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  • Event: (579) Los Angeles Clippers at (580) Philadelphia 76ers
    Sport/League: NBA
    Date/Time: February 11, 2020 7PM EST
    Play: 3% – Los Angeles Clippers -1.0 (-108)
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Loss

    3%  Take the LA Clippers (#579)

    My clients & I cashed a winning bet with the Clippers on Sunday at Cleveland, as LA delivered a 41 point victory despite playing without Kawhi Leonard on the second of back-2-backs.  Part of the rationale was this:

    “The Clippers no-showed in Minnesota yesterday; allowing 81 points in the first half while getting completely blown off the floor in an ugly defeat.  The Clippers have proven – repeatedly -- that they’re a ‘bet-on’ team off a loss with or without Kawhi in the lineup: 15-1 SU, 13-3 (81%) ATS following a single defeat.  That is a track record worth backing here.”

    Kawhi is expected back in the lineup tonight.  LA has been extraordinary off a loss, now 16-1 SU, 14-3 ATS.  But when we dig a little deeper, those single defeats have kept this team energized and motivated for more than one game.  They’ve suffered back-2-back losses only once all year, back in mid-November.  And they had one stretch around Christmas where they alternated wins and losses for an eight game span through the holidays.  Other than those two exceptions, the Clippers have responded to a single loss by winning multiple games in a row…just like I expect them to do tonight!

    The 76ers are 24-2 at home this year, and they’ve beaten the Bucks, Lakers and Celtics, among others, on this floor since Christmas.  But the persistent rumblings coming out of this locker room have not been positive, to put it mildly.  Philly is just 2-6 SU and ATS in their last eight against opponents with winning records.  I’m not expecting their finale before the All Star Break to change that prevailing trend – even at home, the 76ers cannot be trusted against quality competition.  Take the Clippers.

    Line Parameter: 3% at -2 or lower, 2% at -2.5 or higher

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