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May

21

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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers

05.21.2018     12:08 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona (Greinke) at Milwaukee (Anderson) +105 O/U 8
Recommendation: Milwaukee

Tough to bank on the Diamondbacks for anything right now, especially after Patrick Corbin set the table perfectly Saturday and then watched his win evaporate in less than five minutes. When ultra- reliable setup man Archie Bradley (loss and blown save in 2 of L3 appearances) joins the dismal offense as a component that fails, you end up with a 1-9 record in your last 10 games. Injuries continue to be the major problem for the Diamondbacks who finally had 3B Jake Lamb return to the lineup last week only to have Steven Souza Jr. reinjure his pectoral muscle that same night after just losing CF A.J. Pollock for 6-8 weeks three days earlier. A 10-day DL decision on Souza is coming today and it seems likely he’s headed there. His slash line of .167/.239/.429 wasn’t helping the offense at all but his defense was outstanding. Currently, tonight’s starting pitcher Zack Greinke is the only player on their 25-man roster that has a batting average over .265 (10 of their 13 position players have an OBP less than .290). Granted, Lamb is Read more



Tags: MLB Arizona Diamondbacks Milwaukee Brewers Rob Veno




MLB Handicapping: Understanding the profile for the best and worst teams to bet on

05.21.2018     11:38 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Finding the perfect MLB "betting profile" can be tricky. The best teams who post impressive run differentials and a top-tier statistics are almost always well accounted for in the betting markets. It's tough to support these teams with traditional moneyline bets when they are routinely laying north of -200. On the flip side, the worst teams flatout struggle to win. A 65-win team needs to be priced, on average, +150 in order just to break even. Below we broke down the best and worst teams from a profits perspective over the last five seasons. To no surprise, the most common ingredient is under- and over-achievement based on preseason expectations. For example, Arizona was lined at 77.5 wins last season and won 93 games. Meanwhile, San Francisco undershot its win total by 24 games, hence it's historic -37.8 units. Another factor, is "luck." In 2016, Texas won 95 games but "should" have been at or near .500 based on its miniscule +0.2 run differential. The markets never caved on the Rangers' soft statistical profile; they were on average a -106 favorite. In fact, if you combined both 2015 and 2016, Texas went 188-141 +58.9 units. Their pythagorean W-L during that span was 165-159 Read more



Tags: MLB




MLB Betting Update: National League still crushing Interleague play

05.21.2018     10:28 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Back on May 7, we noted the National League had dominated early season Interleague play. Since then, said domination has continued. Over the last two weeks, the NL racked up a 15-8 record good for +6.3 units of profit bring its year-to-date total to 39-21 +20.6 units. There are a few individual team records that have contributed to the lopsided results. Pittsburgh is 10-2 thanks to 12 games against the Minnesota, Detroit and Chicago who are a combined 25 games under .500. The Yankees and Red Sox have combined to play only four Interleague games. However, the Orioles and Royals, have played only three. The Tigers, White Sox, and Rays are a combined 2-18.

American League Interleague Records/Units as of 5/21
2012: 141-114 +16.4
2013: 158-148 -1.3
2014: 166-141 +14.6
2015: 171-134 +22.9
2016: 168-139 +12.7
2017: 164-143 +7.3
2018: 21-39 -24.0

 





MLB Handicapping: National Read more



Tags: MLB




Las Vegas sportsbooks brace for Golden Knights Stanley Cup title

05.21.2018     09:19 AM     Printer Friendly
The Vegas Golden Knights are officially in the Stanley Cup Finals. They await the winner of the Washington-Tampa Bay series with the Capitals currently up 3-2 and -130 home chalk for tonight's Game 6. Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals is slated for Saturday. According to the Westgate SuperBook, should Washington win, the Golden Knights would be around -140 series favorites. If the Lightning win, they would be -150 series favorites. The real story is the damage the could be inflicted on Las Vegas sportsbooks should the Golden Knights with the Stanley Cup.




Tags: NHL Las Vegas Golden Knights Las Vegas




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