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Views: 4069
Posted by AndrewL
Replies: 1

-150 or more moneyline favorites (Run-line)
2011: 495-269 +9.0 (-22.3 R/L)
2012: 504-275 +11.8 (+4.5 R/L)
2013: 563-283 +37.2 (-13.3 R/L)
2014: 451-242 +29.8 (+41.3 R/L)
2015: 429-226 +25.5 (+25.4 R/L)
2016: 587-320 -3.3 (-18.0 R/L)
2017: 602-306 +40.0 (+5.0 R/L)
2018: 100-42 +17.3 (+16.8 R/L)
Total: 4121-2225 +164.9 (+41.8 R/L)

Reply by billydd66

You mentioned on the podcast about workarounds for high-priced favorites ( run line, opposing team total etc). I've been using the -1/2 run 5 inning line to get good teams/good pitchers vs. lesser quality foes at reasonable money lines to some success. Usually the juice is in the -130 range. Of course that discounts the strength of bullpens where these high-priced favorites have the biggest advantage.
I've never been good at identifying a good run-line favorites as it seems my team always wins by one!

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