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Recent Play Details

Nick Borrman
  • Event: Rory McIlroy vs Jon Rahm
    Sport/League: GLF
    Date/Time: March 12, 2020 1PM EDT
    Play: 3% – Jon Rahm (+110)
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: No Play

    Players Championship

    (7013) Rory McIlroy vs (7014) Jon Rahm

    I was going to avoid Rory all together, but I think it's worth the fade here as you won't have many chances to grab Rahm at a + price all year.  Rahm has eight straight Top-20 finishes, seven of those Top-10's with two wins, two 2nds and a 3rd.  He had the 54-hole lead here last year and blew it on Sunday finishing T12, so he will be set on some revenge this year.

    Rory has a remarkable seven straight Top-5 finishes, so hard to fade him, but at the Players, nobody has ever repeated as Champion, and in the last ten years, the defending champions has not fared well.  Webb Simpson has the best finish in that position last year finishing T16 and he is the only player in those last ten years to finish inside the Top 55!  While I am not expecting Rory to be that low, I wouldn't be surprised to see him falter a little bit this week especially considering the elements anyone playing at Bay Hill last week had to endure on Saturday and Sunday.  He could definitely be more worn down than normal.  Meanwhile Rahm is rested since the WGC Mexico.

    TAKE JON RAHM OVER RORY MCILROY (Head to Head on the total score of the Tournament)

    Line Parameter: 3% to -105, 2% to -120