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Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: Miami Marlins

03.14.2016     06:58 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno


Miami Marlins 
2015 W-L:
2015 O/U: 77-77-8 
2015 Profits:  -14.1 units 
2016 O/U Wins (Westgate):  78.5 
2016 NL East Odds (Westgate):  10/1 
Projected Starting Rotation:  Jose Fernandez, Wei-Yin Chen, Tom Koehler, Jarred Cosart, Adam Conley 
Key Departures: Casey McGehee, Henderson Alvarez, Donovan Solano 
Key Additions: Chris Johnson, Wei-Yin Chen

Handicapper's Take: "Miami returns a lot of last year's group but with three major differences from that should help its cause. First, the Marlins will begin this year with a healthy Jose Fernandez who missed the first three months last year. Second, the once less than ideal managerial situation has been solved with the hiring of Don Mattingly. And third, Giancarlo Stanton is back to full health after a hand injury sidelined him for the final 88 games of last season. 

Miami has lowered the height of the fences all the way around and the straight away to right-center field section has been moved in. It won’t suddenly make it "hitter friendly" but it will certainly aid the mass power of Stanton and lefty first basemen Justin Bour. One through four, Miami is very dangerous and the keys to a consistently productive offense will be center fielder Marcell Ozuna and catcher J.T. Realmuto.

Defensively, the Marlins middle infield is strong with Adeiny Hechavarria and Dee Gordon. And Christian Yelich is an excellent left fielder who with the lower fences could provide some highlight home run thefts. Bour is a question mark at first but the overall quality of the defense is above league average.

The free agent acquisition of ex-Orioles lefty Wei-Yin Chen makes the top of the rotation strong and the 3-4 combo of Tom Koehler and Jared Cosart has potential. Cosart injured his knee in a recent spring training game so his status will need to be followed. Outside of a strong closer in A.J. Ramos, Miami looks to have another bullpen prone to implosions. The elbow injury to set-up man Carter Capps only adds to it their potential misery. Fernandez will once again command a lot of respect in the betting markets but caution that you're getting a premium arm but mediocre pieces surrounding him. There is however some potential and wins to be had playing against the NL East's Philadelphia and Atlanta."

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Tags: MLB Miami Marlins Rob Veno

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