Sportsmemo MLB handicapper Eric Pauly gives his Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs betting analysis for Tuesday, June 28. The Reds and Cubs sit as the bottom two teams in the NL Central standings heading into their battle at 8:05pm ET / 5:05pm PT.
Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs Betting Today – June 28: Need to Know Info
| Tuesday, June 28 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
|---|---|
| Moneyline: | Cincinnati Reds +100 at Chicago Cubs -110 |
| Runline: | Reds +1.5 (-190) / Cubs -1.5 (+170) |
| Total: | 9 Runs (Over -110 / Under -110) |
| Game Time: | 8:05pm ET / 5:05pm PT |
| Where: | Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL |
| Weather: | 80 Degrees / Slight Chance of Rain |
Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs Betting Odds & Analysis
On Tuesday night, the Reds and the Cubs will face off for the first game of a three-game series in Chicago. The Reds are coming off a 2-1 series win against the Giants in San Francisco and the Cubs are coming off a 2-1 series win against the Cardinals in St. Louis.
The season series between these two teams is knotted at two wins apiece. For this matchup, the Cubs are -105 home favorites, the run line is 1.5, and the total is 8.5 runs.
Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs Prediction – June 28
The is a tough matchup due to how bad the Reds are and how good Thompson is at home, but Castillo has been solid since he came back from injury.
The Reds have not won in his last four starts, but I think that streak ends today. Give me the Reds on the moneyline to steal a win at Wrigley Field tonight.
The EXPERT Pick:
Prediction: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +100
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Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Reds are having a rough season and they are currently in the basement of the NL Central. Cincinnati is 25-47 on the season and they are 15.5 games behind the Brewers for first place in the NL Central.
The Reds are 13-14 on the road this season and they are 5-11 covering the run line as a favorite. The Reds are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
Luis Castillo, the Reds ace, will make the start for Cincinnati tonight in Chicago. Castillo is 2-4 on the season and the Reds are 3-6 in games he has started this year.
On 5/25, he pitched against the Cubs at Wrigley and allowed two runs on four hits in five innings in a Reds win. Castillo has a 2.70 ERA on the road and a 3.06 FIP. The Cubs have a .726 OPS at home this season.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Cubs are 5-5 in their last 10 games and they sit in fourth place in the NL Central. Chicago is one game behind Pittsburgh for third but 13 games behind the Brewers for first place.
Chicago is 28-45 on the season and they are just 13-25 at Wrigley Field this season. As an underdog, the Cubs are 31-23 covering the run line this season.
Keegan Thompson will make the start for the Cubs tonight at home. Thompson is 7-2 in eight starts and seven relief appearances with a 3.10 ERA, a 4.15 FIP, and a 1.15 WHIP.
Thompson has been much better at home this season with a 1.50 ERA, a .176 batting average against, a 2.55 FIP, and a .89 WHIP.
Thompson normally struggles the first time through a batting order but settles down the second time around which is unique. The Reds have a .604 OPS on the road this season and a .675 OPS against righties.
First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for Tuesday, June 28
Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch discussing the MLB betting slate.
Other MLB Picks for June 28
Check out our expert pick for the Astros-Mets today for more betting predictions.
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Meet the Author
Eric Pauly, @slimeaction on Twitter, graduated from Binghamton University with a degree in Finance. Eric is a die-hard Washington Commanders and New York Knicks fan and enjoys watching and writing about the NFL, NBA and MLB. His favorite gambling movements include hitting a +1000 future on Washington to win the NFC East in 2020 and predicting Jonathan Taylor’s breakout season with a +900 ticket for him to win the 2021 NFL rushing title. Aside from the sports betting industry, Eric also enjoys good eats, dynasty fantasy football leagues, daily fantasy sports and playing the guitar.
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