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Baylor Sportsmemo Coverage

12.23.12 Holiday Bowl Betting Preview: Baylor Bears vs. UCLA Bruins

11.15.12 College Football Betting Preview: Kansas State Wildcats at Baylor Bears

10.11.12 College Football Betting Preview: TCU Horned Frogs at Baylor Bears

12.28.11 Alamo Bowl Betting Preview: Washington Huskies vs. Baylor Bears

12.02.11 College Football Gambling Preview: Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears

11.26.11 College Football Gambling Pick: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Baylor Bears

10.01.11 NCAAF Handicapper Free Pick: Baylor Bears at Kansas State Wildcats

08.31.11 Heavy steam on Baylor; Sportsbooks finally hang Oregon/LSU line

08.31.11 NCAA Handicapper Game Preview: TCU Horned Frogs at Baylor Bears

08.08.11 NCAAF Handicapping: Week 1 analysis based on last year's lines

05.31.11 NCAA Football Handicapping: Odds to Win Big XII Championship

05.24.11 NCAA Football Handicapping: A look at quarterbacks in the Big XII

12.09.10 Texas Bowl Handicap: Illinois takes on Baylor

11.10.10 Betting Preview: Texas A&M Aggies at Baylor Bears

11.03.10 Betting Preview: Baylor Bears at Oklahoma State Cowboys

10.19.10 Coaching decision has Baylor offense on a roll

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Note that our statistics differ from the NCAA. ACCU-Stat: True Rushing Numbers eliminate misleading results (sacks and muffed punts) and provide a more accurate indicator of a team's ability to run/stop the run. We also eliminate games against FCS opponents from the overall season stats as many of those matchups often yield lopsided results.

Baylor 2012 Pointspread Log

			Line		Total		2H	2H	1		2		3		4		OT		1H		2H		G
Date	Opponent	V	Open	Close	Open	Close	Line	Total	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA
09.02	SMU	H	-11	-7	59	57	pk		14	0	10	3	21	7	14	14	0	0	24	3	35	21	59	24
09.15	Sam Houston St.	H	-30	-29½			-16		3	3	7	17	14	0	24	3	0	0	10	20	38	3	48	23
09.21	UL-Monroe	A	-8	-9	68½	70½	-4	35½	0	14	24	7	10	7	13	14	0	0	24	21	23	21	47	42
09.29	West Virginia	A	+11½	+11½	81½	84	+7	46	14	14	21	21	7	21	21	14	0	0	35	35	28	35	63	70
10.13	TCU	H	-7	-6½	67½	69	-4	31½	7	7	0	7	14	14	0	21	0	0	7	14	14	35	21	49
10.20	Texas	A	+9½	+10	80½	79½	+3	41½	21	14	10	28	12	7	7	7	0	0	31	42	19	14	50	56
10.27	Iowa State	A	+2½	+2½	71	70½	-½	35½	7	7	7	14	0	7	7	7	0	0	14	21	7	14	21	35
11.03	Kansas	H	-17	-17	71	69½	-7½	34½	17	7	3	7	14	0	7	0	0	0	20	14	21	0	41	14
11.10	Oklahoma	A	+20	+21	76½	74½	+10	36½	3	14	14	14	9	7	8	7	0	0	17	28	17	14	34	42
11.17	Kansas St.	H	+11	+12	74	75	+11	37½	14	7	14	10	24	7	0	0	0	0	28	17	24	7	52	24
11.24	Texas Tech	H	-2	-3	78	80½	-2½	41	7	14	7	7	14	10	17	14	7	0	14	21	38	24	52	45
12.01	Oklahoma St.	H	+4½	+4	86½	87½	+3½	44½	17	3	14	14	3	3	7	14	0	0	31	17	10	17	41	34
12.27	UCLA	A	-1	+3	78	81½	+3	39½	14	0	21	10	7	3	7	13	0	0	35	10	14	16	49	26
Average									10	8	11	12	11	7	10	9	0	0	22	20	22	17	44	37

Baylor 2012 Accu-Stat Log

			Line		Total		2H	2H	G		Offense			Defense			Offense			Defense
Date	Opponent	V	Open	Close	Open	Close	Line	Total	PF	PA	R	RY	YPR	R	RY	YPR	PA	PY	YPP	PA	PY	YPP
09.02	SMU	H	-11	-7	59	57	pk		59	24	32	220	6.88	29	145	5.00	35	393	11.23	63	362	5.75
09.15	Sam Houston St.	H	-30	-29½			-16		48	23	36	246	6.83	40	169	4.23	44	298	6.77	42	266	6.33
09.21	UL-Monroe	A	-8	-9	68½	70½	-4	35½	47	42	47	169	3.60	41	275	6.71	41	380	9.27	44	283	6.43
09.29	West Virginia	A	+11½	+11½	81½	84	+7	46	63	70	42	139	3.31	34	158	4.65	50	561	11.22	52	653	12.56
10.13	TCU	H	-7	-6½	67½	69	-4	31½	21	49	28	128	4.57	55	265	4.82	27	302	11.19	32	244	7.63
10.20	Texas	A	+9½	+10	80½	79½	+3	41½	50	56	40	264	6.60	40	293	7.33	42	344	8.19	31	274	8.84
10.27	Iowa State	A	+2½	+2½	71	70½	-½	35½	21	35	30	115	3.83	46	182	3.96	51	426	8.35	54	381	7.06
11.03	Kansas	H	-17	-17	71	69½	-7½	34½	41	14	47	314	6.68	39	261	6.69	44	352	8.00	28	81	2.89
11.10	Oklahoma	A	+20	+21	76½	74½	+10	36½	34	42	48	263	5.48	39	193	4.95	36	181	5.03	37	267	7.22
11.17	Kansas St.	H	+11	+12	74	75	+11	37½	52	24	49	342	6.98	29	91	3.14	32	238	7.44	53	271	5.11
11.24	Texas Tech	H	-2	-3	78	80½	-2½	41	52	45	56	285	5.09	32	208	6.50	38	389	10.24	41	359	8.76
12.01	Oklahoma St.	H	+4½	+4	86½	87½	+3½	44½	41	34	53	322	6.08	37	218	5.89	39	296	7.59	53	342	6.45
Average									43.7	39.5	472	2561	5.43	421	2289	5.44	435	3862	8.88	488	3517	7.21

Baylor 2011 Pointspread Log

			Line		Total		2H	2H	1		2		3		4		OT		1H		2H		G
Date	Opponent	V	Open	Close	Open	Close	Line	Total	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA
09.02	TCU	H	+10	+4	55½	52½	+3½	29½	14	16	20	7	13	0	3	25	0	0	34	23	16	25	50	48
09.17	Stephen F. Austin	H	-30	-30	77	74	pk		10	0	21	0	17	0	0	0	0	0	31	0	17	0	48	0
09.24	Rice	H	-18	-20½	67	68½	-8½	33½	21	0	14	17	21	7	0	7	0	0	35	17	21	14	56	31
10.01	Kansas St.	A	-3½	-3½	63	64½	-1½	33½	7	13	14	6	14	7	0	10	0	0	21	19	14	17	35	36
10.08	Iowa State	H	-16½	-16	63	64	-7½	31½	0	7	21	7	14	6	14	6	0	0	21	14	28	12	49	26
10.15	Texas A&M	A	+9½	+8	75	75½	+3	38	7	3	7	21	14	17	0	14	0	0	14	24	14	31	28	55
10.29	Oklahoma St.	A	+18	+14½	79	82½	+5½	36	0	21	0	14	3	14	21	10	0	0	0	35	24	24	24	59
11.05	Missouri	H	-1	-2½	73	73	-1	37	0	7	13	7	15	0	14	25	0	0	13	14	29	25	42	39
11.12	Kansas	A	-17½	-19½	75½	75	-13	35	0	3	3	14	0	7	21	0	7	6	3	17	28	13	31	30
11.19	Oklahoma	H	+13	+17	75	75	+11	37	3	3	14	7	14	14	14	14	0	0	17	10	28	28	45	38
11.26	Texas Tech	H	-10	-12	77½	81½	-6½	42½	10	7	21	21	21	7	14	7	0	0	31	28	35	14	66	42
12.29	Washington	H	-10	-9½	78	79½	-7	42½	21	7	3	28	29	14	14	7	0	0	24	35	43	21	67	56
Average									7	7	12	12	14	7	9	10	0	0	20	19	24	18	45	38

Baylor 2011 Accu-Stat Log

			Line		Total		2H	2H	G		Offense			Defense			Offense			Defense
Date	Opponent	V	Open	Close	Open	Close	Line	Total	PF	PA	R	RY	YPR	R	RY	YPR	PA	PY	YPP	PA	PY	YPP
09.02	TCU	H	+10	+4	55½	52½	+3½	29½	50	48	34	156	4.59	38	215	5.66	30	409	13.63	40	251	6.28
09.17	Stephen F. Austin	H	-30	-30	77	74	pk		48	0	29	267	9.21	24	107	4.46	25	278	11.12	24	100	4.17
09.24	Rice	H	-18	-20½	67	68½	-8½	33½	56	31	48	308	6.42	36	166	4.61	35	367	10.49	41	250	6.10
10.01	Kansas St.	A	-3½	-3½	63	64½	-1½	33½	35	36	25	109	4.36	45	243	5.40	37	320	8.65	31	118	3.81
10.08	Iowa State	H	-16½	-16	63	64	-7½	31½	49	26	64	414	6.47	28	208	7.43	33	189	5.73	40	217	5.43
10.15	Texas A&M	A	+9½	+8	75	75½	+3	38	28	55	26	76	2.92	45	266	5.91	45	404	8.98	38	415	10.92
10.29	Oklahoma St.	A	+18	+14½	79	82½	+5½	36	24	59	52	185	3.56	27	327	12.11	53	437	8.25	36	274	7.61
11.05	Missouri	H	-1	-2½	73	73	-1	37	42	39	38	308	8.11	39	261	6.69	43	391	9.09	47	317	6.74
11.12	Kansas	A	-17½	-19½	75½	75	-13	35	31	30	28	193	6.89	63	301	4.78	30	312	10.40	28	103	3.68
11.19	Oklahoma	H	+13	+17	75	75	+11	37	45	38	36	144	4.00	34	171	5.03	37	472	12.76	53	434	8.19
11.26	Texas Tech	H	-10	-12	77½	81½	-6½	42½	66	42	77	384	4.99	16	51	3.19	25	233	9.32	57	393	6.89
12.03	Texas	H	pk	pk			pk		48	24	37	195	5.27	43	213	4.95	23	316	13.74	42	344	8.19
Average									43.1	38.9	465	2472	5.32	414	2422	5.85	391	3850	9.85	453	3116	6.88

Baylor 2010 Pointspread Log

			Line		Total		2H	2H	1		2		3		4		OT		1H		2H		G
Date	Opponent	V	Open	Close	Open	Close	Line	Total	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA
09.04	Sam Houston St.	H	-39½	-39½	59	59	-16½	28	14	0	7	0	7	0	6	3	0	0	21	0	13	3	34	3
09.11	Buffalo	H	-16½	-14	50	52	-6½	24½	10	0	17	3	7	3	0	0	0	0	27	3	7	3	34	6
09.18	TCU	A	+21	+21½	52½	56	+9	25	3	21	0	14	7	3	0	7	0	0	3	35	7	10	10	45
09.25	Rice	A	-7½	-8½	54	56	-3½	27	7	3	13	0	7	3	3	7	0	0	20	3	10	10	30	13
10.02	Kansas	H	-9	-9	50½	51½	-3	25½	10	0	17	7	21	0	7	0	0	0	27	7	28	0	55	7
10.09	Texas Tech	A	+1	+2	61	62	+½	33½	14	14	14	21	3	10	7	0	0	0	28	35	10	10	38	45
10.16	Colorado	A	-1	-1	54	54½	-1½	26½	0	6	10	9	11	0	10	10	0	0	10	15	21	10	31	25
10.23	Kansas St.	H	-7½	-6½	52	56	-2½	30	14	7	17	14	10	7	6	14	0	0	31	21	16	21	47	42
10.30	Texas	A	+7½	+7½	53	55½	+3½	25	3	3	7	9	7	7	13	3	0	0	10	12	20	10	30	22
11.06	Oklahoma St.	A	+7½	+10	73	72	+4	31	0	10	0	14	14	17	14	14	0	0	0	24	28	31	28	55
11.13	Texas A&M	H	+3	+3	64	64	+2½	32½	17	7	13	14	0	14	0	7	0	0	30	21	0	21	30	42
11.20	Oklahoma	H	+7	+8	62½	64	+1½	28½	0	21	7	13	3	19	14	0	0	0	7	34	17	19	24	53
12.29	Illinois	H	-1½	+2½	61½	65	-½	31	0	6	0	10	7	8	7	14	0	0	0	16	14	22	14	38
Average									7	7	9	9	8	7	6	6	0	0	16	17	14	13	31	30

Baylor 2010 Accu-Stat Log

			Line		Total		2H	2H	G		Offense			Defense			Offense			Defense
Date	Opponent	V	Open	Close	Open	Close	Line	Total	PF	PA	R	RY	YPR	R	RY	YPR	PA	PY	YPP	PA	PY	YPP
09.04	Sam Houston St.	H	-39½	-39½	59	59	-16½	28	34	3	24	204	8.50	37	95	2.57	43	259	6.02	29	100	3.45
09.11	Buffalo	H	-16½	-14	50	52	-6½	24½	34	6	38	173	4.55	33	168	5.09	37	320	8.65	49	157	3.20
09.18	TCU	A	+21	+21½	52½	56	+9	25	10	45	23	121	5.26	46	295	6.41	33	142	4.30	23	267	11.61
09.25	Rice	A	-7½	-8½	54	56	-3½	27	30	13	36	192	5.33	29	126	4.34	29	264	9.10	41	170	4.15
10.02	Kansas	H	-9	-9	50½	51½	-3	25½	55	7	45	247	5.49	34	119	3.50	38	434	11.42	31	151	4.87
10.09	Texas Tech	A	+1	+2	61	62	+½	33½	38	45	29	87	3.00	34	195	5.74	46	420	9.13	61	440	7.21
10.16	Colorado	A	-1	-1	54	54½	-1½	26½	31	25	35	309	8.83	47	209	4.45	27	234	8.67	30	190	6.33
10.23	Kansas St.	H	-7½	-6½	52	56	-2½	30	47	42	37	279	7.54	29	142	4.90	38	404	10.63	35	267	7.63
10.30	Texas	A	+7½	+7½	53	55½	+3½	25	30	22	31	153	4.94	36	175	4.86	27	195	7.22	41	253	6.17
11.06	Oklahoma St.	A	+7½	+10	73	72	+4	31	28	55	35	198	5.66	39	290	7.44	49	266	5.43	43	435	10.12
11.13	Texas A&M	H	+3	+3	64	64	+2½	32½	30	42	48	311	6.48	33	149	4.52	42	192	4.57	38	280	7.37
11.20	Oklahoma	H	+7	+8	62½	64	+1½	28½	24	53	36	254	7.06	37	109	2.95	35	107	3.06	42	353	8.40
12.29	Illinois	H	-1½	+2½	61½	65	-½	31	14	38	26	144	5.54	48	308	6.42	46	293	6.37	25	225	9.00
Average									30.9	32.8	419	2468	5.89	445	2285	5.13	447	3271	7.32	459	3188	6.95

Baylor 2009 Pointspread Log

			Line		Total		2H	2H	1		2		3		4		OT		1H		2H		G
Date	Opponent	V	Open	Close	Open	Close	Line	Total	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA	PF	PA
09.05	Wake Forest	A	+2½	+3	50½	51	+½	24	10	0	0	7	14	7	0	7	0	0	10	7	14	14	24	21
09.19	Connecticut	H	-10½	-10½	43	45	-5	21	7	3	0	10	7	14	8	3	0	0	7	13	15	17	22	30
09.26	Northwestern St.	H	-37½	-37½	54	54½	-14		14	7	27	3	27	0	0	3	0	0	41	10	27	3	68	13
10.03	Kent State	H	-21	-23	50	47½	-9	23½	7	7	14	0	7	6	3	2	0	0	21	7	10	8	31	15
10.10	Oklahoma	A	-23	+28	53½	52	+13½	24	0	0	7	14	0	9	0	10	0	0	7	14	0	19	7	33
10.17	Iowa State	A	+3	+2½	53	53	-½	24	3	0	0	14	0	10	7	0	0	0	3	14	7	10	10	24
10.24	Oklahoma St.	H	+10	+7½	53½	52	+2½	24	0	10	0	7	0	7	7	10	0	0	0	17	7	17	7	34
10.31	Nebraska	H	+12½	+14	45	45½	+6	21	0	10	0	10	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	20	10	0	10	20
11.07	Missouri	A	+16	+15	44½	45½	+6½	23½	9	7	7	20	10	2	14	3	0	0	16	27	24	5	40	32
11.14	Texas	H	+25½	+23	51	51	+9½	22	0	14	0	26	0	0	14	7	0	0	0	40	14	7	14	47
11.21	Texas A&M	A	+7½	+6	59½	61	+2½	28½	3	14	0	7	0	3	0	14	0	0	3	21	0	17	3	38
11.28	Texas Tech	A	+22½	+20½	57½	59	+12	28	3	0	7	3	3	14	0	3	0	0	10	3	3	17	13	20
Average									4	6	5	10	6	6	4	5	0	0	9	16	10	11	20	27

Baylor 2009 Accu-Stat Log

			Line		Total		2H	2H	G		Offense			Defense			Offense			Defense
Date	Opponent	V	Open	Close	Open	Close	Line	Total	PF	PA	R	RY	YPR	R	RY	YPR	PA	PY	YPP	PA	PY	YPP
09.05	Wake Forest	A	+2½	+3	50½	51	+½	24	24	21	33	213	6.45	31	145	4.68	28	155	5.54	34	124	3.65
09.19	Connecticut	H	-10½	-10½	43	45	-5	21	22	30	19	164	8.63	55	248	4.51	29	102	3.52	26	134	5.15
10.03	Kent State	H	-21	-23	50	47½	-9	23½	31	15	43	172	4.00	25	165	6.60	29	202	6.97	46	259	5.63
10.10	Oklahoma	A	-23	+28	53½	52	+13½	24	7	33	15	18	1.20	47	210	4.47	45	250	5.56	50	379	7.58
10.17	Iowa State	A	+3	+2½	53	53	-½	24	10	24	20	94	4.70	43	250	5.81	47	270	5.74	37	208	5.62
10.24	Oklahoma St.	H	+10	+7½	53½	52	+2½	24	7	34	18	45	2.50	41	206	5.02	40	239	5.98	29	239	8.24
10.31	Nebraska	H	+12½	+14	45	45½	+6	21	10	20	25	84	3.36	37	148	4.00	45	192	4.27	21	128	6.10
11.07	Missouri	A	+16	+15	44½	45½	+6½	23½	40	32	25	67	2.68	21	57	2.71	46	398	8.65	56	421	7.52
11.14	Texas	H	+25½	+23	51	51	+9½	22	14	47	25	26	1.04	35	224	6.40	48	220	4.58	40	187	4.68
11.21	Texas A&M	A	+7½	+6	59½	61	+2½	28½	3	38	23	111	4.83	49	388	7.92	41	186	4.54	26	141	5.42
11.28	Texas Tech	A	+22½	+20½	57½	59	+12	28	13	20	33	127	3.85	27	105	3.89	39	210	5.38	50	263	5.26
Average									16.5	28.5	279	1121	4.02	411	2146	5.22	437	2424	5.55	415	2483	5.98

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