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To purchase any package or to view a complete listing of available reports, click here. | Posted: 8:37 AM In this, the third edition of the MAC Attack, we'll take a look at the bottom half of the MAC West. For what its worth, I think the MAC West has unquestionably the best teams in the MAC this year. Unfortunately for the teams listed in this particular blog, they aren't amongst them...
Ball State edges Northern Illinois for the best of the rest. The Cardinals have one of the most exciting and efficient pass attacks in the Midwest and return QB Nate Davis (1975 yds, 61% completion, 18-8 TD to INT) and his top two targets Darius Hill (10 TDs, 17.6 ypp) and Dante Love. The O-Line looks to be a strength this year which is not often said in Muncie. The defense is a question mark however after allowing nearly 5.0 ypc last year and 26 ppg. They return seven starters, but the quality of those players must be a concern for head coach Brady Hoke. I won't completely discount their ability to win on the road after upsetting Toledo and Miami, while hanging tough with Big 10 opponents Michigan and Purdue last season, but don't expect more than a couple of wins. They benefit from dodging Kent State in the East and with home games against Toledo and Central Michigan though…
Northern Illinois has benefited from having two NFL RBs (Michael Turner and Garret Wolfe) in the backfield the past five years, but this season the production will drop. Losing Wolfe, the MAC's leading all purpose offensive player will prove costly and relying on the shaky at best Dan Nicholson at QB I think Northern Illinois will find this year to be frustrating. Throw in road games at Toledo and Central Michigan, a tough scheduling spot with Western Michigan (one week before going to Wisconsin) and having to face the East's best (Kent State) and the Huskies look primed for a .500 or worse campaign. The defense allowed 365 ypg but just 21 ppg, by benefiting on key turnovers in the red zone, something that is difficult to project happening again this year…
Eastern Michigan should improve upon a one win season a year ago by returning 16 starters (seven on offense, nine on defense) but they still play a brutal MAC slate with road games at Ohio, Northern Illinois, Toledo and Central Michigan which they will lose. Home games aren't much easier against Ball State, Western Michigan, and Bowling Green. They are 13-10 ATS in the past two seasons, giving some value as big dogs on the road, but their offense that averaged 13.9 ppg doesn’t appear to be much better on paper, and they allowed almost 5.0 ypc defensively. They could pull out three or four wins, but not much more.
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Tuesday, September 2, 2008
| Posted: 10:35 AM Just a few thoughts that ran through my head during this (very profitable) opening week of college football. All of these comments come from watching, first hand, the games listed. I apologize for not taking more discernable notes, I was so fired up sometimes I just put down one word descriptions for what I was feeling at that moment. Here’s my best shot at recapturing the mood as it happened.
Oklahoma State/Washington State: The Cowboys served as my 20* play this week and covered, though it wasn’t always the prettiest game. I figured Gundy’s crew would have a huge advantage offensively here and they did. QB Zac Robinson wasn’t asked to make a lot of difficult throws but was efficient going 20-27. Their most successful pass play was basically a jump ball for Dez Bryant who simply out muscled defenders for the ball. That won’t work against the top tier in the Big 12 but can be a deadly weapon against those bottom feeders that feature small corners. Little Kendall Hunter impressed me with his ability to just grind away yards. He doesn’t appear to be a breakaway threat just yet but seems workhorse-ish, something every team could use particularly when breaking in new skill players elsewhere.
Take note, the Cougars will not move the football unless they can find running room. The line looked spotty at best protecting new QB Rogers and his WRs didn’t seem to know the offense that well with more than a few miscues in routes. RB Tardy looked as close to 100% as he could be after an ACL tear last year but he’ll have a tough time finding holes against eight man fronts. I was impressed with Rogers’ arm but he needs to use a little more touch on the underneath routes (the only ones he figures to have consistently). Too many times he fired the ball right through the hands of open receivers.
Special teams is a major question mark in Pullman. The punter line-drived every kick at the return man allowing plenty of room to run. The kickoff coverage team allowed a TD in a crucial point in the third quarter immediately following the one truly successful offensive drive.
Defensively I was shocked at how fast WSU got to the ball, in gangs, and how solid they were in tackling. I don’t remember more than one or two missed tackles from that bunch.
Quick hitters…
Troy: I was thoroughly unimpressed with new QB Jamie Hampton. I can’t pinpoint why other than he looked a little lost and a little timid. Perhaps that was to be expected with a new system getting its first live game action.
Baylor: New coach, same results. Bears struggled offensively and it’s not a big secret as to why; Kirby Freeman stunk at Miami and didn’t look any better here in Waco. I am excited/intrigued to see Robert Griffin under center instead. He should make the highlight reel a few times this season, albeit in losing efforts.
Florida: Gators chomped a clearly outclassed/rebuilding Hawaii side. Urban Meyer has found a gem in Jeff Demps! He took one to the house 60+ yards in about three seconds flat. He can flat out fly. Gators overall team speed on offense is scary.
Pitt: Wanny had that deer in the headlights look again, surprise surprise. How this team couldn’t find a way to run the football after the first quarter is beyond me.
Minnesota: Is there a worse secondary in all of football? Repeatedly blowing coverage assignments and allowing massive plays. When NIU’s Nate Palmer is racking up 170 yards on three catches, you are in trouble. |
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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Tim Trushel, Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Fairway Jay, Donnie Black, Erin Rynning, Ed Cash, Jared Klein and Marty Otto. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from 7 a.m. to 9 a.m. PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and nationally on Sirius Hardcore Sports Channel 98 and the web at Sportsmemo.com. Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show? Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.
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