Ian Cameron Capping
NHL: 10* Pittsburgh Over 6 -110 (19)
The Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings between the Philadelphia Flyers and Pittsburgh Penguins and as I've stated on multiple occasions, this is a a trend I will ride at least until I lose one at this point. The trends scream Over in this situation in particular as the Over is 11-1 in the Penguins last 12 road games and 9-1-1 in the Penguins last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. I also view Pittsburgh as an offense worth trusting to bounce back strong after being shut down in their previous game especially with them being a team loaded with weapons and depth offensively across all four lines and their results speak out to that. Pittsburgh is 5-1 to the Over in their last 6 games following a game in which they scored 2 goals or fewer. Brian Elliott deserves props for an outstanding bounce back performance in net in Game 2 for Philadelphia after being pulled in Game 1 but his start-to-start consistency against a potent team like Pittsburgh is still something I have to question. On the flip side, Matt Murray has not been a consistent performer either in net for Pittsburgh since returning from a hybrid reasoned absence of a concussion and the passing of his father. Murray has yielded 3 or more goals in 8 of his last 10 starts in between the pipes. These two teams played an early start afternoon game on NBC back on March 25th and the game was a very entertaining 5-4 OT win for Pittsburgh with the Flyers and Penguins combining for 9 goals. The early start didn't impact the offenses one iota and I do not expect that to be an impediment to scoring in Game 3 of this playoff series either.
I also have a smaller half unit wager on Pittsburgh -125 (19) in this Game 3 as well.