BYU at East Carolina
Saturday, 4 pm PT - CBSC
CRIS Opener: BYU -7.5 O/U 55
CRIS Current: BYU -5.5 O/U 58
East Carolina has played a really tough schedule thus far, particularly when it comes to opposing offenses. West Virginia and UCF are tied for fifth nationally in total offense. South Florida ranks 13th. Virginia Tech ranks 25th. And UConn ranks a respectable 49th. You can't use the schedule alone as a reason for ECU's horrific defense numbers but BYU's offense is arguably one of the worst in the country meaning the Pirates are in position to put up at least some resistance in this matchup.
You can make a strong argument that BYU's opposing defense SOS is just as strong as ECU's opposing offense SOS. The Cougars have faced the likes of LSU, Wisconsin, Utah, and Boise State. But even when pitted up against softer stop units like Portland State and Utah State, BYU still struggled to move the football and put points on the board. The other thing to consider is pace. East Carolina typically plays at a fast clip in part because they are always playing behind. BYU has also played a lot of its football trailing on the scoreboard but the Cougars are still a "huddle up" team (one offensive snap every 27 seconds).
East Carolina's one "under" against FBS competition this season came against Temple in a 34-10 loss (total closed 58.5). The Owls and Cougars are very similar in a number of attributes which suggests we can look that same way for Saturday's contest.