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Pavlos Laguretos

Pavlos Laguretos

Hot Streaks

80% (12-3) run in 5% Totals

82% (9-2) run in 4% Releases and 11-3 in March 2024

#1 All Sports Profit L/365 Days (+155.48u) / +$15,548

#1 Soccer Profit L/365 Days (+158.83u) / +$15,883

#1 Soccer Profit in 2023 (+177.76u) / +$17,776

75% (15-5) in L/20 4-5% Releases / +31.85u

Last updated Mar 28, 11:14 PM EDT

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All Plays

5% MLS TOTAL (incl. 5 MORE PLAYS)

!!! CONSISTENTLY HITTING 5% RELEASES ON A 60% WINRATE L/5/50/100

Pavlos has some BIG MOVES this weekend with a 5% MLS Total (including 5 more plays AND 4 MLS Futures), and then another 5% on Wednesday (Asian Spread Bet), along with multiple free plays for the weekend. Also available are free plays on his twitter account, so make sure to follow him @Paulie_WT

5% GERMAN CUP DOMINATOR

!!! CONSISTENTLY HITTING 5% RELEASES ON A 60% WINRATE L/5/50/100

Pavlos has some BIG MOVES this weekend with a 5% MLS Total (including 5 more plays), and then another 5% on Wednesday (Asian Spread Bet), along with multiple free plays for the weekend. Also available are free plays on his twitter account, so make sure to follow him @Paulie_WT

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How to Bet on Soccer Cheat Sheet

New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as Asian Handicap? We have you covered with our "How to Bet on Soccer Cheat Sheet"!

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Free Picks

Sport
Game Selection
Game Time
FL1
(203401) St. Etienne at (203402) Valenciennes
10:00am EDT - Mar 30/2024

THE PLAY: REGULATION St Etienne win & BTTS - NO +156

Valenciennes vs St Etienne
French Ligue 2, Saturday, 12pm ET

Play: St Etienne win & BTTS - NO 
Odds at Time of Release: +156
Line Parameter: Playable to +140

Valenciennes are dead last in the Ligue 2 with 17 points (W2 D11 L16), they have the worst offense in the league with 17 goals in 29 matches, the 2nd worst defense with 40 conceded goals and the worst goal difference with -23. They are sitting 16 points below the relegation zone with 9 more matches to finish the season, so they don't really have that many chances to save themselves. But what they can do is be competitive in the Cup, as they have a crucial semi-final coming up on Tuesday, where they will be hosted by Lyon. 

Valenciennes will surely rotate an already struggling squad in order to have their best players available for the upcoming Cup match on Tuesday. They are hosting St Etienne, who are one of the best teams in the Ligue 2 this season, currently sitting 3rd with 48 points, 2 points behind Angers and the 2nd spot that grants automatic promotion to the Ligue 1. 

The 3rd spot that they are currently sitting at leads to promotion playoffs, and St Etienne are tied on points with the 4th Laval, so they really don't have room for error here. They have the best defense in the Ligue 2 with 23 conceded goals in 29 matches, they have kept the most clean sheets with 15 in 29 matches and they play against the league's worst offense, so we might easily see Valenciennes not scoring here. Valenciennes Under 0.5 Goal is +115 at Draftkings and definitely worth a shot. After all, Valenciennes have failed to score the most times in the Ligue 2 (17 times in 29 matches). 

Valenciennes have failed to score in 4 of L/5 matches, while St Etienne kept clean sheets in 5 of L/6 matches. Valenciennes have lost 7 times at home, and (each of the last) 5 losses came to nil. St Etienne have won 8 times on the road, and (each of the last) 7 wins came to nil.

Taking 2u on a Same Game Parlay with St Etienne win & BTTS - NO (+156), this is the exact same bet as St Etienne win to nil but with better odds. 
 

Sport
Game Selection
Game Time
FL1
(203205) AS Monaco at (203206) FC Metz
12:00pm EDT - Mar 30/2024

THE PLAY: REGULATION Monaco to win by exactly 1 goal +230

Metz vs Monaco
French Ligue 1, Saturday, 12pm ET

Play: Monaco to win by exactly 1 goal
Odds at Time of Release: +230
Line Parameter: Playable to +200

Monaco are sitting 3rd in the Ligue 1 with 46 points (W13 D7 L6), 1 point behind Brest and 3 points above Lille and Nice. They have a tough schedule coming up with Rennes, Brest, Lille and Lyon, so they need to keep grabbing points in order to stay within the top-3 spots that grant Champions League tickets for next season. 

Metz are sitting at the 17th spot with 23 points (W6 D5 L16), 3 points below Lorient, Montpellier and the relegation zone. They play against Brest and Lens next, two very tough matches, so if they want to get out of the relegation zone they need to win at least one of these matches. 

Monaco have 25 actual points on the road (W7 D4 L2) but they have 19 expected points, 6 more than they should have. 
Metz are kind of the opposite at home with 9 actual points (W2 D3 L7), but 15 expected points, 6 fewer than they should have. Monaco beat Metz by 2-1 at home in the reverse fixture and also won both matches against them last season. They are unbeaten in L/6 against Metz (W5 D1). 

Metz have kept just 2 clean sheets in 12 home matches (17%). They have scored in 4 of L/5 home matches. Monaco have kept just 2 clean sheets in 13 away matches (15%). Monaco have kept just 2 clean sheets in L/15 matches in all competitions, with a 12-3 run to the Both Teams to Score. 

Monaco are -160 favourites, Metz are at +400 with the Draw at +330 and right off the bat, away favourites at -160 in the Ligue 1 simply do not exist (unless your name is PSG). The only two times where Monaco were -160 favourites (or close to that) they didn't win, playing for Draws against Le Havre and Lorient. The Asian Spread is set at 1, and Metz have lost ALL 7 home matches by exactly 1 goal. Each of Monaco's L/5 away wins came by exactly 1 goal. 

I think the odds are not indicative of the dangers of this match, as Monaco are indeed looking for a win to stay inside the top-3 but Metz are also looking for a win that could potentially push them outside the relegation zone. 

Metz might have the 4th worst xG difference/game at home with -0.10, but that number is actually not that bad, especially if we compare it to Monaco's -0.05 xG Difference/game on the road. These numbers don't justify Monaco being a -1 favourite in this match. 

Metz will not give up that easily, they have stood their ground against teams like Monaco at home, having not lost a single match by 2 goals or more, so we can definitely make a case for Metz +1 here, which looks like a push at the worst case scenario. Both Teams to Score might also be a good option here but at -135 I don't want to get involved. 

The line moved since I made this write-up a few hours ago, and the Asian Spread is now set at 0.75 and I don't like that. We are pivoting to a prop: take 1u on Monaco to win by exactly 1 goal +235 Draftkings

Correct Score Prediction: Monaco win by 2-1 (+700)
 

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Consultant Bio

Pavlos betting on European sports when he was in High School, back when most people his age didn't even know how to bet. After acquiring a Bachelor's Degree in International Economic Relationships and development from the Democritus University in Greece, Pavlos took a different path.

Things really took off for him in 2014 when he officially started writing predictions for US-based sites. Things picked up pretty quickly, and he has produced thousands upon thousands of match previous and predictions. He tends to venture off the beaten path, looking for hidden gems in a myriad of games you can bet on.

Single and double bets aside, Pavlos likes to play the odds as well. While some days there are safe single bets, there are other days that provide opportunities for different bets. Bets like Correct Scores, amount of Yellow Cards, Half-Time/Full-Time results, and all kinds of prop bets. Pavlos covers the following leagues: Major League Soccer (MLS), Copa America, EURO Cup, English Premier League, German Bundesliga, Spanish La Liga, Italian Serie A, French Ligue 1, Champions League, and Europa League.

The betting systems he created have seen some massive pay-outs over the years. A couple of correct scores paired together can potentially save your entire season. These are small-stake bets that cost a few units but could bring massive returns on your investment.

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