Click to Use Secure Login
All Available Packages
NOTICE: If you can not view the forum, you may need to log out of and log back in to recreate your forum session.

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Conference Championship Preview

01.18.2016     09:37 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
March Madness has a lock on the Final Four terminology, but we’re down to the final four teams standing in the NFL Playoffs following a wild weekend of football.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll take a look at how the Final Four teams still standing this NFL season survived, and what their realistic chances of Super Bowl success are moving forward into the Conference Championship Games this coming weekend.

Denver was outgained by more than two full yards per PLAY against the Steelers.  It was not vintage Peyton Manning, to put it mildly: 37 pass attempts for 215 yards, with only two passes all afternoon gaining more than 15 yards.  If you were watching the game, you already know how many missed connections that Manning had with his receivers – no shortage of inaccurate passes and dropped balls.  With the exception of one explosive 34-yard run by CJ Anderson, Denver’s running game wasn’t much better.  Anderson and Ronnie Hillman’s other 30 carries combined for just 76 yards.

But the Broncos avoided mistakes, playing turnover free football; the first time as a starter all season in which Manning did not throw at least one interception.   Manning was well protected, taking only one sack.  And, more than anything else, the Broncos' defense was tremendous, holding Pittsburgh out of the end zone following a single first quarter TD drive.  Denver’s D also forced the only turnover of the game, and it was a HUGE one, turning a promising Steelers fourth quarter drive into a fumble recovery that led to the game winning touchdown. 

Broncos coordinator Wade Phillips has had the #1 defense in the NFL all year long; a stop unit that’s been good enough to carry the team for extended stretches this season.  That includes their Week 12 win right here in Denver against the same team they’ll face on Sunday – the defending champion New England Patriots.

Tom Brady and the Patriots had the easiest path to victory of any team this past weekend, even though New England - -like the other three teams that won in the Divisional Round– had only a one TD margin of victory in the end.  Brady will be playing in his tenth AFC title game; and his fifth in a row; a true testament to greatness in a parity filled league.  Brady enjoyed the 17th playoff game of his career with at least two TD passes, an NFL record.  Most importantly, he didn’t commit any turnovers in a game where New England played out of three (or more) wide receiver sets on 47 of their first 50 snaps.

The Patriots defense looked vulnerable against KC, allowing a whopping 12 third down conversions and 135 yards on the ground.  But that stop unit also kept the Chiefs out of the end zone until midway to through the third quarter, after the Pats already had three TD’s on the board.  It’s worth noting that the Pats defense took a couple of injury hits, however, with linebackers Jamie Collins and Dont’a Hightower both limping off the field.

Carson Palmer had never won a playoff game in his 13-year NFL career prior to Saturday Night’s truly wild and weird win over Green Bay.   And Palmer was certainly not at his best in Arizona’s win over Green Bay.  A Cardinals team that was nothing short of exceptional at creating big plays with their vertical passing game struggled mightily in that regard against the Packers.

Palmer threw three TD passes , but he also threw a pair of interceptions, including one particularly bad one in the red zone.  Several other potential interceptions were dropped by Green Bay defenders.   One of Palmer’s TDs came on a tipped pass in the end zone, rarely a recipe for success.  The Cardinals settled for a pair of red zone field goals and their defense nearly blew the game by allowing a Hail Mary TD pass on the final play, just seconds after allowing the Packers to convert on fourth and 20 to keep the game alive.

Palmer, following the game: "We didn't feel like they were going to come in here and score 35 points on us. We have a lot of faith in our defense. And they weren't going to let us score 35 points. They were sitting back in a ton of different two-high looks."

Arizona head coach Bruce Arians, talking about his quarterbacks early jitters: “Carson wanted to start out this game throwing short. At halftime I said, 'Look, they are giving us chunks. We've got too many chunk plays in here … not to use them. And then he was settled down by then and ready to use them."  It’s worth noting that after the game, Arians gave his team two full days off before prepping for the Panthers; a rarity for this time of year.

Cardinals defensive back Rashad Johnson: “[Palmer] just had that confident look. If you have played any sports or done any type of competitive activity, you see a guy that is confident. He can say, 'I got you,' and you know it." 

Carolina beat Seattle in a tale of two halves, with the Panthers rolling out to a 31-0 halftime lead, then forced to hang on for the win after the Seahawks scored 24 unanswered following the break.   This is not an easy game for box score breakdowns or for clear takeaways; the blowout that wasn’t.

Can Newton following the contest, referencing another big blown lead, when Carolina blew a 35-7 second half lead against the Giants in Week 15 before winning on a late field goal. “We have to find a way to complete a full game of football. We have been known to take our foot off the throttle, and we have to find that killer instinct."

Panthers LB Luke Kuechly, who’s early pick six ended up being the final margin of victory: “That's what this game is going to teach us. No matter how good you play in the first half, the second half is just as important. It's crazy. You go into these games, and you expect it to be like this, so it wasn't a surprise for us. But you've got to be locked in the whole game."

Carolina’s defense has now either blown big leads or come close to blowing big leads three times in their last five victories.  If the Panthers don’t learn the lesson they were supposed to have learned already about protecting leads, they’ll certainly be vulnerable to the upset as home chalk against Arizona on championship Sunday.

Follow me on Twitter @teddy_covers.

Tags: NFL New England Patriots Denver Broncos Arizona Cardinas Carolina Panthers Teddy Covers

This blog is closed to new comments.

Visitor Comments:

Add Your Email Address:
How did you find us?

More VIP Email Options
Current Blog Topics
Ted Sevransky Hot Links
Current Blog Topics
SportsMemo Ads
Daily Plays
Rob Veno has been on a solid month long run with his MLB Top Tier 15* & 20* recently cashing in +9.5 units of pure profit. Today he has released a 15* MLB Triple Advantage Best Bet selection. This contest has three major fundamental and situational advantages that all signal to a solid victory. You can join Rob on this selection for only $25 and it must win or you will receive tomorrow's selection package at no additional charge.

Teddy has delivered the goods with four straight right side winners in MLB action This isn't new or different -- Teddy is RED HOT RIGHT NOW, hitting 83% across sports over the last 13 days as part of his 70% All Sports Run in June. Ride the hot hand & cash in with Teddy's West Coast Winner as the Giants battle the Padres tonight! This play must produce a profit or his next report is FREE!

Ian Cameron cashed in with ease on the Mets/Rockies Over the total last night and he is ready to deliver more baseball profits tonight with his 10* MLB Thursday Top Play. You can get it for $20 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next MLB play is free.

Ian Cameron is the best Canadian Football League handicapper on the planet and he has proven it by dominating the CFL to the tune of more than +30 units of profit since 2012 including +20 units of profit over the last two CFL seasons combined. He is ready to deliver his strongest June CFL side in Week 2 action unleashing a very strong, top rated 2 unit winner with his 20* CFL Game Of The Month backed by an incredible, undefeated 12-0 ATS betting angle that has been cashing in repeatedly dating back to last season. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for $29 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next CFL play is free.

Ian Cameron is the best Canadian Football League handicapper on the planet and he has proven it by dominating the CFL to the tune of more than +30 units of profit since 2012 including +20 units of profit over the last two CFL seasons combined. He is ready to deliver more profits in north of the border gridiron action on Friday night with his 10* CFL Friday Top Total. You can get it complete with detailed written analysis for $20 and it is guaranteed to cash or his next CFL play is free.

It's here! Teddy Covers' famed NFL Season Over/Under Wins package is available for purchase! One of the most popular and success service packages in the industry, Teddy's report is an absolute MUST HAVE for every bettor. The result are sick: 82-35 70% 2001-18, 12-2 86% 20* Big Tickets. As always, you'll not only receive Teddy's selections but also detailed written analysis. The first wave of releases will be in July followed by potential additional plays after the third week of the NFL Preseason. Invest with Teddy today for only $229.

Extended Services
SportsMemo Ads
Discussion Forum
Post Subject
04.22 07:51
04.17 21:26
04.17 09:22
04.17 08:56
04.17 08:47

Current Blog
Ted Sevransky     06.12.2018 10:41 AM
Ted Sevransky     06.08.2018 10:10 AM
Ted Sevransky     06.01.2018 11:28 AM
Ted Sevransky     05.25.2018 10:53 AM
Ted Sevransky     05.22.2018 9:42 AM

More Blog Entries Submitted by Teddy Covers


Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at   Jun 21, 2018 04:47 PM.