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Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: Colorado Rockies

03.28.2016     06:32 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Drew Martin

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Colorado Rockies 
2015 W-L:
  68-94 
2015 O/U:  84-74 
2015 Profits:  -12.9 units 
2016 O/U Wins (Westgate):  71.5 
2016 NL West Odds (Westgate):  50/1 
Projected Starting Rotation:  Jorge De La Rosa, Chad Bettis, Chris Rusin, Jon Gray, Jordan Lyles 
Key Departures:  Cory Dickerson, John Axford 
Key Additions:  Gerardo Parra, Mark Reynolds

Handicapper’s Take: “The Colorado Rockies finished last year in the cellar of the NL West with 94 losses -- the fifth season in a row they failed to top 74 wins. As any totals bettor or fantasy player can tell you the issue is not offensive production but instead pitching. The bullpen was awful as no unit had a worse ERA and only Arizona’s relief corps threw more innings. Only the Braves and Yankees walked a higher percentage of opposing hitters and only the Tigers and Twins struck out a lower percentage of hitters. The starting rotation, outside of serviceable veteran Jorge de la Rosa, was just as bad with no immediate help on the horizon. Jon Gray, Chris Rusin, and Tyler Anderson are not only unproven but currently dealing with various injuries. Jordan Lyles is in theory a decent fit for Coors Field with the ability to get ground balls but he's had trouble avoiding the injury bug. Chad Bettis has some upside though posted a near 5.00 ERA at Coors. And Tyler Chatwood has shown signs of being able to survive in the thin air but he's a big question mark after missing last season due to Tommy John surgery. Making matters worse is Troy Tulowitzki's replacement, Jose Reyes, is dealing with off-the-field issues. He's one of the few players on the roster projected to perform at an above-average level offensively and defensively. Reyes also made it clear last season he wasn't a big fan of being traded to a non-competitive team. In the end, we’re talking about one of if not the worst team in baseball. The one glimmer of hope lies in a farm system that currently ranks in the top 10 of projectable MLB talent. But the impact is unlikely to be felt much in 2016. Perhaps one or two of Colorado’s starting pitchers can exceed expectations and bettors can cash in on the generous plus prices. Overall, even with the ability to produce runs in Coors Field, this is a bottom feeder organization across the board.”

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Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Drew Martin




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