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Teddy Covers
  • Event: (553) Utah Jazz at (554) Oklahoma City Thunder
    Sport/League: NBA
    Date/Time: March 11, 2020 8PM EDT
    Play: 3% – Utah Jazz 2.0 (-110)
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Pending

    3%  Take Utah (#553)

    I want the Jazz as underdogs tonight off a bad home loss to Toronto.  Utah has been choppy in many roles this season, but they’ve been consistent profit producers in this ‘road dog’ role; 6-0 ATS in their last six tries.  They swept their last road trip, going 4-0 on an East Coast swing prior to the Raptors loss.  They swept their previous road trip as well, winning at Dallas and Houston in outright fashion as underdogs.  Utah has low post depth – I’m comfortable backing the Jazz here whether Rudy Gobert (flu) suits up or not.  And the Jazz’s ugly 1-7-1 ATS mark in their nine tries as favorites since the All Star Break has the betting markets devaluing this team; a value laden team to wager on this evening.

    OKC is returning home off their own successful road trip, going 3-0 back east, culminating with an impressive and intense one point win at Boston – the exact same type of spot the Jazz were in prior to their home loss to the Raptors.  OKC is the ultimate ‘road dog’ team, but they’ve failed to cover three of their last four as favorites.  They’ve also struggled to step up in class repeatedly at home, losing SU to the Grizzlies, Lakers, Raptors, Heat, Mavs, Celtics, Spurs and Clippers since Christmas.  Their home wins are largely coming against the lottery teams, and Utah ain’t no lottery team!  Take the Jazz.

    Line Parameter: 3% at +2 or higher, 2% at +1.5 or lower