Take the LA Rams (#276)
To say that Dallas head coach Jason Garrett doesn't care about winning games in the NFL Preseason is something of an understatement. The Cowboys won one preseason game in four tries last year. They went 0-4 SU and ATS in their four preseason games in 2015. They went 0-4 SU in 2014, covering one spread as a six point underdog. In 2013, the Cowboys won the Hall of Fame Game ' just like they did last week, then proceeded to lose SU as favorites in Week 1, winning only once in their four 'regular' preseason games. Laying points with Dallas in August, regardless of the opposing team's circumstances, has been a consistent money losing proposition.
So what's different in 2017' NOTHING! Dak Prescott is likely to get a series or two's worth of action tonight, but he'll be playing behind a banged up offensive line that is missing three starters from last year's elite unit. Kellen Moore played the whole first half last week. That means we're likely to see plenty of undrafted rookie free agent Cooper Rush out of Central Michigan and recently signed Luke McCown, who is less than two weeks into learning the playbook. I do NOT expect this Cowboys offense to march up and down the field.
Rams starter Jared Goff has a lot to prove after a dismal rookie season. LA's backup QB Sean Mannion is a proven preseason performer, 'bet-on' all the way in August. Third stringer Dan Orlovsky is a 12 year veteran with a full offseason to learn the playbook; a capable signal caller for the latter stages. The Rams have a first year, first time head coach in his home debut ' a long term 'positive expectation' subset. And let's not forget that the +3 captures all the true 'key' numbers from preseason where games are routinely decided by one or two points as teams look to avoid overtime Live dog here! Take the Rams.