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Joe Raineri
  • Event: (307) Buffalo Bills at (308) Dallas Cowboys
    Sport/League: NFL
    Date/Time: November 28, 2019 4PM EST
    Play: 4% – (307) Buffalo Bills at (308) Dallas Cowboys Total Under 47.0 (-110)
    Play Rating: 4%
    Result: Win

    So this game features two teams that critics say have not beaten any quaility teams. Dallas can't beat anyone over .500 and the Bills schedule has been crazy easy. Well, someone will win this game today and that will silence the critics. The game total opened at 44.5 and has seen a lot of money and tickets coming in on the OVER in this game. Now it sits at 47 and I think this is where the value lies in this game today.

    Bills have one of the best defenses in the league and the Cowboys are one of the top offenses in the league. The Bills are 3rd in the league against the pass and have only allowed 15.2 points per game on the road this year. I get that people say this team hasn't seen a passing game like the Cowobys bring to the table. Yes, this is true but so is the fact that the Head Coach of the Bills is becoming one of the best in the game. He's also a defensive minded head coach and I have no doubt he will have his defense ready to go in this one. The Cowboys advantage lies in the running game. That's the biggest weakness of the Bills. I expect that we will see a whole lot of Zeke in this game. That also means we'll see a bunch of time consuming drives that will chew away at the clock and result in not a ton of points. 

    The Dallas defense has been very solid all year and they have allowed just 19.0 ppg here at home for the year. The Bills have really relied on their running game as of late and it has worked out great for them. Their running game opens up their passing game for Josh Allen and he's progressing well with his reads. He's also very undervalued as a runner. The Cowboys will have to account for him today otherwise he will burn them with his legs. Both these teams on a short week will rely on the run and both these teams will look to control the clock.

    Buffalo’s road games have averaged 37.6 ppg and as long as Jason Garrett continues to leave points on the field, this game will hit the UNDER. I'm also playing the 1H under in this matchup as the Cowboys are a slow starting team on offense as well. 

    Happy Thanksgiving! 

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