SportsMemo.com
Login:
Click to Use Secure Login
All Available Packages
NOTICE: If you can not view the forum, you may need to log out of SportsMemo.com and log back in to recreate your forum session.
HOMERECAPRADIOFORUMBLOGSLIVE ODDSBESTBETSHANDICAPPERS TWITTERRSS FEEDFACEBOOKEMAIL & CONTACTS

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the NFC East

07.25.2016     10:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve previewed seven of the eight NFL divisions already, which leaves one last division to dissect before the start of training camps this week – the NFC East.  After this column, I’ll be taking a short break from writing Wiseguy Reports, taking some time to be fresh for the start of football season.  My next report – all about beating preseason NFL – will come in mid- August.

Let’s start with the division favorite Dallas Cowboys who are lined at 9 wins.  Last year was an unmitigated disaster for Jerry Jones’ squad and their supporters in the betting markets: 4-12 SU, 4-11-1 ATS.  The Cowboys top heavy roster was besieged with key injuries, most notably at quarterback and their defense was an abject disaster.  The Cowboys finished dead last in the NFL with a -22 turnover margin in large part because their defense notched only 11 takeaways all year.  To put that number in perspective, 24 of the 32 NFL teams recorded 21 takeaways or more.

Jason Garrett is 7-22 ATS as a home favorite in his first five years as the Cowboys head coach; a consistent track record of failure.  And the Cowboys are likely to be home favorites at least seven times this season – maybe all eight, with a relatively easy opposing slate of foe.  That stands in sharp contrast to last year when they faced one of the tougher schedules in the NFL.

Dallas is loaded with elite skill position talent.  They’ve arguably got the best offensive line in the league.  They’ll get top CB Orlando Scandrick back after he got hurt in training camp last year and didn’t play.  But with Rolando McClain, Demarcus Lawrence & Randy Gregory all facing league mandated suspensions, there are no shortage of defensive question marks.  And for all of the Cowboys elite talent, quality depth remains a major issue for a roster that has been decimated with injuries in the past.  Tony Romo has missed 24 games over the last five seasons and if he gets hurt again, the Cowboys backup QB situation doesn’t look much better this year than it did in 2015’s debacle.

The New York Giants enter the Ben McAdoo era off three consecutive losing campaigns, without a single playoff appearance since their 2011 Super Bowl title.  The G-men are lined at 8 wins for 2016, coming off a season where their defense was ranked 32nd in yardage – dead last in the NFL, behind even the awful Saints stop unit.  Despite those defensive woes, the Giants were actually slight money winners for their supporters last year.

Giants GM Jerry Reese spent $200 million this past offseason – this is not a ‘new coach rebuild’ situation following Tom Coughlin’s dismissal.  Instead it’s a ‘We Have Eli Manning but his prime isn’t going to last much longer’ situation – the Giants are most assuredly in win now mode.  With the additions of Oliver Vernon, Janoris Jenkins, Damon Harrison in free agency and Eli Apple with their #1 pick in the draft, defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo has MUCH more talent to work with in 2016 than he did in 2015.

Manning has done well in McAdoo’s offense for the last two seasons; coming off career high in TDs and a career best 35-14 TD-INT ratio.  Eli hasn’t missed a game since his rookie season, 11 straight years playing all 16 games.  But the offensive talent surrounding him is very ‘iffy’ .  Odell Beckham is a stud.  But Victor Cruz has been a non-factor, with only 23 catches since 2013.  There’s no. 1 RB here.  And the offensive line has some major holes, on paper, heading into training camp.

Like the Giants, the Philadelphia Eagles are publicly stating that they intend to win now, despite firing Chip Kelly in the offseason and trading away a haul of draft picks to move up an nab QB of the future Carson Wentz.  The Eagles have a split line with their season wins – some books have a 7, others have 7.5 with juice to the under. 

First-year first time head coach Doug Pederson has a pretty thin resume.  His only previous head coaching experience was at the high school level.  He has had only three seasons as an NFL coordinator, handling a Kansas City attack under Andy Reid that did not see off many fireworks.   New defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz is switching from 3-4 to 4-3 while replacing four starters, including DeMeco Ryans, Cedric Thornton and Walter Thurmond.  On offense, they’re switching from a zone blocking scheme to a power blocking scheme on the offensive line.  These are not minor changes!

The Eagles have more salary cap money tied into the QB position than any team in the league.  Which, of course, means that their starting QB on opening day is likely to be Sam Bradford –the guy who cost Kelly his job last year; the guy who has failed pretty consistently since being taken #1 overall by the Rams.  All of that $$ at QB has led to this quote from GM Howie Roseman, back on the job after getting forced out in a power struggle with Kelly last year: “What we did in free agency was the best that we could to try to fill a bunch of holes.  Nobody’s sitting here thinking we are a completed picture.”   It’s also worth noting that in the middle of the season, Philly plays three consecutive opponents coming off their bye, then Seattle, Green Bay and Cinci al in a seven week span!  Ouch!

The Washington Redskins were the surprise division winner last year after entering the season projected to be the last place team in the NFC East.  But the markets aren’t particularly bullish on the Skins' chances to repeat their success, with Washington lined O/U 7.5 wins off last year’s 9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS campaign.

History is not on this team's side.  Their last back-to-back winning seasons came in 1996 and 1997.  Their last back-to-back playoff appearances came in 1991 and 1992; when this franchise was still competing for Super Bowls and football fans had never even heard of Daniel Snyder.

Looking back at last year, Washington’s success seemed to be more about their very weak division and one of the weakest slate of opposing foes in the league than any other factor.  Their nine wins came against the Rams, Eagles (twice), Bucs, Saints, Giants, Bears, Bills and Cowboys.  None of those teams finished with a winning record.  When Washington tried to step up in class – vs. the Patriots, Panthers and Green Bay Packers in their home playoff loss – they were non-competitive, losing by a combined margin of 106-34.  Just to clearly illustrate where this team was power rated at even in December, they were +4 at Chicago; +3 at home vs. the Bills the following week.

Kirk Cousins had a career year in 2015 after entering the season with more career INTs (19) than TDs (18): 70% completions and a 101.6 QB rating.  He’s got one of the deepest receiving corps in the NFL to throw to, and he’s playing for a long term contract.  But even with the addition of CB Josh Norman in free agency, this defense is loaded with question marks, as is the offensive line and RB corps.  Throw in a MUCH tougher schedule in 2016 and you can understand why the markets are not expecting a Redskins repeat.

Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys New York Giants Philadelphia Eagles Washington Redskins Teddy Covers




This blog is closed to new comments.

Visitor Comments:




VIP EMAIL CLUB
Add Your Email Address:
How did you find us?


More VIP Email Options
 
Email
 
MLB
Current Blog Topics
Ted Sevransky Hot Links
Current Blog Topics
SportsMemo Ads
Daily Plays
Was 156, $99
Get top rated 20*s from Teddy Covers, Erin Rynning, Rob Veno,and Andrew Lange for Sunday's NFL action for the discounted rate of $99 (reg. price $156). Each play is guaranteed to cash or that handicapper's next top rated football play is on the house.

$39
Erin Rynning DOMINATES the NFL, especially with the 20*s having hit 62% since 2012, good for +31.8 units of profit. For Sunday, he comes in with a 2-unit NFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH selection which you can pick it up for only $39. It's guaranteed to cash or his next top rated football play is free of charge.

$39
Teddy delivered the goods for himself and his clients AGAIN last Sunday, delivering the perfect 3-0 sweep. He followed that up with a Monday Night winner on the Titans, now cashing at a 63% in NFL action since Week 1. Take advantage of this weak pointspread, offering savvy bettors the superior team at an underdog price, worthy of Big Ticket status! This play must cash or his next report is FREE!

$39
Dating back to 2012, Andrew Lange and his clients have absolutely CRUSHED the NFL with 60% winners. That's 5+ years, over 210 selections, and 60% winning action. He comes in with a top rated total for Sunday's action. DO NOT MISS OUT! Only $39 and guaranteed to cash or his next top rated football play is free.

$39
Rob Veno has carved a place for himself among the ELITE Best Bet handicappers in the country and his 20* Bluechips have been a major part of that success. Since January 2014 Rob has hit an outstanding long term 61.7% with these selections in all sports resulting in +115.4 units of profit. For Sunday Rob has released his 20* NFC Game Of The Month and you can join him for just $39. This play must win or his next 20* report will be yours free of charge.

$39
Doesn't matter is if it is college or pro, OTTO Sports knows how to hit the BIG plays with 60% winners with his 2-unit plays over the last three years. For Sunday, he checks in with a 20* TOTAL OF THE MONTH selection. It's a guaranteed winner or his next top rated football play is free.

$39
Ian Cameron and his clients have dominated the National Football League with +26.7 units of profit in the NFL since 2015 including +2.8 units YTD. Ian has been crushing the books with his top rated 20* NFL plays since the start of last season with a 17-8 68% record and +16.4 units winning record. He is ready to deliver another 2 unit NFL winner on Sunday with his 20* NFL NFC Total Of The Month. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for just $39 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next NFL play is free.

$35
Rob Veno's Top Tier plays have proven to be long term ticket cashing machines as evidenced by the +96.5 units added to bankrolls in all sports since 2013. For Sunday action he has zeroed in on a matchup that he's released as his 15* NFL Best Bet Side Blowout. You can join him on this selection for just $35 and it must win or you will receive Rob's next report absolutely free.

$29
Ian Cameron has dominated the Canadian Football League banking +26.72 units in the CFL since 2012. Ian is on a solid and profitable 34-20 63% streak in the CFL heading into Week 18 and he is ready to deliver more profits with his 10* CFL Sunday Top Play. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for just $29 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next CFL play is free.


Extended Services
-----------SportsMemo-----------
SportsMemo Ads
Discussion Forum
-------------------------------------
Post Subject
Date
10.21 10:35
10.14 17:03
10.14 14:21
10.07 10:41
09.23 15:09

-------------------------------------
Current Blog
-------------------------------------
Ted Sevransky     10.21.2017 10:27 PM
Ted Sevransky     10.13.2017 10:40 AM
Ted Sevransky     10.07.2017 8:57 PM
Ted Sevransky     10.05.2017 12:12 PM
Ted Sevransky     09.29.2017 7:51 AM

More Blog Entries Submitted by Teddy Covers

-------------------------------------
-----------SportsMemo-----------





Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 22, 2017 01:00 AM.