Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs Betting Analysis
SportsMemo handicapper JM Sports gives his prediction on tonight’s Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs showdown on Friday, February 4. At the time of posting, the home Spurs have opened as a 3.5-point home favorite over the road Rockets, with the total sitting at 234.5 points.
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Friday, February 4 | NBA Betting Notes |
---|---|
Point Spread: | Houston Rockets +3.5 at San Antonio Spurs |
Total: | 234.5 Points |
Game Time: | 8:40pm ET / 5:40pm PT |
Arena: | AT&T Center in San Antonio, TX |
TV: | Bally Sports Southwest |
Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs Preview
The only race that Houston and San Antonio are fighting for at the moment is the race for the #1 overall pick. Both teams have dealt with injuries this season, and the absence of John Wall, have not fared well for teams that are already facing difficulties.
In Friday’s game, injuries are hitting San Antonio a little harder, the Spurs are without Zach Collins, Jock Landale, Jakob Poeltl and Keita Bates-Diop for certain, while Doug McDermott & Dejounte Murray are both listed as questionable.
San Antonio does hold the head-to-head advantage, posting a 38-13 record at home against Houston since 1996, but there are some roadblocks coming into this game.
Rocketing to the Bottom
Houston is just 15-36 on the season, the worst record in the West, winning under 26% of their road games this year, with a 7-20 record away from Houston.
Now Houston travels to San Antonio, and while Houston takes the 5th most 3 point shot attempts per game in the league, that doesn’t compensate for a defense that is allowing the most points per game in the league, allowing almost 117 points.
Houston’s defense has allowed teams to shoot 53.7% in the last five games (allowing 118 PPG in the last five), including 4 straight opponents that shot 51.2% or better!
They have struggled immensely against their divisional opponents as well, Houston is 2-5 against their division, allowing teams to shoot 49.8%, resulting in 123 PPG on average for the opposition!
Things aren’t exactly on Houston’s side coming into this game, and the fact that a road underdog that is committing 16 or more turnovers per game are just 61-278 in the month of February since 1996, WINNING JUST 18% OF GAMES!
Spurs Love Sharing The Ball
San Antonio is a team that isn’t accustomed to the bottom in the past decade and beyond. This year, San Antonio sits with the 3rd worst record in the West, posting a 19-33 record.
Ten of those 19 wins have been on their home court, and as I mentioned before, the home court has been a big edge in this head-to-head series dating back to 1996. Some of the numbers San Antonio’s offense have put up, are numbers you may not expect from a team positioning for the lottery and not the playoffs.
They are a top 10 team in PPG, putting up 111.1 on average, leading the league in assists per game with 27.85, while also sitting in the top 10 in rebounds per game (45.66 – #8), blocks per game (5.19 – #8) and turnovers per game (12.72 – #4).
In just the last five games, San Antonio has put up 121 points on average, while shooting 51.2%, which includes three games shooting 52.6% or better! This could be a good opportunity to end a 3 game losing streak, but the Spurs are 2-7 at home against teams allowing 116+ PPG in the last 3 seasons.
Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs Prediction
Houston is coming off a big win against Cleveland, and San Antonio is coming off 3 straight losses. Don’t let that fool you, San Antonio is playing some pretty good ball on the offensive side recently, but while both teams have struggled record wise against the division, San Antonio has played the better ball statistically.
Opinion : San Antonio (-3) ; Even with the multitude of questionable players, San Antonio’s offense has been solid in recent games, even if the results don’t show. Houston has been abysmal against the division and they are getting outscored by over 9 PPG on the road this season.
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Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs Notes from GoldSheet
San Antonio lost its 3rd straight game last night, falling to Miami 112-95 without the services of PG and leading scorer Dejounte Murray, PF Doug McDermott (ankle) and C Jakob Poeltl (concussion) so that was no surprise, and it’s unclear what the lineup for this game will look like for Pop’s Spurs.
San Antonio has had some resilience lately, covering three of last fou chances playing the 2nd night of back-to-back games at home on the season.
The Spurs just knocked the Rockets’ nosecone off their fuselage and into the Gulf of Mexico in a 134-104 on Jan. 25 at the Toyota Center and have won three of last four against Houston straight up and covered six of the last eight, although the Rockets have won and covered two of last three trips to the AT&T Center.
Uncertainty in Spur lineup a worry, so play Houston side that’s covered five of last six on the road.
NBA Stat Sheet
Each day, WagerTalk handicapper Ralph Michaels puts together his NBA Stat Sheet, which offers a head-to-head comparison for how teams are performing in a number of key areas heading into a game. Check out Friday’s sheet, with notes on tonight’s Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs contest.
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