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Teddy Covers
  • Event: (477) Dallas Cowboys at (478) Los Angeles Rams
    Sport/League: NFL
    Date/Time: September 13, 2020 8PM EDT
    Play: 4% – Los Angeles Rams 2.5 (-110)
    Play Rating: 4%
    Result: Win

     4% Take the LA Rams (#478)

    The betting markets have crashed on the LA Rams in the offseason, in reaction to their mediocre season in 2019, followed by a stream of veteran departures: Todd Gurley, Clay Matthews, Cory Littleton, Dante Fowler, Greg Zuerlein and Nickell Robey-Coleman, just to name a few.  But make no mistake about it -- LA is not an afterthought in the NFC West.  This team was an undervalued commodity all year last year, cashing at a 67% ATS clip for the full season.  Their defensive line is as dominant as any in football; good news for new coordinator Brandon Staley, a Vic Fangio disciple.  And despite Jared Goff’s mediocrity in 2019, the talent and coaching surrounding him is top notch. 

    Dallas is breaking in a new coaching staff, bad news in this COVID-19 affected offseason, and Mike McCarthy is not a coach I trust to have them ready in Week 1 off an abbreviated offseason.  This Cowboys team lost SU as road chalk at Philly, Chicago, the Jets and the Teddy Bridgewater led Saints last year; not a team to trust laying a full field goal in Week 1 this year.  Bet this now: I don’t expect the +3’s to hold for the brand new Sofi Stadium opener.  Take the Rams.

    Line Parameter: 4% at +2.5 or higher, 3% at +2 or lower