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  • Event: (709) Toronto Raptors at (710) Boston Celtics
    Sport/League: NBA
    Date/Time: September 9, 2020 6PM EDT
    Play: 4% – Boston Celtics -3.0 (-110)
    Play Rating: 4%
    Result: Loss

     4% Take Boston (#710)

    My clients and I have already cashed a pair of winners supporting the Celtics in this series, and I have no hesitation going back to betting window in support of Boston on Wednesday Night.  Let me start with an excerpt from my Game 5 write-up backing Brad Stevens squad:

    The Celtics were a little shell-shocked following OG Anunoby’s buzzer beating three pointer on Thursday Night.  A half second from taking a commanding 3-0 series lead, Boston has suddenly found themselves in a dogfight following a dismal 7-35 (20%) shooting performance from beyond the arc in Game 4, including a truly awful 5-22 on uncontested looks.  In contrast, the Raptors went 6-8 from three point range on uncontested looks in Game 4.  That type of disparity can cost a team a game, but not likely a series.  Kemba Walker: “Honestly, man, I thought we had great looks throughout the whole game.  We just really missed.  We missed a lot of open ones that I know we can make…..We’ll do better.”

    I stand by my assessment prior to the series that the Celtics are the better of these two teams.  Boston has been mispriced since the start of the playoffs: 7-2 ATS in nine postseason games, with an average ATS margin of victory of more than eight points per game.  They’re an undervalued commodity once again tonight.

    Boston has the maturity to close out series – they’ve reached the conference finals twice already in the last three seasons.  Never underestimate the heart of a champion – true – but let’s not forget that Toronto never faced a series elimination game on their way to the title last year.  Toronto’s Game 5 beatdown was the second time this series they’ve lost in non-competitive fashion; not a good sign for a team that gets to go home if they lose again here.   Take the Celtics

    Line Parameter: 4% at -4 or lower, 3% at -4.5 or higher

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