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  • Event: (701) Boston Celtics at (702) Toronto Raptors
    Sport/League: NBA
    Date/Time: September 7, 2020 6PM EDT
    Play: 4% – Boston Celtics -1.0 (-110)
    Play Rating: 4%
    Result: Win

     4% Take Boston (#701)

    The Celtics were a little shell-shocked following OG Anunoby’s buzzer beating three pointer on Thursday Night.  A half second from taking a commanding 3-0 series lead, Boston has suddenly found themselves in a dogfight following a dismal 7-35 (20%) shooting performance from beyond the arc in Game 4, including a truly awful 5-22 on uncontested looks.  In contrast, the Raptors went 6-8 from three point range on uncontested looks in Game 4.  That type of disparity can cost a team a game, but not likely a series.  Kemba Walker: “Honestly, man, I thought we had great looks throughout the whole game.  We just really missed.  We missed a lot of open ones that I know we can make…..We’ll do better.”

    This is a ‘bet-on’ quote from Jaylen Brown: hungry and focused: “I just missed some open shots….its make or break time, 2-2.  The series is tied up.  We didn’t play that well.  I didn’t play that well.  We’ve got to bounce back and be ready to fight.  That’s what it comes down to: fight.  We have to be ready to fight for our lives next game and keep playing good basketball.  Open shots just didn’t go down.  Tough night.”

    I stand by my assessment prior to the series that the Celtics are the better of these two teams.  Off consecutive losses, facing adversity for the first time in the postseason, I’m expecting an appropriate response from Brad Stevens squad here.  Boston has been mispriced since the start of the playoffs: 6-2 ATS in eight postseason games, with an average ATS margin of victory of more than seven points per game.  They’re an undervalued commodity once again on Monday Night in a game I expect them to win.   Take the Celtics

    Line Parameter: 4% at -2 or lower, 3% at -2.5 or higher