Take Miami-FL (#544)
Virginia enters this matchup with Miami on one hell of a run. The Cavs are ranked #1 in the current AP Poll, #3 in the Coach's Rankings. They are 9-1 SU and ATS away from home, suffering only two pointspread losses on any floor since the calendar turned to 2018. And yet Virginia is a clear 'bet-against' team for me tonight as road chalk at Miami.
First, note this, because it's important. Virginia isn't the best team in the country. They're not in the Top 5 or Top 10 or even the Top 20 when it comes to talent. Man for man, Miami is every bit as talented. The Cavs have been exceptional this season because their defense is as good as it gets, and they've found enough three point shooting to survive. I'm not convinced that's going to work against a Hurricanes team that has given Virginia all kinds of trouble in recent seasons, especially with Miami coming off an ugly, blown lead flu ridden loss to Boston College over the weekend.
The Cavs are 1-7 SU on the highway in their last eight tries against Miami. The last time Miami faced the #1 team in the country on this floor, they blew out Duke 90-63. Four of the last ten meetings between these two teams have gone into overtime. Four more were decided by five points or less. Jim Larranaga has been able to match up very well against Tony Bennett, plain and simple, a trend worth riding tonight. Take Miami-FL
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