Colorado at Buffalo -170 O/U 5
The Colorado Avalanche are dead last in the NHL in goals allowed. Over their last four games, they’ve surrendered 3+ goals in each contest and 16 total during that span. There is no rhyme or reason for any game involving this team and their woeful defense and goaltending to have a total as low as 5. Colorado does however have the offensive weapons to find the back of the net even though those players, namely Matt Duchene and Gabriel Landeskog, continue to be talked about in trade rumors as the league's trade deadline looms. Of course on the other side, Buffalo is far from an offensive juggernaut, ranking 25th in the league at 2.5 gpg. But there's been a recent uptick in production as the Sabres have netted three or more goals in four of their last seven games. In the last three games in which Buffalo had a lined total of 5, the final scores ended up 5-4, 5-2 and 4-2. Sabres center Ryan O’Reilly has been a major catalyst in the team’s recent offensive surge with three goals in his last seven games. The recent series history between the Avalanche and Sabres has been relatively high scoring: 7-1-1 O/U overall and 4-1-1 O/U in Buffalo. Value outweighs the juice as we fire on the over.