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  • Event: (695) Saint Mary\\\'s CA at (696) San Diego
    Sport/League: CBB
    Date/Time: February 6, 2020 11PM EST
    Play: 3% – Saint Mary\\\'s CA -11.0 (-110)
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Loss

    3%  Take St Mary’s (#695)

    My clients and I cashed a Big Ticket wager against San Diego on this floor when they faced BYU a few weeks ago.  Here’s an excerpt from that write-up.  Numbers have been adjusted to reflect current realities:

    “San Diego was a 20+ win senior laden team when they knocked off BYU in the WCC Tourney last March, but four senior starters graduated and the results have been pretty dramatic – they’re 1-8 SU in West Coast Conference play, 2-7 ATS.  The Toreros have been completely blown off the floor five times in their last month, including a 44 point home loss to the Gonzaga, a 25 point home loss to San Francisco and a 13 point home loss to Santa Clara; primed for another ugly showing tonight!”

    San Diego has no homecourt edge at the Slim Gym these days – their last win OR cover at Jenny Craig Pavilion came back in December.  They’ve shown ZERO ability to step up in class, and have a terrible track record against the Gaels.  Over the last four years, on this floor, St Mary’s has won by 17, 44 and 20; only one competitive game in the bunch.

    While San Diego is in complete rebuild mode, the Gaels are a senior laden squad coming off a rare loss, with a huge showdown against Gonzaga on deck for the weekend.  There’s no lookahead towards the mighty Zags here – not following a defeat.  No surprise here if this spread is comfortably covered by halftime…… Take St Mary’s

    Line Parameter: 3% at -12 or lower, 2% at -12.5 or higher

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