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Oakland vs IUPUI Prediction Prediction : The Betting Odds
Thursday, January 19 | Betting Notes |
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Point Spread: | Oakland (-11.5) vs IUPUI |
Total: | 141 Points |
Oakland vs IUPUI Prediction Prediction : IUPUI Can’t Score
There were times last season where betting the under in IUPUI games was a trip to the ATM. The Jaguars were last in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency, last in turnover rate, second-from-last in two-point shooting, No. 356 in effective field goal percentage and No. 349 in three-point shooting.
The offensive futility has carried over to this year, but the overall scoring in IUPUI games has increased. Games that were struggling to crack 120 last season are creeping into the 140s this year, but we think that run comes to an end on Thursday night.
Oakland’s Not Bad But Can’t Score Either
Oakland plays a unique zone defense that other Horizon League teams have figured out with relative ease, but certainly has the ability to slow down this IUPUI offense. These two teams met twice last year with those games finishing at 123 and 127. Northern Kentucky plays a different kind of zone defense than Oakland does, but nonetheless, the Norse held IUPUI to 42 points on New Years Eve. Much like last year, turnovers and three-point shooting are the biggest issues for IUPUI’s offense this season.
The Jaguars are last in the country in three-point shooting at 26.8-percent and No. 360 in turnover rate, giving the ball away on 24.3-percent of their possessions. Teams are shooting 37.3-percent from three-point range against Oakland’s defense this season, but IUPUI hasn’t shown that they are capable of taking advantage of those holes in the zone. Oakland has a Motor City showdown with Detroit Mercy on tap after this game.
Don’t Expect Points
The Grizzlies have opened as a 12-point road favorite in this one. If Oakland is up by a sizable margin in the second half, look for Greg Kampe to take the air out of the ball as they get ready for Antoine Davis and the Titans on deck. We would be very surprised if this one got into the 140s, as the opening lines suggest.
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