Tampa Bay (Cobb) -105 at Pittsburgh (Williams) O/U 9
Recommendation: Tampa Bay
Different year, same result as the American League continues to dominate the National League in Interleague play. Heading into tonight's action, the AL is 83-59 +20 units of profit on the season. We can grab a near pick 'em price on Tampa Bay and starting pitcher Alex Cobb as the Rays open a series at Pittsburgh. Tampa has won five of its seven interleague games this season and has a very strong track record vs. right-handed pitching with a 31-22 mark and 117 wRC+ which ranks third in MLB. They'll face a very hittable arm in Trevor Williams who as a starter owns a 5.01 ERA over nine starts. Cobb is still trying to regain the form he had in 2014 when he flashed a 2.87 ERA over 27 starts. Arm difficulties and age have left him with slightly better than marginal stuff but his body of work is actually rock solid (4.05 ERA, 4.15 FIP). He's primed for success tonight against a mediocre lineup in a National League park. Money in this one should continue to trickle in on road side. At current pick 'em price, that's the preferred play.