Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets Betting Odds and Analysis
Sportsmemo MLB handicapper Eric Pauly gives his Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets betting analysis for Thursday, June 16. This will be the rubber match between these two teams as they’ve split their two games this series thus far.
| Thursday, June 16 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
|---|---|
| Moneyline: | Milwaukee Brewers +112 at New York Mets -122 |
| Runline: | Brewers +1.5 (-185) / Mets -1.5 (+165) |
| Total: | 8 Runs (Over -105 / Under -115) |
| Game Time: | 7:10pm ET / 4:10pm PT |
| Where: | Citi Field in Queens, NY |
| Weather: | 70 Degrees / 30-50% Chance of Rain |
Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets Analysis
On Thursday night, the Milwaukee Brewers face off against the New York Mets in the final game of a three-game series. The Mets won game one 4-0 and the Brewers won game two 10-2.
For this third and final matchup, the Mets are starting Tylor Megill and the Brewers are starting Aaron Ashby. The Mets are -130 home favorites, the run line is 1.5, and the total is 8 runs for tonight’s game.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Brewers have been struggling mightily lately, but their 10-run win last night may be exactly what they needed to get back on track. Milwaukee is 2-8 in their last 10 games and their team batting average is .227 over this period.
Milwaukee has fallen to second place in the NL Central and they are 35-29 on the season. The Brewers are 20-17 on the road and they are 6-4 covering the run line as an underdog this season.
Aaron Ashby will make the start for Milwaukee tonight. Ashby is 1-5 on the season and he has made seven starts and six relief appearances. The Brewers are 2-2 in his last four starts and he allowed 11 runs on 24 hits over 16.2 innings.
Ashby has a 3.91 ERA, a 1.44 WHIP, and a 3.40 FIP on the season. He is facing a Mets lineup that has a .752 OPS at home, a .743 OPS at night, and a .704 OPS against lefties.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The Mets, despite their 10-2 loss last night, are still rolling. New York needs to be careful since the Braves are inching closer to them in the NL East standings.
The Mets are 41-23 on the season and they are 20-9 in home games this year. New York is 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are 27-19 covering the run line as a favorite.
Tylor Megill will make the start for the Mets tonight. Megill was beyond impressive in April but he has come back down to earth in May and June.
Megill has a 4.50 ERA, a 3.56 FIP, and a 1.18 WHIP so far this season. He is facing a Brewers lineup that has a team OPS of .717 against righties and .681 on the road.
Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets Prediction
With the Mets as -130 home favorites, I think this game is priced pretty fairly. Both pitchers have had their ups and downs this season but the Brewers lineup may have finally woken up with that 10-run outburst last night.
I would look to take the Mets on the moneyline live if the Brewers score first tonight. The Mets will have closer to even odds or may even be underdogs if the Brewers score first in the 3rd of 4th inning.
Prediction: Live Bet Mets if Brewers scores first
Interested in placing a bet on Thursday’s Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets National League clash? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 match bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for Thursday, June 16
Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch discussing the MLB betting slate.
Daily MLB Game Previews and Predictions
See all of the daily MLB predictions and picks by WagerTalk and Sportsmemo handicappers to assist you in betting. We breakdown various games from a betting perspective all across the league. View all of our game previews using the links below!
Sportsmemo Live Odds Screen
Sportsmemo’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Thursday’s baseball games, including this Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets showdown, from your desktop or phone.
**************************************************
Meet the Author
Eric Pauly, @slimeaction on Twitter, graduated from Binghamton University with a degree in Finance. Eric is a die-hard Washington Commanders and New York Knicks fan and enjoys watching and writing about the NFL, NBA and MLB. His favorite gambling movements include hitting a +1000 future on Washington to win the NFC East in 2020 and predicting Jonathan Taylor’s breakout season with a +900 ticket for him to win the 2021 NFL rushing title. Aside from the sports betting industry, Eric also enjoys good eats, dynasty fantasy football leagues, daily fantasy sports and playing the guitar.
Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?
- Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: Vegas lines updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.
- Last Minute Handicapping Advice: Check out our extensive library of handicapping tips and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our sports betting tips video library)
- Want an expert opinion? Check out the latest Free Sports Picks and Best Bets from our team of expert sports handicappers.
Make sure to bookmark all the above!
