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Nick Borrman
  • Event: Eintracht Frankfurt at Bayern Munich
    Sport/League: SOC
    Date/Time: May 23, 2020 12PM EDT
    Play: 3% – Bayern Munich -2.25 (-115)
    Play Rating: 3%
    Result: Win

    Germany Bundesliga

     (53965621) Eintracht Frankfurt at (53965622) Bayern Munich

    Numbers behind this play are strong enough to make this a BEST BET, but I just hate laying more than two goals so I'll keep this to a regular 3% play.  Union Berlin played a good tactical game against Bayern, limiting their chances, but ultimately they were just too good and ended up winning 2-0 which makes five straight clean sheets for them (dating back to before the 2-month COVID break).  Frankfurt lost 1-3 at home to a good Gladbach team after conceding two goals in the first ten minutes of the game.

    Overall Frankfurt is having a disappointing year.  After qualifying for the Europa League this year, where they are still alive, but down 0-3 to Basel after the first leg of their round of 16 matchup, they are sitting #13 in the table and battling against relegation.  While they should be able to stay in the top flight, this matchup looks like it will be tough for them as they have always struggled when traveling to Bayern.  In their last 14 trips to Bayern for Bundesliga play, they have one draw to go along with 13 losses, with eight of them by more than two goals and three others by two goals including losing by 3+ each of the last three seasons.

    Bayern is averaging 8.2 shots on goal per game at home, the most in the league compared to the league average of 5.2.  They rae also allowing the least at just 2.9, compared to the league average of 4.5.   Frankfurt is averaging just 3.8 shots on goal per game away from home while conceding 5.5.  All signs point to a completely lopsided match here.  One last factor I love in this match is that Frankfurt won 5-1 at home in the reverse fixture this season thanks to a red card for Bayern in the first ten minutes of the game.  Expect a big revenge win here.

    TAKE BAYERN MUNICH -2.25

    Line Parameter: 3% to -2.5 but pay up to -130 to get -2.25 to protect against just a two goal win which I think is worst case here

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