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Teddy Covers
  • Event: (523) Los Angeles Clippers at (524) Boston Celtics
    Sport/League: NBA
    Date/Time: February 13, 2020 8PM EST
    Play: 5% – Los Angeles Clippers 2.0 (-110)
    Play Rating: 5%
    Result: Loss

      5% Big Ticket: Take the LA Clippers (#523)

    The results do not lie.  The Clippers have proven – repeatedly -- that they’re a ‘bet-on’ team off a loss; 15-1 SU, 13-3 (81%) ATS following a single defeat this season.  That is a track record worth backing here as an underdog in Boston, off a poor showing in Philly on Tuesday Night.  Kawhi Leonard, following the defeat: “We didn’t make shots.”  Sixers head coach Brett Brown, talking about Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons: ‘It’s arguably the best game those two have paired up with since I’ve been here.”  In other words, the Clips played a bad game and the Sixers played a great game.  Philly still only won by seven points.

    So now we’ve got the Clippers coming off a poorly played loss in a role where they’ve been so good – bouncing back.  It’s surely worth noting how well they’ve matched up against the Celtics, with four straight wins in the series, three coming by double digit margins.  They won the first meeting this year, despite an uncharacteristic 23 turnover performance while shooting a modest 42% from the floor.

    Unlike the Clippers, the Celtics have not been dominant SU or ATS off a single loss, like the one they suffered in Houston on Tuesday.  Nor has this been a particularly dominant homecourt – the Celtics have lost SU to the likes of the Suns, Pistons and Spurs over the past month at the TD Garden.  It’s surely worth noting that the Celtics are sub .500 ATS as short favorites of -4.5 or less this season; worth fading in this pointspread range against a particularly motivated & talented foe.  Big Ticket: Take the Clippers.

    Line Parameter: 5% at +2 or higher, 4% at +1.5 or lower