All Available Packages

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Conference Championship Preview

01.18.2016     09:37 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
March Madness has a lock on the Final Four terminology, but we’re down to the final four teams standing in the NFL Playoffs following a wild weekend of football.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll take a look at how the Final Four teams still standing this NFL season survived, and what their realistic chances of Super Bowl success are moving forward into the Conference Championship Games this coming weekend.

Denver was outgained by more than two full yards per PLAY against the Steelers.  It was not vintage Peyton Manning, to put it mildly: 37 pass attempts for 215 yards, with only two passes all afternoon gaining more than 15 yards.  If you were watching the game, you already know how many missed connections that Manning had with his receivers – no shortage of inaccurate passes and dropped balls.  With the exception of one explosive 34-yard run by CJ Anderson, Denver’s running game wasn’t much better.  Anderson and Ronnie Hillman’s other 30 carries combined for just 76 yards.

But the Broncos avoided mistakes, playing turnover free football; the first time as a starter all season in which Manning did not throw at least one interception.   Manning was well protected, taking only one sack.  And, more than anything else, the Broncos' defense was tremendous, holding Pittsburgh out of the end zone following a single first quarter TD drive.  Denver’s D also forced the only turnover of the game, and it was a HUGE one, turning a promising Steelers fourth quarter drive into a fumble recovery that led to the game winning touchdown. 

Broncos coordinator Wade Phillips has had the #1 defense in the NFL all year long; a stop unit that’s been good enough to carry the team for extended stretches this season.  That includes their Week 12 win right here in Denver against the same team they’ll face on Sunday – the defending champion New England Patriots.

Tom Brady and the Patriots had the easiest path to victory of any team this past weekend, even though New England - -like the other three teams that won in the Divisional Round– had only a one TD margin of victory in the end.  Brady will be playing in his tenth AFC title game; and his fifth in a row; a true testament to greatness in a parity filled league.  Brady enjoyed the 17th playoff game of his career with at least two TD passes, an NFL record.  Most importantly, he didn’t commit any turnovers in a game where New England played out of three (or more) wide receiver sets on 47 of their first 50 snaps.

The Patriots defense looked vulnerable against KC, allowing a whopping 12 third down conversions and 135 yards on the ground.  But that stop unit also kept the Chiefs out of the end zone until midway to through the third quarter, after the Pats already had three TD’s on the board.  It’s worth noting that the Pats defense took a couple of injury hits, however, with linebackers Jamie Collins and Dont’a Hightower both limping off the field.

Carson Palmer had never won a playoff game in his 13-year NFL career prior to Saturday Night’s truly wild and weird win over Green Bay.   And Palmer was certainly not at his best in Arizona’s win over Green Bay.  A Cardinals team that was nothing short of exceptional at creating big plays with their vertical passing game struggled mightily in that regard against the Packers.

Palmer threw three TD passes , but he also threw a pair of interceptions, including one particularly bad one in the red zone.  Several other potential interceptions were dropped by Green Bay defenders.   One of Palmer’s TDs came on a tipped pass in the end zone, rarely a recipe for success.  The Cardinals settled for a pair of red zone field goals and their defense nearly blew the game by allowing a Hail Mary TD pass on the final play, just seconds after allowing the Packers to convert on fourth and 20 to keep the game alive.

Palmer, following the game: "We didn't feel like they were going to come in here and score 35 points on us. We have a lot of faith in our defense. And they weren't going to let us score 35 points. They were sitting back in a ton of different two-high looks."

Arizona head coach Bruce Arians, talking about his quarterbacks early jitters: “Carson wanted to start out this game throwing short. At halftime I said, 'Look, they are giving us chunks. We've got too many chunk plays in here … not to use them. And then he was settled down by then and ready to use them."  It’s worth noting that after the game, Arians gave his team two full days off before prepping for the Panthers; a rarity for this time of year.

Cardinals defensive back Rashad Johnson: “[Palmer] just had that confident look. If you have played any sports or done any type of competitive activity, you see a guy that is confident. He can say, 'I got you,' and you know it." 

Carolina beat Seattle in a tale of two halves, with the Panthers rolling out to a 31-0 halftime lead, then forced to hang on for the win after the Seahawks scored 24 unanswered following the break.   This is not an easy game for box score breakdowns or for clear takeaways; the blowout that wasn’t.

Can Newton following the contest, referencing another big blown lead, when Carolina blew a 35-7 second half lead against the Giants in Week 15 before winning on a late field goal. “We have to find a way to complete a full game of football. We have been known to take our foot off the throttle, and we have to find that killer instinct."

Panthers LB Luke Kuechly, who’s early pick six ended up being the final margin of victory: “That's what this game is going to teach us. No matter how good you play in the first half, the second half is just as important. It's crazy. You go into these games, and you expect it to be like this, so it wasn't a surprise for us. But you've got to be locked in the whole game."

Carolina’s defense has now either blown big leads or come close to blowing big leads three times in their last five victories.  If the Panthers don’t learn the lesson they were supposed to have learned already about protecting leads, they’ll certainly be vulnerable to the upset as home chalk against Arizona on championship Sunday.

Follow me on Twitter @teddy_covers.

Tags: NFL New England Patriots Denver Broncos Arizona Cardinas Carolina Panthers Teddy Covers

This blog is closed to new comments.

Visitor Comments:

Add Your Email Address:
How did you find us?

More VIP Email Options
Current Blog Topics
Ted Sevransky Hot Links
Current Blog Topics
SportsMemo Ads
Daily Plays
Teddy is heating up RIGHT NOW with his strongest plays -- his legendary Big Ticket Reports -- cashing at an 80% clip with his 20*'s over the past three weeks. Expect more winning action on Saturday Night with this 20* Big Ticket Absolute Annihilator; a massive TV blowout just waiting to happen. Get it now! This play must win or his next report is FREE!

Otto Sports is locked and loaded with another 20* for Saturday's college football action. He's got an unreal track record in college football with over +26 units in the bank last season and already +16 this year thanks to a 15-6 record. Simply put OTTO Sport is the BEST college football handicapper on the planet and this weekend's 20* is a must have!

Andrew Lange taps into the Big Ten for this weekend's top rated 20* Best Bet. It's earned TOTAL OF THE MONTH status and is yours for only $39. Lange's pay must cash or his top NFL play is on the house.

Rob Veno has carved himself a spot among the nation's elite Best Bet handicappers with his famed 20* Bluechip releases. Since 2007 Rob has posted a record of 105-68 61% +60.4 units with his CFB 20* Bluechip plays. For Saturday action Rob has released his 20* CFB Sun Belt Game Of The Year. You can join Rob on this play for only $39 and it must win or you will receive his next 20* report at no additional cost.

Ian Cameron has a dominant track record with his 20* releases in College Football cashing at a 48-25 66% clip banking +41.1 units with his top rated 20* CFB plays since joining Sportsmemo. Ian is 6-2 75% with his 20* College Football plays this season and he is ready to unleash his strongest American Athletic Conference side of the entire season on Saturday with his 20* CFB AAC Game Of The Year. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for $39 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next CFB play is free.

Drew Martin is in with his highest rated total from Conference USA of the entire year. He puts his 3-0 100% 20* CFB Total record on the line. Straight off of last week's 20* winner with Wyoming and the week prior with ULM/Texas State over the total. Drew looks to make it four straight 20* cashes in the group of 5 conferences. By now, you know it is a great time to profit in early conference CFB play. This Top Shelf 20* Total of the Year is only $39 and guaranteed to hit or Drew's next top play is on the house.

Brent Crow is rolling in college football with an 11-6 mark in October which includes a perfect 7-0 mark on his side plays. He nailed his 20* SEC Game of the Month last week as LSU crushed Ole Miss and he has his ACC Game of the Year up now for Saturday's action. Get this primetime ABC tilt easy winner now between Clemson and Florida State for $39. It is guaranteed to win or his next report is yours free.

Erin Rynning checks in with a 10* report for this weekend's annual rivalry showdown between Georgia and Florida. ER and his clients have been rolling hot in CFB with a 12-4 75% record over the last month. Get Saturday's play for $29. It must win or ER's top NFL play is free.

Rob Veno is among the elite when it comes to his Top Tier releases raking in +27.4 units while hitting at a 57.1% mark since 2013 with his CFB 15* Best Bet & 20* Bluechip Totals. Rob has released a 15* CFB Friday Night Best Bet Total which and you can join him on this play for only $25. This selection must win or you will receive Rob's next 15* CFB report free of charge.

Drew Martin is in with a 15* Top Shelf Totals Destroyer Ticket on a game where the totals market is slow to react. It is in the MAC Conference kicking off on Saturday available to watch on ESPN 3. Drew concentrates on the non BCS conferences and he has found value on this under the radar total in the Mid American Conference. Jump on board for only $35 guaranteed to win or his next play is on the house.

Rob Veno is among the elite when it comes to his Top Tier releases raking in +27.4 units while hitting at a 57.1% mark since 2013 with his CFB 15* Best Bet & 20* Bluechip Totals. Rob has released a 15* CFB Saturday Best Bet SEC Total which comes in Saturday action and you can join him on this play for only $25. This selection must win or you will receive Rob's next 15* CFB report free of charge.

Ian Cameron has been delivering consistent profits in College Football since joining Sportsmemo in 2012 banking +16.6 units of profit in CFB. He has CRUSHED all aspects of football banking +27.1 units in NFL, College Football and CFL this season. Ian swept the College Football board last week delivering a perfect 5-0 result and he is ready to unleash a rock solid national TV winner with his 10* CFB Friday Watch & Win On ESPN2 as Navy and South Florida do battle in AAC action. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for $29 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next CFB play is free.

Teddy enters the weekend riding an 80% hot streak with his strongest releases; his 20* Big Ticket Reports! Cash in again on Sunday with this high octane shootout primed to fly Over the total with ease. If you like wild, high scoring NFL Games, you'll love this winner, worthy of 'NFL Total of the Month' status. Get onboard now! This play must win or his next report is FREE!

Ian Cameron CRUSHED the books in the NFL last season putting together a very strong winning campaign with a 32-20 record for 62% winning action and +12.3 units of profit. He is rolling this NFL season as well with a strong 18-11 record 62% for +10.4 units of profit. Ian has notched a 6-1 86% record with his NFL 20* plays this season and he is ready to deliver another top rated winner in NFL action on Sunday with his 20* NFL Non-Conference Total Of The Month. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for $39 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next NFL play is free.

Brent Crow continues to win in the NFL with an 13-7 65% mark after the first seven weeks. Last week's 20-star underdog game of the Month on the Chargers won outright at Atlanta! He has his 20-star NFC Game of the Month ready now for Sunday's action. Get this huge 20-star winner now for just $39! It must win or his next top rated selection is free.

Extended Services
SportsMemo Ads
Discussion Forum
Post Subject
10.17 11:24
10.15 21:13
10.15 21:11
10.15 18:18
10.15 18:12

Current Blog
Ted Sevransky     10.27.2016 12:11 PM
Ted Sevransky     10.20.2016 11:14 AM
Ted Sevransky     10.16.2016 9:40 AM
Ted Sevransky     10.13.2016 11:23 AM
Ted Sevransky     10.05.2016 12:06 PM

More Blog Entries Submitted by Teddy Covers


Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at   Oct 28, 2016 03:12 AM.