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09.28.12 College Football Handicapping: Betting totals with the four FCS newcomers

09.13.12 If coaches could bet, Brady Hoke would probably grab some UMass +45.5

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Note that our statistics differ from the NCAA. ACCU-Stat: True Rushing Numbers eliminate misleading results (sacks and muffed punts) and provide a more accurate indicator of a team's ability to run/stop the run. We also eliminate games against FCS opponents from the overall season stats as many of those matchups often yield lopsided results.

Massachusetts 2012 Pointspread Log

			Line		Total		2H	2H	1		2		3		4		OT		1H		2H		G
Date	Opponent	V	Open	Close	Open	Close	Line	Total	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA
08.30	Connecticut	A	+26	+21	47	47	+10	20½	0	7	0	13	0	7	0	10	0	0	0	20	0	17	0	37
09.08	Indiana	H	+13½	+14	51½	48½	+4	23½	6	21	0	17	0	0	0	7	0	0	6	38	0	7	6	45
09.15	Michigan	A	+45	+45½	56	55	+17	24	0	14	13	28	0	14	0	7	0	0	13	42	0	21	13	63
09.22	Miami (OH)	A	+26½	+24	51	50	+10	24	0	0	3	14	7	7	6	6	0	0	3	14	13	13	16	27
09.29	Ohio	H	+23½	+23	54	55	+10	28	10	3	7	17	10	0	7	17	0	0	17	20	17	17	34	37
10.06	Western Michigan	A	+15	+17	53	56½	+7½	24½	0	7	7	21	0	21	7	3	0	0	7	28	7	24	14	52
10.20	Bowling Green	H	+17½	+19½	51½	50½	+8	23	0	7	0	0	0	14	0	3	0	0	0	7	0	17	0	24
10.27	Vanderbilt	A	+32½	+33	48½	49½	+13½	22	0	7	0	14	0	28	7	0	0	0	0	21	7	28	7	49
11.03	Northern Illinois	A	+36½	+35	56½	58	+14	24	0	14	0	21	0	21	0	7	0	0	0	35	0	28	0	63
11.10	Akron	A	+14	+14½	60	58½	+9	27	3	0	12	0	0	7	7	7	0	0	15	0	7	14	22	14
11.17	Buffalo	H	+10	+11½	50	49½	+7	24½	3	0	10	0	6	14	0	15	0	0	13	0	6	29	19	29
11.23	Central Michigan	H	+11	+11	56½	55½	+7	28	0	7	14	7	7	14	0	14	0	0	14	14	7	28	21	42
Average									1	7	5	12	2	12	2	8	0	0	7	19	5	20	12	40

Massachusetts 2012 Accu-Stat Log

			Line		Total		2H	2H	G		Offense			Defense			Offense			Defense
Date	Opponent	V	Open	Close	Open	Close	Line	Total	PF	PA	R	RY	YPR	R	RY	YPR	PA	PY	YPP	PA	PY	YPP
08.30	Connecticut	A	+26	+21	47	47	+10	20½
09.08	Indiana	H	+13½	+14	51½	48½	+4	23½
09.15	Michigan	A	+45	+45½	56	55	+17	24
09.22	Miami (OH)	A	+26½	+24	51	50	+10	24
09.29	Ohio	H	+23½	+23	54	55	+10	28	34	37	37	141	3.81	52	274	5.27	52	320	6.15	27	229	8.48
10.06	Western Michigan	A	+15	+17	53	56½	+7½	24½	14	52	29	103	3.55	45	283	6.29	33	115	3.48	29	269	9.28
10.20	Bowling Green	H	+17½	+19½	51½	50½	+8	23	0	24	26	85	3.27	34	107	3.15	34	33	0.97	37	177	4.78
10.27	Vanderbilt	A	+32½	+33	48½	49½	+13½	22	7	49	28	77	2.75	34	236	6.94	45	187	4.16	22	217	9.86
11.03	Northern Illinois	A	+36½	+35	56½	58	+14	24	0	63	42	136	3.24	46	342	7.43	41	131	3.20	27	272	10.07
11.10	Akron	A	+14	+14½	60	58½	+9	27	22	14	27	77	2.85	26	104	4.00	42	256	6.10	52	323	6.21
11.17	Buffalo	H	+10	+11½	50	49½	+7	24½	19	29	27	103	3.81	38	183	4.82	48	161	3.35	33	224	6.79
11.23	Central Michigan	H	+11	+11	56½	55½	+7	28	21	42	24	82	3.42	39	265	6.79	48	335	6.98	20	80	4.00
Average									14.6	38.8	240	804	3.35	314	1794	5.71	343	1538	4.48	247	1791	7.25

Massachusetts 2011 Pointspread Log

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Massachusetts 2011 Accu-Stat Log

			Line		Total		2H	2H	G		Offense			Defense			Offense			Defense
Date	Opponent	V	Open	Close	Open	Close	Line	Total	PF	PA	R	RY	YPR	R	RY	YPR	PA	PY	YPP	PA	PY	YPP
09.24	Boston College	A	pk	pk			pk		17	45	29	122	4.21	47	208	4.43	38	191	5.03	24	181	7.54
Average									17.0	45.0	29	122	4.21	47	208	4.43	38	191	5.03	24	181	7.54

Massachusetts 2010 Pointspread Log

			Line		Total		2H	2H	1		2		3		4		OT		1H		2H		G
Date	Opponent	V	Open	Close	Open	Close	Line	Total	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA
09.18	Michigan	A	+21	+28	51	52	+13½	28	3	7	14	14	0	14	20	7	0	0	17	21	20	21	37	42
Average									3	7	14	14	0	14	20	7	0	0	17	21	20	21	37	42

Massachusetts 2010 Accu-Stat Log

			Line		Total		2H	2H	G		Offense			Defense			Offense			Defense
Date	Opponent	V	Open	Close	Open	Close	Line	Total	PF	PA	R	RY	YPR	R	RY	YPR	PA	PY	YPP	PA	PY	YPP
09.24	Boston College	A	pk	pk			pk		17	45	29	122	4.21	47	208	4.43	38	191	5.03	24	181	7.54
Average									17.0	45.0	29	122	4.21	47	208	4.43	38	191	5.03	24	181	7.54

Massachusetts 2009 Pointspread Log

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Massachusetts 2009 Accu-Stat Log

			Line		Total		2H	2H	G		Offense			Defense			Offense			Defense
Date	Opponent	V	Open	Close	Open	Close	Line	Total	PF	PA	R	RY	YPR	R	RY	YPR	PA	PY	YPP	PA	PY	YPP
09.24	Boston College	A	pk	pk			pk		17	45	29	122	4.21	47	208	4.43	38	191	5.03	24	181	7.54
Average									17.0	45.0	29	122	4.21	47	208	4.43	38	191	5.03	24	181	7.54

NCAA Football

Boston College Clemson Florida State Maryland NC State Wake Forest Duke Georgia Tech Miami (FL) North Carolina Virginia Virginia Tech	Illinois Indiana Iowa Michigan Michigan State Minnesota Nebraska Northwestern Ohio State Penn State Purdue Wisconsin	Baylor Iowa State Kansas Kansas State Oklahoma Oklahoma State TCU Texas Texas Tech West Virginia	Cincinnati Connecticut Louisville Pittsburgh Rutgers South Florida Syracuse West Virginia
Central Florida East Carolina Marshall Memphis Southern Miss UAB West Virginia Houston Rice SMU Tulane Tulsa UTEP West Virginia	Army BYU Navy Notre Dame	Akron Bowling Green Buffalo Kent State Massachusetts Miami (OH) Ohio Ball State Central Michigan Eastern Michigan Northern Illinois Toledo Western Michigan	Air Force Boise State Colorado State Fresno State Hawaii Nevada New Mexico San Diego State UNLV Wyoming
Arizona Arizona State California Colorado Oregon Oregon State Stanford UCLA USC Utah Washington Washington State	Florida Georgia Kentucky Missouri South Carolina Tennessee Vanderbilt Alabama Arkansas Auburn LSU Mississippi Mississippi State Texas A&M	Arkansas State Florida Atlantic Florida International Louisiana-Lafayette Louisiana-Monroe Middle Tennessee State North Texas South Alabama Troy Western Kentucky	Idaho Louisiana Tech New Mexico State San Jose State Texas State Utah State UTSA

NFL

Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins New England Patriots New York Jets	Baltimore Ravens Cincinnati Bengals Cleveland Browns Pittsburgh Steelers	Houston Texans Indianapolis Colts Jacksonville Jaguars Tennessee Titans	Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs Oakland Raiders San Diego Chargers
Dallas Cowboys New York Giants Philadelphia Eagles Washington Redskins	Chicago Bears Detroit Lions Green Bay Packers Minnesota Vikings	Atlanta Falcons Carolina Panthers New Orleans Saints Tampa Bay Bucs	Arizona Cardinals San Francisco 49ers Seattle Seahawks St. Louis Rams

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