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Recent Play Details

Nick Borrman
  • Event: Burnley at Chelsea
    Sport/League: SOC
    Date/Time: January 11, 2020 10AM EST
    Play: 3% – Burnley +1.5 (+100)
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Loss

    England Premier League

    (200169) Burnley at (200170) Chelsea

    Burnley stinks but Chelsea has not been playing all that well and I'm thinking that will allow Burnley to stay close.  Chelsea has just five wins in their last 12 matches in all competitions and only two of those have covered this number.  They have lost each of their last two home league games 0-2 to Southampton and 0-1 to Bournemouth.  They also lost 0-1 to West Ham at home as they have really struggled against the teams they should beat.

    Burnley has just two wins on the road this season through ten games, but have only lost against this number twice.  Chelsea won the reverse fixture 4-2 but that score is completly misleading as Burnley actually had the better chances in that game.  They xG number shows Burnley 2.23 - 0.99 Chelsea which is pretty significant and rare to see a score go that far against the expected goals.  Burnley has also earned a result in each of the last two seasons at Chelsea with a draw last year and a win the season before.  I think they can do it again this year.

    TAKE BURNLEY +1.5

    Line Parameter: 3% at +1.5 or better up to -120, 2% at +1.25

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