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Views: 368
Posted by mich.mercer
Replies: 8

Looking back the last three years for the opening 3 days of the playoffs I found it interesting to see how many games played under the total. For the starting wed, thurs, fri the o/u is 11-25-5.

wed 7-4-4
thurs 12-1-1
friday 6-6

With plus prices on the under in 2 of the 3 games in the west and 3 of 4 in th east you may want to take a look at the best possibilities and make a play.

Reply by mich.mercer

i listed that wrong. 4 games at plus prices on the under in the east and 2 in the west.



Reply by Marty Otto

Is it typical to see so many 5's instead of 5.5's?

Reply by rock19912002

noticed the first day is 7-4-4, taking a 3 day 3 game parlay: Nash/Det over 5 (Det overs on the road is the trend), Was/Bos over 5 (take a shot since it's at 5), & Fla/NJ over 5 (season series produced overs & pushes of 5 if the line was priced there)...pays 4.7 to 1...think it's worth a shot!

Reply by mich.mercer

2010-11 2 games of 5 lined at 5 wed, 2 of three thursday, all 4 games lined at 5 friday. 8 of 12

2009-10 2 games of 4 lined at 5 wed, 1 of 3 thursday, 2 of 5 friday for a total of 5 of 12

2008-09 2 games of 4 lined at 5 wed, 0 of 4 thursday, 2 of 3 friday for a total of 4 of 11

2010-11 game totals for wed 3,3,5,6,2 thurs 2,5,1 fri 6,7,2,8

2009-10 totals for wed 9,5,3,3 thurs 5,5,3 firday 3,5,11,8,11

2008-09 totals for wed 7,5,5,3 thurs 5,5,6,2 frid 5,3,3

Reply by samip25

Martin wrote on Mon, 09 April 2012 12:35

Is it typical to see so many 5's instead of 5.5's?



Very typical in playoff hockey to see a majority of the totals at 5. I have to admit that we may see some adjustments to 4.5 in a couple of these games as they get deeper into the series (assuming they play 1-0 and 2-1 type games). Some very UNDER friendly teams matching up in the first round.

Reply by mich.mercer

I'm not saying only play unders opening 3 days Rock. In fact i have a play on Pitt over 5.5. I just see opportunity in picking some of the ideal situations and playing under in the opening days. Rule changes (two line pass especially), matchups, etc... all play a factor. Just thought it was worth a note. Gl in your play.

Reply by rock19912002

I never said that you said to take unders. I just hate unders, lol. There are only 2 series that I think we'll see consistent unders on: Van/LA & Stl/SJ (mainly the latter).

Reply by rock19912002

Looking to the sides, I also noticed some season series differences. St Louis was 4-0 vs SJ winning 3 of those by 2 or more goals (looking to take some -1.5's there). Phoenix is 3-1 vs Chicago also winning 2 of those by 2 or more (another spot to look for a parlay using -1.5). 3 of 4 road teams/series dogs in the East dominated their season series (Ottawa 3-1 vs NYR, Washington 3-1 vs Boston, & Philly 4-2 vs Pittsburgh)...of course this is the playoffs so I guess all that can mean absolutely nothing since everyone technically starts with a clean slate...thoughts?

 
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