Colorado State vs Fresno State Betting Preview
SportsMemo content contributor Kyle Kargel gives his Colorado State vs Fresno State prediction in the Mountain West Conference. At the time of posting, the Rams have opened as a 6-point home favorite over the road Bulldogs, with the total sitting at 130 points.
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Friday, February 11 | Mountain West Conference Betting Notes |
---|---|
Point Spread: | Colorado State -6 vs Fresno State |
Total: | 130 Points |
Game Time: | 9:30pm ET / 6:30pm PT |
Arena: | Moby Arena in Fort Collins, CO |
TV: | CBS Sports Network |
Colorado State vs Fresno State Analysis
In their only meeting this season, Fresno State heads to Fort Collins to take on Colorado State. As a team, the Rams average 11 more points per game than the Bulldogs but on defense, give up 10 more points per game.
Both teams are 3-2 in their last five, but Colorado State has the best chance to catch Mountain West Conference leader Wyoming as they sit 1.5 games back of the Cowboys.
The Bulldogs sit three games back of the top and will need to catch fire down the stretch if they want to improve their chances of making the NCAA Tournament. Those chances sit on the shoulders of one primary player.
Fresno State Looking to Orlando Robinson
Orlando Robinson currently sits 5th in KenPom’s player of the year standings. The junior does it all for the Bulldogs averaging over 18 points, 8 rebounds, 2 assists, a steal and a block per game while shooting over 48% from the field and 34% from three point range.
His struggles against Wyoming though are more than likely the reason why they dropped the game 61-59. He only had 11 points on 4-17 shooting and will look to get it back on track tonight at Colorado State. As a team Fresno State loves to play slow as they rank almost last in the country in adjusted tempo.
Though they play slow, that does result in a top 100 ranking in adjusted offensive efficiency and turning the ball over. Fresno State has also been one of the best in the country against the spread with a 14-7-1 record so keep that in mind with the line at with the Bulldogs +5.5.
Rams Keep Improving Offensively
The Rams carry one of the best offensive teams into this game as they rank 46th nationally in points per game. They rank in the top 25 in many different offensive categories including effective fg percentage, two point percentage, three point percentage and adjusted offensive efficiency.
They’re 20th in the country in continuity which gives them an advantage in this one. Robinson could take advantage of the Rams on the glass as Colorado State ranks 334th nationally in offensive rebound percentage.
This could play a key factor in not only Robinson eating up every missed shot the Rams have but to put it in perspective on the season, the Rams have accumulated 141 offensive rebounds and Robinson alone, 63.
Guard David Roddy will have to do what he can to contain Robinson as the Rams leading rebounder. He’s also their leading scorer averaging over 19 points per game.
Colorado State vs Fresno State Prediction
With Fresno State’s ability to cover the spread and Robinson looking for a bounce back game on the road, I think the Bulldogs do enough to cover the spread at Colorado State tonight.
I see Robinson having 20+ points and 10-15 rebounds as he does what he can to increase the Bulldogs chances of making the NCAA Tournament.
Prediction: Fresno State +6
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Colorado State vs Fresno State Preview from GoldSheet
College Basketball Stat Sheet
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