San Diego State vs Utah State Prediction & Expert Betting Advice
Sportsmemo college basketball analyst Kyle Kargel gives his San Diego State vs Utah State college basketball prediction with five teams separated by 1.5 games at the top of the standings.
This Mountain West Conference bout tips off at 11:00pm ET from the Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA.
San Diego State is 9-1 at home this season with Utah State going 3-2 in true road games so far this season.
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San Diego State vs Utah State Prediction: The Betting Odds
Wednesday, January 25 | Mountain West Conference Betting Notes |
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Point Spread: | San Diego State Aztecs -7 vs Utah State Aggies |
Total: | 143 Points |
Game Time: | 11:00pm ET / 8:00pm PT |
Arena: | Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA (Odds Above by DraftKings) |
TV: | CBS Sports Network |
San Diego State vs Utah State Betting Analysis
The top team in the Mountain West, San Diego State will welcome in 16-4 Utah State and with a win, the Aggies would move up into first place.
Utah State sports a solid 11-8 against the spread record but have dropped their last three with the Aztecs coming in 6-10-2 against the spread and are favored by 7-points tonight to take down the Aggies.
Although their ATS record isn’t the best, they have won back-to-back games covering the spread against Air Force and Colorado State, both road games as well.
The Aztecs will be happy to be back home but will that be enough to beat Utah State by seven points? Let’s check out this important Mountain West clash.
Utah State Uncorks It From Downtown
The Aggies come in off back-to-back nail-biting wins against UNLV and San Jose State which were both home games.
This team can fire it efficiently from beyond the long line sporting the nation’s best 3pt shooting percentage at 42.7% however that average levels out a bit when they go on the road shooting at 38.6% away from Logan.
Junior guard Steven Ashworth continues to be the heart of this team averaging 15.7 ppg and shooting an astounding 48.6% from 3pt range which is 3rd in the nation among all players.
As a team this Utah State team is all around great on offense ranking 19th in adjusted offensive efficiency, 5th in effective field goal percentage and 78th in 2pt shooting percentage. This team has great chemistry on the offensive end too ranking 11th in assists/field goals made per game.
Five different players on this Aggies team average between 2-4.5 assists per game. The most comparable team to San Diego State that Utah State has played this season was at Boise State when the Broncos took them down 82-59.
Stifling San Diego State Defense
So with Utah State being so great at shooting three-pointers, how good is San Diego State at defending the 3pt shot? They rank 55th nationally in 3pt field goal percentage allowed on defense, however the Aztecs do let opponents shoot a high rate of 3pt attempts.
In their 10-point win at Air Force they allowed the Falcons to shoot 26 3pt shots, but they only made eight. If San Diego State can get the Aggies frustrated shooting three-pointers, then they’ll have no problem covering this 7-point spread.
Overall the Aztecs rank 26th overall in adjusted defensive efficiency and force opponents to play at one of the slowest paces in the nation which is against how Utah State likes to play.
On offense San Diego State likes to spread it out leaving the opposition scratching their heads as to who the go-to player will be in that game. Nine players play 15+ minutes per game and all average between 4-13.5 ppg scoring.
San Diego State vs Utah State Prediction: Take That Free Betting Pick!
It’s time to separate the good teams from the great teams in the Mountain West in which I feel San Diego State is finding their grove to be able to cover this 7-point spread. We’ve seen what happens to Utah State when they go against great defenses and it’s not pretty.
San Diego State is hungry for a home and I feel they come out fired up and ready to hand it to this Utah State team. I’m looking at a final score around 75-65.
Prediction: San Diego State Aztecs -7
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College Basketball Stat Sheet
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