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Recent Play Details

Nick Borrman
  • Event: Atalanta at Fiorentina
    Sport/League: SOC
    Date/Time: January 15, 2020 9AM EST
    Play: 5% – Atalanta (+110)
    Play Rating: 5%
    Result: Loss

    Italy Coppa Italia

    (201617) Atalanta at (201618) Fiorentina

    Atalanta is clicking on all cylinders right now.  They have six wins in their last eight matches, scoring at least three goals in five of those.  They drew 1-1 at Inter this past weekend but missed a potential game winning penalty in the last minutes of the game.  They were the better team all game and finished with a 2.5 xG compared to just 0.7 xG for Inter and Inter has looked like the best team in the league not named Juventus all season.  They lost 1-2 at Bologna as their only loss during this run but were the better team according to xG in the game and I'll give them a pass as that was their first game after clinching their spot in the knockout rounds of the Champions League which was a remarkable feat considering they were winless in their first four games of the group.  Now with Duvan Zapata back healthy, this team looks scary.  Even if they are somewhat rotated here, they look hard to stop.

    Fiorentina has not been good this year.  They are just 5-6-8 with a 23:29 in Serie A this season and have managed just three wins at home in ten matches with a -3 goal differential.  They managed a 2-2 draw at Atalanta back in September when Atalanta was playing their worst football of the season but they are playing so much better right now.  On top of their goal scoring run they have been on, they have kept six clean sheets in their last eight games and have conceded just two total goals while Fiorentina hasn't scored more than one goal in seven straight league games.

    TAKE ATALANTA TO WIN (ML or -0.5)

    Line Parameter: 5% to -110, 4% to -125

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