Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Game 1 Betting Preview
This NLCS has turned into a best-of-5 with the series split 1-1 and Philadelphia capturing home field advantage with the next two games being played at Citizens Bank Park. Sportsmemo MLB handicapper Eric Pauly gives his Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres NLCS Game 3 betting preview.
Friday, October 21 | ALCS Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
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Moneyline: | Philadelphia Phillies +102 vs San Diego Padres -112 |
Runline: | Phillies +1.5 (-170) / Padres -1.5 (+150) |
Total: | 7.5 Runs (Over -100 / Under -120) |
Game Time: | 7:37pm ET / 4:37pm PT |
Where: | Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA |
Weather: | 55 Degrees / Clear |
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Game 3 Analysis
After taking game one of the NLCS, the Phillies dropped game two, and now the series shifts to Philadelphia. Lefty Ranger Suarez will take the mound for the Phillies tonight and righty Joe Musgrove will be on the bump for the Padres.
The Phillies had a 4-2 lead heading into the fifth inning of game two, but they let up five runs in the bottom of the fifth and were unable to recover. Both teams used a decent amount of relievers in game two, but since they had off yesterday, both teams will have their full bullpen ready to go.
Suarez Somehow Worse at Home
Ranger Suarez will make the start for the Phillies tonight at home. Suarez made the start against the Braves on the road and he allowed just one run and three hits in five innings.
However, Suarez had no command and though he had five strikeouts in 3.1 innings, he also allowed a home run and five walks.
Suarez was also worse at home during the regular season. His ERA was 4.27, he had a .272 batting average against, a .410 slugging percentage against, a 4.00 FIP, and a 1.52 WHIP. Despite his worse splits at home, the Phillies won his last five home starts of the regular season.
Java Joe Locked In
Joe Musgrove will take the mound for the Padres tonight on the road. In his two playoff appearances this season, the Padres are 2-0 and he allowed just two runs on seven hits in 13 innings with 13 strikeouts.
Musgrove has been at his best at home this season, but his road splits are still solid. He has a 3.01 ERA, a .229 batting average against, a .376 slugging percentage against, a 3.09 FIP, and a 1.06 WHIP. In his sole road start this postseason, Musgrove allowed just one hit to the Mets in 7 innings in the Wild Card round.
Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction
Despite Musgrove’s ability to pitch well, and the momentum this Padres team has built, they still need to beat a Phillies team in their home park which will be rocking.
The Phillies have this underdog mentality, and they will benefit from playing at home. The Phillies went 47-34 at home in the regular season. This game will be a close one, and I like the Phillies to pull off an upset and take game three.
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -102
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Meet the Author
Eric Pauly, @slimeaction on Twitter, graduated from Binghamton University with a degree in Finance. Eric is a die-hard Washington Commanders and New York Knicks fan and enjoys watching and writing about the NFL, NBA and MLB. His favorite gambling movements include hitting a +1000 future on Washington to win the NFC East in 2020 and predicting Jonathan Taylor’s breakout season with a +900 ticket for him to win the 2021 NFL rushing title. Aside from the sports betting industry, Eric also enjoys good eats, dynasty fantasy football leagues, daily fantasy sports and playing the guitar.
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