New Mexico vs Boise State Prediction & Expert Betting Advice
Sportsmemo college basketball analyst Kyle Kargel gives his New Mexico vs Boise State college basketball prediction with two of the top Mountain West Conference teams going at it.
This critical conference bout tips off at 11:00pm ET from The Pit in Albuquerque, NM.
New Mexico and Boise State have combined to go 32-6 so far this season.
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New Mexico vs Boise State Prediction : The Betting Odds
Friday, January 20 | Mountain West Conference Betting Notes |
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Point Spread: | New Mexico Lobos -3 vs Boise State Broncos |
Total: | 146 Points |
Game Time: | 11:00pm ET / 8:00pm PT |
Arena: | The Pit in Albuquerque, NM (Odds Above by DraftKings) |
TV: | FS1 |
New Mexico vs Boise State Betting Analysis
We have a Mountain West Conference showdown set for Friday night with Boise State traveling to Albuquerque to take on New Mexico.
The Lobos are an astounding 17-2 in which they lost their two games back-to-back to Fresno State and UNLV a couple weeks back. The Broncos sit 15-4 having allowed 68 pts or less in their last five games, all wins.
Boise State is 12-5-1 against the spread this season heading into this matchup as 2.5-point road dogs with New Mexico sitting 11-6-1 against the spread. So what differentiates these two mid major powerhouses before they tip off tonight? Let’s find out.
Lobos Loving Life
If there’s anything to know about New Mexico 19 games into their season it’s that they play efficient and fast basketball. They rank 44th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 58th in adjusted defensive efficiency.
Most of their points come inside the arch with 56.6% of their points coming from 2pt range (43rd most nationally) and 22.1% at the free throw line (22nd most nationally).
They average 81.9 ppg which is good for 16th most nationally but they’ll be put to the test tonight against a Boise State team that ranks 11th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency.
They’re fueled on offense by Jamal Mashburn Jr. averaging a team high 18.3 ppg and he’s surpassed this number in team’s last seven games.
If anyone is going to be shooting efficiently from behind the 3pt line it’s going to be Jaelen House shooting 41.5% from deep while averaging 17.4 ppg, 3.9 rpg and a team leading 4.6 apg. He also adds 2.9 steals per game on the defensive end which is good for 2nd in the nation.
Broncos Bruising Defense
As stated, Boise State has gained much of their success due to their stout defense. They allow nine points less per game than New Mexico but also average nine points less on offense.
Unlike New Mexico, this Boise State team likes to shoot the 3pt shot much more often attempting 420 three-pointers this season to New Mexico’s 315. Problem for Boise State is that New Mexico is actually great at defending the 3pt shot ranking 53rd in 3pt field goal percentage allowed per game.
More recently New Mexico only allowed San Jose State to shoot 18% from three, and San Diego State to shoot 25% from three.
Sophomore Tyson Degenhart is this team’s most consistent scorer averaging 13.6 ppg while shooting 50% from the field. If this team is going to have any success form the 3pt line it’s going to be from Chibuzo Agbo shooting 45% from behind the 3pt line this season.
New Mexico vs Boise State Prediction : Take That Free Betting Pick!
According to KenPom, New Mexico has the 7th best home court advantage in Division I which we’ll use as the decider when it comes to this game. Both teams are great against the spread and both have been winning games they’re supposed to.
Boise State forces their opponents to play a little quicker which player right into New Mexico’s hands. Take them -3 or you can play it safe and take them money line at -155.
Prediction: New Mexico Lobos -3 (Moneyline -155)
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College Basketball Stat Sheet
GoldSheet prepares a daily college basketball stat sheet, which offers a head-to-head comparison for how teams are performing in a number of key areas heading into a game. Check out Friday’s sheet, with notes on tonight’s New Mexico vs Boise State prediction and contest.
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