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Recent Play Details

Joe Raineri
  • Event: (455) San Francisco 49ers at (456) Baltimore Ravens
    Sport/League: NFL
    Date/Time: December 1, 2019 1PM EST
    Play: 4% – San Francisco 49ers 6.0 (-114)
    Play Rating: 4%
    Result: Win

    Must watch NFL Television here today. 

    We always talk about the fact that we are betting numbers and NOT teams. So forget about names like LAMAR or the RAVENS or JIMMY G. The only thing that matters in this game is the numbers. And this number stinks.

    The Ravens are the hype team of the year and come into this game with the full force of the Public, who are backing them every chance they get. This game opened up at -4 and has been bet upto -6.5 at points during the week. This is a complete over reaction to the Ravens and what we've seen recently. 

    The 49ers offer great value at this price. They also have a bunch of other numbers that work in their favor. First off, their a road dog, which are (67-43 ATS, 61% ATS this season) and a short road dog at plus 6 or less (45-22 ATS, 58% ATS). They also come into this game with a QB that is undefeated in the month of December in his career. 

    This game will be decided in the trenches. The secondary of the 49ers is way too talented to get burned by the pass so the Ravens must be able to run the ball with success. The Ravens biggest weakness is on defense and against the rush. Nobody utilizes the run game better than Shannahan and the 49ers. 

    When it's all said and done, there is just way too much value on the board with the 49ers getting -6. 

    I'm backing the 49ers to keep this game close and actually think we might even have a shootout of sorts. I'm also backing the OVER in this game. 

    FYI: I would also consider using the 49ers in any 6pt teaser plays you may be considering.

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