big XII Betting Preview Podcast Part I 8-13-2018 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno
Tags: College Football Big XII Rob Veno
NFL Preseason Betting Podcast 8-10-2018 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers
Tags: NFL Teddy Covers
CFL Betting Free Pick: Edmonton Eskimos at BC Lions
Submitted by ICC
Tags: CFL Edmonton Eskimos BC Lions Ian Cameron
Edmonton -3.5 at BC O/U 54
The Edmonton Eskimos enter this Week 9 clash against the BC Lions surging after winning three straight games against Toronto, Montreal and Saskatchewan to improve to 5-2 and put themselves still within striking distance of the 1st place Calgary Stampeders in the ultra-competitive West Division. Edmonton’s lethal offense has carried the way for them this season as the Eskimos are leading the CFL in total yards and passing yards per game thanks a lethal passing attack led by veteran QB Mike Reilly and a slew of talented receivers that all possess the dangerous combo of athleticism and physicality with the likes of Duke Williams, Kenny Stafford and Derel Walker. The one flaw in Edmonton’s offense has been some red zone struggles at times but other than that, this remains one of the best offenses in the CFL. The defense has improved after a bad start to the season as the Eskimos have held five straight opponents to 23 points or less but many of those games came against struggling offenses including two games against Toronto and one against Saskatchewan two teams that have endured plenty of offensive turmoil this season. BC is still trying to find their way. The Lions are at 2-4 but have been very competitive in each of the last three games since Travis Lulay took over at the QB spot. Lulay has put up solid numbers and he should benefit from having three starts under his belt and I expect to see continued improvement from the Lions offense. I expect that improvement to show in this game against an Edmonton defense that is battling key injuries on that side of the football including starting LB Adam Konar and safety Neil King which could open the door for BC to make some things happen offensively in this game. The BC defense remains a bit of a problem too as the Lions have yielded over 400 yards per game on average this season and did so again in their loss to Calgary last week and being without their leader on defense and one of the top LB’s in the league Solomon Elimimian due to injury hurts. The Over has cashed in three straight meetings between Edmonton and BC and five straight games between the Eskimos and Lions have seen 57 or more total points scored. This is a high total to be sure but still worthy of an Over recommendation.
NFL Preseason Free Betting Pick: Cleveland Browns at New York Giants
Submitted by Alatex Sports
Tags: NFL Cleveland Browns New York Giants Brent Crow Cleveland -1 at NY Giants O/U 35Recommendation: Cleveland
One of the biggest line moves on tonight's card, Cleveland was bet from +3 to -1. If this was +2 or more, it would have made my client card, but I wound up with what I thought were a few higher percentage plays for my official releases. Nevertheless, I'll have some action on the Browns tonight. Cleveland made wholesale changes in the offseason and should be an improved club this year. New QB Tyrod Taylor will start and play a series or two with the starters tonight before giving way to top draft pick Baker Mayfield. Mayfield is expected to play a lot tonight, but 3rd stringer Drew Stanton could be the key if he gets mop up duty against the Giants' 4th string defenders.
I am also not a fan of the Giants backup quarterbacks. Davis Webb will get most of the playing time tonight, and he has very little experience, even in preseason. There are two other quarterbacks on the roster, rookie Kyle Lauletta and 30-year-old Alex Tanney, neither of which are any more than camp arms. I would not expect the Giants offense to do much at all in the 2nd half and I trucst Stanton much more than any of the other backup quarterbacks that will get the majority of playing time when this game is decided. Look for Cleveland to pick up where they left off last preseason, winning their 5th straight game that doesnt count.
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NFL Preseason Betting Podcast 8-9-2018 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Brent Crow
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NFL Preseason Betting Podcast 8-8-2018 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Brent Crow
Tags: NFL Brent Crow Andrew Lange
SEC West Betting Preview Podcast 8-7-2018 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno
Tags: College Football Rob Veno Andrew Lange SEC
SEC East Betting Preview Podcast 8-2-2018 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno
Tags: College Football SEC Rob Veno Georgia Bulldogs Florida Gators South Carolina Gamecocks Vanderbilt Commodores Missouri Tigers Tennessee Volunteers
NFL Preseason Betting Podcast 8-3-2018 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers
Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Andrew Lange
CFL Betting Free Pick: Ottawa Redblacks at Toronto Argonauts
Submitted by ICC
Tags: CFL Ottawa Redblacks Toronto Argonauts Ian Cameron
Ottawa -6.5 at Toronto O/U 48.5
Two teams heading in opposite directions will do battle here in this game to kickoff the CFL Week 8 slate as the Ottawa Redblacks who have won two straight games face the Toronto Argonauts who have dropped three in a row. Ottawa got the better of Hamilton last week 21-15 winning outright as 6 point road underdogs in an ugly, low scoring grinder in which neither offense got on track but the Redblacks managed to make just a few more plays to pull out the victory. Ottawa’s defense stole the show last week in the win forcing turnovers at key times and holding Hamilton out of the end zone until the Ticats managed a late TD in the 4th Qtr but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback. Ottawa’s offense didn’t reach the end zone once yet still managed to win the game and that is something the Redblacks and QB Trevor Harris were extremely vocal about heading into this game. They are intent on trying to fix their red zone execution which was problematic last week. There are plenty of weapons for Ottawa to work with in this offense so for them to not reach the end zone a single time last week is a bit of an anomaly in my mind and one that will likely be rectified tonight. The Toronto defense is struggling and dealing with injuries and attrition at linebacker and in the secondary. It showed last week as the Winnipeg Blue Bombers hung 40 points on this beleaguered and shorthanded Argos defense. On the other side of the football, Toronto’s offense surely will be looking at improving in all facets heading into this game as the Argos have been stagnant on that side of the football for weeks being held to only 69 points in their last four games combined all of them with James Franklin at QB after Ricky Ray’s season ending injury. Toronto Argos head coach Marc Trestman has decided to make a QB change for this game to try and spark the team’s struggling offense. Former NFL journeyman and now new Toronto starting QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson has been named the starter for this game. He played well in his lone preseason appearance with the Argos. While it’s true that playing a regular season game is much different than preseason, the Toronto offense can only improve at this point from the struggles they have repeatedly endured during the last few weeks with Franklin under center. We have two teams very much focusing in on improving their offense heading into this game which leads me to think we’ll see some better execution on that side of the ball and also a few more points in this game than this low total of 48.5 suggests. I’ll play this game up and Over the total.