Pirates vs Reds Prediction and Spreads
The Reds are coming off an eventful game against the Brewers yesterday winning 14-11 taking two of three from them in Milwaukee as they head to Pittsburgh for a 4-game series. Sportsmemo MLB analyst Eric Pauly offers his Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds preview for Thursday, May 12.
Thursday, May 12 | MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars |
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Moneyline: | Pittsburgh Pirates (-128) vs Cincinnati Reds (+118) |
Runline: | Pirates -1.5 (+150) / Reds +1.5 (-170) |
Total: | 8 Runs (Over -110 / Under -110) |
Game Time: | 6:35pm ET / 3:35pm PT |
Where: | PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA |
Weather: | 80 Degrees / Clear |
Pirates vs Reds Analysis
After winning a three-game series against the NL Central-leading Brewers, the Reds travel to Pittsburgh to take on the Pirates in a four-game series.
The Pirates are coming off a 2-1 series win against the NL West-leading Dodgers. The Reds and Pirates are two of the worst teams in baseball and they are playing against each other after coming off series wins vs two top teams.
How can you not love baseball? The Pirates are -125 home favorites, the run line is 1.5, and the total is set at 8 runs.
Reds Preview
Coming into their last two series, the Reds had just three wins. Now, they have won four of their last seven games and have improved their record to 7-24. While that is still an absolutely horrible record, it certainly defeats 3-28. The Reds have beaten the Pirates twice in three games so far this season.
Connor Overton will make the start for the Reds tonight. Overton missed the beginning of the season with an injury but is back to make his third consecutive start. Through two starts, Overton has gone 10.2 innings allowing three runs on nine hits.
Pirates Preview
Not only did the Pirates beat the Dodgers in a three-game series, but they also did it in a convincing fashion. In the game the Pirates lost they got rocked, but they came out of the series with two wins. The Pirates are 13-17 this season and are 7-8 at home.
JT Brubaker will make the start for the Pirates tonight vs the Reds. This will be Brubaker’s seventh start of the season. His last start was against the Reds in Cincinnati and Brubaker allowed two runs on three hits through five innings.
He walked two and struck out nine. The Pirates bullpen blew that game when they allowed seven runs in the eighth inning.
Pirates vs Reds Prediction and Best Bet
Both teams have their best pitchers on the hill today, so I can see this game going either way. However, my pick for the matchup is on the Pirates -128 as home favorites. The Reds are horrible on the road and Brubaker had their number last outing.
I think the Pirates can tag Overton early and get to the Reds’ bullpen and do damage. Both teams are playing well as of late, but I am rocking with the Pirates as slight home favorites for this game. A wager I love for the Pirates vs the Reds is over 8 runs for the game.
The last time Brubaker pitched vs the Reds, he only allowed two runs, but the bullpen got shelled for seven. I think both starters have solid starts to the game, but I think this number is too low for the entire game.
Prediction and Best Bet: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline / Over 8 Total Runs Scored
Interested in placing a bet on Thursday’s Pirates vs Reds clash? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 match bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for May 11
Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective. Zach Wheeler takes the mound tonight in Los Angeles as the Phillies and Dodgers kick off a 4-game series. Can he stay efficient and make a repeat of his last start? Join WagerTalk’s team of MLB betting experts every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch as we discuss the baseball betting slate.
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WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Thursday’s baseball games, including this Pirates vs Reds showdown, from your desktop or phone.
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Meet the Author
Eric Pauly, @slimeaction on Twitter, graduated from Binghamton University with a degree in Finance. Eric is a die-hard Washington Commanders and New York Knicks fan and enjoys watching and writing about the NFL, NBA and MLB. His favorite gambling movements include hitting a +1000 future on Washington to win the NFC East in 2020 and predicting Jonathan Taylor’s breakout season with a +900 ticket for him to win the 2021 NFL rushing title. Aside from the sports betting industry, Eric also enjoys good eats, dynasty fantasy football leagues, daily fantasy sports and playing the guitar.
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