We’re going to look under the total here which is currently posted at 8.5. Despite the seven run outburst by Baltimore against slumping Angels RH Garrett Richards, have to figure they’ll return to their extended poor offensive production tonight. Prior to last night, the O’s had posted a .200/.287/.592 line in the last 18 contests with game batting averages of .233 or below in 15 of those.
With red-hot LA lefty C.J. Wilson on the hill (seven quality starts in his last eight outings), don’t expect Baltimore to generate much with the bats. Wilson’s 1.07 WHIP, 1.35 ERA and 1 HR allowed over this current 53 1/3 inning stretch combined with his mastery of this group of Orioles sticks (only 2 combined RBI in 52 at bats against him) adds up to a strong performance tonight.
Taking the hill for the Orioles is 28 year old, righty Miguel Gonzalez who is from nearby San Fernando and will be making a homecoming in front of friends and family. Look for Gonzalez to be pumped up for this spot start which Manager Buck Showalter will be watching closely to see what he has. Showalter has given a pitch limit of 100 so Gonzalez has an opportunity to display his repertoire which consists of fastball (92 MPH) / slider (84) / change up (80) & curve (78).
He will likely mix pitches a shade more than he has in his relief stints (fastball dominated) and LA which has never faced him, could spend the first few innings just learning his stuff.
Bullpens should be able to keep this one tight on the back end making this a game that is likely to land in the 6-8 run range. Recommendation: UNDER